2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

[vijayk]

EC is linking Voter ID to Aadhar. Hope it reduces fraud

[sanjayc]

Anyone can decipher why FIFA banned India. What was Praful Patel's role?

Joe Morrison
@joefooty
Can someone tell me if @praful_patel in his capacity as a @FIFAcom council member, voted FOR a ban on his own country? ( FIFA say it was unanimous)

[Bart S]

Any idea why Lutyens WKK Aunty is in Afghanistan doing a bunch of interviews, wearing a burkha and all?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J7YsazTWVEk

Is this some crazy agenda of Coupta's, or is GOI encouraging this as part of a gradual opening up of relations with the Taliban? Note that she got access to a lot of Taliban officials, which would probably not happen unless somebody powerful was facilitating this.

[Manish_P]

Reason behind Junior T's recent 'outreach'..

In Aaditya’s Worli, are Sainiks slipping out of Thackerays’ fingers?

Number of affidavits of loyalty during party drive remains on the lower side; local leaders blame it on stamp paper shortage

There seems to be a lack of enthusiasm among Sainiks from Worli to pledge loyalty to the Shiv Sena constitution and the party chief. Till last week, the party had failed to collect even 25 per cent of the aimed number as part of the drive in the high-profile and crucial constituency. This came to notice last week when party chief Uddhav Thackeray held a meeting with corporators. Leaders have cited shortage of stamp paper in the market as a reason behind the low response.

Aaditya Thackeray, who represents the constituency, has started to connect with the party rank and file as part of damage control exercise.

Maybe the young ex-minister could try insta and twitter..

[Dilbu]

After a lull of two years, anti-CAA agitation to resume across the Northeast

Members and leaders of the North East Students' Organisation (NESO) will stage a demonstration in each district and sub-division headquarters with a renewed demand to scrap the CAA and constitutional safeguards for the indigenous communities in the region. "People of the Northeast have not accepted the CAA and will never accept it. This act will reduce the indigenous people into a minority. The Northeast can't be used as a dumping ground for illegal migrants. Assam has already taken a lot of burden by accepting the migrants till March 24, 1971 and can not accept more such migrants," Chief advisor of NESO, Samujjal Kumar Bhattacharjya told reporters in Guwahati. NESO comprises student bodies representing various communities and tribes in Assam, Manipur, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Nagaland, Arunachal Pradesh and Tripura.

The CAA, which was passed in December 2019, seeks to allow non-Muslim migrants from Bangladeshi, Pakistan and Afghanistan, who settled in India till 2014 due to religious persecution, to apply for Indian citizenship. But organisations in the Northeast are opposed to it saying this would allow a "large number" of post-1971 migrants to get Indian citizenship and thereby, reduce the indigenous communities into minorities.

[Rony]

BJP govt policy outlined by Housing minister Hardeep Singh Puri

https://twitter.com/HardeepSPuri/status ... E_V8U7Sdaw - India has always welcomed those who have sought refuge in the country. In a landmark decision all #Rohingya #Refugees will be shifted to EWS flats in Bakkarwala area of Delhi. They will be provided basic amenities, UNHCR IDs & round-the-clock
@DelhiPolice protection.

HMO clarification and obfuscation after backlash

https://twitter.com/HMOIndia/status/155 ... E_V8U7Sdaw > With respect to news reports in certain sections of media regarding Rohingya illegal foreigners, it is clarified that Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) has not given any directions to provide EWS flats to Rohingya illegal migrants at Bakkarwala in New Delhi. Govt of Delhi proposed to shift the Rohingyas to a new location. MHA has directed the GNCTD to ensure that the Rohingya illegal foreigners will continue at the present location as MHA has already taken up the matter of their deportation with the concerned country through MEA. Illegal foreigners are to be kept in Detention Centre till their deportation as per law. The Government of Delhi has not declared the present location as a Detention Centre. They have been directed to do the same immediately.

Reality

https://twitter.com/Sanjay_Dixit/status ... E_V8U7Sdaw > While @HardeepSPuri is talking about UNHRC card holder Rohingyas, @HMOIndia is talking about illegal Rohingyas. Do they think we do not catch the nuances. Please come out with a more convincing explanation, and tell us about CAA Rules too.

https://twitter.com/abhijitmajumder/sta ... E_V8U7Sdaw > Govt sources say these Rohingyas have got UNHCR IDs. How does it matter, since India is not a signatory to United Nations Refugee Convention of 1951 ? Even Bangladesh is kicking out these violent, rapidly spreading lot. Hope there’s serious international leverage to be gained.

[Rony]

delete

[Sachin]

^^^ I am loving this . The BJP central government seems to be messing up one thing after the other. So now there is some thing known as legal & illegal Rohingya. How is the legality defined; only MHA knows . The tweet has come from a Union Minister so either he is lying or MHA is lying.

[rsingh]

Most of the Afgani Hindus and Sikhs in India holds UN cards. They migrate to EU countries easily. It is a fact. I

[vijayk]

^^^ I am loving this . The BJP central government seems to be messing up one thing after the other. So now there is some thing known as legal & illegal Rohingya. How is the legality defined; only MHA knows . The tweet has come from a Union Minister so either he is lying or MHA is lying.

Puri's tweet still exists

we have 3 types of Indians:

1. Clueless Indians - never see the evil or don't care or scared to say anything. just look at western and ELM approval (Most fall into int)
2. rabble rousers - no sophistication. use undiplomatic language and be ridiculed
3. collaborators - enables who want to bring in evil; totally anti-national; get awards/money from west

[vijayk]

Sai Deepak J @jsaideepak
This is the interim order of April 8, 2021 of the Supreme Court permitting the Centre to deport Rohingyas in accordance with the law.

.

[RajeevK]

This is the nteirim order of April 8, 2021 of the Supreme Court permitting the Centre to deport Rohingyas in accordance with the law.

The catch here is that they can be deported in accordance with the law. I am sure everyone here is aware of how the laws can be interpreted.

[Rupesh]

This is the nteirim order of April 8, 2021 of the Supreme Court permitting the Centre to deport Rohingyas in accordance with the law.

The catch here is that they can be deported in accordance with the law. I am sure everyone here is aware of how the laws can be interpreted.

Did they ever make any attempt to deport Rohingyas?. If there was a will, then deportation was possible.

[Rony]

^^^ I am loving this . The BJP central government seems to be messing up one thing after the other. So now there is some thing known as legal & illegal Rohingya. How is the legality defined; only MHA knows . The tweet has come from a Union Minister so either he is lying or MHA is lying.

BJP clarification cycle

https://twitter.com/kansaratva/status/1 ... E_V8U7Sdaw

[Rupesh]

^^^ I am loving this . The BJP central government seems to be messing up one thing after the other. So now there is some thing known as legal & illegal Rohingya. How is the legality defined; only MHA knows . The tweet has come from a Union Minister so either he is lying or MHA is lying.

He has deleted the tweet after backlash.

[vijayk]

The catch here is that they can be deported in accordance with the law. I am sure everyone here is aware of how the laws can be interpreted.

Did they ever make any attempt to deport Rohingyas?. If there was a will, then deportation was possible.

exactly.

[Atmavik]

BJP clarification cycle

https://twitter.com/kansaratva/status/1 ... E_V8U7Sdaw

Now that tweet is a master stroke

[Sachin]

Northeast students' bodies resume anti-CAA protests
The news report is not clear on why Northeast students should find CAA to be a rule against them. I don't think these student organisations are all Muslim majority outfits. Looks like they are the cats' paws for the secular forces. The assumption seems to be that Hindus who may get citizenship would also be settled in Northeast India, which may affect the "indegenous"(?) population. .

[nandakumar]

Northeast students' bodies resume anti-CAA protests
The news report is not clear on why Northeast students should find CAA to be a rule against them. I don't think these student organisations are all Muslim majority outfits. Looks like they are the cats' paws for the secular forces. The assumption seems to be that Hindus who may get citizenship would also be settled in Northeast India, which may affect the "indegenous"(?) population. .

For them all non Assamese are foreigners. Bangladeshi Hindu or Muslim is irrelevant. CAA, to the extent, it regularises domicile of Bangladeshi immigrants in Assam is a sore point for them. In fact one reason why the CAA rules are not notified is because BJP is afraid it will lose Assam.

[vera_k]

This seems very much like the J&K grievance about Indians from outside J&K. What are the special benefits accruing tp Assam citizens?

[Kaivalya]

This seems very much like the J&K grievance about Indians from outside J&K. What are the special benefits accruing tp Assam citizens?

I am not sure about special benefits. But the trend is not limited to these two states alone. Tamilnadu politicians say the same thing ( comparing telugu or kannada people) , karnataka politicians ( comparing tamils ), maharashtra politicians ( compared to gujaratis) and the list goes on.

It is easy to invoke an imaginary enemy in the next state or blame center. Might be a factor of separating states by language or just bad politics similar to freebie politics or weak center for the longest time ( only now ration cards are portable etc. , aadhar card for id etc )

[ldev]

A survey of Indian public opinion on national security issues conducted between April 13 and May 14, 2022 by the Stimson Center via phone with 7000 persons in 12 languages

Confidence and Nationalism in Modi’s India

A new 7000-person survey conducted by phone in India between April 13 and May 14, 2022, finds:

high levels of support for Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who likely remains among the most popular national leaders in the world today;

extraordinary nationalist sentiment among Indians, at high levels compared to prior cross-national surveys using identical question wording;

troubling signs of intolerance toward India’s large Muslim minority, which helps provide context to recent controversies;

strong confidence in the Indian government’s ability to defend India against potential domestic and foreign threats;

expectations among a majority of Indian respondents that the U.S. military would support India in the event of a war with China or Pakistan; and

large majorities in favor of Indian numerical nuclear superiority against its adversaries.

Respondents were overwhelmingly nationalistic in their responses. 90% strongly or somewhat agreed with the statement that “India is a better country than most other countries.” This number, large in absolute terms, is also large when compared to other contexts.12 U.S. citizens, for example, are typically viewed as more nationalist than average, but in 2014 only 70 percent of respondents strongly or somewhat agreed that the U.S. is a better country than most.13 While American exceptionalism is a well-understood domain of study, self-perceptions of Indian exceptionalism are relatively underexplored.

Nationalist sentiment dovetailed with negative opinions of neighboring countries. When asked about Pakistan, 67% of respondents expressed their “dislike to a great extent” and a nearly equivalent 65% “disliked” China to “a great extent.”

Nationalist sentiment also manifested as confidence in India’s military prowess and state strength. 90% of respondents said that India would probably or definitely defeat Pakistan in case of a war between the two hostile neighbors. A smaller, but still sizeable, percentage (72%) believed that India would probably or definitely defeat China in the event of a war. This may mirror confident public statements by Indian military officials,14 but deviates from some expert analysis which suggests that India is likely at a disadvantage in a military contest with China.15 Modi supporters were modestly more likely to assess that India could defeat China or Pakistan than non-supporters.

A majority of respondents said that the United States would “definitely” or “probably” help in the event of an Indian war with China (56 percent) or Pakistan (59 percent), with a remaining large minority skeptical of U.S. aid in such scenarios. In contrast, surveys of U.S. respondents have found sizeable majorities might prefer to avoid entanglement in a Sino-Indian military conflict.16 For their part, Indian military leaders and strategists have stressed that India will have to fight its own wars alone without counting on others.17
A similar majority of Indian respondents assessed China would come to Pakistan’s aid in the event of an Indo-Pakistani war (56 percent) and that Pakistan would come to China’s aid in the event of a Sino-Indian war (59 percent) consistent with Indian strategists’ fears of a “two-front war.” Combining these results shows that a large minority of respondents, roughly 4 in 10, foresee a scenario where India might have to fight both China and Pakistan simultaneously without U.S. help.

[Dilbu]

roughly 4 in 10, foresee a scenario where India might have to fight both China and Pakistan simultaneously without U.S. help.

Unlike most worthies in the media or lifafa experts, mango Indians are ahead of the curve. They understand who is standing with India and who is standing against it, internally and externally.

[V_Raman]

Indian exceptionalism is underrated. But it is very much there and thats what makes India a potential superpower. Exceptionalism is the true superpower characteristic. It needs a level of cultural "surefootedness" which is coming back slowly to Indians. We have the culture - we just need to be sure of it

[vijayk]

https://rattibha.com/thread/1560261691471826944?lang=en
Undoubtedly #Vasudeva #Krishna was a historic figure worshiped by many across geographies.

[vijayk]

The Uttar Pradesh Index @theupindex

Focus on religious tourism is now showing results!

Breaking all previous records, over ONE crore devotees visited Kashi Vishwanath Dham this year in Shrawan month ~ 3 times more than usual, offering over ₹5 Cr to the temple

This is having huge positive impact on local economy

[vijayk]

[vijayk]

[Sachin]

Some of convicts in Bilkis case are 'Brahmins with good sanskaar': Gujarat BJP MLA
Statements like these are only going to make Brahmins even more better laughing stock material. It would have been better if the BJP folks actually used the law points based on which the convicts were released.

Dalit boy’s death our national shame. And then Deccan Herald grudgingly adds on "The death of the boy has led to protests against the Ashok Gehlot-led Congress government". A minister from Gehlot's cabinet had resigned in protest.

[RajaRudra]

This seems very much like the J&K grievance about Indians from outside J&K. What are the special benefits accruing tp Assam citizens?

I am not sure about special benefits. But the trend is not limited to these two states alone. Tamilnadu politicians say the same thing ( comparing telugu or kannada people) , karnataka politicians ( comparing tamils ), maharashtra politicians ( compared to gujaratis) and the list goes on.

It is easy to invoke an imaginary enemy in the next state or blame center. Might be a factor of separating states by language or just bad politics similar to freebie politics or weak center for the longest time ( only now ration cards are portable etc. , aadhar card for id etc )

I can give my bit with regard to Tamil Nadu - purely my understanding.

Caste System - People tend to have marriage links within the community. But there is not much caste based hate of each other before to some extent even now.

just before independence, British through their support and money power raised many dogs as leaders of dravidian movement. Not sure if they had done this in every state. For any social problem or economical problem they will blame on Brahmins. During this period or just before that period, people in the capital region started getting a reasonable education which include brahmins in the same capitol region.

This dravidian movement leaders(reared by british), started raising their own activists and many movies started to come depicting all the brahmins as educated and showing high attitude in the movies. the truth is brahmins in every other part of erstwhile madras presidency have no idea about education other than slokas that themselves get from their father(life expectancy in those days are so low that many kids will lose their father or mother before they cross their age 10).

This propaganda continued for decades through cinema, then came the Christian influence. In 1960s and 1970s American and German missionaries poured in crores of money to establish the church structure(marai maavattam) which is parallel govt. Their primary target is to cultivate the souls in the fishermen belt. This is kept as secret as possible until the minimum thrust is achieved. For many years they created inferiority complex among fishermen folks and that is not cutting through because in many places including the chennai region fisher men and brahmins are living through centuries and naturally developed friendship and inter dependent temple culture. Eg., Until few decades before Brahmins and Fishermen used to stand shoulder to shoulder in doing the chariot pulling and urchavams including the famous Parthasarathy Krishna Temple which is many centuries ancient - Taking the idol possession through every street there.

in 1960's and 1970's, who ever holding that brahmin - fisher men friendship for decades are getting older and their kids freshly educated in schools are no longer keeping the friendship lines. Both Brahmins and Fishermen caught in the web of continuous propaganda by dravidian cinemas. While brahmins caught in the Superiority complex and Fisher men caught in the Inferiority complex and youngsters of both lost that connect.

Erstwhile in TN, a similar inter dependent culture is getting broken with many communities. this time to grow as political party dravidian movement needed a enemy and brahmins came fit for that. Their population is not even 3 percentage and came use as a common enemy that can gain votes from other communities easily.
Silent Propaganda of many decades had made sure brahmins thought themselves as superior and they acted accordingly and the younger brahmins no longer wishes to share the urchavam responsibilities with fisher men, In the parallel time frame young fisher men who are now neck deep under the influence of propaganda - inferior - now not ready to take up the responsivity. Dravidian parties like DMK which is now in power decided to make everything in temple management commercial. The urchavams / Chariot also now go through the Bidding process. With Bidding , now enmity also arrived. Various political parties sided with one or the community - carrot for the people is urchavam responsibilities.

In today - Current status is DMK sided with brahmins in getting the urchavam responsibilities. DMK is a known Anti - Brahmin and Anti - Nationalistic party. Why they prefer to hand the temple urchavam responsibilities to brahmin lobby of the temple is the question.
Reason 1 - Brahmin lobby avtively campaigned for Udhayanidhi Stalin( Current Chief Ministers Son) in their constituency.
Reason 2 - Church lobby in that area giving big money to ruling political parties to make sure Non Brahmin Hindu lobby never gets the Urchavam responsibilities. Their idea is , every single day that any community keep out their children from temple worship is good for them to be cultivated to Christianity.

I don't want to put responsibility on brahmins alone. If inferiority complex is a mental issue(at mass level), then the superiority complex is also a mental issue(again at mass level).

Every one from every community has to open their eyes and regain their own standing and make sure their complexes are lost and gain the equal level before we lose our identity and our future generation be used as foot soldiers fighting in their either side of upcoming crusade.

How it is going to end no one knows. Will the Hindus(brahmins and non brahmins) regain their actual relationship and regain their natural friendship is a open question that only time will know the answer.

I am sure, every district and every state have one history.

[RajaRudra]

While writing the above, many many thoughts crossed my mind and i am not able to put all in the post in comprehensive way. Its just an out put of 3 minutes typing without even a basic paragraph comprehension(due to anger, anxiety and worry). I am also trying to represent a single cities old forgotten history of decades into a full states happening. I am sure if a person from other part of this same state puts in his/her view, we will get a different view altogether)

[nandakumar]

While writing the above, many many thoughts crossed my mind and i am not able to put all in the post in comprehensive way. Its just an out put of 3 minutes typing without even a basic paragraph comprehension(due to anger, anxiety and worry). I am also trying to represent a single cities old forgotten history of decades into a full states happening. I am sure if a person from other part of this same state puts in his/her view, we will get a different view altogether)

RajRudra
In your previous post you referred to Parthasarathy Krishna Temple. Were you referring to the Parthasarathy Swamy Temple across the Marina Beach?

[Vayutuvan]

[url...=https://www.stimson.org/2022/confidence ... dis-india/]Confidence and Nationalism in Modi’s India[/url]

...
troubling signs of intolerance toward India’s large Muslim minority, which helps provide context to recent controversies;
...

Very mischievously worded conclusion this. What context and what cntraaversies? Causality is reversed.

[Vayutuvan]

Looks like they are the cats' paws for the secular forces.

The same set keeps using the term "mainland" for the rest of India. The rhetoric was taken straight out of Chinese book - Mainland vs. Taiwan.

[RajaRudra]

While writing the above, many many thoughts crossed my mind and i am not able to put all in the post in comprehensive way. Its just an out put of 3 minutes typing without even a basic paragraph comprehension(due to anger, anxiety and worry). I am also trying to represent a single cities old forgotten history of decades into a full states happening. I am sure if a person from other part of this same state puts in his/her view, we will get a different view altogether)

RajRudra
In your previous post you referred to Parthasarathy Krishna Temple. Were you referring to the Parthasarathy Swamy Temple across the Marina Beach?

Yes. Parthasarathy Temple - Mentioned Krishna temple as a detail for non tamil members to understand. I stayed in that area from 2014-2016. Came to know about the intense competition between brahmins and fisher men's lobby(Many thanks to the them, Feeling good that they are making an attempt).

Sad to know that Udhayanidhi Stalin whose party is purely anti Hindu was hosted in Yathugiri Mutt(opposite to pond) during election rally.
Also inside the brahmin community, again division of Thenkalai and Vadakalai. I am not sure whether they know that Ramanujar they follow blindly is more revolutionary that if he is alive now, will be hugging every community members physically and getting all united.

In 2017, There was a big money collection among the brahmins of that location (could have touched a crore) including from those who are working in US, Europe etc. This money is then given as a bribe to a politician , who then made sure there was no competition in getting the urchavam for that year. That politician also got money from church for the same thing.(Ore kallula rendu maanga). The more i think, the more i am angry with this Triplicane , T-Nagar brahmins only. Brahmins( from other parts of TN seems more down to earth and reasonable i feel.

[Zynda]

A little OT here...It seems Toyota is launching Land Cruiser 300 for INR 2.2 Crore (Booking amount of 10L). At least two confirmed deliveries; one to a politician in North India & another one to another politician in Coimbatore, TN...official delivery date starts from Jan 2023 for people who can shell out 2.2 Cr onlee...Guess this is the next preferred cars for our politicians and big-wigs...move over Fortuner....the next big car in my puny hatchback rear mirror will be a Toyota LC 300 with a political party flag attached upfront honking madly to make way...considering the size of this vehicle, it will be challenging to make it go in many side roads of BLR, the widths of which are strictly designed for two moving hatchbacks onlee...so hopefully this will force politicians to make BBMP & other cities municipal corp to update their layout construction codes etc.

The new Alto K10 costs 6L for top-end trim...insane prices...too bad our pocket power hasn't caught up with steep inflation.

[vijayk]

This Jihadi-Commie-bollywood nexus has been wreaking havoc spreading hate against Hindus, India. They were the reason for CAA agitations/farmer agitations/propaganda and violence against Hindus.

Now feeling the pinch

https://www.scoopwhoop.com/entertainmen ... ood-trend/
Alia To Kareena, Here's What The Industry Said About The Boycott Bollywood Trend

2. Alia Bhatt

Alia Bhatt's Darlings was a part of the boycott trend too. But she isn't afraid of it as she is not afraid to make mistakes and learn from them.

We need to cancel ‘cancel culture’. We need to boycott the boycotts.

Cinemas meant to spread love and positivity. It's not meant to kind of be cancelled or spoken about in that sense and it upsets me.

Hope these low lifes understand their limits and stick to movies not work with jihadis/mafia and wokes to destroy India

[Bart S]

Alia Bhatt's Darlings was a part of the boycott trend too. But she isn't afraid of it as she is not afraid to make mistakes and learn from them.

We need to cancel ‘cancel culture’. We need to boycott the boycotts.

Cinemas meant to spread love and positivity. It's not meant to kind of be cancelled or spoken about in that sense and it upsets me.

These folks were at the forefront of cancel culture and awards-wapasi type publicity stunts and now complain when others belatedly catch on to the same concept.

[Sachin]

Meanwhile at the secular Congress camp..
Ex-Union Minister Anand Sharma quits from Steering Committee of Himachal Pradesh Congress .
But honestly, I don't know how much of power Anand Sharma weilds in Himachal Pradesh. I had been to Shimla area two weeks back. One thing which stuck me was the total lack of bill boards, flags of non-BJP parties seen in public space. At least in roads which I travelled, Pappu Ghandi, Sonia Ghandi, Chacha Nehru all seems to be non-existant.

[hnair]

Sheer arrogance of these top-billed actors of Bollywood are appalling. Shaming common folks who don’t want to watch their shoddily-made movies, after spending their hard earned money to feed these dregs are heights of arrogance. It is like “oh it is not my fault, you are a low class boycotter”, so they don’t have to adapt to changing market demands. Talk of entitled bunch who are either dynasty types or those who forgot why public made them famous (for their work).

On to top of that Kareena Kapoor and Co telling me about how many people worked on her shoddy movie etc, so I should watch her gross acting with Aamir Khan. As if all these regular industry employees she is shedding tears over, get some kind of post-release bonus from her, based on blockbuster revenues. It is just her, Amir and a few of the production team that gets affected by bombs. Not the fixed wage rest of production and post production folks! They are already paid and laughing at these claims. I doubt if I have ever seen a gaffer, an assistant cameraman, a make up assistant or a focus-puller vacation at Maldives in a thong and blind my eyes with their shiny butts. When India was reeling under Covid, these A-lister pricks were posting Instagram pics of lying on beaches while the poor technical folks were quietly struggling to stay alive in their tiny flats.

Amir Khan was atleast smart enough to know the pending tsunami and was groveling abjectly, but of no avail. SRK is the next one we will see backpedaling. Salman khan seem to have kept a relatively hands offish approach to Indian woke issues and might survive this. So when a Pannu or Kahyap act arrogantly about boycott threats, they don’t realize the anger of a nation that has had enough and now has options from other industries to experience via OTT and digital distribution.

The bhaiwood “financiers” also has a rough time because they can’t launder over claims of 500crore business due to alert social media campaigns. All in all a good time for changes from the last 75 years of an entitled filmi industry.