2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

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Rony
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Rony »

People can justify it which ever way they want but padma vibhushan to Mulayam is the slap in the face by Modi-Shah duo on Kothari brothers and rest of the Kar sevaks killed by Mulayam's police and goons. In this gamble to split the yadav vote, better they not lose section of their core Hindutva vote bank.
Rony
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Rony »

chetak wrote:
vimal wrote:^^ Not sure if this is sarcasm. BJP is clueless as it comes to identifying friend vs foe. Proven again and again.

ask naidu, and mufti

they will have very different tales to tell,

a la vajpayee era and a la modi era
Cunning Naidu has checkmated BJP in AP with his back room alliance with another backstabber Pawan Kalyan and his caste party (which is on paper currently aligned with BJP)
Deans
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Deans »

nits wrote:
1 - have they told in report / article what is leading to decline in Raga%; i doubt Bharat Jodo will have a 10% decrease in Raga score :D
2 - lets be practical 5 years down the line age will catch up with Modi and though he can become Rashtrapati we need 2nd rung of leaders to be ready and grommed; right now i dont see any ready for national role
In 2019, the BJP got approx. 40% vote share and Cong 19%
So of the Non Cong/ Non BJP voters, people prefer Modiji to Raga by a 2 : 1 ratio ( 20 vs 10% gain in preference).

In a race between 2 parties and leaders, if the preference for the leader is double that of his rival ( 60 vs 30), that's bigger than most landslide
wins in most democracies.

The gap between the 2 not reducing, which is unusual, when the ruler should logically be facing anti incumbency and the challenger making an increasing effort to narrow the gap. Its not about Bharat Jodo, but IMO the view that Cong and Raga is not being seen as a serious challenger.
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

vimal wrote:^^ Does not even register in the minds of voters. But keep doing the same thing and expect different result.
worked in cashmere and MAH

they are trying to get influential leaders to their side and they are hoping that these leaders will hopefully bring their core voters along with them

It may or may not work because Yogi is entrenched and he is not going anywhere soon mainly because he has a cult following, not just in UP but across India, but he has to be on board and make the appropriate gestures and concessions to the yadavs because they have already tasted power under the yadav family governments and they want that "we are in control" feeling back again

right now, no one is even trying to approach the yadav voters directly because that will happen only at election time. Now is the time for outreach to the yadav leaders and the community influencers in general
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

Rony wrote:
chetak wrote:

ask naidu, and mufti

they will have very different tales to tell,

a la vajpayee era and a la modi era
Cunning Naidu has checkmated BJP in AP with his back room alliance with another backstabber Pawan Kalyan and his caste party (which is on paper currently aligned with BJP)
then like it happened in MAH, the IT/ED will come to play their games

this guy has much to hide.
vijayk
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by vijayk »

I understand the anguish and hurt. No doubt about these two men Laloo and Mulyam and what they did to Hindus but we have to wean away signifcant chunk of Yadavs in all Northern states away from the Laloo dynasty and Akalless. The message might not have reached earlier but we can't let them be always aligned to pissfuls for ever. They want to fell empowered. Trust me! Some people will start realizing. Several yadavs did not approve Akalless's betrayl of their father in 2019 and did vote for BJP. They want back to Akalless last year but you never give up. BJP is honestly giving them all the things but they still prefer their caste association. Hopefully people will change. I am not saying this is the only way but one way.
arshyam
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by arshyam »

Switching gears a bit, WTH is going on in Telengana? KCR skipped the entire Republic Day event in Hyderabad. Apart from the complete anti-constitutional impropriety, how will this go down with the voters? Or will it not?

Telangana CM KCR skips Republic Day celebrations at Raj Bhavan - ToI
la.khan
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by la.khan »

arshyam wrote:Switching gears a bit, WTH is going on in Telengana? KCR skipped the entire Republic Day event in Hyderabad. Apart from the complete anti-constitutional impropriety, how will this go down with the voters? Or will it not?

Telangana CM KCR skips Republic Day celebrations at Raj Bhavan - ToI
That's one dude who drinks a peg too much. Of his own cool aid :P His belief in himself and his Bh.Ra.Sa. taking him places must be seen to be believed :shock: Dude goes around appointing leaders for Bh.Ra.Sa. in neighbouring states. Like he is going to win elections in other states :P Outside Telangana, Bh.Ra.Sa. contestants will not even get back their electoral deposits in any of the LS constituencies they contest :P, jeetna toh door ki baat :twisted:
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by SRajesh »

To all BRFites (and those Pak/Chin lurkers as well):
2023/2024 the coming 18-24 months will be crucial in the form hitjobs coming from BIF's
Peepee see was the beginning or maybe because there was not much traction to 'Travelling Circus' of the dim-witted :roll:
If we break potential targets into :
1. Economy
2. Defence/integrity
3, Social/Cultural
4. Educational
5. Sports
6. Foreign Relations
Economic bomb-shells probably to land after the Budget announcement. In this regards, RR has been doing some adhoc predictions
Defence: rNDTV has started on the Ladakh sector already. Wait for some big ticket announcement about planes/Subs etc to be tied up in endless SC cases and lifafa-checks
Social/Cultural: has already started with Peepeesee/assorted jihadi publications/Outllok/Wire etc on One party dominance/hindutva/proportional representation/adhivasi rights/hijab
Sports: Kirket masala to start as soon as IPL starts as there is the issue of Asia cup and World Cup. Other few issues like sexual harassment will probably will double in all regulatory bodies
Foreign Relations : Pak and Chinese will it be combine attack or coordinated or separate given there is SCO meet/Cashmore. Will there be issues about helping hand/trade to open and Uri type attacks
SRajesh
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by SRajesh »

One other I have not added is the Independent judiciary/SC collegium
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

vimal wrote:^^ Not sure if this is sarcasm. BJP is clueless as it comes to identifying friend vs foe. Proven again and again.



Operation Kamala in last few years -

2016 : Arunachal Pradesh
2017 : Manipur, Bihar
2018 : ——
2019 : Karnataka, Goa.
2020 : Madhya Pradesh
2021 : Puducherry
2022 : Maharashtra

Which state do you think will witness Operation Kamala this year
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

Image
Last edited by chetak on 26 Jan 2023 14:55, edited 1 time in total.
Cyrano
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Cyrano »

Loved the cultural tableaux of RD parade this year, nari shakti, Hindu culture and martial traditions highlighted. The best was J&K float !
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

anil antony is ak antony's son

he has since resigned from all his congi organisational appointments

but he says (on tv) that he was/is/and will always remain a part of the congis.

The guy appears to be a @Stanford alumnus and seems to have a spine. For the life of me, I can't imagine where he got it from


Anil K Antony@anilkantony

Despite large differences with BJP, I think those in (Indian) placing views of BBC, a (british) state sponsored channel with a long history of (Indian) prejudices, and of Jack Straw, the brain behind the Iraq war, over (Indian) institutions is setting a dangerous precedence, will undermine our sovereignty.

12:52 pm · 24 Jan 2023.587.7K Views
note: (word) replaces the symbol of respective flags which, it seems, that the forum software may not be configured to post


@anilkantony·25 Jan

I have resigned from my roles in @incindia @INCKerala.

Intolerant calls to retract a tweet,by those fighting for free speech.

I refused.

facebook wall of hate/abuses by ones supporting a trek to promote love!

Hypocrisy thy name is! Life goes on.

Redacted resignation letter below.

Image





Usually, the apple doesn't fall far from the tree, but sometimes it does, and in this particular case, it appears that the apple has fallen really far away from the tree

Image :anil k antony

Image
gakakkad
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by gakakkad »

^ he has an engineering background. Learning higher math makes one more teachable I guess . Let's see how he pans out . BJP should welcome him but with due diligence.
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

gakakkad wrote:^ he has an engineering background. Learning higher math makes one more teachable I guess . Let's see how he pans out . BJP should welcome him but with due diligence.


gakakkad ji,

he has not left the congis

he will not blow up what is left of his father's political career and his influence in the xtian community and among the padres

after all, the dynast son has been a great beneficiary of the congi largesse too.

without the padre push, how else would he have made it to stanford
Rony
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Rony »

chetak wrote:
Rony wrote:
Cunning Naidu has checkmated BJP in AP with his back room alliance with another backstabber Pawan Kalyan and his caste party (which is on paper currently aligned with BJP)
then like it happened in MAH, the IT/ED will come to play their games

this guy has much to hide.
Wont work with cunning Naidu. He can manage ED and courts. He is the sharad pawar of AP politics in political machinations. if rumors are to be believed, even pawan kalyan is going to dump BJP and sail with Naidu. BJP can counter pawar in MH because it has able leader in DF and a ground cadre to support him. In AP, none of that applies.
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

Rony wrote:
chetak wrote:
then like it happened in MAH, the IT/ED will come to play their games

this guy has much to hide.
Wont work with cunning Naidu. He can manage ED and courts. He is the sharad pawar of AP politics in political machinations. if rumors are to be believed, even pawan kalyan is going to dump BJP and sail with Naidu. BJP can counter pawar in MH because it has able leader in DF and a ground cadre to support him. In AP, none of that applies.
good point, Rony ji.

andhra may be still be a lost case for now because a dearth of the good leaders from the dilli party

At best, some vote cutters may be deployed to try and blunt the guy

best to leave it to the local dynamics and personalities to deal with him as anyway naidu is not going to do wonders by himself or even with his "alliance" partner

jagan may end up with anti incumbency troubling him in some pockets

but, OTOH, none of the aspiring PM hopefuls have, so far, even thought of inviting him to join them.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by vijayk »

India Today Mood of the Nation survey

https://twitter.com/TimesAlgebraIND/sta ... 8801351687
Times Algebra @TimesAlgebraIND
HUGE - BJP alone will win 284 seats in loksabha as per Mood of the Nation Survey of India Today.
Congress only 68. In Telangana, BJP will win 6 seats as per survey. Follow our handle for more news updates.

https://twitter.com/TimesAlgebraIND/sta ... 8642454529
Times Algebra @TimesAlgebraIND

HUGE - PM Modi's rating increases from 66% to record 72% as per India Today Mood of the Nation Survey
Unprecedented popularity despite being in power for 9 years. Retweet & Follow our handle for more updates.
Times Algebra @TimesAlgebraIND
While Rating of NDA Govt increases from 56% to 67% since Aug 2022.
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

for those in chennai who may wish to attend


Image
vijayk
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by vijayk »

https://twitter.com/ARanganathan72/stat ... 2826931201
Anand Ranganathan
@ARanganathan72
He is Ambikesh Mahapatra, a brilliant scientist at Jadavpur. In 2012, he shared a Mamata Banerjee cartoon. She didn’t like it. He was thrashed by TMC cadre and arrested the same day. 11 years later, he has just been acquitted by the court. ELEVEN YEARS.

But Modi is fascist.
Image

Zubair got bail before 6 PM after triggering 6 murders. Ayyub Rana got bail from SC before she got arrested after stealing 2 crores.

No one from HC/SC are here to help this man for getting arrested for a cartoon
VinodTK
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by VinodTK »

Telangana split wide open: CM KCR, governor hold separate R-Day events
HYDERABAD: Telangana chief minister K Chandrasekhar Rao followed the high court's orders and ensured that the official Republic Day parade took place at Raj Bhavan on Thursday. But he did not turn up for the flag-hoisting nor send any of his cabinet colleagues for the event, further straining the relationship between him and governor Tamilisai Sounderarajan.

KCR sent only his newly appointed chief secretary, Santhi Kumari, for the event. He also skipped the "At Home" event at Raj Bhavan in the evening even as BJP politicians and a handful of bureaucrats turned up.

This is the third year in a row that the Telangana chief minister has skipped the official Republic Day event. In 2021 and 2022, the government had cited Covid-19 restrictions for not holding the traditional police parade and speech by the governor. A full-scale Republic Day parade was last held at Parade Grounds - the traditional venue - in 2019.

With the state government not giving her a speech for the occasion, the governor read out her own in which she attacked the state government on the one hand and praised Prime Minister Narendra Modi on the other. She alleged that the constitutional spirit was being violated in the state.


Citing B R Ambdekar, she said, "Constructing buildings is not important, nation-building is important. Only a few should not have farmhouses, all the farmers in the state should have farms and houses." She was referring to KCR inviting a host of opposition leaders to inaugurate the new secretariat building in Hyderabad on February 17.
Rony
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Rony »

This divide and rule strategy using linguistic identity is being applied throughout Southern States (not just Karnataka) plus Bengal. In Hindi belt, its Brahmins vs Dalits/lower castes.


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vijayk
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by vijayk »

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V_Raman
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by V_Raman »

If congress goes for releasing temples from govt control - that will be a game-changer IMO. but they will not do it. no political party will do it. indian govt == temple administration and the money that comes from it.
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

now what.....

@LawTodayLive

BIG: Delhi Court says journalists in India are bound to disclose their sources to investigating agencies where such disclosure is for aiding a criminal investigation.

Court says there is no statutory protection for journalists in India against disclosing their sources to agencies


10:41 pm · 18 Jan 2023

https://twitter.com/LawTodayLive/status ... 0516116481

Replying to

@LawTodayLive

Delhi Court: The investigating agency can always bring to the notice of the journalists the reason to disclose their source and why it is vital to the investigation.

The investigating agency is fully equipped to require the public persons to mandatorily join in an investigation.
Atmavik
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Atmavik »

vijayk wrote:India Today Mood of the Nation survey

https://twitter.com/TimesAlgebraIND/sta ... 8801351687
Times Algebra @TimesAlgebraIND
HUGE - BJP alone will win 284 seats in loksabha as per Mood of the Nation Survey of India Today.
Congress only 68. In Telangana, BJP will win 6 seats as per survey. Follow our handle for more news updates.

https://twitter.com/TimesAlgebraIND/sta ... 8642454529
Times Algebra @TimesAlgebraIND

HUGE - PM Modi's rating increases from 66% to record 72% as per India Today Mood of the Nation Survey
Unprecedented popularity despite being in power for 9 years. Retweet & Follow our handle for more updates.
Times Algebra @TimesAlgebraIND
While Rating of NDA Govt increases from 56% to 67% since Aug 2022.
68 for pappu ? That is massive, he will be declared Emperor
Manish_P
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Manish_P »

chetak wrote:now what.....
@LawTodayLive

BIG: Delhi Court says journalists in India are bound to disclose their sources to investigating agencies where such disclosure is for aiding a criminal investigation.

Court says there is no statutory protection for journalists in India against disclosing their sources to agencies


10:41 pm · 18 Jan 2023
Part of ongoing cordial discussion going on between the Executive and the Judiciary. As more and more of the main pillar is being exposed, it is putting the third pillar (more accurately the fifth column) in the line of fire to try and save itself.

Reminds me of the mexican standoff in the good, the bad and the ugly
Manish_P
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Manish_P »

Will BBC take this up as breaking news on facist hinduvta goverment of Modi

List of centrally protected monuments needs trimming, says report
A report by the Economic Advisory Council (EAC) to the Prime Minister has found the country’s list of centrally protected monuments to be bloated and in urgent need of streamlining.

India currently has 3,693 monuments of national importance (MNI), and their protection and upkeep is the responsibility of the Archaeological Survey of India, under the Ministry of Culture. “A large number of MNI seem not to have national importance or historical or cultural significance. Our analysis estimates that around a quarter of the current list of 3,695 MNI may not have ‘national importance’ per se,” says the report.

For instance, around 75 graves and cemeteries of British officers and soldiers that have neither architectural significance nor historical or cultural importance are on the list.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Zynda »

chetak wrote:for those in chennai who may wish to attend
Any idea if this event will be streamed online?
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

Zynda wrote:
chetak wrote:for those in chennai who may wish to attend
Any idea if this event will be streamed online?
Don't know saar, not heard anything so far.
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

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Manish_P
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Manish_P »

^ We should also name some hills/mountains after our Jawans. I know some posts have the names whether official/unofficial but i think we should officially name some hills/mountains as well.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by vijayk »

https://www.firstpost.com/opinion/view- ... 59462.html
View from abroad | The spread of Western anti-Hinduism
Just as Western anti-Semites are offended by the success of Israel, Western anti-Hinduists are offended by the success of India
Today, on university campuses throughout the English-speaking world, you will find anti-Zionist, anti-Israel protests being organised by a strange alliance of Western secularists and militant Islamists. People who disagree vehemently on progressive social issues like women’s rights and gay marriage work side by side to vilify Israel and prevent Israelis from speaking on campus. Together, they have organised the boycott, divestment, and sanctions (BDS) campaign targeting Israel.

And now they have a new target: India. As with Israel, the Islamists target India mainly for political reasons. They have been targeting Indian nationalism for more than a century, and they are not necessarily anti-Hindu. They have political goals, and they are prepared to fight to achieve them. The recently-banned Popular Front of India (PFI) is representative of this kind of anti-India militancy. It is not anti-Hindu per se; its anti-Hinduism is driven by its political goals, not by irrational personal prejudice.

The motives of Western anti-Hindu intellectuals are very different, but the respectability they provide is crucial for the success of anti-India movements. For example, the overtly political 2021 Dismantling Global Hindutva conference was co-sponsored by dozens of university research institutes. The conference organisers obtained statements of support from 40 professional associations and “60+ community organisations”. It was in no sense a normal academic conference. It was an organised anti-Hindu jamboree.

The main information sheet published by the conference organisers emphasised that “calling out Hindutva is not anti-Hindu”. The parallel with the anti-Semitic trope that “calling out Zionism is not anti-Jewish” is crystal clear. The tactics are the same because the institutions — and many of the individuals — are the same. The Western elite anti-Semitic template has been adopted by anti-Hinduists, who (just like anti-Semites) mobilise institutional endorsements to bring the mainstream news media onto their side
Anti-Hindu Western intellectuals do not fear the rise of India; they resent it. Just as Western anti-Semites are offended by the success of Israel, Western anti-Hinduists are offended by the success of India. They can’t accept the idea of a strong and independent Hindu-majority country. They would much rather keep India weak and poor, just as their ancestors did centuries ago.

Thus the goals of Western anti-Hinduists align not only with those of anti-India Islamists, but also with those of many Indian intellectuals. This isn’t because the Indian intellectuals are themselves anti-Hindu or anti-India. It’s because the kind of India that anti-Hinduists want — secular, socialist, and subaltern — is the same kind of India that many Indian intellectuals miss. It’s hard to resist the prestige of a human rights residency or a Harvard fellowship, and they might very well think that their enemy’s enemy is their friend.

They should think again. The anti-Hindu movement wants to turn India into a pariah state on the Israeli model, and all Indians will be caught up in the catastrophe.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by vimal »

If carefully trace the anti Hindu movements in west every one of them can be tied to some ISI langur along with church. Church will take longer but ISI can be tamed.
With Paki economy in the toilet and no sign of recovery it’s time to shut them up for good by destroying the source of problems.
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

here is what is meant by BIF influence on the congi mafia


forget IIT, one wonders whether this congi house negro even went to elementary school...

or was it a part of the MOU signed by the pappu with the hans in 2008
Mahesh Jethmalani@JethmalaniM

While Jairam wanted the PM to review all hydel projects in the NE on grounds raised by some NGOs he advocated drawing on Chinese expertise in implementing India’s hydel projects in Arunachal Pradesh at a time when China was claiming AP as its territory!

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chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

Equally to note the two faced father - feels threatened when a hindu priest becomes CM, but not when his ordained Parsi priest son becomes judge.
viaAbhijit Iyer-Mitra@Iyervval


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chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

@DrAMSinghvi·13h

Allah is responsible for Pakistan's economy - Pakistan Finance Minister.

Basically they are taking the doctrine "Allah Meherban to Gadha Pehelwan seriously"
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by IndraD »

Nuland in India, will talk to MEA to get India away from Russia, buy weapons from US, say no to Russian oil, etc
between the lines (from SM) she will also meet the opposition leaders

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne ... 393315.cms
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

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