2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

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SRajesh
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by SRajesh »

^^Bihar/Jarkhand two sides of the same coin when it comes to Corruption on Mega scale.
Yet people in those states back the same clan repackaged as Youth leader with a clean image :roll:
Check RJD backing in Bihar with Beta of Aloo(sorry Lalu)
And its not about literacy/education
Fault lines in these states are ?Religion, Abrahamic vs Dharmic
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

Massive cache of heroin seized from Shaheen Bagh.

Now you see why liberals didn't want Delhi Police to enter that area.



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chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

whatever happened to the much hyped kerala model.....


ANI@ANI

Gujarat | Kerala Chief Secretary VP Joy visits Gandhinagar to study Gujarat model of governance

"We've just seen the dashboard monitoring system. It's a good and comprehensive system for monitoring the delivery of services, collecting citizens' feedback and others," he says

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chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

MAH politics, as is being played out today


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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by khatvaanga »

Rsatchi wrote:^^Bihar/Jarkhand two sides of the same coin when it comes to Corruption on Mega scale.
Jharkhand always had mega corruption. More in-your-face corruption than the sophisticated one that is practiced in south.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by shravanp »

Barkha dutt stoking language flame. In her recent Mojo debate (In Ajay Devgn versus Kiccha Sudeep), she is purposely pushing Hindi language. And the reason being? Why should English the colonial language be used as a unifier? What a sinister person she is. In other times, she totally slides under the radar for being deracinated english speaking elite, but in this language flame war, she takes position against English as colonial language.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

shravanp wrote:Barkha dutt stoking language flame. In her recent Mojo debate (In Ajay Devgn versus Kiccha Sudeep), she is purposely pushing Hindi language. And the reason being? Why should English the colonial language be used as a unifier? What a sinister person she is. In other times, she totally slides under the radar for being deracinated english speaking elite, but in this language flame war, she takes position against English as colonial language.

she's lusting after TRPs and craves peer recognition.

she hasn't yet managed to live down her radia tape fiascos that have given her an unsavory reputation.

her rivals turdesai has moved ahead somewhat but dornob has, by far, outstripped the both of them and they know that they will not catch up in this lifetime.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by SRajesh »

https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/curfew- ... v_bigstory
Was just wondering this would start with the Paapi Gobermint
Here we go Khalistani's out in the open and attacking others( though groups calls Shiv Sena probalby more local sikh/hindu)
Probably more of such things to come.
We already have the Hindu/Abrahamic issues
Ajay Devgan has waded into Hindi language issue
All the right kinds of tinder to light the bonfire with 18 months to go for Finals!!
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Vips »

chetak wrote:
shravanp wrote:Barkha dutt stoking language flame. In her recent Mojo debate (In Ajay Devgn versus Kiccha Sudeep), she is purposely pushing Hindi language. And the reason being? Why should English the colonial language be used as a unifier? What a sinister person she is. In other times, she totally slides under the radar for being deracinated english speaking elite, but in this language flame war, she takes position against English as colonial language.

she's lusting after TRPs and craves peer recognition.

she hasn't yet managed to live down her radia tape fiascos that have given her an unsavory reputation.

her rivals turdesai has moved ahead somewhat but dornob has, by far, outstripped the both of them and they know that they will not catch up in this lifetime.
Arnab rightfully calls Burkha as "Unemployed and Unemployable". She is past the use date even for her favorites from across the border.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

China wants Modi at BRICS summit or xi stands to lose face in his own backyard just like he did after galwan

@ani_digital· 14h

China to consider facilitating return of Indian students for attending classes
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Hari Seldon »

Cutting through the hajaar distractive clutter happening all around, things moi is looking fwd to:

1. Implementation of UCC in the UKD test lab. if indeed it is able to remove the ulema hold on family law arbitration matters in the m'slim quom. Also, how well the state is able to battle the assault that will surely come - direct in the form of riots and threats and disruption and indirectly in the form of propagandu and psy-wars.

2. UP model finding traction among other lotus states: the clean way in which YAN's UP has so far managed to quell the 5x daily azaani noise is almost too good to be true. Expect direct and indirect attacks to intensify or watch out for altered forms since YAN is now so strong legislatively there that the trad methods of regime discrediting dont work anymore.

Am hoping states like MP, UKD and KA will adopt this YAN approach wholesale. Will not include HR and GJ since they have shown zilch inclination to deviate from sekular shibboleths so far.

3. CAA notification: YET to be done a full 3 yrs after passing the CAA with so much gusto, chest thumping and fanfare against pitched legislative opposition, even though notification is merely an admin exercise. Am sure the infalliable-ish powers that be have their reasons which we mere mortals living in 3-dimensions can never fathom.

The only masterstroke I can think of is that Sri Amit Shah sirjee ji will move the CAA dates to 2022 from 2014 where it is currently stuck. Or something.

4. Return of the farm laws via the states. Some states (MP, BH) have done this already. Would be good to see more states follow and showcase benefits to farmers from the change. FCI is also using various tools such as registration, land holding authentication, DCT to farmer accounts bypassing middlemen etc to deny rip-off scamsters hiding among arthiyas and farmers taxpaying teets.

More to follow. Only.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by rsingh »

chetak wrote:MAH politics, as is being played out today


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Alok's political cartoons are getting better and better. Like that
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Sachin »

SinghS wrote:This is the problem of Hindus. Can't a counter case be filed against against the peaceful neighbors, the erring police officers and the state government too?
To be frank no person generally wants to go any where near a police station or court. Especially Hindu middle class. This person may also have limited social network, and thus may not have connects with pro-Hindu advocates etc. In many other places I have seen very pro-Hindu advocates who have made the state police (and the seculars) run for cover.
chetak wrote:whatever happened to the much hyped kerala model.....
The commies in KL are saying that this visit was only to see a software demo :lol:. I must admit the commie quality on doing propaganda. Goebells, Pravda all will appreciate this skill of KL commies.
shravanp wrote:Barkha dutt stoking language flame. In her recent Mojo debate (In Ajay Devgn versus Kiccha Sudeep), she is purposely pushing Hindi language.
In the recent times the Hindi v/s other languages issues are always highlighted by non-Hindi speaking states. The central government has not made any major changes regarding Hindi and other official languages. Nothing is added new, nothing is removed. But certain South Indian states (mainly TN) is now trying to make a non-existent issue to some thing big, and then hope to hit at Central Govt under the BJP. In 1950s the push to spread Hindi far & wide was there and it was mainly done by Bandit-ji and Congress party.

And from my personal experience; even without much official force Hindi language is spreading far & wide. It may not be the Shudh Hindi, but some kind of broken Hindi which helps in communication. I have seen even Tamils (working outside TN) now knowing a little bit of Hindi, and Malayalam warriors from KL also learning Hindi to deal with the Bengali (!?) labour force :).
RSatchi wrote:Was just wondering this would start with the Paapi Gobermint
Looks like another political experiment is now started in Punjab. I feel that central government would just allow this to play out in full extent, and perhaps only step in when things go 'international'. Keep the borders strongly guarded, but then allow AAP to stew in its own juices. AAP may encourage Khalistanis, and like a Frankenstein monster they will turn back against the AAP. Mean while BJP can focus on other states, get in the farm laws in another ways and hit back at the farmer broker gang.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Sachin »

Mean while TN has made a slight modification in its aid program for Sri Lanka :roll:.
On 31/03/2022 it was MK Stalin seeks centre's approval to help Tamils in Sri Lanka
On 29/04/2022 it is Tamil Nadu Govt Passes Separate Resolution To Get Centre's Nod For Providing Aid To Crisis-Hit Sri Lanka
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

Sachin wrote:Mean while TN has made a slight modification in its aid program for Sri Lanka :roll:.
On 31/03/2022 it was MK Stalin seeks centre's approval to help Tamils in Sri Lanka
On 29/04/2022 it is Tamil Nadu Govt Passes Separate Resolution To Get Centre's Nod For Providing Aid To Crisis-Hit Sri Lanka

this is standard conversion racket as practiced by the abrahamics

If done, it will badly erode India goodwill in SL and that is precisely why it is being done

The BIF simply cannot see India do well because they get no credit for it so they want to muscle in and clamber on to the bandwagon
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by SinghS »

The foreign policy matters are center's right and states have no say in it. This childish and idiotic drama by DMK should be best left as ignored by the center without even issuing a statement. BIF media may ask questions from relevant Central authorities and they must ignore it too as of no importance.

This demand and associated resolution by TN government is very dangerous and if allowed to go unchecked can lead to each state demanding a say in the foreign policy. That would eventually lead to secession. It should be treated as such by the center.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Najunamar »

No, they should not ignore it but retort saying Law and Order which is a state subject is not up to par when the Governor's security itself is compromised (take a leaf out of what Annamalai is doing) - so you better do what you have a state subject before advising us of how to do foreign policy which is in the centre's list.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

300 units free electricity.....


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chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

unforgivable media sacrilege and cultural blasphemy, way beyond the understanding of shocked uncle toms like aakar patel

how dare the half nekkid natives treat their erstwhile colonial masters with such contempt

too bad for the goras that old style gunboats were phased out, a bit too soon if one were to be asked

Aakar Patel@Aakar__Patel · 15h

apparently the editors of the @TheEconomist were in india and modi and sitharaman refused to meet them


poor aakar patel....tujhe mirchi lagi tho..............

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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by rsingh »

yup next headline on The Economist
"How India lost on growth due to the unclear stand on Ukraine''
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Pratyush »

I don't understand the tweet. Was Manmohan Singh meeting such people when they were visiting India?
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Ambar »

AAP and the Politics of free dole -

The announcement, one of a number of the party’s poll promises, was made in a video message by chief minister Bhagwant Mann on April 16, marking the completion of one month of the Arvind Kejriwal-led party’s new government in the state.

Mann also said that backward caste and below poverty line (BPL) households, as well as those of freedom fighters, would also get the 300 free units. Until now, these categories get free electricity up to 200 units.

The scheme mirrors the one in Delhi where the AAP government provides free power up to 200 units to domestic consumers and a Rs 800 rebate to those consuming between 201 and 400 units per month. CM Mann had met his Delhi counterpart and party chief Kejriwal on April 12 to discuss the scheme.


On June 29, Kejriwal had announced in Chandigarh that the AAP government would provide free electricity up to 300 units, waive all pending bills and ensure 24-hour electricity in Punjab if it were to come to power in the state.

“Punjab produces electricity but the tariffs are most expensive here. We do not produce electricity in Delhi and yet the electricity rates are cheapest. This is because there is a nexus of the Punjab government with the discoms (power distribution companies). We have to break this nexus like we did in Delhi to ensure we have the cheapest electricity rates here as well,” Kejriwal had said then.

Some nine months later, AAP swept the Punjab elections bagging 92 of 117 assembly seats.

Punjab has a two-month billing cycle for electricity supply. This means 600 free units of power will be distributed over a two-month billing cycle beginning July 1 for general consumers. But if the consumption exceeds 600 units in two months, a consumer from a general category has to pay for the total power consumption.

For households under the scheduled castes, backward castes, BPL and freedom fighters’ categories, if the consumption is more than 600 units in two months, they will be charged only for the units exceeding 600.

The benefits

Punjab has about 73.8 lakh domestic power consumers, according to the Punjab State Power Corporation Ltd (PSPCL). Of these about 62.25 lakh consume up to 300 units of electricity per month. The remaining 11.55 lakh households consume more than 300 units a month and hence will be out of the ambit of the scheme. This means AAP’s free power scheme is expected to benefit about 84 per cent of Punjab’s domestic consumers who will not be paying any electricity bills, if the fixed charges are also waived.

The cost

The power subsidy bill for 2020-21 was about Rs 10,668 crore, according to government officials. Of this Rs 7,180 crore was spent as subsidy to farmers. The new government is considering a proposal to exclude the state’s big farmers from its electricity subsidy scheme, according to reports.
The free electricity scheme will mean the state exchequer will have to bear a total annual subsidy to domestic consumers of Rs 5,500 crore, including existing subsidies. At present the state bears an annual subsidy bill of Rs 3,998 crore for domestic consumers. This includes Rs 1,657 crore for 200 free units to 21 lakh scheduled caste, BPL and backward caste households and Rs 2,341 crores for electricity charged at Rs 3 per unit less than the normal rates for various slabs covering about 64 lakh households with a load of up to 7 KW. The free electricity up to 300 units scheme is expected to add around Rs 1,502 crore to the subsidy bill.

The impact

The scheme will reportedly alter power consumption in Punjab where it varies based on season. Consumers who until now consume less than 300 units will not worry about expenses up to that limit, and hence increase consumption. Some households that consume more electricity will try to limit their consumption to avail the benefits up to 300 units a month and thus lead to a decrease in consumption.

What remains to be seen how the government will manage the additional subsidy burden. The government already owes PSPCL about Rs 7,000 crore, according to a recent report. Also, the corporation has been raising loans against its assets to meet its needs. At present the corporation has outstanding loans of Rs 17,500 crore

The Delhi model

In Delhi, the Kejriwal-led government is likely to spend about Rs 3,250 crore in 2022-23 on subsidies to households that consume 400 units of electricity every month. This goes to subsidise power consumption of over 43 lakh households in two categories, those consuming up to 200 units a month and those consuming 201-400 units.

While around 27.7 lakh households that consume up to 200 units pay nothing, another 15.5 lakh households that consume between 201 and 400 units pay 50 percent of the bill with a subsidy amount cap of Rs 800 per month

.
The campaigning in Gujarat has begun. It has to be seen what doles Kejri maharaj will promise there. The primary template for the opposition parties in 2024 will be to once again weaponize the leftists' favorite section of the society , i.e. minorities, women, workers, students and farmers + announce bigger and bigger freebie program. The mobilization of the first flank will be through hartals and riots, the second flank will be to bankrupt the states they currently hold and blame it on the center.

It will be a huge mistake by the center if the extend GST shortfall compensation for the states beyond June this year.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

any idea as to how the govt responded


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chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

रामराज्य onlee


any idea as to how the govt responded


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chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

this should be OK since we are sickular onlee


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chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

slowly but surely, the noose is ever tightening,......



India makes FCRA clearance mandatory for tie-ups with China’s Confucius Institutes


https://indianexpress.com/article/india ... s-7891399/
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Hari Seldon »

Babri as ‘certificate’: Fadnavis says no Shiv Sena, ‘I was there to bring down mosque’ (IE)

Is Yogi model actually getting traction in states and among cadre, citizens etc? Here's DF claiming Hindutva credentials openly (a first, IIRC).

Maybe in response to RajT's moves perhaps who knows... but all in all, great news if rightward shift is becoming broadbased in the second rung leadership and below in lotus.

Of course, some will say:
When did BJP not use the H-tva word whenever they are in opposition? We all know what happens once they win elections, don't we?
Good point and esp true when it comes to the Modi-shah Nagpur model camp-followers (like whatshisname in GJ, khattar in HR etc).

However, next gen leaders like YAN, Bommai and HBS (all from non-sangh backgrounds) are walking the Htva talk. So not everything is doom and gloom. Silver linings and all are there if we choose to look.

DF is interesting in that he is dyed in the wool nagpur-sanghi. Even on the small off-chancve that he walks his Htva talk, we would be seeing a revolution as the nagpur-sangh itself would deem hardline Htva walk-n-talk acceptable-ish. Time will tell. Only.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by SRajesh »

https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/prashan ... v_bigstory
I think this is beginning to slowly make sense.
??PK in Bihar
Is he going to be 'bond' between JDU and RJD
Was he trying a wider coalition with Congress/and others convincing 'Famiglia' to accept Nitishwa as the compromise candidate against NaMo for 2024!!
Will this still be the option of Nitishwa as PM with Congi support from outside( all and sundry supporting from within)
If he gets Nitishwa as PM then he can be the real power behind the throne
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

Rsatchi wrote:https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/prashan ... v_bigstory
I think this is beginning to slowly make sense.
??PK in Bihar
Is he going to be 'bond' between JDU and RJD
Was he trying a wider coalition with Congress/and others convincing 'Famiglia' to accept Nitishwa as the compromise candidate against NaMo for 2024!!
Will this still be the option of Nitishwa as PM with Congi support from outside( all and sundry supporting from within)
If he gets Nitishwa as PM then he can be the real power behind the throne
who is this guy and more importantly, who are the guys behind the curtain...


It is not possible for one single joker to coordinate, influence and cobble up the kind of challenge that he is trying to get together

what is he actually promising them and why

kujliwal is ramping up in gujarat and he has majority in both dilli and punjab. Not easy to get or even sustain

free water and electricity just does not explain it.

people are just not that stoopide to repeatedly fall for the same scam

something big is brewing
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Manish_P »

chetak wrote:...

free water and electricity just does not explain it.

people are just not that stoopide to repeatedly fall for the same scam

...
You would be surprised. Some colleagues of mine have relatives and extended families in these states. Even though they themselves claim they would not vote AAP in mumbai they admit their families/relatives have voted for them with reasons like a) freebies b) teach the incumbents a lesson c) others are doing it anyway d) so long as the center is safe let's vote for whoever gives freebies locally.... :roll:
chetak wrote:...
something big is brewing
That was a given the day N Modi was elected PM. It requires huge force to remove a huge object.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Ambar »

AAP is popular among middle class and upper middle class not just in Punjab-Delhi belt but even in deep down south. We tend to forget that 99.9% of the electorate don't spend days and days gathering data from multiple sources outside mainstream media, microscopically analyzing politics and politicians , identifying hidden agenda, spotting puppeteers who control the candidates/parties etc. most people vote based on rozi/roti/dukaan/makaan combination. I have noticed that ever since Kejri started his barrage of ads in daily newspapers in south, every time the topic of governance comes up its the same argument "How can AAP provide 300 units of free electricity , free water, a corruption free governance , Low deficits etc", upon trying to explain that AAP's Delhi experiment is neither scalable nor sustainable and besides for those using more than 300 units/month the price of electricity has significantly gone up , one is countered with the predictable "atleast he is doing something for the middle class" argument, at the end of the day optics is 8/10th of law in politics.

The politics of freebies is nothing new in India, from free electricity to free fertilizers to loan waivers to Rs 1 rice to subsidized idlies, but when a party makes it the center of its ideology and core competency then it gets dangerous because other parties too will try to match or out do what someone else is doing. That said I don't know how Delhi has managed to keep its deficit low. One reason could be the split in expenditure between central and state on many administrative things, the other reason ofcourse is that Delhi is a city-state with a solid tax receipt. How AAP will replicate this in Punjab is yet to be seen. So far atleast there's been no further news on the Rs 1000/month for every woman over age of 18 that AAP promised before the elections.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by KL Dubey »

chetak wrote:slowly but surely, the noose is ever tightening,......



India makes FCRA clearance mandatory for tie-ups with China’s Confucius Institutes


https://indianexpress.com/article/india ... s-7891399/
Good move. Hopefully this will lead to a quick shutdown of these institutes. There's only two in India (Mumbai and Kolkata).
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by rsingh »

kit
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by kit »

https://www.nationalheraldindia.com/ind ... n-20-years

The Central government decided to bring back the Strategic Policy Group that will assist the National Security Council, making Ajit Doval, one of the most powerful bureaucrat in India
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by CalvinH »

chetak wrote:
Rsatchi wrote:https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/prashan ... v_bigstory
I think this is beginning to slowly make sense.
??PK in Bihar
Is he going to be 'bond' between JDU and RJD
Was he trying a wider coalition with Congress/and others convincing 'Famiglia' to accept Nitishwa as the compromise candidate against NaMo for 2024!!
Will this still be the option of Nitishwa as PM with Congi support from outside( all and sundry supporting from within)
If he gets Nitishwa as PM then he can be the real power behind the throne
who is this guy and more importantly, who are the guys behind the curtain...


It is not possible for one single joker to coordinate, influence and cobble up the kind of challenge that he is trying to get together

what is he actually promising them and why

kujliwal is ramping up in gujarat and he has majority in both dilli and punjab. Not easy to get or even sustain

free water and electricity just does not explain it.

people are just not that stoopide to repeatedly fall for the same scam

something big is brewing
You are thinking too much sir. The guy has been trying his luck in politics unsuccessfully for a while. He is back at it again as he has ambitions and has earned money. Unlike Kejriwal who spent a lot of his time in grass root level work especially in slums and unauthorized colonies of Delhi before he came to limelight, this guy has done nothing. He also has no real and big movement like IAC giving him a ride.

Kejriwal is ramping up in Gujrat since last two elections. He ramped up recently in Assam and UK too. He is ramping up everywhere since he fielded 300 candidates in LS elections in 2014 and stood against Modiji in Varanasi.

His chances are getting better as he is grabbing space that congress is losing. He is relentless but its his power in Delhi that sustains him.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by kit »

chetak wrote:Image

Harsh Mander has been nominated for ....Nobel prize... by George Soros !
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

who has triggered this guy, all of a sudden or is the BIF testing the waters using this has been.

rockstar raju seems to have had only marginal effect after all his negative fulminations on India's growth


Former PM Manmohan Singh still wants India not to explicitly take sides with the US or Russia, he wants the Narendra Modi government to not ignore the might of the American dollar as the global reserve currency or the potential of the western countries as India's trade partners


https://www.cnbctv18.com/india/ahead-of ... 239602.htm
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

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chetak
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Joined: 16 May 2008 12:00

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

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