Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023

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Ambar
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Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023

Post by Ambar »

Starting a new topic on 2022 assembly elections. The following states are headed to polls this year :

Feb and Mar state assembly elections -

Uttar Pradesh
Goa
Manipur
Punjab
Uttarakhand

Nov and Dec state assembly elections -

Gujarat
Himachal Pradesh

Out of these 7 states, BJP is in power in 5 of them and is a coalition partner in the 6th. INC rules just 1 state - Punjab.
Last edited by ramana on 16 Dec 2022 21:32, edited 2 times in total.
Reason: Added 2023 to title. Ramana
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by Ambar »

Uttar Pradesh Minister Swami Prasad Maurya has resigned from the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) ahead of the Assembly election which is to be held next month.

He has joined Akhilesh Yadav-led Samajwadi Party. In his resignation letter, Maurya listed “negligent attitude towards Dalits, backwards, farmers, unemployed youth, small and medium businessmen” as the reason for his departure.

He is MLA from Padrauna seat in UP.

Akhilesh Yadav shared a post on Twitter with a photo of himself and Maurya saying:

"Warm welcome and greetings to the popular leader who fights for equality and social justice, Swami Prasad Maurya ji and other leaders and workers who have accompanied him to the SP. There will be a revolution for social justice, there will be change in 2022".

Maurya had quit the Bahujan Samajwadi Party (BSP) to join the BJP. He has also resigned as the Minister of Labour, Employment & Coordination to quit the BJP and finally join the Samajwadi Party.

Sections of the media have mentioned in reports that he "was demanding another seat in the upcoming elections for which the party was not ready, and therefore, he resigned from the government."

UP Deputy Chief Minister Keshav Prasad Maurya appealed to Swami Prasad Maurya, as evident in a post on Twitter, to hold discussions on his decision.

Keshav Prasad Maurya said in the post:

"I don't know the reasons behind the resignation from respected Swami Prasad Maurya, but I appeal to him to sit and hold discussions on the matter, decisions taken in a hurry often prove to be wrong."

Another BJP MLA, Roshan Lal Varma, has reportedly announced that he will leave the BJP at an 'appropriate time', reports say.

Varma reportedly came to Raj Bhawan carrying Swami Prasad Maurya's resignation letter. This report mentions that Varma said that Maurya was unwell and hence he had brought the resignation of Maurya.

Varma is quoted as saying: "I will decide after Maurya's resignation is accepted. About other MLAs, you will come to know by January 14."

Varma is a three-time MLA. Sections of the media have termed the exit of Swami Prasad Maurya as a "jolt to the BJP".
There has long been news of factionism within BJP in UP. MLAs used to making Rs 200 cr to Rs 500 cr per term depending on the portfolio are now having to make do with a much smaller piece of the pie thanks to Yogi Adityanath's no nonsense approach to governing. Remember that in 2021 there were rumors that many BJP MLAs wanted a different CM face in UP, they went as far as to spread all is not well between Yogi and Modi. I hope BJP mobilizes every last karyakarta to try and wrestle some of these seats, western UP is the key as RLD , Rakesh Dakait and SaPa try to stitch the muslim-yadav-jaat vote bank.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by ramana »

greatde wrote:Low voting turnout has to be the biggest worry for BJP? With Covid and general uncertainty, it's so unpredictable.

If a safe seat of Gorakhpur at 48% turnout was lost in 2018, yet won back with 60% turnout in 2019 LS. I expect weak turnout, and even lower...

I can't even convince some UP relatives, who either won't vote at all, else vote NOTA because of the disillusionment "mahool". Very worried about the latter.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by ramana »

I locked the other thread opened by Rudradev.
Please post surveys and poll articles here
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by chetak »

Channi is not the first Sikh whom the Gandhis & the congress have used as a scapegoat.

The biggest magic trick that has ever happened was when Punjab's drugs problem disappeared from media headlines overnight when Congress came to power.

Such fakery to fool the gullible for votes
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by IndraD »

TMC wants a large coalition in Goa encompassing every party under the sun to trounce BJP in Goa.
TMC had earlier proposed a larger alliance of the Opposition parties, including the Congress, to take on the ruling BJP in the coastal state. Expressing the Mamata Banerjee-led party’s willingness to join hands with the Congress and other Opposition parties to fight the BJP in the Goa polls, TMC MP and its Goa in-charge Mahua Moitra, in a Twitter post, had said, “Rest assured, we the AITC will do everything possible to defeat BJP in Goa…@Mamataofficial has done it in past & will not shy away from walking extra mile in Goa too.”

Besides the Congress, Moitra tagged the Goa Forward Party (GFP) and the Maharashtrawadi Gomantak Party (MGP) in this tweet. While the Congress has formed an alliance with the GFP, the TMC, a new player in the Goa fray, has tied up with the MGP for the upcoming polls.
NCP to ally with SP. More small parties being asked to come under tonti umbrella. In spite of IT raid n all they seem to be flush with money https://indianexpress.com/article/india ... p-7715389/
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by ramana »

It's Waterloo type battle for Tonti party. So no holds barred money being spent.
And Tonti can have second job as interpreter for Pawar.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by vijayk »

Sanjay Jha
@JhaSanjay
Dear
@yadavakhilesh @priyankagandhi
If despite Covid disaster ( dead bodies in Ganga), high inflation, rising joblessness, Hathras, abuse of Dalits, women & minorities, fear & intimidation, Lakhimpur-Kheri murders and poor governance, BJP wins it will be a shame.

So good luck!
Every corrupt crook, scum, BIF even if they separate from CON ITALIANS, this election is so important

Responses .. check video
https://twitter.com/Pravin200866/status ... 5974631426


https://twitter.com/seeking_shambho/sta ... 8082190341
Sthanunath Iyer @seeking_shambho

Replying to @JhaSanjay

@yadavakhilesh and @priyankagandhi
They will win despite your communal and identity politics (practiced and perfected over 5-6 decades) because the common citizen is seeing benefits for herself. Something that was not there before. The comparison makes them realize and vote what she thinks is better for her
AwakeHindu
@vyasa1968
Replying to
@JhaSanjay

@yadavakhilesh
and
@priyankagandhi
Good luck to sickulars. Yogi built 43 lakh houses for poor, 2.5 crore toilets, free rations, massive relief from local Goondgardi, rural roads/ Expways, much better electricity supply, free elec connections, free cylinders, 50 year old Saryu Nahar, Metros, Lakhs of women in NRLM
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by Rudradev »

Some trends that I think will be important:

1) COVID, its knock-on economic effects, and after two years the overall fatigue with restrictions (and even with news) regarding the pandemic. Even in states where there is no "anti-incumbency" because voters are generally pleased with the performance of the incumbent government, the COVID-complex of effects will have the same general negative effect as anti-incumbency. This is because, whether fairly or not, a significant number of people tend to blame whoever is ruling when there is an overall material change in their lives for the worse.

2) The Small Frontline State mindset. This is a term I use to describe the situation in smaller states bordering larger states (or regions of larger states) where there is high Islamist consolidation and aggressive social and political expansionism on display. Uttarakhand (next to Western UP) is one example. Goa (next to Coastal MH and Coastal KA) is another. There is a particular combination of things at work here.

First, smaller states are naturally more protective of their identity and resources being intruded on by their larger neighbours. Secondly, the fact that Islamism is spreading its tentacles in the soil of the neighbouring state is clearly visible: loudspeaker azaans, high-walled Mosque/Madrassa compounds, processions and demonstrations, incidents of love-jihad, and of course outright incidence of public violence start to be noticed when they were notably absent before. Thirdly, the tendency among people in these Small Frontline states is to blame the neighbouring state govts for giving their Islamist citizenry a free hand in goonda-gardi activities for sickular votebanking reasons.

All these things lead to greater Hindutva consolidation in the Small Frontline States, as a general rule.

With these things in mind in addition to more prominent local trends from the news, my overall sense is:

1) UP: Yogi Adityanath will likely remain the CM, but with a smaller majority than last time. He may need the support of outside parties, including perhaps the BSP, to form the government again.

It will be primarily SP that increases its seat share at BJP's cost.

Priyanka Gandhi's Indirajee-Costume-Drama will produce zero benefits for INC. This will further cement the impression that Bottle is as much of a dud as Pappu. In the long run this will embolden Mamata Banerjee even further to continue attempting her soft-coup within UPA.

2) Uttarakhand and Goa will remain in BJP hands, largely thanks to the Small Frontline State mindset (as well as overall decent governance and little anti-incumbency).

3) Manipur I really don't know. If NPP and NDF keep faith with BJP, NDA will probably retain. However here again is a chance for Mamata/Trinamool Congress to flex their muscles. It will be interesting if Trinamool garners enough seats to put INC in a position to form the government with their support-- right now Trinamool has only one seat-- but this is highly unlikely IMO. I will leave it to NE watchers to call this one.

4) Punjab is the really dismal scenario. Both INC and AAP will aggressively court the Khalistani constituency under the cover of "Farmer's Rights" or whatever, and each will try to outdo the other with spiraling anti-national rhetoric and activism. Even within INC, the Crypto-Xtian Channi camp and the Sidhu camp will competitively woo the worst elements in Punjab society. All this will spark a race to the bottom, with grave security implications for India. SAD may even hasten matters by getting into this dangerous identity-politics game itself. Can the BJP-Captain grouping save the day? I remain dubious.

But always remember, when analyzing these indicators:
Hindsight is 2020. Foresight is 2024+.
(copyright Rudradev) :mrgreen:
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by vijayk »

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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by Ambar »

If Modi and Yogi can woo for jaat votes in western UP and keep the non-jadav dalit and non-yadav OBC + brahmin votes intact in UP then he will sail through with a simple majority. The template for the opposition has been clear since 2017 UP elections, to defeat BJP they will all come together, how the den of thieves will make it work in the long run no one knows but that will be their strategy going forward, the only person who is not interested in playing ball with these guys is Owaisi , and that's why he is hated so much by everyone from SaPa to TMC to INC.

I don't think BJP will win in Uttarakhand, twice in the last 15 years BJP has come to power in the state and each term has seen them go through 3 CMs, so this election is Harish Rawat's to lose.

Goa can be anyone's game. I cannot help but think how does TMC and its ideology align with Goa and its people ? TMC is a regional party, its core ideology is extreme left socialism and pro-islamism. It has ruled W.Bengal for 4 terms and kept Bengal one of the poorest Indian states with no jobs, rampant poverty, no industries and abysmal infrastructure. On the other hand you have Goa - India's wealthiest state with a per capita GDP that even in nominal term puts it with upper middle-income economies. Its population is diverse and well educated. It has a decent education system, healthcare and infrastructure. It has remained a popular tourism destination and attracts over 7 million tourists from around the globe. What can TMC with a litany of failures on its resume and a motheaten, poverty stricken, under-developed W.Bengal as its crowning glory offer a affluent state like Goa ?
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by hanumadu »

There seems to be a lot of churn in Punjab with people still switching parties. This combined with recent security breach, the result might shift from a hung assembly to outright AAP win.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by Pratyush »

I am thinking and it's always frightening when I start thinking.

What has changed in UP that they will loose approximately 100 seats. COVID and farmers agitation?

COVID is beyond the control of government. Farmers agitation was limited to pockets in western UP.

Are Hindu's of western UP so foolish to support non BJP parties considering what happened last time such an entity ruled UP.

I am not so sure that they are.

Then again I am reminded of the pre 2019 election opinion polls. Where it was openly stated that Modi will have to be removed from PM's position for BJP to form the government. We all know how that turned out.

So unless the votes are counted and results officially announced. I will take the opinion polls with a ton of salt.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by ramana »

Most surveys are paid news.
BJP in UP has three data points.
Two are Lok Sabha 2014 and 2019.
Only one Vidhan Sabha in 2017.
Lok Sabha people vote on national issues. And NaMo gets 45% of voteshare.
However in State elections it's 35% i.e. 10% less.
In State elections caste plays a big role.
When multi-cornered contests happen 35% is enough.
When there are two cornered elections it needs more.
UP is many regions with own dynamics.

So look at each region and get insight.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by IndraD »

utter chaos in UP
Swami Maurya has arrest warrant issued from MP MLA Court( Didn't know one exists!). Now he is reconsidering his exit and grand plan.
Another Yogi minister quits.
India TV reporting many MLAs are unhappy with functioning of Yogi and have been frequenting Delhi recently to meet Shah. https://twitter.com/ndtv/status/1481163 ... 18049?s=20
https://www.aajtak.in/elections/up-asse ... 2022-01-12
Also reports of Yogi contesting from Ayodhya https://www.ndtv.com/assembly-uttar-pra ... _topscroll
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by chetak »

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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by Yagnasri »

All the talk of SP winning, all the talk of other caste groups joining SP, all the talk of defections from BJP all are aimed to have 100% momo votes behind SP. That is all. That is the game plan—no momo vote bank division of any kind to BSP and INC.

There is hardly likely to be any reduction out of the people who voted for BJP in 2017. Plus, people are still afraid of Goonda Raj of SP. The memory is just five years old. So the more you talk of SP winning, the more anti-SP voters will come and vote for BJP to stop it.

Even at the best of the performance, SP did not get more than 29.3% vote share. BSP did not fall that much as it is being shown. So what has changed to ensure SP receives 5% or more votes this time around? What political fights SP fought to win such support? What bad things did BJP do to lose such votes and seats? We have no clear answers.

So wait and see the fun.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by fanne »

anti BJP votes are gravitating towards SP, over and above what SP would get. How big it is? no idea. I would say 90% of Mayawati's dalit voters will vote Mayawati first and BJP second. Only anti-BJP vote that is not SP's is perhaps Raul Gandi's vote bank and some riff rafs.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by Ambar »

IndraD wrote:utter chaos in UP
Swami Maurya has arrest warrant issued from MP MLA Court( Didn't know one exists!). Now he is reconsidering his exit and grand plan.
Another Yogi minister quits.
India TV reporting many MLAs are unhappy with functioning of Yogi and have been frequenting Delhi recently to meet Shah. https://twitter.com/ndtv/status/1481163 ... 18049?s=20
https://www.aajtak.in/elections/up-asse ... 2022-01-12
Also reports of Yogi contesting from Ayodhya https://www.ndtv.com/assembly-uttar-pra ... _topscroll
Utter foolishness. By issuing a warrant they made Swami Maurya a victim and BJP lost an opportunity to win from the constituency of this turncoat. Looks like another cabinet minister from the UP govt, Dara Singh Chauhan has also resigned from the government and is joining SaPa.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by IndraD »

https://twitter.com/ndtv/status/1481155 ... 22158?s=20 "We have prepared a 10-point '#Punjab Model' to make the state developed and prosperous if #AAP comes to power. We will make such a prosperous Punjab that the youth who went to #Canada for employment will return in the next 5 years": AAP chief #ArvindKejriwal

how come this guy gets free pass from press & his dedicated voters alike? He hasn't made a single big hospital or bridge/flyover in Delhi. No scrutiny! Why BJP can't get away with lies like him.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by Kaivalya »

Ambar wrote:
IndraD wrote:utter chaos in UP
Swami Maurya has arrest warrant issued from MP MLA Court( Didn't know one exists!). Now he is reconsidering his exit and grand plan.
Another Yogi minister quits.
India TV reporting many MLAs are unhappy with functioning of Yogi and have been frequenting Delhi recently to meet Shah. https://twitter.com/ndtv/status/1481163 ... 18049?s=20
https://www.aajtak.in/elections/up-asse ... 2022-01-12
Also reports of Yogi contesting from Ayodhya https://www.ndtv.com/assembly-uttar-pra ... _topscroll
Utter foolishness. By issuing a warrant they made Swami Maurya a victim and BJP lost an opportunity to win from the constituency of this turncoat. Looks like another cabinet minister from the UP govt, Dara Singh Chauhan has also resigned from the government and is joining SaPa.
Ambarji - looks like the arrest warrant was out after several stays and was imminent before this Maurya guy quit. There is more to this story than what meets the eye

https://news.rediff.com/commentary/2022 ... 797670fe57

https://www.financialexpress.com/india- ... e/2404966/
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by ramana »

Yagnasri wrote:All the talk of SP winning, all the talk of other caste groups joining SP, all the talk of defections from BJP all are aimed to have 100% momo votes behind SP. That is all. That is the game plan—no momo vote bank division of any kind to BSP and INC.

There is hardly likely to be any reduction out of the people who voted for BJP in 2017. Plus, people are still afraid of Goonda Raj of SP. The memory is just five years old. So the more you talk of SP winning, the more anti-SP voters will come and vote for BJP to stop it.

Even at the best of the performance, SP did not get more than 29.3% vote share. BSP did not fall that much as it is being shown. So what has changed to ensure SP receives 5% or more votes this time around? What political fights SP fought to win such support? What bad things did BJP do to lose such votes and seats? We have no clear answers.

So wait and see the fun.
Minority voters are not foolish. they will vote for the candidate who has the best chance of winning with their support or will stay home.
The INC and BSP are running to collect funds. That's all.
As for SP, everyone recalls the goonda raj let loose by Akaless.
After five years people can walk safely at night.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by Rishirishi »

ramana wrote:
Yagnasri wrote:All the talk of SP winning, all the talk of other caste groups joining SP, all the talk of defections from BJP all are aimed to have 100% momo votes behind SP. That is all. That is the game plan—no momo vote bank division of any kind to BSP and INC.

There is hardly likely to be any reduction out of the people who voted for BJP in 2017. Plus, people are still afraid of Goonda Raj of SP. The memory is just five years old. So the more you talk of SP winning, the more anti-SP voters will come and vote for BJP to stop it.

Even at the best of the performance, SP did not get more than 29.3% vote share. BSP did not fall that much as it is being shown. So what has changed to ensure SP receives 5% or more votes this time around? What political fights SP fought to win such support? What bad things did BJP do to lose such votes and seats? We have no clear answers.

So wait and see the fun.
Minority voters are not foolish. they will vote for the candidate who has the best chance of winning with their support or will stay home.
The INC and BSP are running to collect funds. That's all.
As for SP, everyone recalls the goonda raj let loose by Akaless.
After five years people can walk safely at night.
Minority vote will go to the party that has the greatest chance to defete BJP. A lot of sympathy for AAP. I think finally it will be AAP against BJP in large parts of India. Even without money they may win a lot of elections.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by vimal »

32 Councillors, 42 Sarpanchs Quit Congress Over Entry Of Sonu Sood's Sister | Punjab Elections 2022

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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by IndraD »

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/cit ... 865023.cms

Rumble in SP ranks over induction of turncoats, Akhilesh apparently promising everyone a DY/ASST CM job or a mantri portfolio
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by IndraD »

-5 terms BJP MLA from Lakhimpur Kheri Bala Prasad Awasthi has arrived at Samajwadi Party office.
-Third minister quits the Yogi Cabinet. Dharam Singh Saini quits. Resignation reads the same as Swami Prasad Maurya & Dara Singh Chauhan https://twitter.com/maryashakil/status/ ... 01475?s=20

Development भूल कर सब वापस Social Engineering और Social Justice पर आ गए। :shock: :eek: election back on the plank of social engg & social justice
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by Pratyush »

If identity politics and social engineering is all some people understand. Then development plank don't matter anymore.

The question I am asking is, if it did not work in 2019 why will it work in 2022?
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by IndraD »

is prashant kishore involved in UP also? Cos SP strategy is straight out of a gora tool kit. Confuse when you can't convince.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by Dilbu »

Even after visible improvements in the state if UP people want to go back to jungle raj based on caste, identity and takleef, what to do wonlee. I hope it won't happen but won't be surprised if it happens too.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by Hari Seldon »

As things stand, Yogi will get a simple majority. IMVVHO. Q is more about whether or not it will be an absolute majority (67%+).

Also, 2019 was LS polls. 2017 though VS polls had Modi factor big in it. Modi brings some % (5-10%) vote all by himself over and above party vote-share. Where that additional % will go is anybody's guess.

With omicron used to stifle physical rallies, without the election wala mahaul, I fear for H turnout this time.

Talk of PK playbook is concerning too. No doubt SP will use TMC playbook of open violence against BJP voters if he wins. What effect that will have on y BJP voters and turnout is also hard to say at present.

Only.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by IndraD »

AAP opens phone line, asks people to choose party's CM face in Punjab https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/punja ... jab-360918

Khujli back to Delhi tactics to become Punjab CM
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by IndraD »

https://www.thehindu.com/elections/punj ... 265252.ece
A few months ahead of the 2022 Assembly election in Punjab, the Congress chose Charanjit Singh Channi, a Scheduled Caste, as its leader to head the State, the decision being seen as an attempt to help the party to garner the support of significant Dalit voters in the State, even as it could nibble the party’s Jat Sikh vote bank.

Punjab has close to 32% population of the Scheduled Caste community, the highest in the country while Jat Sikhs population is around 20%. But since 1977, the State has never seen a non-Jat Sikh Chief Minister, be it of the Congress or the Shiromani Akali Dal, indicating the political dominance of the Jat Sikh community. Giani Zail Singh was the last non-Jat Sikh Chief Minister of Punjab between 1972-77.

In the run-up to the 2022 Assembly poll, the Congress’s politics seems to be predominantly focusing on wooing the Scheduled Caste community, but in this entire exercise, the party could alienate the Jat Sikhs, which could be an obstacle to the party’s ambition to regain power in Punjab. Political observers feel that a sense of uneasiness among the Jat Sikhs is bound to happen across party lines, because they may see their dominance being diminishing in days to come


The party replaced Captain (retired) Amarinder Singh (Jat Sikh) with Charanjit Singh Channi as Chief Minister in September last year. And, now there is a strong buzz in the party circles that in the coming election Mr. Channi could contest from two Assembly constituencies, from his home seat Chamkaur Sahib and the Doaba region, which has high a concentration of Dalits, making it evident that the Congress is aiming to win over the Dalit votes in an attempt to regain power in Punjab.


As the ruling Congress is fighting to retain its government in Punjab, the party’s recent moves give an impression that it is moving towards ‘exclusivity’ from its traditional ‘inclusive’ approach, which may not be much rewarding in the State’s electoral politics that is a multi-religious, multi-caste and multi-cultural society.

Retaining the Hindu vote bank, that has traditionally been inclined towards the Congress, is going to be a tough task for the Congress — the reason is, over the years, the BJP has been contesting elections as a ‘junior partner’ in alliance with the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) and the SAD is seen as a ‘Panthic’ (Sikh) party and therefore the Hindu voters largely have been traditionally seen as inclined towards the Congress. But against the backdrop of the emergence of ‘polarisation’ politics lately, the BJP could go in to woo the Hindu votes in the State, especially in the urban areas.

Notably, Congress’s former State president and party’s in-charge of 2022 poll campaign committee Sunil Jakhar has categorically stated that during the deliberations surrounding the choosing of a new Punjab Chief Minister, a remark by a veteran Congress leader that ‘only a Sikh can be the Chief Minister of Punjab’ was totally against the ethos of the Congress and the ‘uncalled’ remark has left an ‘entire community’ of Punjab’s society anxious, which was never an issue earlier in the border State. Mr. Jakhar was the front runner for the post of Chief Minister, before Mr. Channi’s name was announced. However, not choosing Mr. Jakhar, a Hindu, and simultaneously the remark by a Congress leader that ‘only a Sikh can be the Chief Minister of Punjab’, could alienate the Hindu vote bank from the Congress.
Ambar
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by Ambar »

IndraD wrote:AAP opens phone line, asks people to choose party's CM face in Punjab https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/punja ... jab-360918

Khujli back to Delhi tactics to become Punjab CM
He is a fool if he plans on doing that. He is an anarchist and as pro-BIF as they come but at the end of the day he is a hindu and given the state of affairs in PJ, the jutt sikhs will never tolerate him. I do hope he makes the mistake of attempting a coup on PJ AAP so the nation has one less front to worry about.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by vijayk »

Ambar wrote:
IndraD wrote:AAP opens phone line, asks people to choose party's CM face in Punjab https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/punja ... jab-360918

Khujli back to Delhi tactics to become Punjab CM
He is a fool if he plans on doing that. He is an anarchist and as pro-BIF as they come but at the end of the day he is a hindu and given the state of affairs in PJ, the jutt sikhs will never tolerate him. I do hope he makes the mistake of attempting a coup on PJ AAP so the nation has one less front to worry about.
Really ... He should try that trick. Sidhu will probably will do what he did earlier

https://www.hindustantimes.com/punjab/s ... wkrkJ.html
SC reopens 1988 road rage case against Navjot Singh Sidhu Agrees to hear review plea of Patiala victim’s kin, sends notice to Punjab minister.
The May 15 verdict brought relief to Sidhu as it enabled him to continue as a minister in the Capt Amarinder Singh-led Congress government.(Gurpreet Singh/HT)
Updated on Sep 13, 2018 09:08 AM IST
Earlier, a bench of justices J Chelameswar (since retired) and Kaul had set aside the Punjab and Haryana high court verdict convicting Sidhu of culpable homicide not amounting to murder and had awarded him three-year jail. After examining all evidence, including medical record, the top court concluded that Sidhu was wrongly convicted.

The former cricketer was, however, punished under section 323 of the Indian Penal Code for voluntary causing hurt.

Although section 323 IPC says that a person found guilty be punished with imprisonment of either description for a term which may extend to one year, or with fine which may extend to ₹1000, or with both, the top court let off Sidhu with just the fine.

In support of its lenient view, the court said the case was more than 30 years old and there was no past enmity between the accused and the victim. What also weighed in the court’s mind was that background in which the incident took place and that no weapon was used by the accused.
On December 27, 1988, Sidhu and his friend - Rupinder Singh Sandhu - had got into an argument with Gurnam over parking space in Patiala. The two allegedly dragged Gurnam out of his car and hit him. Gurnam later died. Sidhu was discharged by the trial court but the HC in 2006 held him guilty.

A year later, the SC on Sidhu’s appeal, stayed the sentence and granted him bail, enabling him to contest the Lok Sabha bypolls from Amritsar.

The case so far

Dec 27, 1988: Sidhu and his friend Rupinder Singh Sandhu allegedly beat up Patiala resident Gurnam Singh over right of way for his car. Gurnam taken to a hospital where he is declared dead. Sidhu and friend booked.
Dec 1, 2006: Punjab and Haryana HC finds Sidhu and Sandhu guilty of culpable homicide (not amounting to murder) and awards a three-year jail term. Sidhu resigns as BJP MP from Amritsar.

Dec 2017-Mar 2018: Sidhu quits BJP and joins Congress; wins assembly election, becomes a minister in Punjab govt.

April 12, 2018: During hearing of the appeal, Punjab govt seeks Sidhu’s conviction in SC.

May 15, 2018: Sidhu acquitted of charges of culpable homicide, but fined ₹1,000 for causing hurt to Gurdev Singh. Sandhu acquitted.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by vijayk »

https://www.hindustantimes.com/cities/o ... gn=ht_site
Chandigarh The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), former CM Captain Amarinder Singh’s Punjab Lok Congress (PLC) and Sukhdev Singh Dhindsa’s Shiromani Akali Dal (Sanyukt) on Wednesday reached an agreement on the allocation of 65 seats to contest among themselves in Punjab assembly polls. The decision was arrived at in a co-ordination committee meeting of the three parties held in Chandigarh on Wednesday. The assembly has 117 seats.


Of 65 seats, the BJP will field its candidates on 41, the PLC will contest on 17 and Dhindsa’s party will fight on seven. Of 23 seats that, traditionally, the BJP used to contest, 20 are still with the saffron party, it is learnt. For all ex-MLAs that have joined the BJP recently, seats that they have contested as a convention, have also been finalised.

The seats on which the PLC has staked strong claim include Amritsar North, from where former minister Anil Joshi has contested for the past three assembly polls. He has quit the BJP and will be contesting on a Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) ticket this time.

The meeting of the co-ordination committee was attended by Amarinder’s son Raninder Singh, BJP general secretary Subhash Sharma and Parminder Singh Dhindsa.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by Prem Kumar »

Which was is the wind blowing in Punjab? Does BJP + Amarinder stand a chance?
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by Rudradev »

IMHO no. The best BJP + Amarinder can hope for is a hung assembly where they can play kingmaker. But even in that case, it's hard to imagine whether they should give their support to a Sidhu/Channi-led INC or to the overtly Khalistani AAP.

In fact, even that almost certainly won't happen. If it comes down to INC and AAP being largest & second-largest parties but with neither having a majority on its own, INC would rather throw its support behind AAP than form a govt itself with BJP-PLC outside support. High command would see to that.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by vijayk »

Rudradev wrote:IMHO no. The best BJP + Amarinder can hope for is a hung assembly where they can play kingmaker. But even in that case, it's hard to imagine whether they should give their support to a Sidhu/Channi-led INC or to the overtly Khalistani AAP.

In fact, even that almost certainly won't happen. If it comes down to INC and AAP being largest & second-largest parties but with neither having a majority on its own, INC would rather throw its support behind AAP than form a govt itself with BJP-PLC outside support. High command would see to that.
What if SAD becomes tie breaker and the way Sidhu is behaving ...
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by V_Raman »

SAD will align with BJP in that case. Farm law repeal is important from that perspective.
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Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Post by ManSingh »

AAP has a tacit understanding with the Akali's (who have a tieup with BSP). Kejriwal has not said a word against the Badal's during campaigning.

Aap also has a deal with SKM ( leftist front that led the farm protests ). Akali's and SKM compete for the same seats.

Current projections give congress and Aap slightly less than 50%. If this holds true it would be to Aap's advantage during govt formation.

Both Congress and Aap have an arrangement that caters to several large segments i.e. urban voters, dalit and Jatt Sikhs.
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