Su-30: News and Discussion

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shiv
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by shiv »

Surya wrote:shiv

I do not have any open source info to give some idea of numbers needed.

but for discussion purposes it may be worth looking at how many strike packages were involved in GW1\2 and the sort of tanker support they needed.

even if we need a percentage of that it would give some ball park numbers
One of the reasons I have been probing so much is because I cannot see any similarity between a local Indian conflict with China/Pakistan and a US/NATO conflict being fought against Iraq using their "expeditionary forces" in a mix of flights from middle eastern bases, aircraft carriers, European bases, Japan and the far east and even some from mainland America. A large proportion of the material simply had to be air transported because they literally had to cross oceans. Most flights were long and required refuelling but were conveniently over friendly territory or neutral ocean. Air dominance was achieved within days- especially in GW 2 after many years of practice in enforcing a "no fly zone" from European air bases.

I believe that a cut and paste from that situation into India is exactly what is being done by a a lot of people and I am convinced that it is misleading I believe our requirements in peace and war will be quite different unless we also establish overseas expeditionary capability.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by akimalik »

since we have spoken so much about tankers ... does this warrant a separate thread now?

Secondly, shiv sir, with all due respect, I do not agree with your contention to the approach that tanker operations would be restricted to within our borders. Do you wish to imply that the tankers would be restricted to operate within our "dominated" airspace or that they would be restricted to only operation within our borders? we would not have the ability to dominate unless we have a reasonablecapability to persist over the dominated airspace. in this case, i believe that the area of operations of tankers would gradually move towards the direction of the airspace dominance (whether outward, or inward).

This is quite similar to how a logistical chain would require to move with any offensive (e.g. armoured) thrust that is made into enemy territory. Although on its own, the logistical chain is vulnerable, however, given the area dominance achieved as a result of the offensive thrust these should thus gain the protection implicitly. if the logistical chain is broken, the offensive would falter in any case.

as for the optimum number of tankers, I think at best what we can do, is come up with a mathematical exercise.

lastly, one though that I have for the additional need for tankers - could these be used to top up our UAVs? The UAVs would not have issues related to human endurance and thus refueling them to keep them airborne longer might have even greater advantages.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by srai »

IAF's Dedicated Large Tankers:
6 x IL-78
6 x MRTTA

IAF's Fighter Tankers:
270 x Su-30MKI
126+ x MMRCA (i.e. Rafale)

For a really deep strike (800km+), it makes sense for the IAF to use fighter tankers, such as the Su-30MKI, which are more survivable over enemy territory. Over controlled airspace, large tankers are an obvious choice.

IMO, given IAF's growing sphere of operation to cover the IOR, I think 18 to 24 units is an ideal number for the large dedicated tankers by 2030.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by nachiket »

RamaY wrote:
2. Assuming the whole flight path is supersonic, a 1500km strike is a 3hr project. Can the pilots handle longer missions?
This is incorrect. Fighters like the Su-30 can sustain supersonic speed for a few minutes at the most. Flying at supersonic speed requires the use of afterburners which not only use up fuel very quickly (reducing the effective range), but they also heat up the engines. The cruising speed of these aircraft is always subsonic.
Aircraft like the EF Typhoon and the F-22 claim to be able to cruise at supersonic speeds without using afterburners, but it is unclear as to what is the max payload they can carry in order to achieve this.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by Singha »

well its unclear how many flight refuelling international buddy-buddy refueling pods we purchased. its likely to be significantly less than the total number of flankers we have at any point.

I would consider it to be of use only in special missions that make real tankers too risky to use. the 'tanker' in this case loses as much fuel as it gives and probably has to turn back immediately.

I really wonder why we never paid Sukhoi to develop a config 3x large EFTs for the su30 - one between the engines and 2 under the wings...perhaps holding 1.0t of fuel each .... we would have done that if we were serious about this buddy-buddy thing.

indicates to me we do not consider it a mainstream play.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by KiranM »

Scenario1:
IAF providing (Close Air Support) CAS to IA units at forward edge of battlefield. For CAS, the targets are more dynamic hence time critical and requires significant loiter. Here refuellers are helpful. A Jaguar (assuming it is rigged for AAR) need not go back to base 150km away to refuel. It can do so 150km in Indian protected airspace with a refueller. The latter process is faster since you are cutting out the landing and take-off portion required for base refuelling. Also you are saving the fuel required for take-off and landing.

Scenario2:
Similar to above applies to fighters on CAP. Here you can use a smaller Tejas for a long duration CAP in scenarios like low threat areas, which does not require large AAM loads. Hence, you can optimally use MKIs & Tejas and also optimally use the # of AAMs. For the Tejas on CAP 200 km away from AFB close to border, it takes lesser time to refuel from refueller aircraft 200km away than from the AFB 200km away (cutting out the takeoff & landing time and used fuel).
Also Shiv sir, I respectfully disagree with your view that we are wasting 4 MKIs (or whichever fighters) to protect the refueller. These escorts not just protect the refueller but by default provide CAP to the areas they patrol. So they are not an overhead.

Also let us not forget for both scenarios, by not landing in the base you are providing real estate (like runway, hangars, etc) for other aircrafts to stage for other missions.

Future use can be to refuel UAVs in protected Indian air space close to border and extend their surveillance sortie.

When there are sufficient number of tankers refuelling in peace and not so peaceful times close to border in protected airspace such that PAF or PLAAF can observe; it will be difficult to identify which is a regular sortie and which is not.
If you ask what is the need for refuellers during peaceful times, well we can optimally refuel short legged aircrafts to move from one place to another without stopping at bases in between.

Other scenarios are like what you mentioned to refuel Maritime Surveillance/ Strike aircrafts over neutral seas for long range ops, Special strike missions over neutral or allied airspace (the refuelling part being covert), etc.

USAF will be a wrong example for IAF. But I feel a better example will be Israeli AF.
They have atleast 4 Boom based Mid Air refuellers (based on Boeing 707) for their 400 fighters and 5 drogue based refuellers (based on C-130) for their 220 helicopters (assuming all are AAR capable). And their land mass is so small that they can hit all of their targets from land and maintain decent persistance. Of course, we can say that is also their bane since their bases can be hit due to lack of depth. But hitting their base is very difficult given their sophisticated air defence and their policy of pre-emptive strike. Looking at the figures of refuellers tells that they see other advantages as well.
So the ratio is 1 refueler for 100 fighters (assuming the KC-130H will refuel only helicopters) and 1 refueler for 40 helicopters.
Note: These figures are very conservative. Please refer: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_Air_Force#Current

On similar lines, Israelis are also apparently working on a mid air rearming mechanism.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by Surya »

shiv

you can seperate the tankers used for bringing in equipment to the theatre and the tanker flights for the initial assault. Again our tactics will not be all same but its enough to give ball park understanding of numbers involved based on missions, number of aircraft etc
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by shiv »

Surya wrote:shiv

you can seperate the tankers used for bringing in equipment to the theatre and the tanker flights for the initial assault. Again our tactics will not be all same but its enough to give ball park understanding of numbers involved based on missions, number of aircraft etc
Surya - a few months ago - in the middle of some discussion on this forum I desperately tried to Google for info using all sots of key phrase combos to figure out details of CAPs of various aircraft in the Gulf war. Some info is very ve-ry hard to come by. Usually it is some guy who claims to have been a pilot saying something on some random forum.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by Surya »

I will look around

there was a book by one of the USAF guys who was part of the planning

I remember it mentioning a vast swirl of aircraft taking off , and positioning themselves into packages before heading to Iraq and tankers waiting for them

I vaguely remember 2 tanker zones flying in race track orbit and having 4 or 8 tankers each on a 24 x 7 basis

They were located above Saudi arabia

In addition they had the Brit tankers and a few which were meant for AWACs and emergencies etc
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by Singha »

for libya I believe they established a zone near malta for both inbound and outbound a/c.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by Shankar »

both tankers and awacs are placed in predesignated protected /safe zones whether in our or hostile territory .Establishment of a safe zone even hostile territory is a part of mission planning exercise depending on what kind of air defense assets is available to enemy and how to counter that .So all modern deep penetration missions is carried with mixed aircraft package .and the protective bubble around awac tanker is a mobile time dependent one moving deeper into bandit country and moving away fro it depending n the combat situation and availability of protective assets in the region . Just the presence of a tanker do not proclaim a raid is coming it can be supporting combat air patrol missions also and even if it does the sukhois have a wide arc of strike so just seeing on radar some flankers getting fueled does not mean it know where the strike is going to take place .Deception is the name of game in all modern strike missions and surprise can be achieved even if air tanking is done in ful view of enemy
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by srai »

Cain Marko wrote:Hmm, quick question - why is the MKI being positioned that close to the border? The bird has such a reach and endurance that perhaps it can be kept more to the interiors? Ditto with those in the East as well. I'd have thought Delhi, Kalaikunda, and even Sulur might have been good locations for these birds. Being that close to the border, they risk being taken out in a surprise early hit. And they aren't exactly suited for QRA ops either. I'd rather see Bisons, Fulcrums and even the M2ks being stationed that forward.

Perhaps it is the dwindling numbers that is forcing the IAF to take such measures..

CM.
FYI.

The next Su-30MKI base in the Western sector after Jodhpur is going to be Halwara air base in Punjab. This location will nicely cover the northern areas. With these, the Western and South-Western Commands will have 6 MKI squadrons.

In the Eastern sector, looks like Kalaikunda in West Bengal will be the next Su-30MKI base as per this report, Kalaikunda fighters in charge of Andaman and Nicobar Islands defences. Most likely given its strategic location and role, there will be 2 MKI squadrons based there. With these, the Eastern Command (with coverage of Southern Command's A&N) will have 4 MKI squadrons.

These account for the 10 squadrons deployed by 2013/14. The other 5 squadrons on order remains to be seen as to where they will get deployed post 2013/14. IMO, in the Southern Command, I think Chennai (control over Bay of Bengal and A&N) and Trivandrum (control over major shipping lanes and island chains) would be ideal locations for MKI bases to maximize IAF's reach in the IOR.
Last edited by srai on 04 Oct 2011 12:17, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by Austin »

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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by Mihir.D »

srai wrote: These account for the 10 squadrons deployed by 2013/14. The other 5 squadrons on order remains to be seen as to where they will get deployed post 2013/14. IMO, in the Southern Command, I think Chennai (control over Bay of Bengal and A&N) and Trivandrum (control over major shipping lanes and island chains) would be ideal locations for MKI bases to maximize IAF's reach in the IOR.

What about the squadrons in the far east ? Currently we have 2 squadrons in and around Assam right ?
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by Singha »

was there a news item recently about IAF wanting to setup a base in nagaland?
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by jamwal »

shiv wrote: If I make something sound like it is not worthwhile I am sure my misinformation can be set right by someone who knows.
<snip>
I'll be the first one to admit, I don't know about IAF doctrines about usage of assets in peace or war situations. I cannot comment on the amount of tankers, planes etc they want either. I can't object If they want 12 tankers or 120. My posts were in response to yours on page 67 where you were posting quite confusing stuff regarding your objections against hype of tankers. Your support of statement that buddy refueling capability of Su30s inside enemy territory is more useful than of a tanker inside Indian territory can't be classified as reasonable.
Perhaps I'm wrong, but none of the posts written later made me change my mind on this.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by shiv »

jamwal wrote:Your support of statement that buddy refueling capability of Su30s inside enemy territory is more useful than of a tanker inside Indian territory can't be classified as reasonable.
Perhaps I'm wrong, but none of the posts written later made me change my mind on this.
I did not say it IS more useful. I am no expert. I suggested that this is one available option that does not involve flying a lumbering tanker into enemy airspace which was the original objection I had to a post that was later edited out. A buddy refueller may be able to rendezvous much faster AND take care of itself.

I am not asking anyone to change his mind or be convinced by what I say. I don't really care who is convinced or not convinced simply because I am not the expert myself, I admit it and and I have questions. But those questions have not been answered either. Everyone is free to hold his opinions but there is no use getting angry or upset if opinions are questioned. It should be easy to say "I don't know". Getting angry with me simply does not put me off.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by nakul »

^^^

in a warlike scenario, every action carried out in enemy territory carries its risks. it is up to the jernails to send the right plane for the job. any play can be shot down. just because lca is small & has a lower radar reflecting surface, it can't replace su-30mki for deep penetration strikes. a su-30mki can't perform like a dedicated tanker in refilling duties and a tanker can't replace an air base for refuelling. the trick is to choose the right tool for the job. its is the on-ground scenario that dictates the choice of aircraft...
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by jamwal »

I'm not getting angry. What made you think so ?

If IAF is sending planes inside Pakistan, it'll not need to refuel them inside Paki territory. Su30 if refueled inside India will have enough fuel to complete it's mission and come back. It can be refueled again if needed while coming back. Not so sure about China-Tibet. That's my general understanding
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by manjgu »

Looks like nobody knows anything concrete..yet scre....ing each others happiness. welcome to the jungle.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by shiv »

jamwal wrote:I'm not getting angry. What made you think so ?
Not you. Forget about it.
If IAF is sending planes inside Pakistan, it'll not need to refuel them inside Paki territory. Su30 if refueled inside India will have enough fuel to complete it's mission and come back. It can be refueled again if needed while coming back. Not so sure about China-Tibet. That's my general understanding
That is precisely the point. Refuelling is not going to be taking place with a refueler over enemy territory in the absence of total air dominance. That basically puts paid to all scenarios that envisage a refueller flying into enemy territory. "Top up" refuelling "at the border" has been suggested and is a valid sounding procedure that would give aircraft the maximum amount of fuel as they enter enemy territory.

But if you read stories of earlier conflicts that the IAF fought and more recent conflicts involving NATO and US air forces, a stealthy entry into enemy territory is an advantage so as to not alert enemy air defences until the last possible moment. I am unable to see how stealth can be achieved by announcing an impending attack by having a refueller flying near the border to give a "top up" refuelling to all Indian aircraft about to cross the border. OK I accept that this can be done as a sort of "decoy" but it can hardly be used as a routine pre-attack technique.

So if refuelling is not going to be done over enemy territory, and refuelling as "top up " near the border is not such a hot technique to be used repeatedly and regularly, then what are refuelers to be used for? It was you who suggested that I was "making it seem" pointless.

That may have been your interpretation, but as I see it refuellers probably have a huge role outside of war too. I think too many people were getting stuck on what refuellers will do in war without a chirp about what else they can do. The question I asked (if you read all those posts) was "What is it that refuelers will be used for?" It was as simple as that. That question got at least one person angry. Not you.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by Surya »

But if you read stories of earlier conflicts that the IAF fought and more recent conflicts involving NATO and US air forces, a stealthy entry into enemy territory is an advantage so as to not alert enemy air defences until the last possible moment.
Shiv

Not entirely correct for modern times. Stealth is required for some aspects (radar busting or some specific mission).

But other mission in the revised strike scenarios since GW1 and for the IAF since Kargil - the enemy will know we are coming.

With the sort of coverage the Pakis have till some degradation is done it will not be feasible. (Plus the paanwallahs outside the base would have reported aircraft taking off althought they would not know where and what is going to get hit)


there will be SU 30s\29s sweeping forcing the enemy to come up and do something about it, else they will not have time to deal with the large strike package coming at Med alt behind.

Obviously there are intricacies which I cannot go into (and I do not know most of them).
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by SaiK »

why do we need a subsonic standoff missile when we have an hypersonic one for the super sukhoi upgrades?

May be I am missing something here?
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by ranjithnath »

AFAIK only the 40 aircrafts recently ordered would be capable of carrying the brahmos rendering other 230 odd without an effective standoff LACM.can argue that 40 aircrafts are more than enough to carry out the required strike roles,maybe the IAF has much bigger plans for rambhas.it might even be possible for the rambhas to carry 2 taurus missile in underwing hardpoints(plus one under centreline hardpoint) in a single strike mission. 8) that itself gives versatality.also the subsonic taurus detection will be harder compared to redhot supersonic brahmos.And then there is obvious weight and cost wise advantage for taurus compared to AL brahmos.
And the fact that MBDA offered the taurus missile(350km range,beyond MTCR guidelines) instead of SCALP itself tells something or maybe the RFI was sent to GmbH and DDM quoted MBDA.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by shiv »

Surya wrote: But other mission in the revised strike scenarios since GW1
What revised scenarios?
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by Eric Leiderman »

Refuellers in the indian senario will be around the indian ocean region and possibly in the indo china sea. Woule be great PR to knock off the Virag and a few surface combatants if we are being mauled in the North East.
With the amount of force enhancers we have at the moment there is a bit of pie in the sky, The logistcs would be daunting but well within the reach of the IAF as configured even today. China is all about keeping and/or loosing face. So if we were ever to go to war they have to loose face. We have to let them know that we will make them loose face in no uncertain terms.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by Vinit »

shiv wrote: I am unable to see how stealth can be achieved by announcing an impending attack by having a refueller flying near the border to give a "top up" refuelling to all Indian aircraft about to cross the border. OK I accept that this can be done as a sort of "decoy" but it can hardly be used as a routine pre-attack technique.

So if refuelling is not going to be done over enemy territory, and refuelling as "top up " near the border is not such a hot technique to be used repeatedly and regularly, then what are refuelers to be used for?
Agree that refuelling in friendly territory near the border prior to crossing the border wouldn't be that frequent - though it can be used, if necessary.

As to your question, refuellers could be used for:
(a) refuelling in friendly territory after coming back from a raid/dogfight, when aircraft might be low on fuel - in fact, a mission can be planned such that aircraft are low on fuel on the return, knowing that a refueller awaits beyond the border with friendly air cover.
(b) extending patrol periods and removing the necessity to RTB, thus increasing aircraft availability
(c) refuelling immediately after takeoff to enable carrying greater payloads, particularly at higher altitudes
(d) extending range or enabling circuitous routes, including by refuelling over non-hostile neutral territory, i.e. the sea
(e) enabling use of bases further away from the border.

Except in a rare and most meticulously planned mission, refuelling in hostile territory would not be done.
In general, refuellers tend to give air planners more flexibility and greater aircraft availability.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by saptarishi »

i dont know how much my patriotic friends might take it,,i am posting an excerpt,from a chinese defence blog,in which the aurthor insists how being in same position china developed its aviation industry and india failed...even though the chinese copied they are developing a robust industry.a similar tone echoed by AIR CHIEF NAK BROWNE WHEN HE INSISTS THAT DRDO MIGHT BEG BORROW OR STEAL BUT THEY MUST DEVELOP MODERN AVIATION TECHNOLOGIES


http://china-pla.blogspot.com/2011/09/d ... china.html

This is the part 5 of the series of reviewing the content of the recent book that I read. I will be exploring how India and China approached the purchase of Flanker series from Russia. If you guys would like me to write about something else related to PLAAF, please email me.

Back when I started following PLA, there was a widespread belief that Russia was willing to offer more advanced weapons to India than China due to India’s greater selection of suppliers. The superiority of Su-30MKI over Su-30MKK was used to illustrate the point that India was getting more advanced technology from the Russians. With the narrative that we see from Russian/Indian news sources, it was pretty easy to concede that point. After all, India did get licensed production to AL-31FP and the more advanced Su-30MKI. At the same time, it also makes sense that India would get more from the Russians due to their greater leverage.

I have already spent one part of the series talking about Russian assistance to the Chinese aerospace industry. Today, we can see that the Chinese aerospace industry is already capable of developing most aircraft and subsystems on its own. In fact, it has advanced to the point where it can now export an aircraft like JF-17 and its production line to another country. At the same time, India still relies on importing aircraft and technology from other countries. Looking back at 1990, India had been manufacturing more advanced aircraft than China under local licensed production, but China had more development experience with projects like J-7III, J-8 and numerous failed projects. Both countries had indigenous 4th generation fighter jet projects (J-10 and HAL Tejas). In India, all of the licensed production and indigenous development were done by HAL. In China, the aircraft projects were handled by different aircraft companies like Shenyang AC, Chengdu AC, Xi’an AC, Hongdu AC and Shaanxi AC.

I think that competition between the different aircraft companies certainly provides an advantage for China over India. In the competition for 4th generation project, SAC and CAC both came up with proposals and PLAAF picked CAC’s proposal. CAC was eventually able to develop J-10 with some Israeli/Russian assistance after 18 years. When SAC was given the task of licensed production of Su-27, some in PLAAF wanted to axe the J-10 project, but CAC was allowed to continue on its own through all of the problems. And now that CAC has developed J-10 and SAC has mastered the local production of J-11, both aircraft companies have to continually perform and innovate to get orders. In India, HAL was in charge of licensed production of Su-30MKI and also numerous indigenous development projects (including Tejas). I think when HAL is the only domestic company and all foreign suppliers have to cooperate with it, HAL is not incentivized to produce more efficiently or to innovate. Today, SAC and CAC have to continually compete against each other for new projects like the 5th generation jet, naval fighter jet and UAVs. At the same time, HAL is in charge of all Indian military aviation projects from in house projects like Tejas and MCA to licensed production projects like Su-30, MRCA and FGFA. When we look at the civilian airliner industry, the different aircraft companies in China have scored many more supplier contracts than HAL has. I think even as India is becoming more competitive in the world economy, its aerospace industry will continue to struggle if it faces no competition.

At the same time, there was a difference in the approach that China and India took with importing from Russia. When Russia was promoting Su-30MKI to India, it had not finished developing the technologies for MKI. The original 8 Su-30Ks had no difference from Su-27UB and many of the promised technologies were not developed and integrated until much later. The much touted AL-31FP also suffered numerous problems and the TVC nozzle had very short service life. Eventually, most of the MKI problems were solved. Su-30 is now the most important part of a growingly powerful IAF. However, HAL still depends on Russia, France and Israel for the production of Su-30. It still looks to Russia for future upgrades to Su-30. In comparison, China was only interested in more mature products. Its goal was not to work with Russia to develop the best aircraft, but rather to advance its local industry so that it can develop next generation aircraft on its own. Su-27sk was a generation or more ahead of what SAC was producing at that time, so the goal of the J-11 licensed production deal was for SAC to learn how to produce a modern heavy fighter jet. The MKK project was completed quickly because it was based on mature technology; whereas MKI was dragged behind by yet to be developed technologies. MKK had much less capable avionics compared to MKI, but it was using a more advanced airframe based on Su-35UB. I think PLAAF always intended to produce a local variant of J-11 that uses Su-27sk, but indigenous avionics, engine and weapon package. As we’ve seen with J-11B/S, SAC has succeeded in developing and producing Chinese versions of Su-27s/ub. At the same time, MKK’s airframe will probably serve as the basis for SAC’s fighter bomber project. While MKI is a lot more capable in combat, MKK is better suited for what PLAAF needed at the time. The question is obviously whether or not India should’ve taken the same path that China did. That is something I can’t predict without knowing the Indian aerospace industry too well.

When I look at PLAAF vs IAF import procurements, I see two very contrasting philosophies. PLAAF chooses to import safe, mature products that can be developed quickly, whereas IAF chooses to import ambitious and more technologically advanced products. The former philosophy results in greater cost and time certainty, whereas the latter results in a better product in the long run. This philosophy also carried over to technology transfer when dealing with the Russians. By choosing a fully developed and mature aircraft like Su-27, SAC had more time to master the technology to produce Su-27 locally and obtain avionics upgrade as they become available through China and Russian suppliers. By choosing a more ambitious aircraft like MKI, India ended up paying Russia/Israel/France firm to complete their development while still reliant on these firms for future upgrades. At the same time, HAL had to deal with delays in MKI, whereas SAC was able to just focus on learning how to locally produce Su-27s.

It’s been 20 years since the dissolution of Soviet Union. China and India were at around the same place economically back then. Although China had already opened up and was on a better path economically, India had the advantage of been able to purchase from many foreign suppliers. Even though India got the better aircraft due to their greater leverage, I think this entry showed why China made the better procurement decision in the long run. Many have argued that China got to where it did because it was better at copying designs than most other countries. I believe that’s only part of the equation. Competition and more pragmatic procurement practices are also important in taking the Chinese aerospace industry to where it is right now.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by NRao »

I would not be surprised if the Chinese have a mature industry.

They either stole and got some or a lot from both Russia and Ukraine.

The bottom line is IF they did steal, they should have got a ton of researched data - data that takes decades to accumulate. And, IF that is true, then yes, they should be ahead.

The question still remains can the industrialize that data and can they sustain it via internal research. I am not convinced that they have industrialized anything - yet. And, time will tell if they can sustain the research.

But, yes they have a ton of funds for sure AND a serious effort.

India is not on par in either. India can make up on the prior, but the latter, do not know. I just do not see the seriousness that is required.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by NRao »

BTW, the author of the post has plenty of mistakes in it.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by Karan M »

May I ask Saptarishi what you or anyone gets in terms of understanding from posting the rambling claims of a Canadian who is not even located in China?

He has no access to the real developments in China bar what he reads on the net, and then he claims China is doing well. Because NAK Browne wants India to advance ASAP, does not mean that the PRC has succeeded. Go dig up the recent Taiwanese assessment of PRC successes and what they think of the lurid claims.

As recent as a couple of years back, the much ballyhooed Chinese turbofan was running at 30 hrs before it needed to be reworked.

If this is "success" - the PRC is welcome to it.

India is better off taking the harder path of developing gear that works either on its own or via JVs as versus copying everything the US or Russia make and calling it a success.
Last edited by Karan M on 22 Oct 2011 23:52, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by Karan M »

NRao wrote:But, yes they have a ton of funds for sure AND a serious effort.

India is not on par in either. India can make up on the prior, but the latter, do not know. I just do not see the seriousness that is required.
There is a difference sir. India does not brag or create a manufactured hype like the PRC does - eg the leaked pics of the J-20, day on day, gradually increasing in resolution and what not. We have the CAG, the IAF itself to tell us exactly what our foibles are and where we need to improve. When was the last time we saw the PRC display such frankness?

While it is true the PRC is spending like there is no tomorrow & they have improved their MIC by leaps and bounds, nor are things so bad in India that we are far behind in every sense & their way is the "right way".

My point is - thanks to the IAF et al being demanding customers & a relatively transparent system of checks and balances, we do get equipment that is ultimately fixed and worked.

With the PRC, nothing is known. Their number #1 hand me down accepting customer, the PAF - wants French, American gear wherever possible. And has only accepted Chinese when other options (eg French avionics on the JF-17) were not available.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by saptarishi »

<del>
Last edited by Rahul M on 23 Oct 2011 22:02, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: incoherent combination of all caps & ellipsis deleted.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by member_20018 »

We don't. We dont need too much focus on arms.

If we do focus on arms, we have to allow the military-industrial-university complex to grow organically.

How about , as a first, introducing DOD style grant RFPs for professors and small businesses?

And Saptarshi, the russians and the americans have been developing arms and ammo since 1910's . In light of that, our strategy of being friends with, and thus having good access to arms and goodwill from the west is smarter than the scarcely disguised Chinese thrust for power.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by chackojoseph »

Some non sense

1) India does not export offensive weapons, hence the planes have not been sold.
2) FC-1 or Jf-17 is American peace pearl program and then Russian help + engines on a J-7 which is a Russian MiG 21 clone.
3) J-10 still doesn't feature a Chinese engine.

There is no connection with LCA induction and Chinese plane manufacturing. They are trying to show that since India is still behind, we are more successful. The fact still remains that "China still cannot make a fighter plane."
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by tsarkar »

Saptarishi - Can you please use Capital Alphabets and punctuations correctly? I can loan you my Wren & Martin, if you want. Your written communication is atrocious.

Also, is this relevant in this thread whatever China is doing with Sukhoi & its products?
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by VishalJ »

Recent upload from Indra Dhanush 2007

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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by Katare »

I think the blog post/article posted by Saptrishi is pretty accurate in analyzing the outcome but not as much in how/why the outcome were achieved-
China do have a much more developed aerospace industry compared to what India has developed. He is also correct in identifying that HAL has no competiton in domestic or license production business which hurts technological development. HAL gets 10s of billions of dollar worth of business on nomination basis so it has little incentive to upgrade and grow at the top end of the technology curve. It can create all the business it needs at the bottom of the pile with little risk and assured profits. It is sitting on a cash pile of Rs 20K core and a order book of Rs 70k corer and future assured orders of ~$50 billion that it will get without any competiton. This absolutely needs to be fixed.

This situation of developing an industry without developing a couple of core technology champions is not limited to aerospace, defnse or Public sector alone. We have a world class and ultra inexpensive telecom service industry but not a single world class telecom company in the field of manufacturing, research and development. On the other hand Chinese do have world class telecom companise that were developed as a cost for entry into chinese market for foreigners.

He is pretty accurate in analyzing results and identifying a few critical structural gaps in Indian set-up but he missed a few equally crictical inputs available to both countries that resulted in the respective outcome -

1) Money - From 1989 until 2003 India had almost no money to buy or invest in anything. China was booming from 1970s with an absolutely and fabulously rich central govt selling land back to its own citizens for billions. Game has started for India in last few years and I'll wait for the results for a little while longer
2) Needs - Indian armed forces have to rely on quality instead of quantity as it was not possible to even think about matching China in numbers just a few years back. With money comes confidence and strategies would improve and optimize. For instance recent announcemnt of adding 100K men, 2 mountain corps etc. In 1995 India signed to acquire 50 MKI while same time China signed to acquire 400 Su27s. If India had that kind of money they may have looked at more matured product or at least phased purchase. MRCA is an example where both matuarity and top end technology is being combined togather to exploite options that are not available to China.
3) technological background - China received termendous help and transfer of technology from Russia in 50s and 60s, while in India "Nehruji high on Gandhiji" was busy dismentalling armed forces developed by British over last 100 or so years. China had more developed more numarous set-up for R&D and product development than India at all times in last 60 years, including now. HAL was working on more high end license manufacturing than what Chines in that era.

Lesson from China-
India at this point can change its strategy and make it absolutely necessory to build doemestic technology champions in public and private sectors in all part of its economy. FDI, imports should not be allowed idependently unless a couple of domestic rival, like tata M&M in auto industry, are capable of competing on a fair and even ground.

Domestic manufacturing projects must be won via competition and for that to happen we need to eliminate single vendor situtation, like HAL, in all technology sectors.

Focus on developing lower end products to develop competency, experience and scale. Armed forces once mordanized (and confident) would be more amenable to accepting additional hardware that may not be at the top-end.

Procurement of more matured products in large numbers instead of piece meal deals. Rather buy 30 C-130 in one shot and get a great deal than 6 at a time.

Lessons From India-
1) Stay lean and tech heavy in approach. In the end/long-run technology always wins over numbers. P8I and Pak-FA are great bets, double down on them no question of backing off. Point here is not to loose focus in ensureing sufficient numbers too.

2) We are in a unique situation that all of the worlds top end arms suppliers are bending over backwards to sell or co-develop arms with us. We must use these levers to obtain best results with focus on getting best technology, best cost and development of domestic MIC in that order.
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by VishalJ »

My Friend's photo of Fully-Loaded Rambha @ Hindon
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Re: Su-30: News and Discussion

Post by jamwal »

chackojoseph wrote:Some non sense

1) India does not export offensive weapons, hence the planes have not been sold.
What about INSAS rifles that have been exported to Nepal and possibly Oman, quite a bit of old military hardware including T-55 to Myanmar ? Plans of exporting BrahMos ?
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