AbhishekD wrote:What do you mean by serious Anujan.
Do you have inside info??
Inside as any inside could get. Everybody has uncles.
The reason it is "serious" is because of certain generic and certain specific issues:
A. Last time around, even though the body count was high -- it was clear that as long as there were volunteers in IA and as long as India's sons were willing to shed their blood for India, the terrorist pigs could never win. But this time, "others" are in the fray. And "others" are not doing it through guns (though it may lead to it, let me elaborate in point C ) and the "others" have a habit of thinking long term rather than revealing their hand prematurely.
B. The protesting A-holes know which side of their bread is buttered. (JK economy would collapse if the central govt stops handing out doles). Pakistan is well, in Pakistan. So if the A-holes are still confident, it is anyone's guess whose money is giving them the new found balls.
C. In any insurgency, the 18-20 year mark is very important. That is when the kids born after the insurgency has started and raised on a steady diet of hate & propaganda hit adulthood. These fellows can then be used as Jihad recruits. If India plays her cards wrong, disaster could be losing JK, bad news could be another 10-15 years of Jihad -- this time repeated all over India (because the "gentleman's agreement" with the Pakis of confronting each other only in JK has already been breached -- ofcourse, by the Pakis).
D. There are only 3 kinds of mainstream political voices in JK. Those who want to merge with Paa'stan. Those who want Azadi, and those who want "maximum autonomy". There is no legit political power who wants integration with India. You do the math. If we tide over this by handing out sops to group no 2 and group no 3 (which we will), next time around the same 3 groups will turn up, except the first two has grown and the last has dwindled.
E. JK's very own "gandhi" who was "reformed" after reading gandhi and mandela in prison and therefore "Gave up the gun" has been running around all over the place for the past 2 years, giving speeches in hundreds of towns and villages, recruiting workers and promising milk and honey. In short, he has been in election campaign mode for for 2-3 years! All the while our illustrious guvrmand was snoozing. Where did he get the money? Whose plan was it? Now apparently he has joined JK's own "Martin luther king" (pastor cum phreedom phyter). These kind of reunions dont happen without a gentle nudge and push from outside. While we have been staring with eagle eyes to the west, someone from east has robbed our house.
Well your first instincts might be that everyone hardens their positions. The B*stards reveal their true hand either by (a) Professing their association with outside powers in the open or (b) Doing a Pakistaniyat of Kashmiriyat by beautifying a few more schools run by "minorities" (like they did yesterday) so that it ties up Indian govt hands to go kick their musharraf. However this is going to be bad for everyone. The best solution would be to calm the situation after some window dressing, Eid Package and whatnot. Make sure Kashmiri Yuvraj stays in power. And once the situation is calm do a round of external musharraf kicking to show that we mean business.
But if wishes were horses..."weak on internal affairs, weak on external affairs" projection that our Govt is giving out is not helping either.
As they say, speak with a soft voice but carry a big stick. I hope gyaan dawns on people's heads.
Tamaso Maa Jyotirgamaya!