kittoo wrote:RajeshA wrote:targets like navy ships, etc.
But if they'll be looking for a conflict, won't they be able to attack on the grounds that we attacked their Navy ship or anything else?
Pakistan does not want to attack India conventionally. They have opted for bleeding India using their proxies, the Pakjabi Jihadis.
Besides that what they want are two things:
1. They want an excuse to leave the AfPak war theater and move their troops to the Indian border.
2. They want to consolidate Pakistani public opinion behind the Army including that of the Taliban and other Islamists, throwing up the bogey of Indian aggression.
Sinking a Navy ship, is technically not on 'Pakistani Soil'! An attack on the Pakistani Navy, cannot be twisted to read like as if India is going to attack Pakistan land itself! Of course, the TSPA will make a big brouhaha on this, but in Islam, the Jihadis are more concerned with issues of land, that the sanctity of 'Muslim Lands' should not be violated. Sea waters do not count!
So even though Pakistan will get its first wish, that is to pull its troops to the Indian borders, and avoid fighting the Taliban, it also ensures our (at least my) wishes to allow the Taliban to consolidate its position further taking away even more land away from government control in Pakistan's hinterland.
TSPA's second wish will only marginally be fulfilled. They can ratchet up the rhetoric (while we keep our down) but as mentioned earlier, an attack on TSPN would not be considered an attack on Pakistan, and their rhetoric will have only limited resonance. This can be even more potent, if India reaches an understanding with TTP, that they should not join in the GoP rhetoric when and if such an attack on TSPN happens.
India should continue to keep the troop levels on the border high, and the anti-Pakistani rhetoric low. We should also start to officially refer to Pakistani terrorists as Pakjabi terrorists even if they come from Sindh or Pushtun areas. This differentiation is necessary to stress that USA and India have a different set of enemies in Pakistan.