GeorgeWelch wrote:
But I thought you said the UK and Germany wanted it? So if they wanted it, what's the holdup with Italy and Spain? Do you have to have unanimous consent before upgrades go through?
It did go through didn't it. From what I understand, the RAF wasn't too interested in it because of its limited field of view vis-a-vis the mechanically scanned Captor-M. That was until it was reworked into a swashplate array.
Right, because it was required to get additional export orders in the first place. Rest assured if AESA wasn't important for the MRCA competition, the EF would still be in AESA limbo.
That's a subjective opinion again. We're going to have to agree to disagree.
So you're saying India's need for upgrades can be held hostage when Italy and Spain drag their feet in the future?
You can't force other countries to spend money, so if you're only going to do upgrades where the other member countries fund their 'fair share', you're going to be waiting a long, long time
Only if India funds it all.
You assume the other countries will buy the upgrades you fund. I wouldn't assume any such thing.
UK and Germany each own 33% of EF Gmbh with Italy (21%) and Spain (13%) owning the remainder. I'm not privy to the actual details of EF's proposal, but it wouldn't be a stretch to assume India would be allotted between 20-25% of the company with other stakeholders diluting their respective shares (though probably not proportionally).
As long as Germany and the UK are on the same page as India, Spain and Italy aren't going to be significant stumbling blocks. And their share of the development funding isn't going to be vital to the project.
The real point is the US has a much stronger commitment to defense than the UK or Germany.
Sure it is, it's just a matter of priorities.
Well that level of defence spending hampers domestic investment. Not a positive statistic when China seems set to overtake the US as the largest economy in the world by 2025 (down from earlier expectation of 2035).
Conventionally, the US' threat perception is still fundamentally the same as it was in 2001. Yet defence spending has increased from 3% of the GDP back (a figure constant during a period of good financial health) to 4.7% today.
WHAT UPGRADES?
It's hard to scrap updates you were never planning on doing in the first place . . .
Among the upgrades I've heard planned are TVC, 100-120kN engine, CFTs (under development for RAF), and incremental upgrades to all existing systems.
Viv S wrote:
A shrinking fleet by itself no, you have to look at the full picture.
The US just ordered over a 100 new SHs, they're about to award a contract (hopefully) for 179 new tankers, they just dual sourced an award for the LCS, they're starting an initiative for a new bomber. There is money to go around for things that need it
In the UK everything is being gutted, there is no money period.
If you can't see the difference, I'm sorry, I just can't help you.
Again you're comparing militaries and not spending priorities. The UK isn't going to decommission its defence forces any time soon, which 'no money' would lead to. In real terms, the cuts will amount to less than 10% over the next four years. The question is unlike the Trident, is keeping the EF upgraded a priority. And judging from the future force structure of the RAF and Luftwaffe, as well as public statements made bearing the same out, upgrades are very much a priority.
So your position is that once everyone has AESA that all development on fighters will cease and all planes will be on equal footing? Sorry I don't buy that. I don't know what the future holds, but I do know that it will be advanced beyond today.
Not on equal footing of course but not leagues apart which they were before their induction of AESAs.
I'm assuming nothing beyond the fact that even they recognize it won't be ready for at least another 4 years.
I'm not sure there is such a thing. If Microsoft has taught us anything, it's that there are always new features to add
The major advantages of an AESA radar are its reliability, versatility and perhaps most importantly its LPI characteristics. All of which the Captor-E (as well as the rest) feature. The APG-79 will probably score much higher as far as EW is concerned, but that's not an overwhelming advantage when one talks of 'see-first-shoot-first'.
Proof?
The EF brings comparable avionics to the table on an airframe optimized for trans-sonic/supersonic BVR engagements. And it does this while offering a far greater degree of ToT than the US, and greater involvement than France.
That's a big part of it, but certainly not all.
That's an assumption you're making - that the US will maintain a constant gap of X years with Europe as far as software solutions are concerned. There's less experimentation required when a technology has already been developed.
Viv S wrote:That's why I stressed on the fact that the technology to be delivered to the IAF will be essentially a decade old. And it will probably be ten years before any hardware upgrades can be carried out. If for example, the SH has a GaN based radar available in 2018, the Europeans will have one available by 2022. Without the gap making a lot of difference to an IAF MLU program beginning in say... 2024-25.
You're just looking at one component. Maybe they will catch up in one area, maybe not, but they will always be behind in something, so whenever your hypothetical MLU program happens, the SH will still have the edge.
There aren't a lot of other components as far as avionics goes. The radar is at the heart of it. And secondly we're assuming that those cutting edge advances will be available to India. A EA-18G Growler for example is not, since the export of the ALQ-99 is prohibited as will probably be the NGJ. Who's to say what will actually be available to the IAF?
I am. The US has the will to spend on the military and Europe doesn't.
But it's not. They don't forsee any threats and thus there is no pressing need to keep them upgraded.
Debatable. The UK and Germany are both members of the NATO. The US isn't going to war with China or Russia any time soon either. A sentiment repeatedly espoused by Secretary Gates. And the day they do, their allies in Europe will be involved as well (along with perhaps Japan and South Korea).
Interesting little article about the
Wedgetail
It discusses the difficulties getting it operational, and while there were hardware issues, the majority of time, by far, was devoted to software.
I went through the article and while it says it took more time, it doesn't say it was a bigger problem than getting the hardware to function properly. It describes the issues with software as related to 'refinement' and 'optimiz[ation]'.
Also, its interesting that you're dismissing aerodynamic performance in lieu of avionics while at the same time touting the Super Hornet's new EPE engines amongst its upgrades.