vic wrote:China used hundreds of Mig19 & 21 clones between 1960 to 2000 as their primary air defense fighters. Similarly we can use 3000 LCA between 2015 to 2045 as our primary air defense and Strike aircraft. LCA stealth characteristics can be further improved by using stealth pods. We have to learn to rely upon ourselves.
This is seriously OT, but there is no indication that the doctrine of "huge quantity of pitiful quality" adopted by the Chinese in their worst nightmarish timeframes 1960-2000 would be appropriate for India in 2013. Heck it is not clear if it is being adopted even by Chinese right now.
1) The same doctrine, envisaged that it was acceptable to loose over 1000+ soldiers to gain a company position in Rezang La. In 1962, despite the political mismanagement of horrendous position, IA was already begining to regain its footing, at the remaining battles if the Chinese had not wisely returned to their old posts with a show of victory, would have gone the way of Rezang La.
India neither can afford nor want to fight battles in human waves, with nary a thought to cost and life.
2) If we want 3000 a/c instead of 500 fighters right now. We are talking about increasing the logistical footprint about 6 times. That means six times the airstrips, six times the pilots six times the engineering staff. Six times everything.Just the pension costs for the man power would make purchasing the Rafales look free.
In any case even if India thought it was prudent to spend the money to increase GDP. Getting real estate for 6 times the airstrips is impossible problem in a country where land is at such premium that exist defence land is under pressure.
Of course they can cluster all their a/c on the existing locations, making them perfect targets for large scale denial attacks.
3) Time frame is of course yet another issue -- the issues which plague programs like LCA and Arjun in terms of delays, are less to do with money spent on the program but structural reasons like poor program management.
Unless those problems are fixed -- and it can be demonstrated that the MIL-Ind complex is indeed ready to scale up, banking on LCAs in this time frame will not yield anything.