Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

All threads that are locked or marked for deletion will be moved to this forum. The topics will be cleared from this archive on the 1st and 16th of each month.
Locked
John
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3447
Joined: 03 Feb 2001 12:31

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by John »

This will make pinaka as one of most widely deployed modern mbrl even the russians don't have that many Smerch.
Yagnasri wrote:AAD and Prahar is somethings which are not not in the news. Prahar also could be game changer.
I agree about AAD especially if it is adapated for naval purpose and deployed in L&T UVLS launchers on P15A.

As for Prahar its bit redundant especially with pinaka Mk2 , Brahmos and Nirbhay. And not to mention there is Brahmos M in the horizon which would cheaper and more compact.
Karan M
Forum Moderator
Posts: 20782
Joined: 19 Mar 2010 00:58

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Karan M »

Kashi wrote:^^ Which could also mean that they are fairly confident about our own ABM and PAD programmes not to mention Akash.

Chaiwallah says ABM/PAD is well on track!!
There continues to be a push for imports under urgent needs bla bla and attempt to scupper any significant local orders for local systems. The MOD etc have firmly told that make do with what's in current pipeline. There are Akash/Akash Mk2/Maitri/QRSAM/MRSAM/ABM program. Once again, if some folks had their way we'd be ordering Russian en masse and then wondering how to get spares a decade later. :roll:
Best we get limited number of systems for current needs and rely on ourselves for the long term.
Karan M
Forum Moderator
Posts: 20782
Joined: 19 Mar 2010 00:58

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Karan M »

John wrote:As for Prahar its bit redundant especially with pinaka Mk2 , Brahmos and Nirbhay.
Pinaka Mk2 has a third of the range. Brahmos is super expensive with an onboard seeker and limited by Russian supplies till it is indigenized. Nirbhay, yet to be indigenized engine wise.
And not to mention there is Brahmos M in the horizon which would cheaper and more compact.
No evidence it will be cheaper.
Last edited by Karan M on 18 Dec 2015 04:25, edited 1 time in total.
Karan M
Forum Moderator
Posts: 20782
Joined: 19 Mar 2010 00:58

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Karan M »

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/indi ... 226062.cms

This is Rs 39000 crore ie $6.5Bn.
For rough ballpark figures.
http://thediplomat.com/2015/04/sold-rus ... -to-china/
It seems Russia has decided to go through with the deal despite these concerns. The details of the actual deal have not been revealed, but reports in November indicated that China “had signed a $3 billion contract for at least six S-400 divisions, which have about eight missile launchers each.”
So we'll have roughly double the above. We are talking of 96 missile launchers & 6000 missiles.
Three deployed against Pak, two against PRC.

Looks like cities will get dedicated ABM system and above S-400 will likely protect key AFB/C3I/Defence nodes.
brar_w
BRF Oldie
Posts: 10694
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by brar_w »

Karan M wrote:http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/indi ... 226062.cms

So we'll have roughly double the above. We are talking of 96 missile launchers & 6000 missiles.
Three deployed against Pak, two against PRC.
How did you get that figure?
Last edited by brar_w on 18 Dec 2015 04:43, edited 1 time in total.
Indranil
Forum Moderator
Posts: 8428
Joined: 02 Apr 2010 01:21

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Indranil »

Prahaar will be way cheaper than Brahmos, any day!
John
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3447
Joined: 03 Feb 2001 12:31

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by John »

Karan M wrote:
John wrote:As for Prahar its bit redundant especially with pinaka Mk2 , Brahmos and Nirbhay.
Pinaka Mk2 has a third of the range. Brahmos is super expensive with an onboard seeker and limited by Russian supplies till it is indigenized. Nirbhay, yet to be indigenized engine wise.
And not to mention there is Brahmos M in the horizon which would cheaper and more compact.
No evidence it will be cheaper.
Brahmos M is supposed to be cheaper than brahmos as per last article i will link it if possible.

Brahmos had much higher terminal velocity than Prahar and packs far bigger punch. Apart from the fact that it is guided and can preprogrammed to target different target mid course. Also Brahmos is much harder to shoot down, considering large number of SHORAD and S300 clone system chinese are fielding.

I dont know how good short range ballistic missile will do in that theatre. We can all play arm general chairs but there is good reason why the army is not procuring it.
Kashi
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3671
Joined: 06 May 2011 13:53

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Kashi »

Karan M wrote:Best we get limited number of systems for current needs and rely on ourselves for the long term.
I believe that's what is happening, albeit, not uniformly. In this case, we will purchase S-400 for immediate needs and then start bringing our own systems into the fray as they mature.

Same with the IAF being firmly told to accept LCA.

I would like to see MoD be more assertive on Dhanush and Arjun as well.
srai
BRF Oldie
Posts: 5299
Joined: 23 Oct 2001 11:31

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by srai »

John wrote:
Karan M wrote:...

Pinaka Mk2 has a third of the range. Brahmos is super expensive with an onboard seeker and limited by Russian supplies till it is indigenized. Nirbhay, yet to be indigenized engine wise.

{quote} And not to mention there is Brahmos M in the horizon which would cheaper and more compact.{/quote}

No evidence it will be cheaper.
Brahmos M is supposed to be cheaper than brahmos as per last article i will link it if possible.

Brahmos had much higher terminal velocity than Prahar and packs far bigger punch. Apart from the fact that it is guided and can preprogrammed to target different target mid course. Also Brahmos is much harder to shoot down, considering large number of SHORAD and S300 clone system chinese are fielding.

I dont know how good short range ballistic missile will do in that theatre. We can all play arm general chairs but there is good reason why the army is not procuring it.
it sounds like you are confusing a LR PGM in Brahmos for hitting a single high value target vs a LR MRBL Prahar, which is an area weapon launched in salvos. The reason why the IA hasn't bought any Prahar is because they don't have a doctrine that requires it as yet and associated sensors for targeting at those ranges in place. But that will change in the future as longer ranged systems become the norm. I would think 150km range MRBL is perfectly suited for the new Cold Start doctrine that envisages penetration of limited depth supported by massive firepower destroying areas of troop and logistics concentration in the rear. Also, at 150-200km ranges regular salvos of Prahar would keep PAF airbases in check like when air attacks or ground operations are planned within the protective coverage of those airbases.
Thakur_B
BRF Oldie
Posts: 2404
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Thakur_B »

Jugal R Purohit ‏@jrpur 15h15 hours ago
JUST IN: IAF's vintage Pechora air defence missile systems to be digitized @ Rs 1200cr.
Jugal R Purohit ‏@jrpur 15h15 hours ago
JUST IN: India to purchase five units of Russian S400 air defence system. Cost will be worked out in due course.
Cleared by DAC
pkudva
BRFite
Posts: 170
Joined: 23 Jul 2008 13:57

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by pkudva »

Thakur_B wrote:
Jugal R Purohit ‏@jrpur 15h15 hours ago
JUST IN: IAF's vintage Pechora air defence missile systems to be digitized @ Rs 1200cr.
Jugal R Purohit ‏@jrpur 15h15 hours ago
JUST IN: India to purchase five units of Russian S400 air defence system. Cost will be worked out in due course.
Cleared by DAC
Is it not in earlier DAC meet, the Digitization of Perchora was also cleared how come it has surfaced again.
Bihanga
BRFite -Trainee
Posts: 93
Joined: 04 Jul 2010 12:23

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Bihanga »

Karan M wrote:http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/indi ... 226062.cms

This is Rs 39000 crore ie $6.5Bn.
For rough ballpark figures.
http://thediplomat.com/2015/04/sold-rus ... -to-china/
It seems Russia has decided to go through with the deal despite these concerns. The details of the actual deal have not been revealed, but reports in November indicated that China “had signed a $3 billion contract for at least six S-400 divisions, which have about eight missile launchers each.”
So we'll have roughly double the above. We are talking of 96 missile launchers & 6000 missiles.
Three deployed against Pak, two against PRC.

Looks like cities will get dedicated ABM system and above S-400 will likely protect key AFB/C3I/Defence nodes.
One more point would like to add, S-400 is known for defending against Stealth Fighter Jets, perhaps the reason for increased Chinese flight test of prototype version of J-20 and J-31. Chinese probably doing the same with similar purchase to defend against US stealth bomber in south china sea.
Bihanga
BRFite -Trainee
Posts: 93
Joined: 04 Jul 2010 12:23

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Bihanga »

In 2014, DRDO published intention to produce 5000 Pinaka rockets per year, however can somebody explain detailed break up of Pinaka regiment comprises of?
Karan M
Forum Moderator
Posts: 20782
Joined: 19 Mar 2010 00:58

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Karan M »

BrarW
http://www.hindustantimes.com/india/cen ... euDVK.html

Although the military had earlier projected a requirement of a dozen S-400 systems, the defence ministry is clear that only five systems are sufficient to take care of the future airborne threat from across India’s borders. The S-400 is a proven antiaircraft system, and is widely considered the most advanced of its kind in the world, with the capability of engaging missiles as well as aircraft. It comes with a mobile launcher and a threat detection radar-cum-command centre. The deal includes purchase of some 6,000 missiles from Russia.
Karan M
Forum Moderator
Posts: 20782
Joined: 19 Mar 2010 00:58

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Karan M »

Pinaka
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pinaka_mu ... t_launcher
K J Daniel, Project Director, Pinaka, calls it “a system” and explains how massive each system is. A Pinaka battery has six launchers, six loader vehicles, six replenishment vehicles, two vehicles for ferrying the command post and a vehicle for carrying the meteorological radar, which will provide data on winds.[9]

The first Pinaka regiment was raised on February 2000. Each regiment consists of three batteries of six Pinakas each, plus reserves.[11] On 29 March 2006, the Indian Army awarded Tata Power SED and Larsen & Toubro's Heavy Engineering Division a contract worth ₹ 200 crore (US $45 million), to produce 40 Pinaka MBRLs each. Tata Power SED declared that it would be delivering the first units within six months.[12] The Indian Army has placed an intent for Pinaka Weapon System worth ₹ 1,300 crores.[13]
Karan M
Forum Moderator
Posts: 20782
Joined: 19 Mar 2010 00:58

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Karan M »

In short these are fairly powerful formations! 18 launchers with 12 missiles each. Thats 216 rockets per salvo.
Typically each battery is powerful enough to be deployed in an independent fashion.
Karan M
Forum Moderator
Posts: 20782
Joined: 19 Mar 2010 00:58

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Karan M »

John wrote:Brahmos M is supposed to be cheaper than brahmos as per last article i will link it if possible.
Cheaper than brahmos? Perhaps.. cheaper than prahaar? Doubtful.
Brahmos had much higher terminal velocity than Prahar and packs far bigger punch.
At higher cost.
Apart from the fact that it is guided and can preprogrammed to target different target mid course. Also Brahmos is much harder to shoot down, considering large number of SHORAD and S300 clone system chinese are fielding.
As if Prahaar/Pragati haven't taken these factors into account. The missile system has capability of deployment in stand-alone mode or centralised mode. its effective and intelligent end trajectory maneuvreing, Pragati defeats detection by any weapon locating radar.
I dont know how good short range ballistic missile will do in that theatre. We can all play arm general chairs but there is good reason why the army is not procuring it.
[/quote]

There is actually "no good reason" etc or anything that anyone in armchairs can predict - including statements like "good reason IA is not buying it". These are your assumptions whereas in the past, Chander (DRDO) noted in late 2014 " The under-development Prahar missile would be offered to the Army for user trials very soon and after its acceptance, it is planned to be part of its Corps of Artillery. "

Besides IA has a lot to do with their pending requirements for conventional systems such as tube arty, C3I and tank upgrades never mind the huge expense for FINSAS and other programs.

In fact, we have been over this before. You repeat the same statements again and again, despite evidence to the contrary.
viewtopic.php?p=1612846
viewtopic.php?p=1613386#p1613386

Evidence states IA is placing orders methodically per its funding availability. First Pinaka, now there will be Pinaka Mk2 and Prahaar as well. You have no certain evidence in any form to state Prahaar won't be ordered either.
pkudva
BRFite
Posts: 170
Joined: 23 Jul 2008 13:57

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by pkudva »

No news on Export version of Prahaar....i.e "Pragati", Shourya are all un heard these Days.
rohitvats
BR Mainsite Crew
Posts: 7830
Joined: 08 Sep 2005 18:24
Location: Jatland

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by rohitvats »

John wrote: Brahmos M is supposed to be cheaper than brahmos as per last article i will link it if possible.

Brahmos had much higher terminal velocity than Prahar and packs far bigger punch. Apart from the fact that it is guided and can preprogrammed to target different target mid course. Also Brahmos is much harder to shoot down, considering large number of SHORAD and S300 clone system chinese are fielding.

I dont know how good short range ballistic missile will do in that theatre. We can all play arm general chairs but there is good reason why the army is not procuring it.
Brahmos is the proverbial silver bullet to be used by theater commanders for very high value targets. The price of the system will preclude mass deployment. Today, we have 1 x Brahmos Regiment per artillery division for a total of three. And that too, only with Strike Corps. I don't see Brahmos proliferating anytime soon to Pivot Corps. Prahaar will not only give additional fire-power and options for Strike Corps but also give a fairly accurate system to Pivot Corps.

Further, after Brahmos, we've the Smerch and then Pinaka/Pinaka 2. And while Smerch might have the same range as Prahaar, it lacks the guidance. Prahaar falls between Brahmos and Smerch. As it is, we've only three Regiments of Smerch.

So, we're talking about Prahaar requirement from multiple angles.
rohitvats
BR Mainsite Crew
Posts: 7830
Joined: 08 Sep 2005 18:24
Location: Jatland

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by rohitvats »

Bihanga wrote:In 2014, DRDO published intention to produce 5000 Pinaka rockets per year, however can somebody explain detailed break up of Pinaka regiment comprises of?
Three batteries of 6 Pinaka launchers each for a total of 18 launchers/regiment.
Cybaru
BRF Oldie
Posts: 2932
Joined: 12 Jun 2000 11:31
Contact:

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Cybaru »

Sorry, I know google will help, but really how many pinaka on order so far in all.
rohitvats
BR Mainsite Crew
Posts: 7830
Joined: 08 Sep 2005 18:24
Location: Jatland

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by rohitvats »

srai wrote: it sounds like you are confusing a LR PGM in Brahmos for hitting a single high value target vs a LR MRBL Prahar, which is an area weapon launched in salvos. The reason why the IA hasn't bought any Prahar is because they don't have a doctrine that requires it as yet and associated sensors for targeting at those ranges in place. But that will change in the future as longer ranged systems become the norm. I would think 150km range MRBL is perfectly suited for the new Cold Start doctrine that envisages penetration of limited depth supported by massive firepower destroying areas of troop and logistics concentration in the rear. Also, at 150-200km ranges regular salvos of Prahar would keep PAF airbases in check like when air attacks or ground operations are planned within the protective coverage of those airbases.
With respect to the bold part - can we not indulge in such grand standing arguments? How do you know what army does or does not in terms of strategy? An army uses artillery division as a 'maneuver arm' for 'maneuver by fire' needs lessons from arm chair generals on how to deploy Prahaar because it does 'not have doctrine' for it?

How do we know where Prahaar stands in terms of accuracy? The missile is supposed to do 'X'...does it effectively do that? Are we in a position to mass produce it?

All the news items about the missile have been positive about it with everyone emphasizing what impact it can have on tactical scenario. Could it be that non-deployment of Prahaar (because it is very good) was a CBM for the pakees by the UPA-2?

We don't have any information, chaiwala or otherwise, and it would be better to not indulge in such statements.
rohitvats
BR Mainsite Crew
Posts: 7830
Joined: 08 Sep 2005 18:24
Location: Jatland

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by rohitvats »

Cybaru wrote:Sorry, I know google will help, but really how many pinaka on order so far in all.
We're two or three (most probably three) regiments operational with one per artillery division. And six more regiments on order now. For a total of 9 regiments so far. Plus, IA also has 5 BM-21 GRAD regiments soldiering on as well.
Kashi
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3671
Joined: 06 May 2011 13:53

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Kashi »

rohitvats wrote:Could it be that non-deployment of Prahaar (because it is very good) was a CBM for the pakees by the UPA-2?

We don't have any information, chaiwala or otherwise, and it would be better to not indulge in such statements.
UPA-2 has not been there for 18 months now. What's stopping Prahaar from being deployed? One can only guess that their remain a few operational issues that need to be ironed out before the missile is formally inducted and deployed.
Yagnasri
BRF Oldie
Posts: 10395
Joined: 29 May 2007 18:03

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Yagnasri »

One thing - Cold Start is not a new thing. It was there for a long time. So far I am not sure we have made any efforts to create infra etc for the same. I may be wrong also and we may have some infrastructure already in place. Gurus have to tell.
srai
BRF Oldie
Posts: 5299
Joined: 23 Oct 2001 11:31

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by srai »

Army’s “Cold Start” doctrine gets teeth

By Ajai Shukla
Business Standard, 22nd July 11

India’s ability to win a quick, pre-emptive war against Pakistan has just been enhanced by a useful new set of teeth. This morning, at a missile test range in Balasore, Orissa, the Defence R&D Organisation (DRDO) launched its first-ever Prahaar missile, a mobile, truck-mounted rocket that can strike within 10 metres of a target that is 150 kilometres away.

The Prahaar gives a huge boost to India’s military doctrine of “Cold Start”. This method of war would be adopted as retaliation for any grave Pakistani provocation, such as another 26/11 Mumbai-style terror attack. Cold Start involves multiple, simultaneous invasions of Pakistani territory with quickly assembled Indian Army battle groups, well before Pakistani forces can reach the border and occupy defensive positions. The Prahaar would provide the army’s invading battle groups with lethal fire support, striking Pakistani headquarters far behind the frontlines, and destroying roads, railways, bridges and other communications infrastructure that are essential for rushing Pakistani forces to the border.

Unlike the DRDO’s Prithvi missile, which was introduced into service as a 150-kilometre range, nuclear-capable ballistic missile, the Prahaar is categorized as a “battlefield tactical missile”. Its maximum payload of 200 kg does not allow the Prahaar to carry a nuclear weapon (which are seldom under 500 kg). But while nuclear capable ballistic missiles are useful only in the nightmarish eventuality of nuclear war, the Prahaar can be useful at every stage of a Cold Start campaign. Being a solid-fuel missile, it can swing into action quickly in response to rapidly evolving situations; and its short flight time --- just 250 seconds, or just over four minutes --- allows it to engage fleeting targets that would disappear in the time that it would take to scramble and fly in fighter aircraft.

Furthermore, the Prahaar’s range of warheads, which the DRDO has developed, gives the Indian Army multiple options. It could carry a cargo warhead containing bomblets that disperse over a wide area, killing any exposed troops. Alternatively, it could carry air-delivered mines, which spread across a piece of terrain, denying passage to enemy infantry or tanks. Or the Prahaar could carry a single, high explosive warhead that can demolish even the best-protected target or critical infrastructure.

So far, many of these targets have fallen to the lot of the Indian Air Force. But in a Cold War situation the emphasis of the IAF, especially during the initial crucial days, would focus on attacking the Pakistan Air Force to prevent it from causing casualties in the Indian Army’s attacking battle groups, or stopping their advance. By using the Prahaar against enemy entities that are beyond the range of artillery guns or rockets (30-40 kilometres); or for interdicting enemy reserves and logistic columns far behind the lines, IAF fighters would be freed up for “counter-air operations” against the PAF.

If, as is more than likely, the IAF buys the Prahaar in numbers, the missile could be effectively launched against forward Pakistani air bases, destroying fighters on the ground and damaging runways, air defence radars and air control networks. Currently, manned fighter aircraft perform these tasks, often at the cost of pilots’ lives and shot down fighters.

Pakistan has no battlefield missile similar to the Prahaar. Over recent years, its scientists have focused on developing the Hatf-9 (or Nasr) short range, ballistic missile, which seeks to deter a Cold Start campaign with its ability to deliver a nuclear warhead to a maximum distance of 60 kilometres. Since most Indian cities are farther than that, strategists believe that the Hatf-9 is intended for counter-force targeting, i.e. against one or more of the Indian Army’s integrated battle groups inside Pakistani territory. This would serve notice of Pakistani resolve to carry out a counter-value strike, which would take the form of a longer-range missile, carrying a nuclear warhead to one or more large Indian cities.

According to the DRDO, the Prahaar is comparable to the US Army’s Advanced Tactical Missile System (ATACMS), which was extensively used during the invasion of Iraq in 2003. The Prahaar is launched from a Road Mobile System developed by Larsen & Toubro, which can carry six missiles. All six can be fired in a salvo, each of them against a different target.

According to the DRDO, the Prahaar was developed in a period of just two years.
Philip
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21538
Joined: 01 Jan 1970 05:30
Location: India

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Philip »

The missile buy is great news.Both an ABM system for the capital,etc.,and the Pinakas,which will give the IA massed firepower at a far cheaper cost than expending expensive missiles. Prahaar cost won't be cheap either.The ER Pinaka is v.good value/
brar_w
BRF Oldie
Posts: 10694
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by brar_w »

Karan M wrote:BrarW
http://www.hindustantimes.com/india/cen ... euDVK.html

Although the military had earlier projected a requirement of a dozen S-400 systems, the defence ministry is clear that only five systems are sufficient to take care of the future airborne threat from across India’s borders. The S-400 is a proven antiaircraft system, and is widely considered the most advanced of its kind in the world, with the capability of engaging missiles as well as aircraft. It comes with a mobile launcher and a threat detection radar-cum-command centre. The deal includes purchase of some 6,000 missiles from Russia.
6000 missiles for 96 launchers looks quite strange bit of mix to me.
kit
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6278
Joined: 13 Jul 2006 18:16

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by kit »

brar_w wrote:
Karan M wrote:BrarW
http://www.hindustantimes.com/india/cen ... euDVK.html

Although the military had earlier projected a requirement of a dozen S-400 systems, the defence ministry is clear that only five systems are sufficient to take care of the future airborne threat from across India’s borders. The S-400 is a proven antiaircraft system, and is widely considered the most advanced of its kind in the world, with the capability of engaging missiles as well as aircraft. It comes with a mobile launcher and a threat detection radar-cum-command centre. The deal includes purchase of some 6,000 missiles from Russia.
6000 missiles for 96 launchers looks quite strange bit of mix to me.
maybe one zero too many !!
Aditya_V
BRF Oldie
Posts: 14354
Joined: 05 Apr 2006 16:25

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Aditya_V »

Then Each Missile, I know we are paying for Radars, Vehicles, Launchers etc comes to $100 million a copy, 10 times the cost of a Brahmos. This is for many reloads required in wartime. You wont get resupply easily from Russia in wartime.
brar_w
BRF Oldie
Posts: 10694
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by brar_w »

maybe one zero too many !!
That was the first thing that came to my mind as well. That many missiles for 96 launchers would mean 15X replenishment per launcher which would be very very strange. Most S300/400 TEL's pack 4 missiles per so 96 will give you 384 missiles deployed. For 6000 missiles to be useful you'd need a lot many more TEL's, to be supported by a lot lot many more radars and command and control units (if even a fourth of them are to be deployed). 600 missiles would mean 216 missiles for replenishment which would be a far more realistic acquisition and deployment strategy.

Further details would probably flow as the deal matures as to what radars, and what sort of missiles are being procured but regardless whether these are medium range, long range or the extended long range versions the price per missile will not be cheap. There were some doubts whether the Chinese would get the 4096 extra-long range missile. There should be more information flowing on the China deal in due course as well (their own media took weeks after Russia announced to formally talk of the deal iirc) in the absence of which there would be plenty of analysts looking at TEL's to see which missiles are carried post receipt of the system.
Then Each Missile, I know we are paying for Radars, Vehicles, Launchers etc comes to $100 million a copy, 10 times the cost of a Brahmos. This is for many reloads required in wartime. You wont get resupply easily from Russia in wartime.
Radars, Command and control, TEL's and other support equipment comes at a cost. These aren't small radars we are talking about. Missiles are generally not the most expensive component of any modern missile defense deal even if you are looking at purely space mid-course or assent phase intercept of ICBM's.
Last edited by brar_w on 18 Dec 2015 19:26, edited 2 times in total.
JTull
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3129
Joined: 18 Jul 2001 11:31

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by JTull »

This large S-400 deal doesn't make sense for me in the context of Make in India. Unlike a strategic system such as nuclear sub, every piece of the system will have scores of units on order. Beyond a small number of off-the-shelf purchases I'd like to see the rest built in India under license.
ldev
BRF Oldie
Posts: 2616
Joined: 06 Nov 2002 12:31

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by ldev »

China supposedly bought 6 S400 "systems" for $3 billion. And India is buying 5 for $6 billion? India will not pay double what China has unless:

1. Other purchases from Russia are being padded into this buy.
2. The number of missiles is substantially more. But it cannot be 6000 missiles. The 6000 missiles alone will be more than $6 billion, let alone the launchers, radar, command centers etc.

The Russians Defence forces induct "battalions". Supposedly each battalion has 8 launchers. So how many launchers is India actually buying @ 4 missiles loaded per launcher. If one goes by the Russian definition of a battalion, then India's buy of 5 battalions will mean 40 launchers. The earlier armed forces proposal would have been for 12 battalions @ 8 launchers per battalion for a total of 96 launchers. We will have to wait for details to emerge I guess.
Sid
BRFite
Posts: 1657
Joined: 19 Mar 2006 13:26

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Sid »

It is most probably a tit for tat purchase for what China bought or is supposed to buy. Russia only authorized its sale to China, but I still haven't seen any confirmation of sale.
OR
Russia told us to get it or they are gonna sell it to China.
OR
There is some immediate threat which we are not aware of. This sale did came out of nowhere.

For whatever reason, not all details are present in this purchase order (which is actually good). Higher cost can also be attributed to setting up of license production of components for this system.
brar_w
BRF Oldie
Posts: 10694
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by brar_w »

China supposedly bought 6 S400 "systems" for $3 billion. And India is buying 5 for $6 billion? India will not pay double what China has unless:
That is meaningless unless context is provided as to what elements of the S400 were procured by China. What radars, what missiles, and what missile mixes. India could simply be buying more sensor coverage etc. There is too little known about the Chinese deal to make a valid comparison. But from the wantchinatimes article we know that a conventional battalion has 8 TEL's, a radar and 16 spare missiles for a total of 48 missiles. They bought (as per WCT) 6 such units giving them 48 TEL's and 288 Missiles in total for $3 Billion (apparently) since the same article said a cost of one such unit was $500 Million. If you simply double this you get 96 TEL's ( I think this is what Karan used), double the radars, double the missiles and double the cost i.e. $6 Billion for 12 'units' with 96 launchers and nearly 600 missiles. Or you could simply see a situation in which India is getting wider sensor coverage, multiple radars for discrimination and early warning and more of a Ballistic Missile Defense like setup that would warrant longer ranged coverage.
No mix of missiles, or no further details on the sensors were shared.

http://missilethreat.com/china-buys-six ... ia-report/
Last edited by brar_w on 18 Dec 2015 19:32, edited 2 times in total.
ldev
BRF Oldie
Posts: 2616
Joined: 06 Nov 2002 12:31

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by ldev »

^^^
At various sites on the internet it has been stated that a S400 set/system/battalion will be exported by Russia for $500 million presumably with the standard components (including 48 missiles) as mentioned by you. The $6 billion i.e. Rs 40,000 crores figure mentioned in news articles indicates a purchase of $500x12 battalions = $6 billion. But the news articles also state that Indian MOD reduced the number of systems to be bought down to 5 from the 12 that were proposed by the armed forces.

Lots of confusion regarding actual numbers/costs. Maybe there could be some technology transfer, maybe some future Make in India proposal, maybe an upgrade path to the S500 system which is undergoing testing??
Last edited by ldev on 18 Dec 2015 19:32, edited 1 time in total.
brar_w
BRF Oldie
Posts: 10694
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by brar_w »



BRFite

Joined: 06 Nov 2002 12:31
Posts: 1019

^^^
At various sites on the internet it has been stated that a S400 set/system/battalion will be exported by Russia for $500 million presumably with the standard components (including 48 missiles) as mentioned by you. The $6 billion i.e. Rs 40,000 crores figure mentioned in news articles indicates a purchase of $500x12 battalions = $6 billion. But the news articles also states that Indian MOD reduced the number of systems to 5 down from the 12 that were proposed by the armed forces.

Lots of confusion regarding actual numbers/costs.
That assumes that India has bought an off the shelf S400 setup rather than create a more customized version with wider sensor coverage and perhaps more TEL's as well. I would also not take the number of units (and what each unit contains) to be rock solid until more details emerge as the discussions conclude and a deal is about to be signed.
Last edited by brar_w on 18 Dec 2015 20:00, edited 2 times in total.
ldev
BRF Oldie
Posts: 2616
Joined: 06 Nov 2002 12:31

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by ldev »

^^
True.
Sid
BRFite
Posts: 1657
Joined: 19 Mar 2006 13:26

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by Sid »

srai wrote: it sounds like you are confusing a LR PGM in Brahmos for hitting a single high value target vs a LR MRBL Prahar, which is an area weapon launched in salvos. The reason why the IA hasn't bought any Prahar is because they don't have a doctrine that requires it as yet and associated sensors for targeting at those ranges in place. But that will change in the future as longer ranged systems become the norm. I would think 150km range MRBL is perfectly suited for the new Cold Start doctrine that envisages penetration of limited depth supported by massive firepower destroying areas of troop and logistics concentration in the rear. Also, at 150-200km ranges regular salvos of Prahar would keep PAF airbases in check like when air attacks or ground operations are planned within the protective coverage of those airbases.
It should fill the same role as ATACMS in US army, although not having the same punch.

IMO it was more of a message to porkiland for their provocations by inducting Nasir. Hopefully they got the message.
John
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3447
Joined: 03 Feb 2001 12:31

Re: Indian Missiles and Munitions Discussion - June'14

Post by John »

Karan M wrote:
In fact, we have been over this before. You repeat the same statements again and again, despite evidence to the contrary.
viewtopic.php?p=1612846
viewtopic.php?p=1613386#p1613386

Evidence states IA is placing orders methodically per its funding availability. First Pinaka, now there will be Pinaka Mk2 and Prahaar as well. You have no certain evidence in any form to state Prahaar won't be ordered either.
There is no evidence to state that IA is interested in Prahaar it is dead project let's move on rather than repeatedly bringing it up. There are numerous article clearly stating IA has no interest in Prahaar what so ever, you can make hundred different claims every year about how that will change but it is not.

As i made the statement earlier we don't know how much Prahaar costs. Let's take a look at ATACMS which are similar are quite expensive and they cost slightly more than TLAM. Not sure where you got the impression that 1.5 ton solid fueled missile can be built cheaply, even crudely made hizb missiles fired at israel reportedly cost in upwards of 400k according to IDF.
Locked