Perspectives on the global economic changes

The Technology & Economic Forum is a venue to discuss issues pertaining to Technological and Economic developments in India. We request members to kindly stay within the mandate of this forum and keep their exchanges of views, on a civilised level, however vehemently any disagreement may be felt. All feedback regarding forum usage may be sent to the moderators using the Feedback Form or by clicking the Report Post Icon in any objectionable post for proper action. Please note that the views expressed by the Members and Moderators on these discussion boards are that of the individuals only and do not reflect the official policy or view of the Bharat-Rakshak.com Website. Copyright Violation is strictly prohibited and may result in revocation of your posting rights - please read the FAQ for full details. Users must also abide by the Forum Guidelines at all times.
Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 07 Oct 2017 11:05

US Economy where we are right now



Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 22 Oct 2017 13:41

Wasnt this predicted now its officially stated by Fed Chair another QE :lol:

Yellen says Fed might turn to QE in another downturn

Janet Yellen, the Federal Reserve chair, has warned that there is an “uncomfortably high” risk that the central bank will have to deploy crisis-era stimulus tools again — even in the case of a less severe downturn than the Great Recession.

Her comments come as President Donald Trump considers a sharp change of direction at the Fed which could see him install new leadership that is much more dubious about the Fed’s use of quantitative easing.

Ms Yellen said in a speech that the US economy had made “great strides” but that policymakers may be unable to lift short-term rates very far as the recovery proceeds.

This could leave the Fed once again leaning on quantitative easing and forward guidance on the future rate outlook when the economy hits a downturn, she suggested.

“The probability that short-term interest rates may need to be reduced to their effective lower bound at some point is uncomfortably high, even in the absence of a major financial and economic crisis,” she said in a speech in Washington DC.


Ms Yellen said unconventional policy should be used once again if the Fed has to cut its target range for the federal funds rate to near-zero levels, from about 1-1.25 per cent now.

In her speech, Ms Yellen pointed out that most Fed policymakers only expect to lift the federal funds rate to about 2.75 per cent in the coming years, well below previous norms, suggesting there will be little room to cut rates again when a new downturn strikes. This meant the Fed needed to remain prepared to deploy new rounds of asset purchases.


“Does this mean that it will take another Great Recession for our unconventional tools to be used again? Not necessarily. Recent studies suggest that the neutral level of the federal funds rate appears to be much lower than it was in previous decades,” Ms Yellen said.

“The bottom line is that we must recognise that our unconventional tools might have to be used again. If we are indeed living in a low-neutral-rate world, a significantly less severe economic downturn than the Great Recession might be sufficient to drive short-term interest rates back to their effective lower bound.”

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 27 Oct 2017 11:41

Keiser Report: Credit Market Crash? (E1141)


Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 27 Oct 2017 13:33

Michael Pento - Crazy Stock Market Will Crash


Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 31 Oct 2017 12:01

Marc Faber - Massive Fraud In This Financial Bubble


Gyan
BRFite
Posts: 960
Joined: 26 Aug 2016 19:14

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Gyan » 31 Oct 2017 13:30

By resorting to QE, USA faces 30 year recession and potential loss of its economic super power status. Or USA can cleanse the system of high asset prices by market crash. But I don't think FED will allow crash. So the only solution is 30 year grinding recession. Perhaps destruction of Middle East & Europe will be pursued aggressively to maintain US Dollar dominance during these 30 years.

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 01 Nov 2017 21:41

$63 Trillion of Global Government Debt in One Visualization:

Image

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 05 Nov 2017 13:41

Peter Schiff // The bubble now is housing, stock market & bond bubble combined


Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 05 Nov 2017 16:40

David Stockman‏ @DA_Stockman

Chart of the Day: The New Middle Kingdom Of Debt http://davidstockmanscontracorner.com/chart-of-the-d

Image

panduranghari
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3725
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby panduranghari » 22 Nov 2017 19:39

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 24 Nov 2017 23:27

The regulator plans to take first steps towards formation of a single trade system with the People’s Republic of China in 2018

http://tass.com/economy/977276/amp

panduranghari
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3725
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby panduranghari » 25 Nov 2017 16:03

Do Rich Countries Lend to Poor Countries?

Alfaro and Chauvin caution that the broad finding from the macro literature is that across countries, FDI is not unambiguously associated with GDP growth; sound local financial markets are an important precondition for benefits of FDI to materialize. But inflows of FDI do seem less likely to end in tears.


The stylised Lucas Paradox was never the puzzle that overall current account data suggested. EMEs have benefited from net flows of private capital from advanced economies before and after the global financial crisis, masked by the behaviour of sovereigns and their reserve accumulation. But some elements of these private flows (portfolio and banking) have proven fickle in recent years. If EMEs are to successfully ride the current wave of positive sentiment, in the face of a normalisation of monetary policy in advanced economies, they will need to continue to strengthen the credibility of their policy frameworks and institutions.


Image

Image

Image

Image

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 05 Dec 2017 22:10

panduranghari , neshant for you

James Rickards // Gold -- The Past and Future Money


Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 09 Dec 2017 11:02

Laurie Voss‏ @seldo

Coinbase attempts to gently warn its customers that if a crash starts they cannot possibly pull their money out fast enough to save themselves:


Singha
BRF Oldie
Posts: 62692
Joined: 13 Aug 2004 19:42
Location: the grasshopper lies heavy

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Singha » 09 Dec 2017 16:55

Sunset of the Great Ape

https://captainserval.tumblr.com/post/1 ... pps-tumblr

twitter: @Captainserval

A_Gupta
BRF Oldie
Posts: 10468
Joined: 23 Oct 2001 11:31
Contact:

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby A_Gupta » 12 Dec 2017 04:51

For those who want to study South Korea's policies:
http://voxdev.org/topic/firms-trade/man ... ialisation

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 15 Dec 2017 14:03

Chart of the Day: Red Ponzi Update---The Party (Congress) Is Over

Image

http://davidstockmanscontracorner.com/c ... s-is-over/

TKiran
BRFite
Posts: 836
Joined: 13 Dec 2009 00:22

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby TKiran » 15 Dec 2017 14:40

WhatsApp message about Bitcoin
Want to know about

*BITCOIN*

A lot of monkeys lived near a village.

One day a merchant came to the village to buy these monkeys!

He announced that he will buy the monkeys @ $100 each.

The villagers thought that this man is mad.

They thought how can somebody buy stray monkeys at $100 each?

Still, some people caught some monkeys and gave it to this merchant and he gave $100 for each monkey.

This news spread like wildfire and people caught monkeys and sold it to the merchant.

After a few days, the merchant announced that he will buy monkeys @ 200 each.

The lazy villagers also ran around to catch the remaining monkeys!

They sold the remaining monkeys @ 200 each.

Then the merchant announced that he will buy monkeys @ 500 each!

The villagers start to lose sleep! ... They caught six or seven monkeys, which was all that was left and got 500 each.

The villagers were waiting anxiously for the next announcement.

Then the merchant announced that he is going home for a week. And when he returns, he will buy monkeys @ 1000 each!

He asked his employee to take care of the monkeys he bought. He was alone taking care of all the monkeys in a cage.

The merchant went home.

The villagers were very sad as there were no more monkeys left for them to sell it at $1000 each.

Then the employee told them that he will sell some monkeys @ 700 each secretly.

This news spread like fire. Since the merchant buys monkey @ 1000 each, there is a 300 profit for each monkey.

The next day, villagers made a queue near the monkey cage.

The employee sold all the monkeys at 700 each. The rich bought monkeys in big lots. The poor borrowed money from money lenders and also bought monkeys!

The villagers took care of their monkeys & waited for the merchant to return.

But nobody came! ... Then they ran to the employee...

But he has already left too !

The villagers then realised that they have bought the useless stray monkeys @ 700 each and unable to sell them!

The Bitcoin will be the next monkey business

It will make a lot of people bankrupt and a few people filthy rich in this monkey business.

That' how it will work

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 15 Dec 2017 15:16

Hahahhaha , Nice Story.

The same applies to Stock Prices today , The Merchant is Central Bank and his Employee are corporate , Both together are pumping the stock market so that investors can put in more money which the stock prices crash the Investors aka Villagers will realise they were fooled into it :rotfl:

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 17 Dec 2017 11:54

Historic Bond Bubble Means Fastest Rate Rise Ever – Martin Armstrong


Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 24 Dec 2017 12:29

David Stockman - Thundering Collision Coming in Bond Market


Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 24 Dec 2017 12:38

We talked to an economist who predicted the Great Recession about the next financial crisis


Jim Rickards has seen first hand the bailout of hedge funds and has testified before congress about the 2008 financial crisis.

He says another recession could hit before the Federal Reserve is done unwinding the processes put in places to save us from the crisis a decade ago.

Rickards expects gold to go to $10,000 an ounce as some central banks may have to resort to the gold standard to restore confidence in the markets.

A_Gupta
BRF Oldie
Posts: 10468
Joined: 23 Oct 2001 11:31
Contact:

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby A_Gupta » 30 Dec 2017 20:41

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles ... -on-growth
America's Superstar Companies Are a Drag on Growth
Lack of competition lets them gouge consumers, underpay workers and invest too little.
Like all big, sweeping theses about the economy, this story can’t be proven or disproven with a single research paper, or even a dozen papers. But like detectives, economists can probe various pieces and see how each one checks out. In the past few years, researchers have found that industrial concentration -- measured by the market share of the four biggest companies in an industry -- has indeed been increasing in most parts of the U.S. economy. They’ve documented a correlation between industrial concentration and a decline in labor’s share of national income. They’ve confirmed that profits have risen substantially. They’ve documented a slackening in the enforcement of antitrust law. And they’ve found some evidence that after mergers, prices go up while productivity doesn’t improve.

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 31 Dec 2017 07:19

Image

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 31 Dec 2017 08:35

BRICS

IMF GDP per capita, current prices Purchasing power parity; international dollars per capita [ Oct 2017 ]

http://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/ ... HN/ZAF/RUS

GDP based on PPP, share of world

http://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/ ... HN/ZAF/RUS

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 08 Jan 2018 17:49

First Photos of Russian Central Bank Gold Reserves

https://sdelanounas.ru/blogs/102506/

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 10 Jan 2018 14:32

Ruchir Sharma // View on the Asian Economy


Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 11 Jan 2018 21:23

Raghuram Rajan // asset-price inflation, monetary policy and bank regulations


Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 13 Jan 2018 09:36

SPECIAL REPORT: What Has QE Wrought?


Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 14 Jan 2018 10:13

Jim Rickards // This Year trends


Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 17 Jan 2018 16:54

David Stockman on Bannon, Trump, and What's Coming for the Economy


Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 17 Jan 2018 23:12

Image

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 19 Jan 2018 10:46

Gold The Once and Future Money with James Rickards


Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 21 Jan 2018 20:02

India is the largest recipient of AIIB loans.

Image


Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 24 Jan 2018 21:29

Nice I am waiting for Dow Jones to reach 50K and BSE to quickly follow the same as with round the clock trading traders would be on buy buy spreee

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 21767
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby Austin » 24 Jan 2018 21:30

New global gold standard in kilobar may soon be coming
The World Gold Council (WGC) is considering a global standard for 1 kilogram gold bars so they could be used as collateral in futures markets and potentially encourage demand.

People close to the matter told Reuters the aim is to include companies from the world of gold refining, banks and brokers that trade the precious metal in the futures and physical markets, and the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA).

“The plan is to create a standard for kilobars that can be adopted around the world, delivered anywhere, possibly using blockchain to identify the bars, their origins,” a physical gold trading source said. “Rigid standards and blockchain would bring in people who are worried they could be getting conflict metal.”

The kilobar measure dominates Asian trade as gold contracts on the Shanghai Gold Exchange, Shanghai Futures Exchange, and Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing are all in kilobars.

However, lack of transparency about their origin and the absence of a global standard thwart their use on exchanges elsewhere. They cannot be accepted at London Metal Exchange clearing arm LME Clear because they differ from its standard bars which are typically around 400 ounces.

According to sources’ estimates, top consumer China imports about 95 percent of gold in kilobars, while second-largest consumer India imports 80 percent in kilobars. The WGC estimated China’s 2017 gold demand at up to 1,000 tons and India’s at 650 tons.

“The Asian consumer market is in kilobars, it dominates gold trade,” a gold industry source said. “If you want to trade on the LME and you want to lodge your collateral in kilobars in another location, why shouldn’t you be able to? There are vaults all over the world.”

#Gold ignores #cryptocurrency craze having its best year since 2010 https://t.co/FjYV1H0RElpic.twitter.com/FtwvukQnb4

— RT (@RT_com) December 30, 2017
Some refiners worry the global kilobar standard will lead to losses of income, others say it will boost the market.

“You can add a lot of information with blockchain, where the gold was mined, where it was refined, serial numbers, who owned it previously. It could bring new demand to the market,” a physical market source said.

ramana
Forum Moderator
Posts: 50068
Joined: 01 Jan 1970 05:30

Re: Perspectives on the global economic changes

Postby ramana » 25 Jan 2018 00:29

panduranghari You should create this blockchain system for Indian gold with 1/2 kg bars from Indian market.


Return to “Technology & Economic Forum”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests