habal wrote:Problem can only be studied while going smaller towns and small businesses that just about manage to keep above water month-on-month. For these small businesses and tradesmen in small towns, demonitisation was akin to outbreak of war or economic recession.
Sir, I understand what you say and how you feel about the interactions here. I do have my roots in KL, and visit the place many a times a year. And De.Mo was a topic of discussion many a times, when I catch up with my friends (who actually work in the state). Inputs which I could glean out..
- Every body did get this as a shock, and people did have difficulties in getting liquid cash. A friend who had to pay back his loan (given by me), had to delay the payment. I had made a trip to home two weeks after the De.Mo and had met this chap. He had money to pay back the loan, and also actually asked me to roam around the town and see if there is ANY activity which was stopped by De.Mo. Honestly, I did not see any legitimate business closed down (right from the pea nuts vendor on the road, to the local BEVCO outlet).
- Another friend who was dealing with real estate, confirmed that the market is down; but yet again supported De.Mo considering its long term benefits. He had a few lakhs in Co.Op banks and had to take a hit there (with drawal from those banks were a problem). He also mentioned that his friend, who was into garment sales took a hit. They used to work in "only cash" mode, their accounts was in a mess and they also did not get much customers. That chap actually closed down one of his outlets.
- My own relative who was into farming took a hit, as most of his workers (tappers etc.) generally operated in an "only cash" mode. But he was internet savvy, so could rework his payments in such a way that only in absolutely necessary cases he paid out by cash. Now that was in a village, where he knew the HDFC Bank manager. Money was always ready for him (due to his contacts). So he too recovered in about 4 weeks time.
- And the fact that the liquour outlets really did not see any drop in revenue, gave me a feeling that for the "oppressed and downtrodden" (a favourite jargon in KL), they had money to buy their regular quotas.
- What I could understand that in states like KL, there were way too many businesses which operated in "only cash" mode even when dealing with huge sums. Any body associated with those business (even indirectly), would have felt the pain.
- Last but not the least, I don't feel De.Mo was a 100% success either, as it was just last week Keralites were caught by Bengaluru police smuggling bag loads of cash. The usual suspects, from the usual district/locality, if you can understand what I say . They being "back to business", does not augur well.
I was also keenly tracking the "reporting strategy" adopted by the two most popular Malayalam dailies, and "pimping" would a better profession for these two media houses. The media was heavily biased in the state of KL, perhaps the only reason being the advertisement sources of these media houses. From what I observed, the way the Keralite media came up with the "dooms day prediction", is no way close to what you saw on BRF. The state's finance minister is now just sitting and sulking, and so are some old "story tellers" who suddenly became great "economists".
manjgu wrote:IT notices have started arriving thick and fast..
SHQ mentioned that last week they had a tough time reconciling their account books once again. They had some discrepancies in the amounts reported, and the bank HQ wanted every thing to be re-verified. So checkings and double checkings are happening, big time. Which also gave me a feeling that "all is not lost", and the momentum is still there.
KL Dubey wrote:This is generally true in KL too as much as my experience goes - even small shops usually have no problem making a bill and handing it to you. But if one expects a bill for buying flowers or vegetables from a roadside cart, that may be a bit much....
I tend to agree with you. From what I understand the shop keepers in KL, had already become champions in fooling the Sales Tax people and for them giving a bill was not a big problem. Way back in 1990s one jeweller (who had no clue on computers or how they worked), decided to introduce computer billing at his shop. For a common man then computers never made calculation mistakes. This old man had one requirement to the software vendor. If he presses CAPS LOCK and then makes a bill, the money should go to a different account (or a database table). The chap was just asking for their own manual accounting (using multiple ledgers, account books etc.) in the computerised system as well. For this old prominent jeweller his "functional requirements" were very clear from day one!.
And many people also did not insist on a bill for every single purchase they make. Bills were more commonly used for gold purchase or clothes purchase. One main reason being, many shops had one billing counter to generate the bill and another counter to make the payment (a PAID seal affixed on the bill), and the bill then shown to a small counter where the delivery is made (a DELIVERED seal affixed on the bill). But in stationary shops etc, I have rarely seen any body insisting on a bill.