Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

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Suraj
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Suraj »

nam wrote:Demo was a nice little trap laid out by GoI. You don't deposit, you loose the money. You deposit, you lay a paper trail leading back to you and still lose the money.

Either way GoI wins.
Fixed that for you. I'm surprised the press didn't even get that when they talked about '99% of money has been deposited! GoI failed at DeMo!' I stated then that all that's happened is that everyone left a paper trail back to them. The whole 'demo failed because 99% of money came back!' is the dumbest argument I've seen on the matter. GoI *wanted* the paper trail. Now they have all the time to chase it down at a time of their choosing.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by A_Gupta »

hanumadu wrote:Just in time for the 2019 elections. :mrgreen:
The Prime Minister’s Office is expecting to unearth illegal deposits worth Rs 3 lakh crore and has directed the Income-Tax department and MCA to work together to ascertain such deposits.
Hope this happens before GE 2019.
I don't really want to inject politics here, but that Rs 3 lakh crores, if not unearthed and disposed of by GE 2019, are a huge incentive for the owners of that Rs 3 lakh crores to try to buy a different government in GE 2019 that will allow them take back those Rs 3 lakh crores (minus a cut, of course, plus election expenses).

This has to happen before GE 2019.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Suraj »

Err, try and buy with what ? They can't quite write a cheque on that money, and that's a lot of money - four Rafale deals worth. Once their names are tainted, their contributions become tainted too.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by disha »

nam wrote:Demo was a nice little trap laid out by GoI. You don't deposit, you loose the money. You deposit, you lay a paper trail leading back to you and still lose the money.

Either way GoI wins.
Modi mentioned that himself in several of his speeches after DeMo and particularly during elections in Guj. He said as much that he has put a tail on large cash depositors post DeMo and also mentioned the benami account.

Of course press have ulterior motives, OR they are just indulging in lazy journalism when they fall into the "DeMo Failed" chorus.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Gus »

Suraj wrote:Err, try and buy with what ? They can't quite write a cheque on that money, and that's a lot of money - four Rafale deals worth. Once their names are tainted, their contributions become tainted too.
payment will be from the money salvaged. now it makes sense why they did not just not deposit it and burn it.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Suraj »

Ok I’m struggling whether to respond because I do not want to encourage politics . But I’ll simply point out the mechanics -elections are still largely cash run. This whole premise argues that it could somehow be done on credit . I find that dubious .

I do ask that responses be carefully considered . Wild CTs about coulda woulda are just politics in disguise and will be deleted .
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by hanumadu »

A_Gupta wrote:
hanumadu wrote:Just in time for the 2019 elections. :mrgreen:

Hope this happens before GE 2019.
I don't really want to inject politics here, but that Rs 3 lakh crores, if not unearthed and disposed of by GE 2019, are a huge incentive for the owners of that Rs 3 lakh crores to try to buy a different government in GE 2019 that will allow them take back those Rs 3 lakh crores (minus a cut, of course, plus election expenses).

This has to happen before GE 2019.
The 3 lakh crores is probably spread over many many companies that it would be hard for them to organise and coordinate. Each individual entity probably does not have too great an amount to further risk attracting attention to it.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Kashi »

hanumadu wrote:The 3 lakh crores is probably spread over many many companies that it would be hard for them to organise and coordinate. Each individual entity probably does not have too great an amount to further risk attracting attention to it.
This is one reason that Aadahr-PAN linkage is being opposed. At present many businesses operate multiple bank accounts linked with multiple PANs. Now if linked with aadhar, they all can be traced to a single source and the assets will be viewed and processed singularly. Hence there are a lot of noises about loss of privacy and the rumours about Fin. Min planning to take over bank deposits to overcome NPA problems.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by A_Gupta »

Coordination is not needed, any more than the "invisible hand of the market" needs coordination. All it needs is some signaling in the appropriate circles that this BJP government policy can be reversed by the next government if it is made up of the right parties. If there is a market to be had, a market will be made. I guarantee you that the possessors of this USD 46 billion equivalent that is in jeopardy aren't poor even if they lose this money, and the chance of getting most of it back will be an incentive for them. I will also say that it increasingly seems to me that the very wealthy have channels of communication that are not at all visible to the press or the public most of the time. But I will say no more on this topic. I just hope the GoI acts quickly and decisively.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Gus »

Suraj - last post on this.

You are right about the 'but where is the money now to run elections...it's all locked up' part. but the hope was that the money deposited is salvageable in a friendly govt. it's that hope that drove the creation of these shell companies and depositing of money. otherwise they would have just burned it or took the GKY(?) plan.

many parties have generated slush money already for electioneering. in TN, at TASMAC outlets a 10 Rs extra was demanded from all bottles and it was meant to refill the pool. in many other areas, regional parties still dominate local contracting and money making out of that. Only congress seems to be left out and is probably drawing from reserves and the couple states it still has.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by nandakumar »

Deleted
Last edited by Suraj on 28 Mar 2018 21:23, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Going off topic
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Suraj »

Ok, clearly going OT into politics now.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by A_Gupta »

Cross-post from the Economy thread

http://www.zdnet.com/article/mobile-pay ... sidelines/
"Mobile payments skyrocket in India while banks watch from the sidelines

Digital payments firms like PayTM, Google Tez, and the recent entrant WhatsApp are rapidly pushing credit and debit cards into the background."
The speed at which this has been happening in India is remarkable, but it makes complete sense when you remember that cash was king in the country simply because banks have been excruciatingly slow to bring the 800 million or so unbanked into the financial system. It just didn't make economic sense to them.

Then came two seismic events that transformed things almost overnight. One was the mandatory opening of hundreds of millions of bank accounts in a thrust led by the Modi government that was then linked to a national identification scheme with biometrics. Suddenly, a whole new population received access to digital payments even though they may not have smartphones that allow them to make this happen as yet. But even smartphone adoption is changing rapidly.

Secondly, when the Modi government almost overnight took 86 percent of the existing currency in India out of circulation, it gave one sector an unlikely boost, even if businesses and citizens nationwide were reeling because of a lack of cash to conduct daily activities -- the number of UPI transactions skyrocketed by as much as 57,000 percent to date, according to Mint.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Neshant »

Digital currency is all about controlling and expropriating a person's earnings by a select few.

Invariably these banksters, govt bureaucrats and so on generate no wealth themselves and are thus dependent on extracting that wealth from the productive elements of society through price fixing (aka interest rate setting) or counterfeiting (aka money printing) or confiscation (aka taxing with no/poor representation).

It's promoted as being for your own good.

The irony is that the more this theft through govt enforced demonetization takes place, the faster people will jump into peer-to-peer and other decentralized forms of crypto-currencies to get away from this theft.

It's a realm that makes taking away the fruits of a person's labor way harder.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by kiranA »

A_Gupta wrote:Cross-post from the Economy thread

http://www.zdnet.com/article/mobile-pay ... sidelines/
"Mobile payments skyrocket in India while banks watch from the sidelines

Digital payments firms like PayTM, Google Tez, and the recent entrant WhatsApp are rapidly pushing credit and debit cards into the background."
The speed at which this has been happening in India is remarkable, but it makes complete sense when you remember that cash was king in the country simply because banks have been excruciatingly slow to bring the 800 million or so unbanked into the financial system. It just didn't make economic sense to them.

Then came two seismic events that transformed things almost overnight. One was the mandatory opening of hundreds of millions of bank accounts in a thrust led by the Modi government that was then linked to a national identification scheme with biometrics. Suddenly, a whole new population received access to digital payments even though they may not have smartphones that allow them to make this happen as yet. But even smartphone adoption is changing rapidly.

Secondly, when the Modi government almost overnight took 86 percent of the existing currency in India out of circulation, it gave one sector an unlikely boost, even if businesses and citizens nationwide were reeling because of a lack of cash to conduct daily activities -- the number of UPI transactions skyrocketed by as much as 57,000 percent to date, according to Mint.
Another catastrophic effect on Indian banks apart from npa is forced opening of loss making bank accounts. These low balance accounts are a drain on banks . The benefits such as digital payments go to private or foreign players. Even then I don'tt think electronic payments are a silver bullet for any economy. Their benefits are real but marginal and wont change tax compliance as very few use it for serious peer to peer transactions such as rent or property purchase etc. They are used mainly for small exchanges within friends or retail purchases which gst is meant to take care anyway.

But if banks collapse due to these accounts being the last straw after npa and demon then any benefit is essentially nullifed several times over.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by A_Gupta »

^^^ While of course Jan Dhan Yojana accounts are exempt from this
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/in ... 337745.cms
Finance Ministry data shows the country’s largest lender, State Bank of India, collected Rs 1,771 crore during April-November 2017 as charges from customers who did not maintain their minimum monthly average balance in their accounts, according to a report in The Indian Express. This is more than the bank’s July-September quarter net profit of Rs 1,581.55 crore and nearly half of the Rs 3,586 crore it earned as net profit April-September.
Irony.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by kiranA »

A_Gupta wrote:^^^ While of course Jan Dhan Yojana accounts are exempt from this
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/in ... 337745.cms
Finance Ministry data shows the country’s largest lender, State Bank of India, collected Rs 1,771 crore during April-November 2017 as charges from customers who did not maintain their minimum monthly average balance in their accounts, according to a report in The Indian Express. This is more than the bank’s July-September quarter net profit of Rs 1,581.55 crore and nearly half of the Rs 3,586 crore it earned as net profit April-September.
Irony.
Tragic. It really shows banks are hurting with these low deposit accounts but forced not to collect fines due to govt populism. So they extract it a higher rate from people who have enough drive to open these accounts on their own. Anyway SBI is now reducing them.

http://www.business-standard.com/articl ... 240_1.html
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by A_Gupta »

Great spin!
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Neshant »

Trying to keep suckers locked into fiat currency that gets devalued.

-----

India Bans Bitcoin Wallets, Bank Funding, All Cryptocurrency Services

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04- ... y-services
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by sanjaykumar »

Perhaps these suckers should first set up schools hospitals defence forces infrastructure. Then proceed with a currency even more airy fairy than bank notes.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by EswarPrakash »

Neshant wrote:Trying to keep suckers locked into fiat currency that gets devalued.

-----

India Bans Bitcoin Wallets, Bank Funding, All Cryptocurrency Services

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04- ... y-services
The comments on that article explain quite clearly what type of insects invest in Bitcoin and the fairy sprinkle currencies
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Mollick.R »

Neshant wrote:Digital currency is all about controlling and expropriating a person's earnings by a select few.

Invariably these banksters, govt bureaucrats and so on generate no wealth themselves and are thus dependent on extracting that wealth from the productive elements of society through price fixing (aka interest rate setting) or counterfeiting (aka money printing) or confiscation (aka taxing with no/poor representation).

It's promoted as being for your own good.

The irony is that the more this theft through govt enforced demonetization takes place, the faster people will jump into peer-to-peer and other decentralized forms of crypto-currencies to get away from this theft.

It's a realm that makes taking away the fruits of a person's labor way harder.
Generally avoid commenting on posts until it adds some value to the discussion.

But here feeling tempted.
Sir, your statement sounds like I'm hearing an ultra red's speech given to some left virus infected college campus. :rotfl:
Particularly this part "more this theft through govt enforced demonetization takes place,"
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Suraj »

GoI is doing the right thing by clamping down on manic speculation in assorted blockchain derived 'currencies'.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Suraj »

Neshant, please post your stuff in your own thread, not in here. Your posts above will be removed.

Edit: Thread cleaned up.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Neshant »

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Last edited by Suraj on 09 Apr 2018 12:23, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Poster given 1 week to cool off.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Vasu »

May have been posted elsewhere, but didn't see this in this thread.

From Jan 2017 to Feb 2018, a total of INR 6.44 cr in fake currency has been seized from across the country. As one would expect, the border states lead in maximum seizures.

Gujarat tops India in fake currency seizure
A total of Rs 2.31 crore were seized in the state from January 2017 to February 2018 against the total seizure of Rs 6.77 crore across India, accounting for 34% of the total fake currency seized. Mizoram comes a distant second with Rs 1.23 crore worth fake notes followed by Uttar Pradesh (Rs 1.21 crore).

In India, 25568 currency notes of Rs 500 having total worth of Rs 5,11,36,000 and 33304 currency notes of Rs 2000 worth of Rs 1,66,52,000 were seized.

“Most accused caught for circulating fake currency had roots in West Bengal and Bangladesh. These fake notes are routed to bigger cities of Gujarat and thereon supplied to Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore to weaken the economy,” said officials.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by jaysimha »

Arima wrote:
Kashi wrote:
Jaggi's article in Swarajya today essentially echoes the above views. He is of the view that a stricter tax regime, IBC and NPA cleanup are squeezing the promoters out of their businesses, attempts at formalising the economy and transactions are stifling new investments. And that because black money is becoming difficult to be laundered back into the economy, sick businesses are becoming difficult to revive!

So doing the right things is now bad for the economy?

https://swarajyamag.com/politics/why-in ... sahi-vikas
inital couple of years new change will have impact. old guard who thrived on loop holes will be wiped out and new generation of business will take lead. in my view future is much brighter.
https://www.deccanherald.com/state/jaya ... 74665.html

Congress candidate Sowmya Reddy won the prestigious Jayanagar constituency in a tight fight against BJP's B N Prahlad by a margin of 2,889 votes.

Read more at: https://www.deccanherald.com/state/jaya ... 74665.html

I think, this already happened in some small scale . Jayanagar Bangalore is full of "rich" people.
Many of their "wealth" must have been wiped out in the demonetisation which is evident from the results.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by arshyam »

^^ Completely wrong and misinformed analysis. Take a look at ward level numbers and you'll know what happened.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by A_Gupta »

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... n-in-india
As the price of bitcoin soared last year from less than $1,000 to more than $19,700, so did BitConnect’s value. Bhatt and other investors in Gujarat poured bitcoin worth $3.2 billion into Bitconnect, according to Bhatia.

The vast inflows from Indian investors were partly the result of Modi’s shock move in November 2016 to invalidate banknotes worth 15 trillion rupees in an effort to curb tax evasion, according to a chartered accountant in Gujarat. Modi, who faces federal elections in early 2019, ruled the state as chief minister for more than a decade before becoming prime minister in 2014 with the promise of stamping out corruption.

As a result of Modi’s 2016 demonetization, about 45 billion rupees ($650 million) flowed to Gujarat’s port city of Surat, to be hidden away in assets including cryptocurrencies, said the accountant, who asked not to be identified because his clients include some of the city’s biggest diamond and textile traders.

Surat, the heart of the scandal, is famed for its entrepreneurial merchants who travel the world to set up a “dhandha,” or family business. Their tight-knit communities dominate Antwerp’s diamond trade and own a quarter of U.S. motels.

In the days following Modi’s demonetization -- when Indians were given about 60 days to bank their higher-value banknotes or lose them -- Google marked a surge in queries from the country on how to launder untaxed cash, or black money. Most of the searches came from Gujarat, Google Trends show.
Still, those who had been trying to hide untaxed cash were in a quandary. If they went to the authorities, they would have to declare their investments.

So Bhatt and nine accomplices -- including Paladiya -- kidnapped two BitConnect representatives in Surat and demanded 2,256 bitcoin as ransom, CID investigators alleged. Paladiya, however, wanted more. He contacted his influential uncle, Kotadiya, and tapped the latter’s network in the local police to double-cross Bhatt and allegedly extort his bitcoin, according to allegations in police documents and interviews with investigators.

They were confident of success, gambling that Bhatt wouldn’t go to the authorities and certain that the anonymity of bitcoin would make the heist untraceable, according to the investigators.

They were wrong. Bhatt pressed charges.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by A_Gupta »

The Reserve Bank of India’s annual report has finally revealed that as much as ₹15.28 lakh crore of the high-value currency that was demonetised in November returned to the central bank.

“Subject to future corrections, based on the verification process when completed, the estimated value of SBNs [specified bank notes] received as on June 30, 2017, is ₹15.28 trillion,” the RBI said in a report released on Wednesday.
https://www.thehindu.com/business/Econo ... 590311.ece

Going to the RBI report itself: (SBN = Specified Bank Notes)
https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/AnnualReport ... ?year=2018
page 219
SBNs were received by the Reserve Bank either directly or from bank branches/ post offices through the currency chest mechanism. Verification and processing of the SBNs has been completed. The total value of SBNs in circulation as on November 08, 2016, post verification and reconciliation, was `15,417.93 billion. The total value of SBNs returned from circulation is `15,310.73 billion.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by A_Gupta »

An assessment of demonetization:
https://www.livemint.com/Industry/G0nNM ... money.html
Taken together, the costs of demonetisation seem to outweigh the benefits.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by nandakumar »

Demonetisation announced in November 2016 virtually weede ..


Read more at:
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/arti ... aign=cppst
There is a mention of counterfeit notes in the Rs 500 and Rs 1000 denomination in story linked above.

"Fake currency notes detected at the Reserve Bank was higher at 36.1 per cent as compared to 4.3 per cent during the previous year.

This was because of processing of large volume of SBNs withdrawn from circulation."
Are they saying that a chunk of the notes that came back to RBI due to demonetisation were fake notes?
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Aditya_V »

While talking about demonetization we also should discuss Tax collection from personal Income Tax and Indirect Tax collections, comparing 2015-16 actuals and 2017-18 RE we see these have jumped by 53% and 60% in 2 years, normal growth could not have been more than 25% in 2 years. The impact of this itself is INR 2.5 Lac crore per year conveniently forgotten by most observers. Its probably tax dodgers caught in the net who are now whining.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Sachin »

nandakumar wrote:Are they saying that a chunk of the notes that came back to RBI due to demonetisation were fake notes?
Could be. After various stories of how bank officials colluded with black money hoarders and some shady businessmen, chances of them accepting counterfeit notes (citing they were not able to detect the same) are very high.
Aditya_V wrote:While talking about demonetization we also should discuss Tax collection from personal Income Tax and Indirect Tax collections, comparing 2015-16 actuals and 2017-18 RE we see these have jumped by 53% and 60% in 2 years, normal growth could not have been more than 25% in 2 years. The impact of this itself is INR 2.5 Lac crore per year conveniently forgotten by most observers. Its probably tax dodgers caught in the net who are now whining.
At least now the government should come up with exact facts and figures. I don't know if they are waiting for a more opportune moment to do the same. It should even include details on number of IT notices sent out, and number of notices responded to and the amount collected as tax & fines. Next could be the list of bogus companies which have been closed down. GoI completely keeping mum on this would only harden the stories circulated by the folks who spoke against De.Mo.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by vinod »

Almost all the kerala societies are filled up with black money. All the old notes were deposited through these.

Is RBI looking at bringing the societies into line with other banking regulations?
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by VKumar »

Suraj wrote:
nam wrote:Demo was a nice little trap laid out by GoI. You don't deposit, you loose the money. You deposit, you lay a paper trail leading back to you and still lose the money.

Either way GoI wins.
Fixed that for you. I'm surprised the press didn't even get that when they talked about '99% of money has been deposited! GoI failed at DeMo!' I stated then that all that's happened is that everyone left a paper trail back to them. The whole 'demo failed because 99% of money came back!' is the dumbest argument I've seen on the matter. GoI *wanted* the paper trail. Now they have all the time to chase it down at a time of their choosing.
Also rogue bankers getting identified
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Sachin »

vinod wrote:Almost all the kerala societies are filled up with black money. All the old notes were deposited through these.
Is RBI looking at bringing the societies into line with other banking regulations?
Co-operative banks are facing love of two agencies, RBI and the Income Tax Department :lol:. The crooks at co-operative banks had approached the High Court and got a verdict that RBI cannot oversee the accounts of Co-Operative societies, as they are NOT banks per-se. Due to this all Co.Op banks except the District & Urban Co.Op banks escaped for a short while. But what then happened was - Kerala: Cooperative investors get an I-T surprise. The IT department started sending out notices to people who have deposited money in Co.Op banks. Kerala has been trying to make these Co.Op "Banks" out of audit of every regulatory authority.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by vinod »

Sachin wrote:
vinod wrote:Almost all the kerala societies are filled up with black money. All the old notes were deposited through these.
Is RBI looking at bringing the societies into line with other banking regulations?
Co-operative banks are facing love of two agencies, RBI and the Income Tax Department :lol:. The crooks at co-operative banks had approached the High Court and got a verdict that RBI cannot oversee the accounts of Co-Operative societies, as they are NOT banks per-se. Due to this all Co.Op banks except the District & Urban Co.Op banks escaped for a short while. But what then happened was - Kerala: Cooperative investors get an I-T surprise. The IT department started sending out notices to people who have deposited money in Co.Op banks. Kerala has been trying to make these Co.Op "Banks" out of audit of every regulatory authority.
How did the IT dept find out the depositors details? Did they get from Co-op itself? From what I hear, the same person holds multiple accounts under many pseudos. So, I doubt IT got anything from Co-op. Must have been through some other transaction linking them to Co-op.

Anyway, right now, I don't see any panic within the society community. If there was, the noise related to that would have been very high.
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by Sachin »

vinod wrote:How did the IT dept find out the depositors details? Did they get from Co-op itself? From what I hear, the same person holds multiple accounts under many pseudos. So, I doubt IT got anything from Co-op. Must have been through some other transaction linking them to Co-op.
The RBI had put pressure on the District & Urban Co.Op banks on which it had full authority. They were asked to come up with KYC for all their account holders. This in turn led to these banks putting pressure on the Co.Op Societies, who were the champions in having shady accounts. So many of the Co.Op societies also started falling in line. Yes, there is silence in the Co.Op bank sector in Kerala; it could be also because the government is still trying to fight court cases to get these banks out of scrutiny of any agency.
pankajs
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Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Post by pankajs »

Indians certainly did not suddenly gain religion or extraordinary ethics in the last year or two nor was there a jump of 60% in the employment rate. Remember per CON, eminent presstitutes and their followers crying about jobless growth so that explanation has be discarded. OR, have the pokoda sellers suddenly started making tons of money? :shock: :rotfl: Again, our liberal/progressives "myth-makers" masquerading as "fact-checkers" would immediately shoot down that explanation.

https://www.bloombergquint.com/business ... dline-ends
More Than 5.2 Crore Income Tax Returns Filed As Deadline Ends
Over 5.29 crore income tax returns have been filed by taxpayers as the deadline ended today, signalling an increase of over 60 percent from the previous year.

<snip>

The officials attributed the increase in the number of returns filed this time largely to two causes—the expansion in the tax base due to demonetisation and the first time decision to impose monetary penalty on late filers of returns.
60% is not your backyard garden variety jump.

Indians however did receive two biggly shocks very recently, the Demo and GST which lit a fire under many a backside, whose impact is still playing out. Doesn't Sherlock Holmes say something to the effect that when you have eliminated the obvious, what remains no matter how improbable has to be true?
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