^^ It just confirms what I said all the way along - Army was ready to conduct ops earlier.
The Galwan incident was troubling me for last few days so this article is timely.
To cut the long story short - I agree with the views presented in this article.
1) PLA direction to troops is to go for close quarter brawls with IA. i.e. stone throwing and physical altercation. Number of reasons for this including they believe that they will come out better in these engagements due to larger numbers, martial arts training for ordinary troops, better non-lethal equipment)
2) PLA tend to patrol with larger number of troops and they are aware that their logistics enables them to get troops to site faster if clashes escalate (even if they lose small battles initially)
In one altercation, a young IA captain was telling off his PLA opposite number about why they are patrolling in such huge numbers.Why do this?
Frustrate IA/ITBP and psychological angle on ability to dominate.
PLA are comfortable at keeping the battle at this level.
IA has always manpower issue - they have generally undermanned these parts of the border.
Not everyone is trained regularly in hand to hand combat. One of the most effective in the Galwan clash were Ghatak's who are trained regularly in H2H combat and are almost on par with SF in physical ability - apparently they caused the most damage to PLA in the Galwan incident.So what happens now?
PLA will keep the temperature at the same levels. Multiple physical clashes. Continue to patrol in larger numbers and dominate the areas. Camp on Indian side of LAC and then withdraw after negotiations.
Given the current COVID situation I think we are going to have a very hot season coming up with PLA.
Remember the 3 key words from my previous post
Speed, mobility and integrated/acclimatised forces in numbers
To deliver this effect IA will have to deploy higher number of troops (surprise surprise PLA asked IA to reduce their rear forces and not disengage on the front line!!!!)
Need greater number of helicopters (medium and light) and C-130s to land on ALGs.
I expect the IA/IAF/ITBP exercise to demonstrate this.
IA/ITBP will need to get better riot gear/non-lethal equipment/develop better tactics.