Nikhil T wrote:Agree that military capability should be tied to economic capability. However, using GDP as a measure for economic capability is deeply flawed. If increasing GDP is desirable, we should infact let our population grow explosively - each new person will only add to the GDP! No one can deny that India will continue to be a developing economy with plenty of economic challenges for the next 50 years. What we need is an economical, yet powerful military with weapons that give us the biggest bang for the buck. We need to do a careful cost and risk (sanctions etc) analysis of each foreign procured weapon. Can't US shut down our Vishal by denying/delaying spares for the EMALS firing system?
And
If we need foreign EMALS, plus aircraft like ones you mentioned for the prime war fighting ship of the IN, aren't we deviating from our strategic goal of becoming a builders Navy in 'move' and 'fight' components of shipbuilding? Why not churn out much cheaper, indigenous Vikrant-class 40k tonne ships with LCA-navy Mk2 that will have commonality in spares and provide economies of scale in all costs while fulfilling our strategic goals?
Nikhil,
Since this is not an economy related thread I'll just let your comments on the GDP growth pass by just saying I'm not too sure that you understand what I was implying. We can discuss this in the Indian econ thread if you so wish.
However, I find it interesting that you call Vikrant "indigenous". Why? We had design help from outside, many of the equipment that's being fitted into the ship is from foreign vendors and since its an
ab initio development it's way behind schedule. But the interesting thing is that now the shipyard says that it can build a second one with in 4 years - OK that may be optimistic but you get the drift they now have the capability to build the second one much faster.
Don't you think the Navy is following the same path with Vishal? That will be the first of its class and there is a requirement for a lot of external help. But do you seriously think that after the Navy gets Vishal it will not require follow on boats? Remember by current projections there is a requirement for 5 aircraft carriers.
EMALS or plain steam catapults, will need an initial help from foreign vendors for Vishal but for follow on ships that capability would be indigenous, there's nothing rocket science about catapults. I don't know if you remember, the original Vikrant used to launch aircraft with the use of catapults. The attack on Chittagong Harbour, which brought the surrender in Bangladesh was done by airplanes that were launched by catapults!
The problem as I see it is that we look at current geopolitical reality and then think the same reality will be in existence for the rest of this century with India having the same friends and foes. I think by 2030, India will be sufficiently technologically advanced to be able to absorb whatever high fangled tech there is in EMALS. And denying technology or imposing sanctions on a US$5-US$7 trillion economy is a darn sight harder than denying technology to a US$300-US$400 billion economy that we were when we last came under sanctions.