they are funding the PLAN this decade like they funded the HSR in last decade. something like 100b was used to build out the HSR network over 10 years per est.
a force designed to deter the USN will crush anyone else incl Rus/Ind/Fra/Uk in a conventional engagement.
i think we better worry about defending chennai harbour than dream of making forays into the SCS to stir things uphttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indian_Ocean_raid
Basically this is Bismark’s Fleet Part Deux. The Germans made the mistake of challenging the Royal Navy which them into WWI.
Very good historical point on the IJN’s Indian Ocean raid! The Japanese gave the Anglos a sound beating. It was a wake up for us too. This, Singapore and the sinking of the Repulse and Prince of Wales gave us Bose and the realization that the Brits were not invincible.
Cheen, though, is not a warrior race like ze Teutonic Knights and the Samurais. This buildup is meant to do its main work in peacetime not the battlefield. They are meant to push chini jurisdiction into disputed territory and global commons by weight of numbers and persistent presence. Crews are barely trained and systems barely tested before they are pushed out there.
But the strategy is sound. Unless they are force into a fight, numbers and presence is all that is needed to create fait accompli. And as their numbers increase, the chance of war actually lessens as the risks rises for anyone willing to challenge. Most will simply see it as a foregone conclusion. They have perfected the (non)war strategy for SRE types against warrior TFTAs.
Them attacking Chennai is unlikely and in a way even preferable because it will bring us into a kinetic conflict where their numbers can be attrited! But it will never happen if left to the chinis.
We can hope they get into a fight with the USN.
Or we can start one in IOR ourselves while we still hold the advantage locally. But the good guys need to take some hits as the “bad guys” because the PRC will not fight unless forced to.