disha wrote:Bakis always claim that hot war in cashmere will go nukular in 5 mins. Baki pasand and cheeni supported jarnails & #mediapimps across the globe have bought in that line for their own reasons.
How do you break through this conundrum? It is called an abstract "salami slicing". Basically for every attack there is a counter-attack and very slowly escalating. Reports now suggest that 8 baki pigs have died. Next time it should be a little more and a little more and a little more. A death by 1000s of cuts, and all under nukular cover. At what point will they declare that their nukular threshold is crossed? It *definitely* is not crossed now. Next up maybe increase the baki body count and destroy several posts. Next up destroy supporting infrastructure around those posts. Next up make bakis abandon the post and withdraw a little bit.
Bakis are entering into a liquid oxygen chamber.
And a lesson on geo-politics. In US of A, all talk is about tax or how bad or good or confusing it is. Nobody is bothered about cashmere.
Aren't you are assuming two things here:
1. Pakistan hopes to prevail in their sub-conventional conflict.
2. Attrition in terms of losing land features or the lives of their ORs at the border is painful enough to make them desist.
IMO, Pakistan realizes now that they will not be able to prevail in their sub-conventional war. They have now changed focus to keeping the narrative of their conflict alive. This narrative help PakMil in the following ways:
a. This narrative, that they are bravely resisting the 'occupation' of Kashmir by 7 trillion Bharti forces by way of jihad, helps them keep the local green chaps in line.
b. This narrative justifies the relative importance of PakMil in the state of affairs within the Pakistani polity.
c. Lastly, it keeps alive the hopes of the Jihadi die-hards, that at an opportune moment when India if week, perhaps due to internal religious strife, they will be able to attack.
As for point (2), I think neither losing slices at the LoC, nor losing OR lives at the border will work as in the minds of Pak elite, their lives simply do not matter. Pak state is not an ordinary state, with the welfare of its people foremost, rather it is a citadel of Islamism, found to serve Allah.
The only thing that will change this equation is replying to a terror spectacular by spectacular operations of our own deep within Pakistan (and other SAARC countries), that destroy the pak mil narrative that they are relevant to the conflict, can resist Indians, can defend ordinary Pakistanis. Other aspects will need effective psychological warfare techniques.