* There is a diff between a Vikrant and a Vishal. I think we all can agree on that - that they are not equalsViv S wrote:It is not, or at least should not be, a mutually exclusive proposition. A 65kt Vishal is well and good but fact still remains that the ship will only be commissioned by the mid-2030s. Ideally, we ought to be looking at a two ship class (like the RN's QE & PoW). With the economy chugging along affordability should not be a concern.NRao wrote:India decided, some 10-15 years ago, that she needs a 65,000 ton ship. It is a done deal. So, why all this JC and another Vikrant talk? *At most* modify the Vishal deck. And, my suspicion is that such mods will come with the EMALS - let us see.
In the meantime, we still need an aircraft carrier. The IAC Vikrant is fine but it will have have to enter refit at some point, which is when the IN's air cover will become entirely dependent on the reliability of VikAd. And that is not a comforting thought.
* There is a reason that the IN decided on such a large leap (and it is a large leap) in tonnage between two successive carriers. And the reason is political, not a service based or technical - it always in political
* So proposing another +/-40 T class carrier will not suffice, other than to satisfy number of ships in the IN
I am not familiar with the dates (I will check it out), but whatever the reason/s for this delay of the Vishal has to be acceptable to both the IN and more so to the political wing. Else they will be forced to find an alternative - some of which you mention.
No matter what, I have this strange feeling that the Vishal will arrive 2030 or earlier. She may not be a complete boat, but I expect her to be a fit one that they can build on without missing a step.
Let us see.
I just do not think so.Same situation as the IAC-2. The AMCA will only be operational in the mid-2030s. Perhaps even 2040. Just for reference the F-35's production run is expected to conclude in 2037. Putting us back in the same shoes we are today with the Tejas & F-16.IMVVHO, the next step for India should be the design and build of a naval AMCA prototype, along with the one for the IAF.
Hard as it is for me to admit, we might have missed have boat on the 5th gen front - for over a decade all we've seen are line drawings of the AMCA and even the Tejas just now entering service.
There is a good argument to be made for dropping the AMCA project entirely to focus our resources on leapfrogging the gap to the next stage. By 2030, the first generation of (flying wing) UCAVs should be entering service. If we can commission the AURA by 2035 it might finally allow us close the gap with the West and particularly China.
So, from a service point of view (IAF/IN), yes a "F-35" is the right medicine to prescribe.
But, from a MIC point of view, there is really no escaping the LCA -> AMCA -> whatever-gen-the-next-plane-is. That sequence is the only way out - because each subsequent tech depends on the previous one. It is additive to a great extent.
While the services can afford to, and may be need to, "leap-frog", the MIC can never do that. They have to grind it out. Actually it is the GoI that needs to wake up and provide the support for this grinding.