Indranil wrote:Frankly, they should eliminate the competition and double down nm on how to get ORCa/TEDBF as early as possible. Do whatever it takes.
If not eliminate the single engines too. That role can be taken care of by Tejas derivatives. That will leave the true medium weights. F-18, Mig35, EF and Rafale. EF is at the most disadvantage. F18 may have a chance due to the navy requirement. The race truly should be between the Mig35 and the Rafale. The ultimate decision should be decided based on the ultimate decider: how much money do we have? Upgraded Mig35s can become the test bed of all desi avionics packages that will go the AMCA.
I believe that is their end game - ORCA/TEDBF. In the short term, additional Mk1As could be on the cards. If that happens, that would be a huge lungi dance moment for me. The 12 additional Su-30MKIs are almost a done deal, the 21 MiG-29s are a bit further off (but looks like will happen). The 83 Mk1As will be a big shot in the arm for the IAF.
2 (+ 2?) Rafale units, 2.5 upgraded M2K units, 4 Mk1A units, 2 Mk1 (to be upgraded to Mk1A standard) units, 3 (+1?) upgraded MiG-29 units, 4 Jaguar Darin III units and 13 Su-30MKI (to be upgraded to SS standard) units will make the IAF a potent force in the 2020s. A few more units of Mk1As will provide an additional number boost.
I believe the IAF wants 36 additional Rafales versus the MiG-35. It makes sense from the investments made at Hasimara and Ambala. At this stage, that is the best option for the IAF. Hopefully that will end the MMRCA tamasha once in for all. I believe the NASAMS and MH-60R purchase could be to soften the blow for a possible cancellation of the contest. Regardless of whatever happens, a decision on MMRCA 2.0 will be made only post May 2020 (when the first batch of Rafale aircraft arrive at Ambala).
On a totally unrelated note, sent you email. Thank You.