Cain Marko wrote:Adm Rakeshji, I see your point and have in the past also raised the same issues. However, I think that the Modi govt is quite tight with the US, even more so than the previous administration's. and by and large things are being sorted out. Take for example comcasa. Despite the CAATSA hoopla, the s400 has gone through without much noise. as well other deals with Russia including chakra 3. Note also that the US has consistently been India's support in international fora in recent times. A deal wrt Afghanistan and pok is the long shot goal IMHO if this GOI.
If the Modi Govt was really that close with the US, they should have just signed the vanilla CISMOA agreement no? Why create an India specific one called COMCASA?
With the CAATSA hoopla, then Defence Minister Sitharaman had to point blank tell the US that India is a sovereign nation and the S-400 is a much needed purchase. Still, the US is trying every trick in the book to dissuade India from acquiring the S-400. From THAAD to F-35 and what not else.
The only deal on Afghanistan that is happening and will actually see the light of day, is Pakistan getting control of Afghanistan's affairs. Trump desperately wants out of there (and if it is prior to the 2020 elections, then all the more better) and if Pakistan is the nation that can deliver that to him, then he will gladly hand Afghanistan to them.
Cain Marko wrote:Of course this is speculation and I'm not sure how such a CBG deal would work out but my guess is that it will be along the lines of the russki model BOGO free. Buy the shornets and the used carrier is included. End user restrictions will not be much of an issue so long as strategic interests converge. In any case India's carrier force is hardly Pak centric. A single cbg will be enough to give India a massive edge vs The Paki Navy. Otoh, India could use an extra cbg or two to maintain vigilance and an upper hand over Chinese carriers in the IOR, at least that's my guess as to the Navys desire for a larger CV. And probably to cause great khujli to the Chinese by sending a CBG for joint exercises with partners in the ECS/SCS.
I thought negotiations on the lend-lease had begun. I read the link from the previous page on this thread and it turned out to be an opinion piece. Till then, this is just a pipe dream.
As per wiki chacha, as of late 2017, both the Kitty Hawk and the John F Kennedy are scheduled for scrapping. If the GOI indeed wants this, then they will have to move fast. Otherwise this will end up like the C-17 episode.
Cain Marko wrote:As far as money is concerned, such a deal would be much cheaper than buying everything new. In any case, GOI will open the purse strings for a lot of the big ticket purchases now ...Rafales, Apaches, shornets. P75 ityadi under some kind of MII umbrella. Expect lines to hum along and jobs to be created in this sector. this is not the 90s as we can make out from the check written by the RBI recently. Nor is it the UPA.
Apart from a follow on order of two more Rafale units, the GOI is not likely going to open the purse strings for anything else.
MII for Defence has been a failure. Too many bureaucratic hurdles to jump through. The Indian Economy is facing an uphill climb.Why Narendra Modi government must acknowledge the economic slowdown. Now.https://www.indiatoday.in/news-analysis ... lk_of_town
Cain Marko wrote:Ultimately, it would all depend upon the assurances received and given.
Assurances from the US are not even worth the paper it is written on.