chadev wrote:niran wrote:- the dilli formula worked, in spite of bhajapa winning
they are thumb sucking in opposition it should nationally too.
Yes, that's the big issue. BJP might be the largest party nationally but will still stick at opposition. As those 2nd largest, 3rd onwards and many other smaller parties can combine together. And these parties can easily be swayed by the whole secularism talks spread of Congress, thus allying with them. Thus, in the upcoming national elections, the objective is not only just 1) to win maximum seats but also on 2) minimizing the direct impact of any other parties and making sure collaboration doesn't happen between these other parties. Not just BJP but all pundits failed to understand that in Delhi elections and thus AAP succeeded at the end. And now really the only way to diminish AAP is by waiting and basically hoping for some infighting to happen.
Slow cooking Khichdi mubaraak ho. Further, Kejriwal does not have enough oomph to carry a diverse party with him. He is not a Gandhi neither a Nehru.
AAP runs totally on volunteers. Unless it takes over the local INC tantra. Why would a local INC Tantra help AAP wannabes win an election? And why would I volunteer for Meera Sanyals election. Okay let us say I volunteer for her - where is my plum posting *after* she becomes an MLA? Or MP? Will I be able to administer her MPLAD scheme?
Funny, the way Delhi elections are discussed, AAP has 2/3rd Majority and BJP is sucking thumb and Congress is lost.
Yes, AAP will take away 3-5% of BJP vote. And AAP will take away all of CongIs vote. A traditional CongI voter will vote for AAP - since the voter now has a negative choice. A die-hard voter will vote for CongI.
Given that the voting percentage is already high, a higher turnout does not necessarily translate to larger seat share for AAP or CongIs.
So instead of BJP getting 210-220 it will get 180-190. Fine. CongI+AAP+SP+BSP+JD(U)+RJD+Biju JD+DMK+TMC+AIADMK can all form a grand secular alliance to rule the natives. Then CongI will break it and say "Khichdi will not work" and we will go back to the nation, because every body will say "Mein bhi Pradhan Mantri"!
Oh, but AIADMK+TMC cannot stand SG of CongI. AAP cannot stand TMC. JD(U) does not like RJD.
And this is not seen by the urban voter of yuppie class but what about the average Indian voter <- who is smarter than the undieTV following class.
Just look at the doctoring the TV News Channel does!