Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

vivek.rao · Post by **vivek.rao** » 10 Apr 2014 17:03

Prasanna Viswanathan @prasannavishy
What would happen if you say 70% of Jat consolidates behind a certain party? Tectonic shift in political landscape?

jamwal · Post by **jamwal** » 10 Apr 2014 17:13

Dilbu will always act manhoos onlee

negi · Post by **negi** » 10 Apr 2014 17:17

Don't have high hopes from Dilli these buggers voted Sheela aunty twice and then Farziwal, kachu nahin ho sakta inka.

sum · Post by **sum** » 10 Apr 2014 17:18

Dilbu wrote:5forty3.in looks a pro BJP site. Will that influence their predictions? Not that it is a bad thing but I had a bad experience in 2009 when everyone was saying NDA wave and in the end it was KLPD. Just want some balanced news this time even if it is bad.

Was thinking on similar lines.

After the 2004 experience ( and the hopes BRF had raised then), have stopped premature celebrations as a policy!

Dilbu · Post by **Dilbu** » 10 Apr 2014 17:19

Jamwaluddin, the face of truth is sometimes like shirleen aunty. Dhoti shiver is a must.

Karo dhoti shiver baar baar
Ab ki baar Modi sarkaar

member_28352 · Post by **member_28352** » 10 Apr 2014 17:26

archan wrote:Some on whatsapp spread rumors that you can still fill form 7 and vote with ID and photo. Not true.

Form 7 is for objecting to people's names in the list. For instance if you know for a fact that a certain voter is a beedi or a US citizen and has his name in the voters list then you fill up form 7 to have the guy's name removed. Can also be used to delete people's names. Usually for striking off the names of deceased family member's names.

Hari Seldon · Post by **Hari Seldon** » 10 Apr 2014 17:28

subscribed to 5forty3 but no premium content accessible yet. yawn. will check again tomorrow only.

Hari Seldon · Post by **Hari Seldon** » 10 Apr 2014 17:33

Meanwhile, while I did suspect that membership drives by lotus would surge, I didn't quite estimate the scale right it seems, if this report is anywhere close to true only...

rohitv · Post by **rohitv** » 10 Apr 2014 17:40

Dilbu wrote:5forty3.in looks a pro BJP site. Will that influence their predictions? Not that it is a bad thing but I had a bad experience in 2009 when everyone was saying NDA wave and in the end it was KLPD. Just want some balanced news this time even if it is bad.

If i remember correctly they predicted BJP rout in Karnataka Assembly election

SRoy · Post by **SRoy** » 10 Apr 2014 17:44

pankajs wrote:
Minhaz Merchant ‏@minhazmerchant 11m

Haryana also heading for 68-70% turnout, touches 58% at 4pm. Bihar still low
Low turnout in Bihar should be a worry for BJP?

On the contrary if ground reports are to be believed, BJP has just demolished everyone else in the fray. Not to worry

member_28108 · Post by **member_28108** » 10 Apr 2014 17:47

I did the payment throuhgh payumoney and released the payment but still cannot log in. Praveen Patil should have a contact form on his website to bring such issues to his notice.Anyone can contact him ?

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 10 Apr 2014 17:50

BJPUP Uttar Pradesh ‏@BJPLucknowBJP 25m

हरयाणा में शाम 5.30 बजे तक 65.8 फीसदी मतदान दर्ज #WeWantModi #ModiSarkar

BJPUP Uttar Pradesh ‏@BJPLucknowBJP 2m

#BREAKING Mukhtar Ansari backs out from #Varanasi #WeWantModi #ModiSarkar @AmitShahOffice @AmiSri @Sunil_deodhar @NaMoChaiParty

Sickular are uniting in Varanasi

rkirankr · Post by **rkirankr** » 10 Apr 2014 17:54

What about MP? I heard MP might not be so good

Anantha · Post by **Anantha** » 10 Apr 2014 17:55

: @BDUTT "Is Rahul G a challenge for U ?"
@smritiirani replies"Rahul is a Challenge for Cong, not me !"

)

sooraj · Post by **sooraj** » 10 Apr 2014 17:55

Mulayam says boys make mistakes, death penalty for rape needless: Reports

http://www.hindustantimes.com/elections ... 06630.aspx

vivek.rao · Post by **vivek.rao** » 10 Apr 2014 17:55

http://m.economictimes.com/news/politic ... 560085.cms

Lok Sabha Polls 2014: It's advantage BJP in Delhi
10 Apr, 2014, 1704 hrs IST, BHAVNA VIJ AURORA, ET Bureau
A bigger turnout reflected the people’s desire for change. And the change was definitely not in favour of the AAP with people clearly feeling let down by the newbie.
NEW DELHI: "Ab ki baar" Delhi is all set to give a decisive mandate, coming out to vote in large numbers. The mood was clearly saffron as a record number of people came out to exercise their franchise.

A bigger turnout reflected the people's desire for change. And the change was definitely not in favour of the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) with people clearly feeling let down by the newbie.

The voter turnout is expected to be the largest in recent times. It is likely to surpass even the 65 per cent high of Assembly polls in December 2013. At 52 per cent, the turnout had already surpassed the figure of 51.8 per cent of 2009 Lok Sabha elections by 3 pm today.

If the chatter at voting centres and social media platforms was anything to go by, BJP appears to be making a strong comeback in the Capital. Its tally was zero during last elections when it lost all seats to the Congress. AAP failed to come across as a strong alternative.

Congress and AAP seemed to have given up the fight a few hours into voting and their members were missing from a large number of polling booths. Even in some of the booths in New Delhi constituency - where the Congress has the best chance with Ajay maken as the candidate - party volunteers were missing.

Ironically, even a polling booth in Kaushambi - stone throw's distance from the AAP head-office - did not have a party representative. Part of Ghaziabad constituency, from where party leader Shazia Ilmi is contesting, BJP volunteers looked upbeat as they rooted for the former army chief General V.K. Singh.

The winds of change are definitely blowing in Delhi and NCR.

muraliravi · Post by **muraliravi** » 10 Apr 2014 17:57

For those who have subscribed to 5forty3 and are unable to login, let me just post highlights of trends at 3PM voting.

1. BJP sweeping western UP beyond even their own expectations
2. BJP is leading in Haryana, Congress is not far behind
3. BJP will decimate everyone in Delhi
4. BJP just making mincemeat of everyone in Bihar
5. BJP and Congress are neck to neck in Madhya Pradesh (in the 9 seats that went to polls, BUT BUT, he put a caveat there saying it is 1 PM data and he has not received data from interiors and even during the assembly polls, he had same exp of MP showing cong=bjp till noon and after he received data from every location/booth, BJP sweep was clear)

So overall very good.

SRoy · Post by **SRoy** » 10 Apr 2014 18:01

muraliravi et al,

given that you guys had no hope from Delhi and Haryana and were very conservative with Western UP, are we in any position to re look at the overall expected score based on today's inputs?

muraliravi · Post by **muraliravi** » 10 Apr 2014 18:01

Waise Shrin on twitter who is usually right on MP says BJP can expect 9-0 today in Madhya Pradesh and Kamal Nath will lose.

muraliravi · Post by **muraliravi** » 10 Apr 2014 18:01

SRoy wrote:muraliravi et al,

given that you guys had no hope from Delhi and Haryana and were very conservative with Western UP, are we in any position to re look at the overall expected score based on today's inputs?

Sir, I would still wait.

Mort Walker · Post by **Mort Walker** » 10 Apr 2014 18:03

muraliravi wrote:Waise Shrin on twitter who is usually right on MP says BJP can expect 9-0 today in Madhya Pradesh and Kamal Nath will lose.

^^Aap ke muh meh ghee shakaar!

fanne · Post by **fanne** » 10 Apr 2014 18:06

Wait guys until whole day analysis

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 10 Apr 2014 18:07

Is this not provocative?

India Today ‏@IndiaToday 1m

Nation will witness riots if Modi comes to power, says Mayawati http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/maya ... 55002.html …

Niti Central ‏@NitiCentral 3m

Voting meter: 69% turnout in Chandigarh; about 300-400 people still present inside booths #Loksabha2014 http://www.niticentral.com/2014/04/10/l ... 09610.html …

Niti Central ‏@NitiCentral 12m

Voting meter : 78% voting registered in Kerala till 6 pm #Loksabha2014 http://www.niticentral.com/2014/04/10/l ... 09610.html …

Mort Walker · Post by **Mort Walker** » 10 Apr 2014 18:11

My contacts in MP are saying except for Chindwara (Kamal Nath's) seat, the 8 others will go for BJP.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 10 Apr 2014 18:14

TIMES NOW ‏@timesnow 18s

70% voter turnout recorded in Muzaffarnagar, Uttar Pradesh; 14% increase in turnout as compared to 2009 #India2014

No news from MAH.

jagga · Post by **jagga** » 10 Apr 2014 18:22

Rediff Live:
17:49 Dissent in the ranks? Madhu Kishwar tweets: Hard to believe: Sushma Swaraj cancelled 3 major rallies in Orissa. An act of brazen sabotage? Orissa BJP leaders raging.

sunnyP · Post by **sunnyP** » 10 Apr 2014 18:23

It's like a self fulfilling prophecy. These ******** (from congress to mullah yadav types to maya to imam beekhari, to rajdeep/burka media types) would love nothing more than a riot or two post modi electoral victory. Disgusting the lot of them.

pankajs wrote:Is this not provocative?
India Today ‏@IndiaToday 1m

Nation will witness riots if Modi comes to power, says Mayawati http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/maya ... 55002.html …
Niti Central ‏@NitiCentral 3m

Voting meter: 69% turnout in Chandigarh; about 300-400 people still present inside booths #Loksabha2014 http://www.niticentral.com/2014/04/10/l ... 09610.html …
Niti Central ‏@NitiCentral 12m

Voting meter : 78% voting registered in Kerala till 6 pm #Loksabha2014 http://www.niticentral.com/2014/04/10/l ... 09610.html …

SaraLax · Post by **SaraLax** » 10 Apr 2014 18:29

IN LS 2009, Below are Voting %s in today's LS election regions.

STATE : Overall State %

Delhi ------------------> 51.79%
Haryana ---------------> 67.67%
Kerala -----------------> 73.33 %
Bihar (06/40) ---------> 44.47%
Maharashtra(10/48) -> 50.72%
MP(09/29) ------------> 51.16%
Odisha (10/21) ------> 65.31%
UP (10/80) -----------> 47.75%
Jharkand (04/14) ----> 49.79%
Chandigarh -----------> 65.00%
Bastar(Chsgh) --------> 58.58%

So then what are polling %s LS 2014 ?.

merlin · Post by **merlin** » 10 Apr 2014 18:30

Action really starts hotting up from the 17th. Bulk of seats coming from the 4 phases starting 17th. This is an encouraging start for the BJP but momentum has to be kept and a keen eye on dirty tricks from the usual secular suspects.

muraliravi · Post by **muraliravi** » 10 Apr 2014 18:35

jagga wrote:Rediff Live:
17:49 Dissent in the ranks? Madhu Kishwar tweets: Hard to believe: Sushma Swaraj cancelled 3 major rallies in Orissa. An act of brazen sabotage? Orissa BJP leaders raging.

Madhu Mausi ko aur koi kaam nahi hai. She thinks that by giving gaali 24x7 to Sushma and throwing mud at D4, she can get into good books of Namo and get rid of her past pseudo-sickular resume. Get real maam, we know you too well.

muraliravi · Post by **muraliravi** » 10 Apr 2014 18:36

MP reporting 58% voting, up 7% from last time. But significantly lower than the 71% in the State polls in MP recently held. But this is only 9 seats of the 29. For the record, BJP won 25/29 in 2004 when polling was 48%

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 10 Apr 2014 18:38

TimesNow >> Todays polling > Jump of around 7% > Comparable to the 1984 jump
TimesNow >> Perhaps we are moving into a post TINA (CON) era.

Arjun · Post by **Arjun** » 10 Apr 2014 18:43

muraliravi wrote:Madhu Mausi ko aur koi kaam nahi hai. She thinks that by giving gaali 24x7 to Sushma and throwing mud at D4, she can get into good books of Namo and get rid of her past pseudo-sickular resume. Get real maam, we know you too well.

Muraliravi ji, can you enumerate her "pseudo-suckular" resume for those of us who may not know her as well as you do ? You had called her a 'rat' in a previous post and now this.

muraliravi · Post by **muraliravi** » 10 Apr 2014 18:44

Arjun wrote:
muraliravi wrote:Madhu Mausi ko aur koi kaam nahi hai. She thinks that by giving gaali 24x7 to Sushma and throwing mud at D4, she can get into good books of Namo and get rid of her past pseudo-sickular resume. Get real maam, we know you too well.
Muraliravi ji, can you enumerate her "pseudo-suckular" resume for those of us who may not know her as well as you do ? You had called her a 'rat' in a previous post and now this.

Give me one day sir, will post it on Namo thread. Today just election tracking

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 10 Apr 2014 18:47

Firstpost ‏@firstpostin 6m

BJP expels Jaswant Singh's son Manavendra Singh. Manavendra Singh was campaigning for his father in Barmer: CNN-IBN

Prasanna Viswanathan ‏@prasannavishy 6m

Delhi friends did suggest that Meenakshi Lekhi ran an impressive campaign. Looks like she will be rewarded

Sanjay · Post by **Sanjay** » 10 Apr 2014 18:49

I'm confused. Do I start panicking or not ? Would appreciate adequate notice to stock up on tranquilizers.

Have subscribed to 5forty3. Very interesting analysis.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 10 Apr 2014 19:01

NDTV ‏@ndtv 55s

Election Commission: 54.13% polling in Maharashtra, up 4% from 2009; likely to go up to around 58%. LIVE updates http://www.ndtv.com/elections/live-blog ... 014-482300 …

CNBC-TV18 ‏@CNBCTV18Live 10m

Election Commission: Madhya Pradesh Final Voter Turnout Likely At 60%

IBNLive Realtime ‏@IBNLiveRealtime 15m

J&K records 66.29 percent polling, much higher that 41.79 per cent recorded in 2009 #LSPolls

Hari Seldon · Post by **Hari Seldon** » 10 Apr 2014 19:10

From timesnow:

Turnout bump between '71 & '77 was 5%, between '80 and '81 was 7% and between 2009 & 2014 (so far) is 12%!!

The makings not of a wave but possibly, just possibly, of a tsunamoi...

SwamyG · Post by **SwamyG** » 10 Apr 2014 19:14

Global average for a bump is 5%. If this continues, lots of people will lose their deposits. Could this be because of Muslims turning out in large numbers to vote against Modi?

rsingh · Post by **rsingh** » 10 Apr 2014 19:16

Any predition about Haryana?