Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

chaanakya
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby chaanakya » 07 May 2014 20:42

muraliravi wrote:5forty3 has a end of the day post.

When I told people in this thread that HP is not rosy, people called me pessimist, now see what he says. I predicted long back, 1 seats for sure in HP for BJP, 1 to cong and 2 seats will be tough call.

Rest looks good. Well, he has posted only UP. Bihar and Andhra, details will come in a day or 2.


This is what 5forty3 says about HP
BJP -----2
Congus ----1
Tough call-- 1

Details from this hill state are still sketchy, but early numbers suggest that BJP is ahead in two seats and Congress is ahead in 1 seat while another seat is seeing a tough battle. We shall analyse the numbers more closely over the next two days to come up with a clearer projection.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby fanne » 07 May 2014 20:42

UP per 543 is shaping good. xcept for 3rd round (7 seats), BJP has been ahead of its rivals by over 15%. It is a sweep. Bihar is proving to be tough, with BJP ahead (but within margin of error). My take is that, in Bihar also the sweep is tehre, the high voting % is because of this reason. But UP is unmistakable.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Shanmukh » 07 May 2014 20:43

Supratik wrote:Whats the news from WB?


Iconoclast (an avowed BJP partisan) claimed that BJP is winning Asansol. No idea if it is true. Should wait for more rational analysis, I guess.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Mort Walker » 07 May 2014 20:44

muraliravi wrote:5forty3 has a end of the day post.

When I told people in this thread that HP is not rosy, people called me pessimist, now see what he says. I predicted long back, 1 seats for sure in HP for BJP, 1 to cong and 2 seats will be tough call.

Rest looks good. Well, he has posted only UP. Bihar and Andhra, details will come in a day or 2.


The good thing is that HP is only 4 seats. My guess was that BJP would bag 2 here. In nearby UK, I hope the BJP picks up all 5. Any word on J&K's 2 seats?

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby pankajs » 07 May 2014 20:45

Ratnakar Sadasyula ‏@ScorpiusMaximus 24m

Can't give numbers right now , but TDP+BJP will form Govt in Seemandhra, and get a good number of MPs too.
Ratnakar Sadasyula ‏@ScorpiusMaximus 39m

Srikakulam-76 Vizianagaram-78 Vizag-73 Godavari-78 Krishna-80 Guntur-84 Prakasam-80 Nellore-73 Voting % in Coastal Andhra

muraliravi
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby muraliravi » 07 May 2014 20:46

chaanakya wrote:
This is what 5forty3 says about HP
BJP -----2
Congus ----1
Tough call-- 1


That is correct sir. I was guessing shimla to be tight, he has given it to BJP. I am sure his tough call is kangra and congi seat is mandi.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby harbans » 07 May 2014 20:49

Has the BJP gone crazy? Risking Modi to a slow few hours long road show? Does anyone realize this might be the 'perfect' trap? Denying them a rally on security considerations, forcing Modi to do a roadshow where the schemers of 'Stop him at *any* cost' await. SOme in the BJP are extremely reactionary. This must be cancelled just because of the risk it entails at this juncture! 95% people anyways would have decided their votes.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Raja » 07 May 2014 20:53

Blood. Pressure. High.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Dilbu » 07 May 2014 20:53

Yes it is too risky and may not be worth the votes it is going to swing in the end. But from what I heard Modi will not be driving alone in a car but his usual motorcade will be there. Which means that the security personnel, mobile jammer etc will be available.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby pankajs » 07 May 2014 20:54

India Today ‏@IndiaToday 7m

55.52 per cent polling recorded in Uttar Pradesh.http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/2014 ... 59501.html

Prasanna Viswanathan ‏@prasannavishy 12m

As of today BJP is heading towards a 55+ seat tally in UP and may even increase that in the next phase.http://5forty3.in/2014/05/good-evening- ... f-polling/
Last edited by pankajs on 07 May 2014 20:56, edited 1 time in total.

Singha
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Singha » 07 May 2014 20:55

all they have to do is get lucky once.

stupid move at this juncture.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby munna » 07 May 2014 20:56

muraliravi wrote:
chaanakya wrote:
This is what 5forty3 says about HP
BJP -----2
Congus ----1
Tough call-- 1


That is correct sir. I was guessing shimla to be tight, he has given it to BJP. I am sure his tough call iskangra and congi seat is mandi.


Glad to hear that saboteur in chief of BJP in Karnataka, Punjab and HP may not make it to the Lok Sabha, divine justice!

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby ramana » 07 May 2014 20:59

Munna, lets not be so cryptic. Who?

pankajs
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby pankajs » 07 May 2014 21:00

India Today ‏@IndiaToday 22m

Over 56 per cent voting in seven LS seats of Bihar.http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/biha ... 59496.html
India Today ‏@IndiaToday 22m

43 per cent voters exercise their franchise in J-K http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/jamm ... 59479.html

muraliravi
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby muraliravi » 07 May 2014 21:01

ramana wrote:Munna, lets not be so cryptic. Who?


Shantha Kumar

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby satya » 07 May 2014 21:02

IMHO BJP will be lucky to scrap through 1 seat in HP , above 1 is massive Modi magic .

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby gandharva » 07 May 2014 21:03

muraliravi wrote:
ramana wrote:Munna, lets not be so cryptic. Who?


Shantha Kumar


I thought Devendra Pradhan.

chaanakya
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby chaanakya » 07 May 2014 21:07

ramana wrote:Munna, lets not be so cryptic. Who?

Shanta Kumar BJP In charge of Karnataka at that time. Candidate from Kangra , Well Deserved defeat though.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby munna » 07 May 2014 21:10

chaanakya wrote:
ramana wrote:Munna, lets not be so cryptic. Who?

Shanta Kumar BJP In charge of Karnataka at that time. Candidate from Kangra , Well Deserved defeat though.

This genius is current in-charge of Punjab now, see the connection? He is the only CM in BJP's history to have lost his MLA seat also as a sitting CM. :rotfl: Thoroughly anti-Modi chap whose Advani loyalty is unwavering.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby harbans » 07 May 2014 21:11

But from what I heard Modi will not be driving alone in a car but his usual motorcade will be there. Which means that the security personnel, mobile jammer etc will be available.


Irrespective a motorcade, jammers or security..a slow moving road show is like this:

Image

Image

Image
Last edited by harbans on 07 May 2014 21:14, edited 2 times in total.

ramana
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby ramana » 07 May 2014 21:12

munna and all thanks. Yes that guy was an abomination. More like D4 Bteam..

pankajs
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby pankajs » 07 May 2014 21:16

dna ‏@dna 1m

AAP demands repolling at 50 polling stations in Amethi http://dnai.in/ccqz #MyVote2014
ABP News ‏@abpnewstv 3m

55.2 per cent polling in Amethi, overall 55.56 per cent in UP

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Dilbu » 07 May 2014 21:20

Hmm roadshow is risky. As they say in tamil: ippo ithu thevaiya? (Is this necessary at this moment?)

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby hanumadu » 07 May 2014 21:28

Singha wrote:all they have to do is get lucky once.

stupid move at this juncture.


Absolutely. At least, I hope no open top rides. Tense and keeping fingers crossed. Please don't snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Dilbu » 07 May 2014 21:29

NaMo will lose onlee. :(( :(( :((

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Muppalla » 07 May 2014 21:33

They have to be very careful about raodshow. This is the last leg and a last chance for the enemy. Needs mine sweepers, bullet proof enclosures all that kind of stuff. I will pretty unnecessary. Instead do a dharna outside Varanasi for not allowing to do the campaign.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby gandharva » 07 May 2014 21:36

Meanwhile nice trap set by Cons to take Amethi out of media focus and BJP fell for it.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Vikas » 07 May 2014 21:36

What is so special about roadshow in Varanasi ? It isn't as if it is a tight contest.
We have had enough incidents in the past to be worried about NaMo's security and like someone said, They need to get lucky just once. Why not take a well deserved rest instead.
After today, no new supporter or hater will be formed. So why take chance when you are riding the wave.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby rvishwak » 07 May 2014 21:37

Varanasi DM holding a press conference, as per him Ganga Aarti is permitted now.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby fanne » 07 May 2014 21:39

He had refused permission as per IB inputs. Now BJP protesting and getting allowed, I believe BJP has played in the hands of assasins. Please no foolishness!!

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby KLP Dubey » 07 May 2014 21:50

chaanakya wrote:This is what 5forty3 says about HP
BJP -----2
Congus ----1
Tough call-- 1

Details from this hill state are still sketchy, but early numbers suggest that BJP is ahead in two seats and Congress is ahead in 1 seat while another seat is seeing a tough battle. We shall analyse the numbers more closely over the next two days to come up with a clearer projection.


Shivering started again from the usual suspects. 1 seat in HP was always going to be a loss. 2 seem to be in the kitty, the third will also probably scrape through. There is still every likelihood of 8/9 for BJP from UT+HP.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby member_23365 » 07 May 2014 21:50

muraliravi wrote:5forty3 has a end of the day post.

When I told people in this thread that HP is not rosy, people called me pessimist, now see what he says. I predicted long back, 1 seats for sure in HP for BJP, 1 to cong and 2 seats will be tough call.

Rest looks good. Well, he has posted only UP. Bihar and Andhra, details will come in a day or 2.


HP was never rosy, as per my source BJP image is worst than Congi in state. They indulge in corruption like there is no tomorrow. Locals were enraged at father-son duo for selling the state to JayPee. So many river courses were changed which used to form part of their traditional prayer offerings.
Need a serious change or overhaul in BJP leadership North of Delhi for all four states including Har, Pun, HP and Jammu.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Supratik » 07 May 2014 21:53

Yes, no more roadshows. Jo hona tha ho gaya.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Pratyush » 07 May 2014 21:59

Fingers crossed, lets hope it passes off without incident.

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby pankajs » 07 May 2014 22:21

dna ‏@dna 57m

Election Commission calls allegations of booth capturing and poll rigging in Amethi 'baseless' http://dnai.in/ccqA #MyVote2014

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby anchal » 07 May 2014 22:21

How to get this message out to team NAMO. Roadshow is not needed, the point is already conveyed. The risk is huge, let us not forget SaPa is in bed with jihadis

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby vivek.rao » 07 May 2014 22:24

^^ Tweet them. He gets all the feedback

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby LakshO » 07 May 2014 22:29

gandharva wrote:Meanwhile nice trap set by Cons to take Amethi out of media focus and BJP fell for it.


^ +1. 100% agree that this Varanasi controversy has sickular written all over it to divert what happened today at Amethi. Today, all MSM channels mentioned rigging/booth capturing in Amethi in passing; Varanasi was the main course :(

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Mihaylo » 07 May 2014 22:36

Cross posting from Narendra Modi thread:

I think the value of a road show at this late stage is miniscule. It is downright foolishness. And no security can handle a roadshow of such magnitude. We are talking about thousands of people within a few meters of a High Value target. There will be anarchy if something goes wrong.

-M

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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Postby harbans » 07 May 2014 22:36

NDA would already be past the 272 mark. Modi has taken it this far. He is not needed anymore for BJP to get to power. A BJP Govt is coming to power for sure. If they cancelled his rallies for security, who would want him to do a road show at this juncture and expose him to security risks. Note Congress has nothing left, not even Snoopgate. No ammo except as KT threatened he "has to be stopped at any cost". Even the route for the road show has been publicized. Why should they do this? Give a simple rally, get it televised and be done with. Or are elements within the BJP also pushing hard for a roadshow?


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