I will be delighted if Muppalla-ji's predictions come true. But I am with Dasari-ji here. I have seen a huge sentiment towards the YSRCP among the underclass and the lower middle class (and no, they aren't Christians, almost all Hindu, even staunch Hindus). When I was in India two weeks ago, I saw people like plumbers, electricians, taxi drivers, etc in Bangalore, all swearing by YSRCP. Granted most people I saw are from Rayalseema, but the sentiment was overwhelming. I fear me that people are writing off YSRCP a little too quickly.
Consequently, I too will venture a prediction.
Chittor, Rajampeta, Cuddapah, Kurnool - YSRCP.
Hindupur - tending towards TDP.
Anantapur - no idea at all.
Nandyala-YSRCP was easily in lead here too, but after death of Shobha Reddy in accident, I have no idea what direction it is going to go.
Nellore - YSRCP
Ongole - Tends to YSRCP, but TDP is putting up a good fight here.
Tirupathi - tends to YSRCP. BJP has a chance, but really, the money and liquor flowing due to YSRCP is enough to fill the Pennar several times over. I am not convinced that BJP can win here.
On balance, out of the 10 seats in Rayalseema+Nellore region, I am inclined to give 7-8 to YSRCP, and 2-3 to NDA.
I will leave Kosta proper and Northern Circars region to others who know better, but I am told that the TDP is very strong in many parts there, so they may win. But - here is the catch. Among the worst hit by the EJ-isation are Krishna and Guntur districts, and these EJs might turn the tide for the YSRCP even here. I am not sure if Rayapati can win Narasaraopeta, and even Galla Jaidev has a battle royal on his hands in Guntur. I really hope no one is taking things for granted in TDP. Araku in the extreme north is likely to elect Congress again - I will be unsurprised if Kishore Chandra Deo wins this tribal seat on Telangana borders.
Even if one assumes a very generous 2/3 to NDA in this region, it only comes up to 11-12 seats for NDA in SeemaAndhra.
What is even worse, from a party neutral perspective, is the complete lack of ideology in action. Vote buying is in so much vogue that by 1100 in the morning, people are getting drunk, thanks to election liquor. (One of my friends' electrician went back to his hometown in Nellore district, just to indulge in the election festivities and have a gala time with alcohol and money). I am no stranger to this vote buying phenomenon (having seen it at close quarters many times), but SA is doing things by extremes, IMO. Kesineni Nani has already spent 30+ crores in Vijayawada with a week to go. Similarly, Vijayamma is doing the same in Vishakhapatnam. There is no ideology, no appeal, just a sheer mercenary bidding for the underclass votes. Even the caste factor is getting diluted. Something to think about for all of us - at whose expense will these big spenders recoup their electoral investments?
On the other side, in T, I will be a bit more conservative than Muppalla-garu. In my opinion, BJP has great chances in Mahabubnagar, and Secunderabad, and TDP has the advantage in Chevella and Khammam. Malkajgiri, Nizamabad, and Karimnagar are all in the toss up category, but let us not count on these three, since BJP cadre is outnumbered heavily in both Nizamabad and Karimnagar, and I know plenty of people who have voted JP in Malkajgiri, who may make the difference between victory and defeat for TDP's Malla Reddy.
On the whole, 4 in Telangana for NDA seems a safe projection.
A total of 15 should be a safe bet in whole of AP for NDA.