AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

saip
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby saip » 08 May 2014 08:01

BTW who is Sharmila? She is saying TDP will have only single digit seats and CBN won't be elected. This is from Sakshi TV which is Jagan's

Muppalla
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Muppalla » 08 May 2014 08:04

Rony garu, no need for dhoti shivering as Jagan supporters privately concede defeat. The contest is one to one. The winner always sweeps even with 3% gap. Any district above Prakasam, TDP may have got 45 to 50$%

Muppalla
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Muppalla » 08 May 2014 08:05

saip wrote:BTW who is Sharmila? She is saying TDP will have only single digit seats and CBN won't be elected. This is from Sakshi TV which is Jagan's

Jagan's sister

ramana
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby ramana » 08 May 2014 08:06

She is Jagan's sister. So some bias filtering needed.

gandharva
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby gandharva » 08 May 2014 08:07

Muppalla wrote:
saip wrote:BTW who is Sharmila? She is saying TDP will have only single digit seats and CBN won't be elected. This is from Sakshi TV which is Jagan's

Jagan's sister


She got boyish looks.

a_bharat
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby a_bharat » 08 May 2014 08:29

Eenadu says TDP's internal assessment to be 105 Assembly and 15 Lok Sabha (including BJP).
Since parties usually inflate their own numbers, we have to take these numbers with a pinch of salt.

Dasari
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Dasari » 08 May 2014 08:42

It is foolish for any political party to do any one-upmanship after the elections are over. A show of over confidence doesn't buy anymore votes. In that sense, YSRCP behavior is very suspicious, especially when it is coming from a guy like Mysoora Reddy. Either they have over whelming evidence that they won landslide and cannot wait to rub it on TDP and Congress and relieve themselves from the agonizing tension they had endured for the last 18 months. Or they are the ultimate crooks that even in the face of defeat try to live in delusion - like Duryodhan did on the battle field even after losing Bhishma, Drona and Karna. There is also possibility that they owe hundreds of crores of rupees of short term loans borrowed on good will of winning the elections, and they don't want to give any sign of default to their debtors before results come out.
Last edited by Dasari on 08 May 2014 08:47, edited 2 times in total.

bhavani
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby bhavani » 08 May 2014 08:42

gandharva wrote:
saip wrote:BTW who is Sharmila? She is saying TDP will have only single digit seats and CBN won't be elected. This is from Sakshi TV which is Jagan's

Jagan's sister

She got boyish looks.


She has the reputation of being a female form of keechaka. Her current husband was once a brahmin and happily married with 2 kids. Then she got him converted and married him noe called Brorther Anil.

Before that she was married to a rayalaseema factionist who was murdered mysteriously so that she can marry the ANil Guy

Now the rumors are circulating that she has been going after a young Cine actor probhas and forcing herself on him and it seems men she likes cant reject her

http://deccan-journal.com/content/yssha ... n-top-hero

Dasari
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Dasari » 08 May 2014 08:44

Where is Lagadapati when we really need him? We have to wait until May 12th to hear his survey results. So far his survey results are 100% accurate.

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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Vayutuvan » 08 May 2014 08:50

Busy filling his pepper spray containers with "erra kharam" (red chili powder)? :lol: there is now that "Ava kAyA" season is over.

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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby wasu » 08 May 2014 10:43

Lagadapati's prediction today morning.

http://www.apherald.com/Politics/ViewAr ... agadapati/

The polling in Seemandhra was completed and many voters especially the young ones have shown special interest in voting in the wake of state bifurcation. Violence erupted in many places of Rayalaseema and some places of Southern Coastal Andhra due to the over enthusiasm of YSR Congress party.

After election completes Former Congress MP Lagadapati Rajagopal spoke to media and he once again predicted victory for Telugu Desam Party in the region. Speaking to media persons here, Rajagopal said the TDP would win majority of seats to form the government in the residuary State of Andhra Pradesh. He said the voter turnout of more than 70 per cent was a clear indication that the TDP-BJP combine was all set to form the next government. Though he is reluctant to give number of seats TDP is going to win, Lagadapati said the increase in poll percentage is a sign that the tide is in favour of TDP. Though it is too early to predict the exact outcome, sources said TDP might end up with anywhere between 95-120 Assembly seats, while the YSRCPis likely to get just around 50 seats.

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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Altair » 08 May 2014 11:53

I am deeply disturbed by some of local news who say Jagan is sweeping the polls and is a one sided election. I got to 5forty3.in and even Dr.Patil seems to suggest the same fro his earlier tweets. Is this the end of Telugu jaati? Will the land of Tirumala temple and Lord Balaji fall to EJ and Islamic hordes?
If there is an avenger team I want to be a part of it. I will die fighting but not accept the fate.

hanumadu
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby hanumadu » 08 May 2014 13:03

Dasari wrote:It is foolish for any political party to do any one-upmanship after the elections are over. A show of over confidence doesn't buy anymore votes. In that sense, YSRCP behavior is very suspicious, especially when it is coming from a guy like Mysoora Reddy.


Going by past election news, it is common to make such claims until the results are in and the trend is very clear. I wouldn't give their statements much value.

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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Yagnasri » 08 May 2014 13:47

I am having contacts and Mysura Reddy was forced to join Jagan due to fear of his LIFE. He was afraid to death by Jagan. It is the case of many persons. Serious criminal gang conduct is there from jagan end. We can not find fault with people as they have simply live and not get killed by EJ forces.

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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Muppalla » 08 May 2014 13:53

Altair wrote:I am deeply disturbed by some of local news who say Jagan is sweeping the polls and is a one sided election. I got to 5forty3.in and even Dr.Patil seems to suggest the same fro his earlier tweets. Is this the end of Telugu jaati? Will the land of Tirumala temple and Lord Balaji fall to EJ and Islamic hordes?
If there is an avenger team I want to be a part of it. I will die fighting but not accept the fate.

Reading too many surveys, gossips, politics party type sites will definitely increase BP and tension. 5forty3 is saying the contest will go like Chhattisgarh. In some districts it is neck to neck. But all the districts above Krishna are TDP sweep. That itself will put TDP to power. In LS 15 are sure for NDA. 2 are sure for YCP. 8 are close call.

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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby merlin » 08 May 2014 13:59

Seemandhra seems close to call? Could go either way.

Heard some interesting accounts of what people got to vote for a particular party (quarter bottle brandy, 150 bucks and a packet of biryani) and the sheer amount spent had me reeling. Apparently at least 20 crores per candidate. Easily around 500 crores for the entire SA for one party.

Have also heard that this time there was no videographing so everything from intimidating people to vote for the candidate (no "booth" capturing as such but the same thing in effect) to actual booth capturing. AP has got to be the state where most money was spent. Money flowed like liquor, both literally and figuratively.

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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Altair » 08 May 2014 16:38

Muppalla wrote:
Altair wrote:I am deeply disturbed by some of local news who say Jagan is sweeping the polls and is a one sided election. I got to 5forty3.in and even Dr.Patil seems to suggest the same fro his earlier tweets. Is this the end of Telugu jaati? Will the land of Tirumala temple and Lord Balaji fall to EJ and Islamic hordes?
If there is an avenger team I want to be a part of it. I will die fighting but not accept the fate.

Reading too many surveys, gossips, politics party type sites will definitely increase BP and tension. 5forty3 is saying the contest will go like Chhattisgarh. In some districts it is neck to neck. But all the districts above Krishna are TDP sweep. That itself will put TDP to power. In LS 15 are sure for NDA. 2 are sure for YCP. 8 are close call.


I cannot even begin to imagine how it must be for the candidates who contested and poured money in this exercise.
An estimated 1500 Crores have been spent by YSRP in just 1 month. This includes almost 500 Crores in purchasing and diverting all liquor to seemandhra.
Cash distribution itself accounts for almost 800 crores. Where is his printing press?
Even if TDP comes to power with slim majority there is a risk of defections owing to Jagan's money power and death threats. Its going to be a tough time unless that guy is behind bars or is accidented in true dynasty style.
Personally, I would like to use his money, reach and power to get dirty things done by proper intelligence agency blackmail tactics but there'nt sufficient time

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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Yagnasri » 08 May 2014 16:53

Who ever wins Godavari Districts will win AP. Jagan has all jump jilanis of Congress with him. Congress reasonable fellows jumped to NDA and rest looters who looted heavily jumped to Jagan. Mafia loyals are looking lost.

People will vote with brain this time. mafia and its B teams have little chance.

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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Muppalla » 08 May 2014 17:05

Pouring of money is nothing new in AP politics. It is just that India and world has more communication channels and hence everyone is saying OMG. Both Congress and TDP pour a lot of money. YCP is a true replacement of INC and he has acquired all the factors of anti-incumbency along with all the INC vote banks. A small swing of 2% results in seats sweep. Even in 2004 when YSR swept the state against CBN the difference is about 5%. The swing away from congress in 2009 was picked up by PRP. This time it has reverted back to old ways of contest between just two parties. All the other side-show parties such as INC, Samikyandhra party are all negligible but will only cut through YCP.

Everything else is maya.

TDP has the edge for this election in SA.

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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby merlin » 08 May 2014 19:15

So when there is so little difference in % of voting between the two, won't EVM magic help in swinging the balance the "favoured" way? Remember manipulation has to be subtle not blatant or else a hue and cry might be raised. Close results swinging to the "proper" side if not directly then in recounting is what might happen?

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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby kmkraoind » 08 May 2014 19:21

bhavani wrote:Before that she was married to a rayalaseema factionist who was murdered mysteriously so that she can marry the ANil Guy


That poor is guy is none other her own maternal uncle, i.e. Bibilamma's brother. After separation, that poor chap get mysteriously accidented. The rumor is that Gajan has so-so relationship with rest of maternal uncles.

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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby vivek.rao » 08 May 2014 19:38

http://www.gulte.com/news/26918/Pro-Jag ... s-TDPs-Win
Throwing satires about TDP Chief Chandrababu Naidu and Janasena President Pawan Kalyan's lunch meeting, Yellow Media has actually revealed truth. It took just minutes for people to understand what the yellow media has carefully concealed below their wicked idea.

The media asked what is Pawan Kalyan going to ask at the lunch meeting with Chandrababu. "Will he ask posts and positions for his well-wishers or construction contracts or mining leases?," the pro-Jagan media quipped. Of course, Jagan has done same things after his father came into power so there is no wrong in the media speculating that Pawan would also do same stuff. Here comes the revelation now. As the pro-Jagan media themselves are asking what Pawan will seek from Naidu, it is indirectly giving hints that Chandrbabu led TDP-BJP alliance is going to win in Andhra Pradesh with thumping majority. Is it not they are hinting?

In the wake of Chandrababu earlier indicating that a Kapu leader will become Deputy CM of state, the yellow media quipped that Pawan may ask for that post. "Pawan himself stated that he didn't wish to contest during PRP days as he is not interested in power. Why would he seek Deputy CM seat now? He is not a man of changing colours and words on different occasions," a political analyst quipped.


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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby vivek.rao » 08 May 2014 19:49

http://www.gulte.com/news/26913/Exclusi ... eats-in-SA
Exclusive: Exit Polls results of 25 Lok Sabha seats in SA

Any comments?
Rajahmundry:

TDP - Murali Mohan

YSR Congress - BV Ramana Chowdary

Congress - Lakshmi Durga Prasad

Prediction: Murali Mohan will win with a good majority.


Amalapuram:

TDP - Dr P Ravindra Babu

YSR Congress - P Vishwaroop

Congress - Bucchi Maheswara Rao

JSP - GV Harsha Kumar

Prediction: TDP Candidate Ravindra Babu has got an edge over YSR Congress Candidate Vishwaroop and JSP Candidate Harsha Kumar.


Kakinada:

TDP - Thota Narasimham

YSR Congress - Chalamashetti Sunil

Congress - Pallam Raju

Prediction: TDP Candidate Thota Narasimham has got an edge over YSR Congress Candidate Chalamashetti Sunil.


Chittoor:

TDP - Shiva Prasad

YSR Congress - Samanya Kiran

Congress - Rajagopal

Prediction: TDP Candidate Shiva Prasad has got an edge over YSR Congress Candidate Samanya Kiran.


Tirupati:

BJP - Karumanchi Jayaram

YSR Congress - V Varaprasada Rao

Congress - Chintha Mohan

Prediction: BJP Candidate Jayaram has got an edge over YSR Congress candidate V Varaprasada Rao.


Kadapa:

TDP - R Srinivasulu Reddy

YSR Congress - YS Avinash Reddy

Congress - Veena Ajay Kumar

Prediction: YSR Congress candidate YS Avinash Reddy wins with huge majority.


Rajampet:

BJP - Purandeswari

YSR Congress - Peddireddy Mithun Reddy

Congress - Sai Pratap Annayyagari

Prediction: Neck-and-Neck fight between BJP Candidate Purandeswari and YSR Congress Candidate Mithun Reddy (50:50 chances for both BJP & YSRC).


Kurnool:

TDP - BT Naidu

YSR Congress - Butta Renuka

Congress - Kotla Suryaprakash Reddy

Prediction: Neck-and-neck fight between TDP candidate BT Naidu and YSR Congress candidate Butta Renuka.

Favorite: BT Naidu!



Hindupur:

TDP - Nimmala Kistappa

YSR Congress - D Sridhar Reddy

Congress - Gutturu Chinna Venkata Ramudu

Prediction: Neck-and-neck fight between TDP candidate Nimmala Kistappa and YSR Congress candidate D Sridhar Reddy.

Favorite: Nimmala Kistappa!



Anantapur:

TDP - JC Diwakar Reddy

YSR Congress - Anantha Venkatrami Reddy

Congress - Anil Chowdary

Prediction: Neck-and-neck fight between TDP candidate JC Diwakar Reddy and YSR Congress candidate Anantha Venkatrami Reddy.

Favorite: JC Diwakar Reddy



Nellore:

TDP - Aadala Prabhakar Reddy

YSR Congress - Mekapati Rajamohan Reddy

Congress - Vakati Narayana Reddy

Prediction: Neck-and-neck fight between TDP candidate Aadala Prabhakar Reddy and YSR Congress candidate Mekapati Rajamohan Reddy.

Favorite: Mekapati



Ongole:

TDP - Magunta Srinivasulu Reddy

YSR Congress - YV Subba Reddy

Congress - Darshi Pawan Kumar

Prediction: TDP Candidate Magunta Srinivasulu Reddy has got an edge over YSR Congress Candidate YV Subba Reddy.


Nandyal:

TDP - NMD Farooq

YSR Congress - SPY Reddy

Congress - BY Ramaiah

Prediction: YSRC Candidate SPY Reddy has got an edge over TDP Candidate NMD Farooq.


Guntur:

TDP - Galla Jaydev

YSR Congress - Balashouri

Congress - Sheikh Abdul Wahid

Prediction: TDP Candidate Galla Jaydev has got an edge over YSR Congress Candidate Balashouri.


Narsaraopet:

TDP - Rayapati Sambasiva Rao

YSR Congress - Ayodhya Ramireddy

Congress - Kondapalli Venkateshwarlu

Prediction: TDP Candidate Rayapati Sambasiva Rao has got an edge over YSR Congress Candidate Ayodhya Ramireddy.



Bapatla:

TDP - Sriram Malyadri

YSR Congress - Dr Amruthapani

Congress - Panabaka Lakshmi

Prediction: TDP Candidate Sriram Malyadri has got an edge over YSR Congress Candidate Dr Amruthapani.


Vijayawada:

TDP - Kesineni Nani

YSR Congress - Koneru Prasad

Congress - Devineni Avinash

Prediction: TDP Candidate Kesineni Nani has got an edge over YSR Congress Candidate Koneru Prasad.


Machilipatnam:

TDP - Konakalla Narayana

YSR Congress - Parthasarathi

Congress - Ramesh

Prediction: TDP Candidate Konakalla Narayana has got an edge over YSR Congress Candidate Parthasarathi.


Eluru:

TDP - Maganti Babu

YSR Congress - Thota Chandrasekhar

Congress - Musunuri Nageshwara Rao

Prediction: TDP Candidate Maganti Babu has got an edge over YSR Congress Candidate Thota Chandrasekhar.


Narsapuram:

BJP - Gokaraju Gangaraju

YSR Congress - Ravindra

Congress - Kanumuri Bapiraju

Prediction: BJP Candidate Gokaraju Gangaraju has got an edge over YSR Congress Candidate Ravindra.


Visakhapatnam:

BJP - Kambhampati Haribabu

YSR Congress - YS Vijayamma

Congress - Balishetti Satyanarayana

Prediction: Neck-and-neck fight between BJP Candidate Kambhampati Haribabu and YSR Congress candidate YS Vijayamma (50:50 chances for BJP & YSRC).


Anakapalli:

TDP - Avanti Srinivasa Rao

YSR Congress - Gudivada Amarnath

Congress - Thota Vijayalakshmi

Prediction: TDP Candidate Avanti Srinivasa Rao will win with a decent margin.


Vizianagaram:

TDP - Ashok Gajapathi Raju

YSR Congress - Ranga Rao

Congress - Botsa Jhansi

Prediction: TDP Candidate Ashok Gajapathi Raju has got an edge over YSR Congress Candidate Ranga Rao.


Srikakulam:

TDP - Kinjarapu Rammohan Naidu

YSR Congress - Shanti

Congress - Killi Kruparani

Prediction: TDP Candidate Kinjarapu Rammohan Naidu will win with decent margin.


Araku:

TDP - Sandhya Rani

YSR Congress - K Geetha

Congress - Kishore Chandra Deo

Prediction: Neck-and-neck fight between TDP Candidate Sandhya Rani and YSR Congress candidate K Geetha.

Favorite: K Geetha

ShyamSP
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby ShyamSP » 08 May 2014 22:19

vivek.rao wrote:http://www.gulte.com/news/26913/Exclusive-Exit-Polls-results-of-25-Lok-Sabha-seats-in-SA
Exclusive: Exit Polls results of 25 Lok Sabha seats in SA

Any comments?


This is same as what I posted in my predictions (viewtopic.php?p=1633659#p1633659). I adjusted Amalapuram as current MP gave tough fight meaning old INC votes are split between YCP and JSP so it is win for TDP. Araku may play out like that due to vote splitting between YCP and INC (Union Minister Deo)

Except if there is massive rigging or manipulations of EVMs, nothing can help YCP. It doesn't clearly look like YCP got any new vote block, other than expected votebank, to massively increase voting in their favor. If majority Kapus voted for TDP unlike in 2004 and 2009, YCP can't do much in Coastal. Overwhelming Delta Kammas are also with TDP this time unlike in the past.

YCP has clear advantage in Kadapa, Nandyala, Nellore, Rajampet. In news but not clear, in Rajampet ex-CM KKR gave support to BJP candidate Purandeswari. If so it is also not so clear. In Nellore also TDP candidate Adala gave tough fight but YCP candidate Mekapati has personal advantage than party advantage.

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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby bhavani » 09 May 2014 00:01

Pawan kalyan seems to be the factor who was swung the Kapu vote and youth vote towards BJP+TDP Combine.

The person who has shifted the political winds towards TDP and made a significant difference towards TDP+BJP is undoubtedly Pawan Kalyan. TDP supremo Chandrababu Naidu who is well aware of this fact strongly believes Pawan's whirlwind tour across Seemandhra in the past few days, power-packed speeches highlighting the secret nexus between Jagan-KCR & Corruption during YSR's regime and also his honesty has struck a chord with the voters of the region.


http://deccan-journal.com/content/pawan-kalyan-x-factor

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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Muppalla » 09 May 2014 00:18

Constituencies where TDP is likely to Win. 
Ichchapuram – TDP
Palasa – TDP
Tekkali – TDP
Pathapatnam – TDP
Amadalavalasa – TDP
Etcherla – TDP
Kurupam – TDP
Salur – TDP
Gajapathinagaram – TDP
Nellimarla – TDP
Vizianagaram – TDP
Srungavarapukota – TDP
Bhimili – TDP
Visakhapatnam East – TDP
Visakhapatnam West – TDP
Gajuwaka – TDP
Chodavaram – TDP
Madugula – TDP
Araku Valley – TDP
Pendurthi – TDP
Narsipatnam – TDP
Tuni – TDP
Prathipadu – TDP
Kakinada City – TDP
Mummidivaram – TDP
Ramachandrapuram – TDP
Razole (SC) – TDP
Gannavaram(SC) – TDP
Kothapeta – TDP
Mandapeta – TDP
Rajanagaram – TDP
Rajahmundry City – TDP
Rajahmundry Rural – Jaggampeta – TDP
Rampachodavaram – TDP
Kovvur – TDP
Nidadavole – TDP
Achanta – TDP
Narasapuram – TDP
Bhimavaram – TDP
Undi – TDP
Tanuku – TDP
Unguturu – TDP
Denduluru – TDP
Eluru – TDP
Gopalapuram(SC) – TDP
Chintalapudi (SC) – TDP
Tiruvuru (SC) – TDP
Nuzvid – TDP
Gannavaram – TDP
Pedana – TDP
Pamarru (SC) – TDP
Penamaluru – TDP
Vijayawada Central – TDP
Mylavaram – TDP
Nandigama (SC) – TDP
Jaggayyapeta – TDP
Pedakurapadu – TDP
Tadikonda (SC) – TDP
Ponnuru – TDP
Vemuru (SC) – TDP
Tenali – TDP
Prathipadu – TDP
Guntur West – TDP
Chilakaluripet – TDP
Sattenapalle – TDP
Vinukonda – TDP
Gurajala – TDP
Darsi – TDP
Parchur – TDP
Addanki – TDP
Chirala – TDP
Kandukur – TDP
Kondapi (SC) – TDP
Kanigiri – TDP
Kavali – TDP
Kovur – TDP
Gudur – TDP
Venkatagiri – TDP
Udayagiri – TDP
Srisailam – TDP
Yemmiganur – TDP
Adoni – TDP
Uravakonda – TDP
Tadpatri – TDP
Singanamala – TDP
Kalyandurg – TDP
Madakasira – TDP
Hindupur – TDP
Penukonda – TDP
Puttaparthi – TDP
Dharmavaram – TDP
Kadiri – TDP
Tirupati – TDP
Srikalahasti – TDP
Satyavedu – TDP
Nagari – TDP
Puthalapattu – TDP
Palamaner – TDP
Kuppam – TDP



Constituencies where YSRCP is likely to Win
Srikakulam – YSRCP
Narasannapeta – YSRCP
Rajam (SC) – YSRCP
Payakaraopet – Tough Fight
Palakonda – YSRCP
Pithapuram – Tough Fight
Parvathipuram(SC) – YSRCP
Bobbili – YSRCP
Visakhapatnam North – YSRCP
Paderu – YSRCP
Anakapalle – YSRCP
Kakinada Rural – YSRCP
Peddapuram – YSRCP
Anaparthy – YSRCP
Amalapuram (SC) – YSRCP
Tadepalligudem – YSRCP
Polavaram (ST) – YSRCP
Gudivada – YSRCP
Kaikalur – YSRCP
Machilipatnam – YSRCP
Vijayawada West – YSRCP
Mangalagiri – YSRCP
Guntur East – YSRCP
Narasaraopet – YSRCP
Macherla – YSRCP
Santhanuthalapadu – YSRCP
Ongole – YSRCP
Markapuram – YSRCP
Giddalur – YSRCP
Atmakur – YSRCP
Badvel – YSRCP
Rajampet – YSRCP
Nellore City – YSRCP
Nellore Rural – YSRCP
Kadapa – YSRCP
Pulivendula – YSRCP
Kamalapuram – YSRCP
Jammalamadugu – YSRCP
Rayachoti – YSRCP
Allagadda – YSRCP
Nandikotkur – YSRCP
Banaganapalle – YSRCP
Pattikonda – YSRCP
Kodumur – YSRCP
Mantralayam – YSRCP
Alur – YSRCP
Guntakal – YSRCP
Pileru – YSRCP
Punganur – YSRCP
Madanapalle – YSRCP
Chittoor – YSRCP



Constituencies where it is in a fix.
Yerragondapalem – Tough Fight
Cheepurupalli – Tough Fight
Visakhapatnam South – Tough Fight
Yelamanchili – Tough Fight
Palcole – Tough Fight
Avanigadda – Tough Fight
Vijayawada East – Tough Fight
Repalle – Tough Fight
Bapatla – Tough Fight
Sarvepalli – Tough Fight
Sullurpeta – Tough Fight
Kodur – Tough Fight
Mydukur – Tough Fight
Proddatur – Tough Fight
Kurnool – Tough Fight
Panyam – Tough Fight
Nandyal – Tough Fight
Dhone – Tough Fight
Rayadurg – Tough Fight
Anantapur Urban – Tough Fight
Raptadu – Tough Fight
Thamballapalle – Tough Fight
Chandragiri – Tough Fight
Gangadhara Nellore(SC) – Tough Fight
 Complete Stastics
TDP win = 100
YSRCP Win = 51
Tough Fight b/w TDP & YSRCP = 24
Total = 175

Muppalla
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Muppalla » 09 May 2014 00:20

This is coming from an independent Sangh folks not from TDP or YSRC. If I show that to my TDP friends they will not agree losing so many Krishna Dt and Guntur Dt seats.

ShyamSP
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby ShyamSP » 09 May 2014 01:33

Muppalla wrote:This is coming from an independent Sangh folks not from TDP or YSRC. If I show that to my TDP friends they will not agree losing so many Krishna Dt and Guntur Dt seats.


There are not many from Krishna&Guntur Dist. There are always some factors and local issues where YCP may win instead of TDP in TDP-strong districts. If this is all YCP can win from those two districts, it is good news actually.
======
Gudivada – YSRCP
Kaikalur – YSRCP
Machilipatnam – YSRCP
Vijayawada West – YSRCP
Mangalagiri – YSRCP
Guntur East – YSRCP
Narasaraopet – YSRCP
Macherla – YSRCP
======

Rajampet is tight and may go to TDP, other wise BJP will lose MP seat. Rajampet city has less YCP power than the other constituencies.

Pileru is where ex-CM KKR is running. If he is losing, BJP can forget Rajampet MP seat under which Pileru falls also.
Pileru, Rajampet are the ones that make BJP to win Rajampet. From what you gave according to "independant Sangh folks", Rajampet is loss then.

=====
Rajampet – YSRCP <<< Ouch! for Daggupati Purandeswari as MP
Nellore City – YSRCP
Nellore Rural – YSRCP <<< Ouch! for Anam Vivekananda Reddy
Pileru – YSRCP <<< Ouch! for Nallari Kitan Kumar Reddy.
Punganur – YSRCP
====

vivek.rao
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby vivek.rao » 09 May 2014 23:00

In AP, every one is bluffing
http://www.apherald.com/Politics/ViewAr ... -Channels/

Here are stats of channel wise.
EENADU-ETV: TDP - 107 seats YSR Congess - 58 seats BJP - 4 seats Congress, JSP & Independents - 6 seats
SAKSHI: YSR Congress - 120 seats TDP - 47 seats BJP - 2 seats Congress, JSP & Independents - 6 seats
ABN Andhrayjyothi: TDP - 118 seats YSR Congress - 47 seats BJP - 4 seats Congress, JSP & Independents - 6 seats

vivek.rao
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby vivek.rao » 09 May 2014 23:17

http://www.apherald.com/Politics/ViewAr ... gress-HC-/
Governor Survey results that was sent to Congress HC!!

This is said to be a confidential report allegedly sent by State in charge ,Governor of AP ESL Narasimhan to the congress high command.
The reports reads the results favour to Chandrababu led TDP and according to it Babu will 101 seats which 15 more than the magic figure(87) to form Government.
The report gave big shock to YSRCP as it was fall short of 15 seats to the magic figure(87) and adjusted with 62 seats .
Telugu Desam – 101 YSRCP- 62 BJP-5 Congress & Others – 8.

ramana
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby ramana » 10 May 2014 00:22

ESLN is one dude who needs to go after new govt takes office.

member_28555
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby member_28555 » 10 May 2014 01:13

i have never seen or heard of rioting in SA before, quite shocking what Jaggu gang/EJs are up to. Makes me wonder what they can unleash if they lose or win - :evil:


bhavani
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby bhavani » 10 May 2014 01:21

It seems CBN, Jagan and Pawan Kalyan have all gone on vacations after the polling ended. There is a lot of violence going on after the polls. If the violence does not stop, it might lead to voilence of Counting day

http://deccan-journal.com/content/jagan ... o-vacation

BijuShet
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby BijuShet » 10 May 2014 01:40

ramana wrote:ESLN is one dude who needs to go after new govt takes office.

He will as will be the norm for all Hand chosen State Gov.'s

LakshO
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby LakshO » 10 May 2014 05:35

vivek.rao wrote:http://www.apherald.com/Politics/ViewArticle/55979/Governor-Survey-results-that-was-sent-to-Congress-HC-/
Governor Survey results that was sent to Congress HC!!

This is said to be a confidential report allegedly sent by State in charge ,Governor of AP ESL Narasimhan to the congress high command.
The reports reads the results favour to Chandrababu led TDP and according to it Babu will 101 seats which 15 more than the magic figure(87) to form Government.
The report gave big shock to YSRCP as it was fall short of 15 seats to the magic figure(87) and adjusted with 62 seats .
Telugu Desam – 101 YSRCP- 62 BJP-5 Congress & Others – 8.


ramana wrote:ESLN is one dude who needs to go after new govt takes office.


BijuShet wrote:
ramana wrote:ESLN is one dude who needs to go after new govt takes office.

He will as will be the norm for all Hand chosen State Gov.'s


ESLN is one incredibly capable dude but sending a report directly to CongI high command is simply not done. As you said, he needs to go.

Muppalla
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Muppalla » 10 May 2014 06:19

Why she needs it? Don't focus on Governor, watch out. The state is one entity that went from total stability to instability in the last decade. It is a collateral for a lot of warring mafias. The entire edifice will fall if Jagan does not win. TG is immaterial

vivek.rao
BRF Oldie
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby vivek.rao » 10 May 2014 13:33

http://www.apherald.com/Politics/ViewAr ... ict-wise-/

After watching the election trend the expelled congress leader openly announced that TDP will form government in the state. But Lagadapati have not revealed the exact numbers.Here is the report which is circulating on web and many claiming it as Lagadapati survey leaked report.
According to it TDP-BJP combo will win 113 seats and YCP was cofined to 18 seats only.

Have a look on below numbers Srikakulam: TDP-9, YSRCP-1 Vizianagaram: TDP-7, YSRCP-2 Visakhapatnam: TDP-10, YSRCP-5 East Godavari: TDP-11, YSRCP-8 West Godavari: TDP-11, YSRCP-4 Krishna: TDP-13, YSRCP-3 Guntur: TDP-13, YSRCP-4, Others-2 Prakasam: TDP-7, YSRCP-4 Nellore: TDP-5, YSRCP-5 Kurnool: TDP-7, YSRCP-6, Other-1 Kadapa: TDP-2, YSRCP-8 Anantapur: TDP-9, YSRCP-5 Chittoor: TDP-8, YSRCP-5, Other-1

Total: TDP/BJP- 113, YSRCP-58, Others-4


gpati
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby gpati » 11 May 2014 14:39

Lagadapati Rajgopal exit poll survey results ????

BJP: 220 - 240
NDA: 300

TG: TRS will form the government

AP: TDP

Vijayamma may lose Vishakapatnam.

http://youtu.be/vbIgB0wFzLI

http://youtu.be/ePUuMcwuBjs

krishnan
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby krishnan » 11 May 2014 14:53

so was was being circulated in twitter came true...

28-30 seats lost due to EVM ringing

Yagnasri
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Yagnasri » 11 May 2014 15:00

Many may consider him as a Idiot. But his predictions normally turned out to be true as for as election results are concerned.


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