In other words he says T will becoem like one of the newly divided Northern states.
I didn't get the analogy there.
Added two more posts for completeness:
Narayana Rao wrote:With Ramanaji closing 2012 Assemebly election and it is strongly suspected that 2013 budget with lot of sops will be followed by an early general election I am starting a new thread. Hope it will also go for next 200 pages.
Tomorrow is the all party meeting on Telangana and CBN has to act tactfully. interesting post about CBN -
http://krishnarjun108.wordpress.com/201 ... ty-of-cbn/
I happen to agree with some points - He will never allow any other leader to grow in the party. He had a golden opp to have long term relationship with BJP and NDA but his insecurity and short term oppertunisums resulted in present condition. He prevented other leaders from becoming ministers and having got huge benifits under BJP rule at Delhi for his state govt he returned back to "secular" fold and now finds himself in this useless conditon.
Muppalla wrote:Let us use this thread to discuss some real strategy. Though we all like to see UPA out of the door, the ground reality of electoral math is not in favor of such a thing yet. As things stand and if there is an election next month UPA-3 is a sure shot thing.
Here is an important pointer that ShauryaT posted in the closed assembly election thread on 21st December.
many in this thread are still missing a ground to earth reality that exists in Gujrat. It is the rural-urban divideThe BJP may not be able to repeat its handsome win in the civic polls in the October 21 district panchayat, taluka and nagarpalika polls, if statistics of past elections are to go by.
Voters who showed a pro-BJP trend in the civic and Assembly elections have shown a tilt towards the Congress in the rural and Lok Sabha elections.
Besides, the gap in the vote share between the two parties in the rural polls is narrower compared to the urban polls. In Ahmedabad city, the gap was 12.48 per cent, which narrowed down to 1.94 per cent in the district panchayat polls last time. In Vadodara city, the gap was 21.09 per cent, but the Congress pipped the BJP in the district panchayat elections by getting its share up by 2.48 per cent.
The scene was no different in Surat and Rajkot. The municipal corporation polls showed a 23.84 per cent vote share in favour of the BJP in Surat and 22.11 per cent share in its favour in Rajkot, which narrowed down to 3.45 per cent in the district polls.
In Jamnagar, the civic poll share gap was 17.82 per cent in favour of the BJP and 3.28 per cent in panchayat body. In Bhavnagar though, the vote share in favour of the BJP was 4.16 per cent in the municipal corporation and 5.37 per cent in the district panchayat.
In the Assembly election of 2007, the vote share was 11.12 per cent in favour of the BJP which dipped down to 3.16 per cent in the Lok Sabha election of 2009.
The overall vote share gap in 2005 in the district panchayats was 4.75 per cent and in case of municipalities 4.78 per cent. But in the case of the taluka panchayats in 2006, the Congress had an upper hand with 15.11 per cent vote share.
Just before the actual election results came B.Raman and some those who has internal IB connection in India tweeted that congress gameplan of making Modi to CBN level. We should not brush aside such statements as some fantacy just because we don't like.
Congress has an APization plan for some states
The game plan of INC is whereever there is a straight fight and a pushy urban middleclass (the media wrongly puts is neo-urbanclass like neo-rich of Russia), you have to create fissures and divide it so that the votes of this class is irrelevant. That is the fundamental game here.
(1) They achieved it in AP using the Telangana bandwagon. TDP is almost irrelevant. It is easy to call it as some basket case today but just rewind back to 2000-2004 timeline. CBN being the CEO, all IT-Vty stuff and the world praising the state as a most forward looking etc. Not that AP does not have backwardness. Who is the reason for such a forward looking image? The so called neo-middleclass. The backbone of such an image was broken and the electorate is now splintered.
(2) Congress just tried APization on Gujarat. Do not take away the success of Keshubhai and his achievement in this election. It was Modi's electoral strategy that got seats but he did not win in places where he was expected to win. But congress will do a very micro level analysis in planning new strategies for LS2014. GJP will be the new RajT/Chiranjeevi of Gujarat and I am sure Modi will not take it lightly inspite of victory.
(3) Now the APization of Karnataka seems to be complete - The corruption is Karnataka is like a bird's drop in a ocean when compared to anything that happened in YSR's AP or central government. However, the extra brutal push on Yeddi and recently on Eshwarrappa tells that the push is as simple as the operation APization. You need several parties fighting for each other for the same space so that INC can win. Here is the survey (little biased towards congress as they gave alway 15 to 20 seats in all their surveys more to INC). http://www.daijiworld.com/news/news_dis ... _id=158171Congress will be back to power in the state with a clear majority of 115 seats in the coming assembly elections, a survey conducted by C fore (Centre for Forecasting & Research) has revealed.
As per the survey, the ruling BJP will take second place with 58 seats, JD(S) will improve its tally from last elections to 31 seats and Yeddyurappa's KJP will be pushed to a corner with only 14 seats.
The survey conducted by C fore has considered 158 towns and 658 rural places with opinions from 10,279 voters around the state. The survey includes men and women from all castes, religions and age groups.
More number of youth and women have favoured Congress in the survey. Congress is expected to bag 36% of the total votes. Out 224 sitting MLAs, only 85 MLAs are expected to be re-elected this time, while the rest would be rejected by the people.
BJP will be a major loser losing about 60 sitting MLAs.
While 54% of the Lingayat community voters favoured B S Yeddyurappa, only 25% were in favour of BJP. Minorities Muslim and Christians are expected to back Congress strongly this time, along with backward castes. But Vokkaliga voters have shown support to JD(S).
In all the three cases above, it is just a line of political divisions that will keep a state looking like economically forward with development politics Vs completely casteistic backward. Gujarat was able to beat the plot where AP failed and KA is in the process.
Modi needs to do a VPSingh+ABV of 1989 to unite the voters and beat the divisions that are being plotted and executed.