AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

vivek.rao
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby vivek.rao » 14 May 2014 23:31

http://www.apherald.com/Politics/ViewAr ... ongress-6/
IBTL Poll
Telugudesam Party Party will bag maximum number of Lok Sabha seats according to Exit polls of IBTL.The survey asserted that Chandrababu led TDP will win 14 Lok Sabha seats, while others will only manage to get seats in single digits. The survey has also predicted that YSRCP will win nine seats. On the other hand, BJP will be expected to win two out of four seats in seemandhra In Telangana, TRS and Congress will be leading the chatrs and both parties expected to share 6 Lok Sabha seats each. BJP wins 3 of the 8 Lok Sabha seats. TDP projected to win just 1 Lok Sabha seat and MIM retains its MP seat.
Here are the results Seemandhra: TDP: 14 (+10) YSR Congress: 9 (+9) BJP: 2 (+2)
Telangana: TRS: 6 (+4) Congress: 6 (-7) BJP: 3 (+3) TDP: 1 (-1) MIM: 1 (0)

ShyamSP
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby ShyamSP » 15 May 2014 00:18

vivek.rao wrote:http://www.apherald.com/Politics/ViewArticle/56529/-IBTL-Exit-Polls-TDP-15-BJP-5-YSRCP-9-TRS-6-Congress-6/
IBTL Poll
Telugudesam Party Party will bag maximum number of Lok Sabha seats according to Exit polls of IBTL.The survey asserted that Chandrababu led TDP will win 14 Lok Sabha seats, while others will only manage to get seats in single digits. The survey has also predicted that YSRCP will win nine seats. On the other hand, BJP will be expected to win two out of four seats in seemandhra In Telangana, TRS and Congress will be leading the chatrs and both parties expected to share 6 Lok Sabha seats each. BJP wins 3 of the 8 Lok Sabha seats. TDP projected to win just 1 Lok Sabha seat and MIM retains its MP seat.
Here are the results Seemandhra: TDP: 14 (+10) YSR Congress: 9 (+9) BJP: 2 (+2)
Telangana: TRS: 6 (+4) Congress: 6 (-7) BJP: 3 (+3) TDP: 1 (-1) MIM: 1 (0)



Who is this IBTL? Acronym for In-before-Thread-lock? Anyway, in 2 more days we'll know fate of the Nation.

Seemandhra:
---------------
YSR doesn't looks to be winning anything in the Coastal AP except for Nellore considering Municipal and ZP/MPTC results 1-2 ago.

It still has Kadapa, Nandyala, Rajampet, and Nellore as winning seats. Even Nandyala both urban and rural went for TDP in those results. Only consideration is the death of MLA candidate Sobha Nagi Reddy whose husband is MP candidate. As for Rajampet, even though urban went to TDP but rural went for YCP. Given massive rigging by Punganur candidate Peddi Reddy, it is difficult for Daggupati Purandeswari. Nellore rural was for YCP while urban was for TDP. Unless Adala Prabhakar Reddy did magic in MP seat, it is tough call.

Telangana:
------------
BJP - 3 means 1-2 less for INC and TRS. BJP has chance in only Sec'bad (for sure). TDP has Khammam (for sure), Malkajgiri, and Chevella. Adilabad is goner for TDP given Municipal and ZP/MPTC results.

But TDP+BJP combined 4 is reasonable.

ShyamSP
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby ShyamSP » 15 May 2014 00:24

vivek.rao wrote:
ShyamSP wrote:People buried Congress formally in Seemandhra. Municipal, ZPTC, and MPTC results are out and already are proof.

INC voters moved to TDP and YCP. INC Cadre moved to YCP. 30%+ vote share for YCP is formidable. So YCP less likely to merge with INC soon after elections and so it will be like NCP going forward. YCP is insurance for Jagan for survival and for court cases and for protection of ill-gotten money.

Andhra Pradesh became like Tamil Nadu without central parties so the name Telugu Nadu is apt for it.

`
Can BJP continue to build party in Andhra by stealing people from YSRP & Congress while Modi is in power regardless of TDP?


Less likely. If they follow similar strategy as they did in Telangana, it is very difficult. If BJP puts Jagan in Jail, there is possibility of pulling fence-sitters of YCP. YCP and INC will be limited to EJ crowd and Muslims.

Rest needs to be plucked with cooperation from TDP so they can permanently transform AP into BJP vs TDP instead of current YCP vs TDP or in the past INC vs TDP.

vivek.rao
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby vivek.rao » 15 May 2014 03:15

NDTV says

YSRP - 45% TDP - 45%

How is that even possible if YSRP was strong only in 4 districts?

45% people voting for this ******** troubles me very much.

I hope he loses and Naidu instead of playing appeasement games totally destroys missionary scums. He should know that they will vote based on what church says no matter what.

Lets tweet Amit Shah about this crook Jagan and his EJ operation.

ShyamSP
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby ShyamSP » 15 May 2014 03:26

^^^
NDTV manages Sakshi media. Jagan has stake in it.

Junk media news or surveys are still junk.

ShyamSP
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby ShyamSP » 15 May 2014 03:50

Eenadu did analysis of MLA seats from recent results. This exceeds my own projections for TDP with 110 MLAs and 19-20 MPs. (BJP numbers inclusive)

TDP: 119 :-)
YCP: 48

Undisclosed: 8

PaGo Jilla :rotfl:

http://epaper.eenadu.net/pdf/2014/05/15 ... 135010.jpg

Muppalla
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby Muppalla » 15 May 2014 06:47

ShyamSP wrote:^^^
NDTV manages Sakshi media. Jagan has stake in it.

Junk media news or surveys are still junk.


Even if it is 45 and 45 TDP will win more seats. They need to get deeper to districts where more seats are there. Anyway another 40 hrs we will know everything.

vivek.rao
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby vivek.rao » 15 May 2014 07:38

Except NDTV every other survey is giving TDP+BJP huge numbers. Waiting on Chanakya

vishvak
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby vishvak » 15 May 2014 07:39

So Jagan like his father YSR will continue looting temples? Gujarat government was dismissed and elections were ordered for a riot that lasted no more than 3-5 days. But this is going on for decades and even international media is silent only, not to mention silent secularists who would write tomes about Gujarat riots where a pregnant woman was killed along with her fetus.

wasu
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Re: AP Politics and runup to 2014 General elections

Postby wasu » 15 May 2014 12:46

Two reports today on issues with EVM security in AP..one in Ongole and one in Vijayawada..

http://www.eenadu.net/Homeinner.aspx?item=break57


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