BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

KLP Dubey
BRFite
Posts: 1310
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by KLP Dubey »

Week 5 (revised): 35 40 25 0 0 0 0
brihaspati
BRF Oldie
Posts: 12410
Joined: 19 Nov 2008 03:25

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by brihaspati »

B wk 6 0 0 0 0 80 20 0
Saral
BRFite
Posts: 1663
Joined: 16 Jan 2005 14:05

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by Saral »

ok from now on it is week 6, till may 16. You may revise after exit polls (in fact no reason why you shouldn't)
Saral
BRFite
Posts: 1663
Joined: 16 Jan 2005 14:05

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by Saral »

Week 5 UPA

14 participants this week. Median remains stuck at 105. The mean is 112 and the weighted mean estimate is 110. Estimates have narrowed as the median confidence is at 76.

Code: Select all

         JINGO      UPA85 UPA105 UPA115 UPA125 UPA135 UPA145 UPA165    ESTIMATE    CONFIDENCE
     chaanakya      100      0      0      0      0      0      0          85           100
         RamaY      100      0      0      0      0      0      0          85           100
         Denis       75     25      0      0      0      0      0          90            87
         Patni       65     35      0      0      0      0      0          92            85
 panduranghari       65     25     10      0      0      0      0          93            77
         Saral       60     40      0      0      0      0      0          93            84
      KLPDubey       35     40     25      0      0      0      0         101            68
        deejay       10     50     30      5      5      0      0         109            59
         klaus        0     45     35     20      0      0      0         113            69
       matrimc        0      5     10     30     40     10      5         132            43
    brihaspati        0      0      0     60     20     20      0         132            74
        Marten        0      0      0     20     30     40     10         140            57
        AnandK        0      0      0      0     25     25     50         153            70
    muraliravi        0      0      0      0      0     50     50         156            83
Saral
BRFite
Posts: 1663
Joined: 16 Jan 2005 14:05

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by Saral »

Week 6 Pre-Exit poll (before Monday 6 pm IST)

Saral 35 35 30 0 0 0 0
panduranghari
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3781
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by panduranghari »

65 25 10 0 0 0 0
Patni
BRFite
Posts: 886
Joined: 10 Jun 2008 10:32
Location: Researching sub-humans to our west!

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by Patni »

Week 6
Patni 25 60 15 0 0 0 0
RamaY
BRF Oldie
Posts: 17249
Joined: 10 Aug 2006 21:11
Location: http://bharata-bhuti.blogspot.com/

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by RamaY »

RamaY week6: 0 50 50 0 0 0 0
deejay
Forum Moderator
Posts: 4024
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by deejay »

deejay week6: 70 20 10 0 0 0 0
Shanmukh
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3042
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by Shanmukh »

One and only prediction

UPA-130-140 (25%)
UPA-140-150 (50%)
UPA-150+ (25%)
Saral
BRFite
Posts: 1663
Joined: 16 Jan 2005 14:05

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by Saral »

closing time in about 30 mins.. after that post exit-polls

from now on please add "post exit-polls" to your forecasts.
Bonus: Also include a specific number for UPA as your best guess.
brihaspati
BRF Oldie
Posts: 12410
Joined: 19 Nov 2008 03:25

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by brihaspati »

post exit : B
0 0 0 0 90 10 0

136 for number
Vayutuvan
BRF Oldie
Posts: 12066
Joined: 20 Jun 2011 04:36

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by Vayutuvan »

matrimc 0 5 45 45 5 0 0
KLP Dubey
BRFite
Posts: 1310
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by KLP Dubey »

Post poll: 50 30 20 0 0 0 0
UPA: 100
member_28108
BRFite
Posts: 1852
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by member_28108 »

50 45 5 0 0 0 post exit poll
98
deejay
Forum Moderator
Posts: 4024
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by deejay »

deejay: 90 10 0 0 0 0 0

UPA: 93
chaanakya
BRF Oldie
Posts: 9513
Joined: 09 Jan 2010 13:30

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by chaanakya »

Post Exit Polls

UPA 70-90
panduranghari
BRF Oldie
Posts: 3781
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by panduranghari »

95
Denis
BRFite
Posts: 144
Joined: 05 Sep 2002 11:31
Location: India

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by Denis »

Denis: 90 10 00 0 0 0

Post Exit Poll UPA prediction: 87
Con party: 66
RamaY
BRF Oldie
Posts: 17249
Joined: 10 Aug 2006 21:11
Location: http://bharata-bhuti.blogspot.com/

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by RamaY »

RamaY after exit polls: 0 50 50 0 0 0 0
Saral
BRFite
Posts: 1663
Joined: 16 Jan 2005 14:05

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by Saral »

Post-exit polls

Saral 100 0 0 0 0 0 0

UPA: 86
brihaspati
BRF Oldie
Posts: 12410
Joined: 19 Nov 2008 03:25

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by brihaspati »

Post exit polls :
B: 0 90 10 0 0 0 0
[without "outside" support]

Realized I was also tagging SP/BSP in UPA before and did not distinguish between "inner outside support" and" outer outside support".

My projection is that all the larger "outside" groupings will now support UPA : SP, BSP, TMC, left Front (whatever is left of it in LS), even AIADMK and band together against BJP. The very small regional groupings will tend to bargain with NDA.

For all of the larger regional satraps (even left is a regional power) rise of NM = inevitable slide towards presidential form+strong pan-India party which may swallow up ambitious and upcoming regional next gen, thereby finishing off these regional satraps.

So with these outside support UPA maybe virtually 150-190 strength as parliamentary grouping.
Anand K
BRFite
Posts: 1115
Joined: 19 Aug 2003 11:31
Location: Out.

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by Anand K »

Post exit polls, for the pre-poll UPA,

Anand K: 0 0 0 25 25 25 25
brihaspati
BRF Oldie
Posts: 12410
Joined: 19 Nov 2008 03:25

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by brihaspati »

Do some have already info on EVM magic? If so they can give exact number planned for UPA?
Pratyush
BRF Oldie
Posts: 12197
Joined: 05 Mar 2010 15:13

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by Pratyush »

My vote

0 0 0 0 0 0 100
Patni
BRFite
Posts: 886
Joined: 10 Jun 2008 10:32
Location: Researching sub-humans to our west!

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by Patni »

Post exit poll
Patni 60 40 0 0 0 0 0
Upa 90
Klaus
BRF Oldie
Posts: 2168
Joined: 13 Dec 2009 12:28
Location: Cicero Avenue

Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Post by Klaus »

Week 6 post exit.

0 0 35 45 20 0 0
Locked