BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

KLP Dubey
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby KLP Dubey » 09 May 2014 03:02

Week 5 (revised): 35 40 25 0 0 0 0

brihaspati
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby brihaspati » 10 May 2014 02:57

B wk 6 0 0 0 0 80 20 0

Saral
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby Saral » 10 May 2014 03:03

ok from now on it is week 6, till may 16. You may revise after exit polls (in fact no reason why you shouldn't)

Saral
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby Saral » 10 May 2014 07:44

Week 5 UPA

14 participants this week. Median remains stuck at 105. The mean is 112 and the weighted mean estimate is 110. Estimates have narrowed as the median confidence is at 76.

Code: Select all

         JINGO      UPA85 UPA105 UPA115 UPA125 UPA135 UPA145 UPA165    ESTIMATE    CONFIDENCE
     chaanakya      100      0      0      0      0      0      0          85           100
         RamaY      100      0      0      0      0      0      0          85           100
         Denis       75     25      0      0      0      0      0          90            87
         Patni       65     35      0      0      0      0      0          92            85
 panduranghari       65     25     10      0      0      0      0          93            77
         Saral       60     40      0      0      0      0      0          93            84
      KLPDubey       35     40     25      0      0      0      0         101            68
        deejay       10     50     30      5      5      0      0         109            59
         klaus        0     45     35     20      0      0      0         113            69
       matrimc        0      5     10     30     40     10      5         132            43
    brihaspati        0      0      0     60     20     20      0         132            74
        Marten        0      0      0     20     30     40     10         140            57
        AnandK        0      0      0      0     25     25     50         153            70
    muraliravi        0      0      0      0      0     50     50         156            83

Saral
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby Saral » 11 May 2014 03:16

Week 6 Pre-Exit poll (before Monday 6 pm IST)

Saral 35 35 30 0 0 0 0

panduranghari
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby panduranghari » 11 May 2014 12:47

65 25 10 0 0 0 0

Patni
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby Patni » 11 May 2014 17:02

Week 6
Patni 25 60 15 0 0 0 0

RamaY
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby RamaY » 12 May 2014 03:45

RamaY week6: 0 50 50 0 0 0 0

deejay
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby deejay » 12 May 2014 09:40

deejay week6: 70 20 10 0 0 0 0

Shanmukh
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby Shanmukh » 12 May 2014 17:03

One and only prediction

UPA-130-140 (25%)
UPA-140-150 (50%)
UPA-150+ (25%)

Saral
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby Saral » 12 May 2014 17:15

closing time in about 30 mins.. after that post exit-polls

from now on please add "post exit-polls" to your forecasts.
Bonus: Also include a specific number for UPA as your best guess.

brihaspati
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby brihaspati » 12 May 2014 23:25

post exit : B
0 0 0 0 90 10 0

136 for number

Vayutuvan
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby Vayutuvan » 13 May 2014 06:28

matrimc 0 5 45 45 5 0 0

KLP Dubey
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby KLP Dubey » 13 May 2014 06:52

Post poll: 50 30 20 0 0 0 0
UPA: 100

member_28108
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby member_28108 » 13 May 2014 07:11

50 45 5 0 0 0 post exit poll
98

deejay
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby deejay » 13 May 2014 10:01

deejay: 90 10 0 0 0 0 0

UPA: 93

chaanakya
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby chaanakya » 13 May 2014 10:41

Post Exit Polls

UPA 70-90

panduranghari
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby panduranghari » 13 May 2014 20:18

95

Denis
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby Denis » 13 May 2014 20:21

Denis: 90 10 00 0 0 0

Post Exit Poll UPA prediction: 87
Con party: 66

RamaY
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby RamaY » 13 May 2014 20:59

RamaY after exit polls: 0 50 50 0 0 0 0

Saral
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby Saral » 14 May 2014 02:34

Post-exit polls

Saral 100 0 0 0 0 0 0

UPA: 86

brihaspati
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby brihaspati » 14 May 2014 06:49

Post exit polls :
B: 0 90 10 0 0 0 0
[without "outside" support]

Realized I was also tagging SP/BSP in UPA before and did not distinguish between "inner outside support" and" outer outside support".

My projection is that all the larger "outside" groupings will now support UPA : SP, BSP, TMC, left Front (whatever is left of it in LS), even AIADMK and band together against BJP. The very small regional groupings will tend to bargain with NDA.

For all of the larger regional satraps (even left is a regional power) rise of NM = inevitable slide towards presidential form+strong pan-India party which may swallow up ambitious and upcoming regional next gen, thereby finishing off these regional satraps.

So with these outside support UPA maybe virtually 150-190 strength as parliamentary grouping.

Anand K
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby Anand K » 14 May 2014 09:13

Post exit polls, for the pre-poll UPA,

Anand K: 0 0 0 25 25 25 25

brihaspati
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby brihaspati » 14 May 2014 11:19

Do some have already info on EVM magic? If so they can give exact number planned for UPA?

Pratyush
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby Pratyush » 14 May 2014 13:21

My vote

0 0 0 0 0 0 100

Patni
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby Patni » 14 May 2014 16:46

Post exit poll
Patni 60 40 0 0 0 0 0
Upa 90

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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?

Postby Klaus » 14 May 2014 18:38

Week 6 post exit.

0 0 35 45 20 0 0


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