John Snow wrote:I think only Shiv ji can answer this question as he is the expert on Indian elite and Indian piskology.
Why did Santhanam garu reveal his mind?
Did he not think of the consequences of saying what he said, that his credibilty will be attacked, his integrity shredded
Why is he so admant to retract or expunge his remarks?
At this time and his age why would he risk so much?
Snow garu the piskolgical crystal ball is answering questions that you did not ask.
Apart from the technical issues for which there is no answer and the emotional issues that we end up discussing - one thing that this discussion made me do was to go back and look at old discussions that are archived and it prompted me to read what other nations are doing with regard to nukes - having tested them to their satisfaction until the lasts time they tested.
Again there are technical and piskological issues there (IMO)
Just speculating - but I think the "West" as in Europe may be afraid of their own history in much the same way as we on here fear a repeat of our history. Of course - for Europe - "history" is one of each state beating the crap out of neighbors. Their ability to beat the crap out of others was actually made far better with the emergence of nukes.
So it appears to me that the history of nuclear weapons for the West has been an initial "Aha! Now we have a great new toy" - which later changed to "Yikes!
Our adversaries (Russia) have got them.
This seems to be reflected in the treaties that have been designed basically to try and eliminate nuclear weapons from the have nots and a sort of structured and half hearted attempt to get the haves to become "less threatening". First the treaties banned atmospheric and underwater testing. Then they have attempted to put a cap on the size of yield for underground tests. Then they tried to stop everyone from conducting tests and the next step is to cut off production of fissile material.
At all times, for any nation that does not have nukes the view has been "Oh you have to trust the existing nuclear weapon states to do everything right, but while they can guarantee their own security, your security will not be guaranteed"
For reasons that I am assuming as "the need to not attract sanctions", India has kept a low profile. India protested the unfairness of the teat ban treaty but sadly India is behaving like a badly trained dog being made to sit in front of a plate of biscuits - drooling, sniffing and occasionally taking a bite - but yet not doing what is natural - i.e to gobble up the entire plate in seconds.
India first failed to test for many decades after 1974
Then it suddenly ejaculated and tested. Even in doing those tests India did a very limited and small series. Did them underground - which I believe is a sort of sham. After all if India claims that it has taken a "principled stand" and has not violated any of the norms of the treaties that it has not signed - then it should not have tested at all. After all - if we were breaking principles anyway- we could even have done an atmospheric test in the Indian ocean.
Once India broke out of its sham "principled stand" and tested, it should have gone the whole hog and not pretended (as it is doing now) o be the drooling dog that is sitting and wagging its tail and asking massa to say "You are a good boy!" even as it takes a bite or two from the plate. India's principled stand is a sham. It is a particularly shameful sham because this bloody principled stand has failed to remove sanctions and discrimination.
Let me state my opinion frankly and this is the opinion that has made me object strongly to criticism of one set of people without criticism of the other side. It is not just Manmohan Singh and his government that might be weak. The Vajpayee government was equally weak and tentative in taking a bite from the plate without finishing the whole plate, and following that act of "indiscipline" where the "principled stand" was discarded for 2 days in May 1998, India once again sat back, wagging its tail eagerly in front of the plate waiting for praise expecting that massa (international community) will say "Go get it - you can finish your plate"
The worst aspect of this act of coitus interruptus was the statements that have been made to Indian citizens that the Indian dog has eaten the whole plate of biscuits and its stomach is full - even as India is actually sitting and wagging a eager and slavish tail at the international community begging for nuclear crumbs at every opportunity. Blaming the scientists and saying the scientists misled our oh so honest and upright "principled stand" politicians is an act of finding a scapegoat to blame generations of stupidity and lack of cojones by cross party political leadership
Unless India is really is getting crumbs that we all don't know about.
If the nuke deal works as expected without India getting tied down - I am willing to admit that there is some method here. If it fails - it means that the national leadership is stupid.