General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

member_20317
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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby member_20317 » 16 May 2014 21:26

prasannasimha wrote:
fanne wrote:please go to Varanasi and perform Ganga Arti, dont forget your pledge please!!

SPG sets the security agenda now.
Prasanna


Ganga ne jab NaMo ko bula liya to kya SPG ko bula nahi payegi. Jitne ke baad to thoda chill maro yaar. Yahan bhi babu log ka dar dikhate ho. Beer li? Nahi li, to lo.


@fanne khan - don't worry I bet he will go for Ganga Arti.

Congrats everybody. May this new samvat be shubh for you, your families and your country and above all for the protection of Dharma!

Now here you say....Ameen :D

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby ramana » 16 May 2014 21:26

RamaY, Congrats on getting TDP numbers right bsed on the municipal polls results. Please put the formula here so muraliravi et al can critique and forum benefit. You got with 4 seats

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby debadutta » 16 May 2014 21:27

Virendra wrote:NDA crosses 300
By the way .. whats going in Biju's Orissa ??

BJD winning by a landslide in Assembly (~115 , up from 103 last time) and last i checked 20 out of 21 LS seats (BJP leading in 1 )

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby ShyamSP » 16 May 2014 21:27

saip wrote:Still short by 25 or so to get rid of Art 370. Needs one of the ladies for support.


Jai ho Jayamma. She has no stake on and can be agnostic to BJP's constitutional changes. Time to clean up constitution and all those laws that require 2/3

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby member_28352 » 16 May 2014 21:28

That said, Congress and Left are finished. From now on we will have BJP and some version of AAPtard as main parties.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby pankajs » 16 May 2014 21:29

CNBC Politics ‏@CNBCPolitics 45m

India has a new Prime Minister, but he is not allowed to visit the United States: http://cnb.cx/1sAHlWS

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby Gus » 16 May 2014 21:30

any pics of the constipated looks on elm anchors?

any 'karl rove' moment?

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby SaraLax » 16 May 2014 21:31

pandyan wrote:rajaram saar and krishnan saar - what happened in TN? how come despite power cuts and water problems, admk still managed to retain the seats.

for bjp/coalition, there were too many unknown faces representing the party. hope there is more grassroots level focus to grow the party.


See below image of the vote share of parties in TN for LS 2014

http://www.postimg.com/image/150000/ls_2014_tn_voteshare-149420.jpg
Image

In current LS elections - ADMK, DMK, INC were all standing alone (maybe not DMK ... but only by a small number of 4 seats) and they stood in all 39 seats in TN. The vote they got is a bit commensurate to their true standalone mode pulling power in TN. ADMK=~44%, DMK = ~26%, INC = 4.3%

ADMK (44.3%) - (37/39)
In what is a new news - ADMK has managed to bag 44% ... their normal standalone pulling power was set at a max of 35% ... but they got extra 9% and this is converting to winning margins all being in excess of a minimum of 1 Lakh votes in almost all seats. Maybe it is also due to the very early start they had .... when announcing candidates & started canvassing as against other parties. They came 3rd only in Kanyakumari and have come 2nd in Dharmapuri - otherwise its a clean sweep by large margins. So they seem to have had 44% all around in an uniform way. Maybe this was because of the distrbution of Laptops/Mixies/Grinders/Fans & really good education setup in schools & good PHCs with ambulance facilities all around. Better medical insurance & delivery of same for poor people, better pension facilities & delivery of same for poor & widows. Better PDS facilities.More than Industrial & Infrastructural Development work - AMMA has worked on freebies & welfare areas in last 3 years and people are getting immune to power cuts (more during 3/4 month period from Feb till June of the year .... since huge Wind power gets activated in the time from June till October & power cuts don't happen ... and during monsoon & winter periods cooler weather comes into picture until February ... leading to lesser power consumption). Very low corruption in this AMMA regime. Maybe the freebies got more of the young people vote for them. But in reality ... it would appear that they would have ~40% voter % support.


DMK (26-28%) - (0/39)
DMK's fair voter support % is until now accepted to be between 25 & 28 %. So in this case - they have got somewhere near 26% (if you add VCK & IUML's vote share to DMK). They have a solid base among minorities ... particularly Ms & Cs. But youngsters & newbies are not warming up to them - it seems. The hangover of 2011 corruption & family-rule drubbing seems to remain among people. Also their association with INC in UPA-2 is also affecting them. Then .. the effect of Alagiri in some of the Southern TN seats cannot be ruled out. So even though Stalin tried hard - he couldn't push the vote % higher. The DMK & DMDK harped well on TASMAC (maximum source of revenue for state ... government controlled alcohol marketing & vending concern) related increasing alcohol addiction in TN, continuing power cuts and lack of Industrial Development ... but that stain didnt latch on to ADMK. So that extra almost 9% vote that pushed ADMK to 44% in a uniform fashion across all seats - seems to have been crucial to get ADMK big victories & increase their tally to 37 out of 39. Performance of DMK looks very weak even though they maintained their vote share but couldnt build on top of it.


BJP (5.4%) - (1/8)
BJP has got 5.4% from ~8 seats ... since they didn't contest in Nilgiris and this is better than 5.1% for DMDK & 4.5% for PMK & far better than INC's 4.3% (taken over all 39 seats). Most of the increase in % must be due to MODI factor ..since they are still very weak in cadre base & RSS is not a strong entity in TN. But some base to work on.

DMDK - (5.1%) - (0/14)
DMDK has shown 5.1% voter support and spread over 14 constituencies. they seem to have ~ 10% voter share spread evenly around in entire TN. But unable to get that to earn seats for themselves. But the votes they got this time ..indicates a slight uptick compared to LS 2009 elections and could well be due to Modi factor.

PMK - (4.5%) - (1/7)
Pure Casteist party.

INC (4.3%) - (0/39)
INC looks quite weak. Lots of reasons for people to be angry about them .... Anti-Incumbency, Corruption, SriLankan Tamil issue and weak cadre base ... but a good rapport with TN Minorities still exists. They used to have a standalone % of 12-15% some 10 years before. But nothing now like that.

Will be interesting to see how these parties line-up & combine in the next 2016 TN Assembly elections.
Last edited by SaraLax on 16 May 2014 22:05, edited 3 times in total.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby Gus » 16 May 2014 21:34

the extra 9% are people who would have voted bjp if they thought bjp candidates would win.

it appears that people made up mind long ago that better to vote admk to ensure dmk and con party total drubbing. in other times these voters would warm up to bjp.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby pankajs » 16 May 2014 21:34

Image

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby pankajs » 16 May 2014 21:35

Press Trust of India ‏@PTI_News 43m

Congress gets two-third majority in Arunachal Assembly election by winning 40 out of 60 seats.
Press Trust of India ‏@PTI_News 43m

Sikkim Democratic Front secures two thirds majority securing 22 of the 32 seats in the Himalayan state.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby IndraD » 16 May 2014 21:38

Shah to Barkha: "Kuch vested groups hai, jisme aapka channel bhi hai."

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby disha » 16 May 2014 21:39

Is this the tally for BJP in South India?

Karnataka - 17
TN - 1 (Kanyakumari)
AP - 3? (Vishakapatnam and which others?)

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby amdavadi » 16 May 2014 21:40

IndraD wrote:Shah to Barkha: "Kuch vested groups hai, jisme aapka channel bhi hai."


burkha must be shitting bricks...... :lol: :lol:

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby bhavani » 16 May 2014 21:42

Just saw the Burkha dutt's interview with Amit Shah. He really showed Burkha her place. She was trying her best to create a rift between Amit Shah and other BJP leaders.

But now there is a clear change in tone of her voice. She now seems to have tons of respect for Amit Shah. She could not even retort when Amit Shah mentioned that NDTV led a witch hunt against Modi

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby Vayutuvan » 16 May 2014 21:42

ashish raval wrote:United kingdom has lifted ban on Modi !!! Lol.

If they want to mend their ways that's who we should do business with bad encourage others to fall in line. Once their unemployment rate is directly linked to their behavior with India, India can squeeze their Crown Jewels to get the required response - Pavlovkari bahut hi Pavlovkari. By the way we can't do this with US, but several European countries with good technology in areas strategic to India can be made to fall in line. Globalization and access to new markets is what they want and we want their tech and improve our peoples' living conditions. They would have to share their ill-gotten wealth (mostly from India in UK's case) with everybody and stop being greedy.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby sum » 16 May 2014 21:43

maitas66 ‏@chinmaykrvd 34m

Both BSP,DMK which got blanked out vow not to support BJP at any cost in Parliament!

:rotfl: :rotfl: :rotfl:

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby krisna » 16 May 2014 21:43

Ash Dubey_#Chai ‏@ash_dubey 10m

Whoa !! @AmitShahOffice to @Bdutt :"Specially your channel has created a notion among Muslims that BJP is anti-Muslims" !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby Muppalla » 16 May 2014 21:44

disha wrote:Is this the tally for BJP in South India?

Karnataka - 17
TN - 1 (Kanyakumari)
AP - 3? (Vishakapatnam and which others?)


In AP (combined) - Vishakhapatnam, Tirupati, Narsapuram, Secunderabad.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby pankajs » 16 May 2014 21:46

maitas66 ‏@chinmaykrvd 1h

Victory of BJP in Vizag in particular is triumph of Indian democracy.BJP won the seat against money,muscle power.YSRCP spent 91 crores
maitas66 ‏@chinmaykrvd 1h

Too much of Lalu hype seems to have consolidated votes for BJP in Bihar
Last edited by pankajs on 16 May 2014 21:46, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby abhijitm » 16 May 2014 21:46

Why I am getting this feeling that US will become more and more hostile to India in coming 5 years. Lot of equations that were set in last 10 years are going to change.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby bhavani » 16 May 2014 21:46

Muppalla wrote:
disha wrote:Is this the tally for BJP in South India?

Karnataka - 17
TN - 1 (Kanyakumari)
AP - 3? (Vishakapatnam and which others?)


In AP (combined) - Vishakhapatnam, Tirupati, Narsapuram, Secunderabad.


In Seemandhra BJP lost in Rajampet. (Purandhareswari)

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby krisna » 16 May 2014 21:46

sourdesai 2 years back
@chetan_bhagat Modi undoubtedly king of twitter/facebook. But real India with 1.2 billion voices little more complicated perhaps?

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby bhavani » 16 May 2014 21:47

pankajs wrote:
maitas66 ‏@chinmaykrvd 1h

Victory of BJP in Vizag in particular is triumph of Indian democracy.BJP won the seat against money,muscle power.YSRCP spent 91 crores
maitas66 ‏@chinmaykrvd 1h

Too much of Lalu hype seems to have consolidated votes for BJP in Bihar


A ton of folks took money from YSRC but voted for TDP.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby sum » 16 May 2014 21:47

^^ NDTV ke bure din aanewaale hain! Thats what it seems from what Amit Shah is saying

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby krisna » 16 May 2014 21:47

2 years back
BDUTT
barkha dutt@BDUTT
http://tinyurl.com/cvrhzf9 The Pan-Indian leader is a near extinct species: The last one was Vajpayee. Third Eye- my column for the HT this week

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby Gus » 16 May 2014 21:47

well at least people got some money back from YSR and DMK. dhayanithi must have spent 100 cr in south chennai.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby SaraLax » 16 May 2014 21:48

Gus wrote:the extra 9% are people who would have voted bjp if they thought bjp candidates would win.

it appears that people made up mind long ago that better to vote admk to ensure dmk and con party total drubbing. in other times these voters would warm up to bjp.


Maybe ... but most weakest link for BJP is absence of cadre base in TN ... who can take message of a leader like MODI to the streets & the homes in such streets. They need to first work on creating this presently non-existent cadre base.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby pankajs » 16 May 2014 21:48

Aadit Kapadia ‏@ask0704 1h

Story of the election: Ram Vilas Paswan's LJP won more seats than Mulayam's SP and Mayawati's BSP combined .. So much for secularism :)

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby SaraLax » 16 May 2014 21:49

Gus wrote:well at least people got some money back from YSR and DMK. dhayanithi must have spent 100 cr in south chennai.

Let's not forget the generosity of NN @ BLR-South !

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby pankajs » 16 May 2014 21:49

UK Prime Minister ‏@Number10gov 7h

PM: Congratulations @narendramodi on victory in India's elections. Keen to work together to get the most from UK-India relationship

DeshGujarat ‏@DeshGujarat 2h

Pakistan and India will wage a war against poverty: Modi tells Nawaz Sharif http://deshgujarat.com/2014/05/16/pakis ... az-sharif/
Last edited by pankajs on 16 May 2014 21:52, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby krisna » 16 May 2014 21:50

Our own BRFite tweetd this april 2013.
RVAIDYA ‏@rvaidya2000

For record: NaMo will emerge as a gr8 Asian leader of this century-like Lee of Singapore- respected& feared-remember my words-gd nt


yes sir. :D

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby R_Kumar » 16 May 2014 21:50

BJP Next task:

1. Good governance, everything will fall in line. Pick only honest and competent ministers. This is very critical.

2. Party should start planning to capture people imagination where they are missing. AP,WB, TN Odisa, Kerla. which is around 150 seats.

They have crossed 272 but its all because of 90%-100% strike rate in many states, which is not possible to replicate all the time.
They should use next 5 years to capture at least > 25 % of seats from these states.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby Adrija » 16 May 2014 21:51

Please join in Welcoming Our Next Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modiji at 10:00 A.M at Hotel Maurya Chowk, New Delhi on 17th May 2014.#AbHamaariModiSarkaar.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby disha » 16 May 2014 21:51

^^^ Excellent (to Muppallaji's response)!

I take back whatever I said against Telugus and re-direct it to Keralites.

So in S.India., on its own - BJP won 22 Seats <- This is an excellent opportunity.

BJP must grow in Telangana and Kerala, become the viable second alternative.

BJP must slowly displace DMK in TN and create a duopoly with Amma.
Last edited by disha on 16 May 2014 21:52, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby Adrija » 16 May 2014 21:52

Please join in Welcoming Our Next Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modiji at 10:30 A.M at Mann Singh Road , New Delhi on 17th May 2014.#AbHamaariModiSarkaar.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby Muppalla » 16 May 2014 21:53

ramana wrote:RamaY, Congrats on getting TDP numbers right bsed on the municipal polls results. Please put the formula here so muraliravi et al can critique and forum benefit. You got with 4 seats


I want to tell one thing today that I was itching to tell for over an year. The Jagan and YSR stuff is one of the worst cabal that was run by entire national media, state media, surveying cabals (both good a bad). There was no YSRC aura or there was no massive support to him. This is an example of one of the successful perception creation and a massive perception management that is ever witnessed. In the end even the 50 odd assembly seats he got would not have been there had there not been such a culmination of mafia and its helpers (both willingly and contracted).

It is Diwali moment for Andhra Pradesh to get out of clutches of the mafia and for whatever CBN's shortfall he can put the state to a decent growth path.

One thing, when there is help getting out of misery is easy but kudos to APites to get out of it on their own. Even in Telangana the voter is mature enough to reject congress to pulp.

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby Prasad » 16 May 2014 21:54

Its been a while since I heard sonia speak (well, she doesn't do interviews does she!) and she just kadichi thuppifies hindi like anything. Good god, how do people sit through her speeches?!

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby bhavani » 16 May 2014 21:54

Gus wrote:well at least people got some money back from YSR and DMK. dhayanithi must have spent 100 cr in south chennai.


The masses have also become quite intelligent. Vijayamma 2 days before the elections visited the low level areas around Seethamadhara and behind her were folks holding sacks of Cash, who checked voter id and then gave 1000 rs each. But the youth among the masses were openly expressing that YSRC was distributing their stolen money. In fact the youth convinced a lot of elders that what YSRC was distributing was their own money and that they should vote for TDP.

Tons of families made around 5000-10000rs of Election Bonus

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Re: General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

Postby ShyamSP » 16 May 2014 21:55

disha wrote:Is this the tally for BJP in South India?

Karnataka - 17
TN - 1 (Kanyakumari)
AP - 3? (Vishakapatnam and which others?)



AP:
==
Visakapatnam
Narsapuram
Secudarabad.

I expected Tirupati but BJP lost it to YCP. BJP did better in Seemandhra than Telanagana where they put a lot of eggs and effort for waste.


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