Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Rakesh »

ranjithnath wrote:^^not entirely correct.their crotale 4000 system is being replaced by 10 batteries of spada2000.also they have a dozen or so HQ2 batteries. these are mostly situated on their western front and vital nuclear installations.i will try to post a link of possible location and ranges of current paki air defence system.
This is when Katrina comes in handy...
http://rafalenews.blogspot.com/2011/05/ ... rated.html
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by ranjithnath »

^^^^
maybe OT but kat's AASM requires her to stay on air and guide it until it hits the target.this scenario may not be applicable for TSP which will scramble their assets once we get too close.harpy can do a decent job on the radars close to the border but for deep penetration(eg attacking sargodha and kamra AFB's) ,integration of a decent ARM to katrina is important which will give her a huge advantage in terms of standoff and fire and forget capability.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by keshavchandra »

paki have few corlate and HQ2 batteries on the western front. These tracking is really not so suffice to track any fifth generation aircraft. Thats really shocking situation , lack for future defence. We also need to analysis our defence strategies for such situ..
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by ashish raval »

^^, the helo looks like a modified commanche or a hybrid of commanche/blackhawk. Stealth + Space.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Bihanga »

Pak may have thought especially the soldiers from forward areas of NWFP from where this choppers had intruded that it must be some routine flight between Afgan and Pak. Else even though flying low always run the risk of Anti-Aircraft fire no matter how stealth machine are.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Rakesh »

ranjithnath wrote:^^^^maybe OT but kat's AASM requires her to stay on air and guide it until it hits the target.this scenario may not be applicable for TSP which will scramble their assets once we get too close.harpy can do a decent job on the radars close to the border but for deep penetration(eg attacking sargodha and kamra AFB's) ,integration of a decent ARM to katrina is important which will give her a huge advantage in terms of standoff and fire and forget capability.
Ranjit, I will reply to your post in the MMRCA thread as I do not want to derail this thread. Please do visit there.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by arya »

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/ ... story.html
Image
“Keep in mind that we’ve given billions of dollars to the Pakistani government,” he said. “In light of what’s taken place with bin Laden, the whole issue raises serious problems and questions.” :rotfl:
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Kartik »

Pakistan is integrating the Brazilian Mectron MAR-1 anti-radiation weapon on the JF-17 Bandar

05-May-2011

Defence Weekly
Robert Hewson Air-Launched Weapons Editor - London


Janes can confirm that Pakistan has taken delivery of the Brazilian MAR-1 anti-radiation missile and is integrating the weapon on its PAC JF-17 Thunder multirole combat aircraft as well as upgraded Dassault Mirage III and V ROSE fighters.

The MAR-1 is an air-launched defence suppression weapon developed as an independent national programme by Mectron in co-operation with the Brazilian Air Force (FAB).

In 2008 a MAR-1 order from Pakistan for 100 missiles valued at EUR85 million (USD126 million) was announced by the Brazilian government, which provided export credit support for the deal. Reports from Pakistan suggested that deliveries started in 2009.

Mectron would not comment on the MAR-1 programme except to say that "we have an export client and we have delivered missiles to that client". However, during the April 2011 Latin American Aerospace and Defence (LAAD) show in Rio de Janeiro, learnt that an active integration effort is now underway for both the ROSE Mirage and JF-17 in Pakistan Air Force (PAF) service.

This confirms statements made during the 2010 Farnborough Airshow by the PAF's JF-17 Programme Manager, Air Vice Marshall Mohammad Arif, who identified the MAR-1 as a future JF-17 weapon.

The JF-17 is a co-development project between Pakistan and China. It is now in full production at the Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC), Kamra, where about 30 aircraft have been assembled. In April 2011 the PAF stood up its second JF-17 unit (No 26 Squadron) and a third unit (No.4 Squadron) will follow later this year.

Integration of the MAR-1 with the JF-17 shows that Pakistan has a well-structured programme to expand the capability of the aircraft beyond its Chinese roots. The MAR-1 is the second non-Chinese weapon that the JF-17 is known to be adopting after the Hafr runway penetration bomb. Pakistan has also explored the possibility of adding French avionics (including radar) and weapons (including the Mica air-to-air missile) to the aircraft, but PAF JF-17 programme officials told that those options have been shelved in favour of "less politically complicated projects".

Once operational, the MAR-1 will be the PAF's only modern anti-radiation weapon and a significant boost to its combat capabilities. The missile has several operational modes, but is typically used in a pre-programmed attack against known emitting targets in a lock-on-after-launch engagement. Mectron has developed a dedicated mission planning system for such operations.

The MAR-1 is likely to operate, at least initially, with a 'missile-as-sensor' function, meaning that the weapon's own wideband radio frequency seeker is the primary sensor for emitter location and targeting. The JF-17's Chinese developers certainly have the expertise to produce a more capable emitter location system in the future. The MAR-1 can also use supplementary targeting information from the JF-17's radar warning receivers.

Pakistan has a growing number of electronic intelligence (ELINT) systems with which it can build an electronic order of battle of hostile emitters to support MAR-1 targeting. This includes the highly capable HES-21 ELINT system carried by the PAF's recently delivered Erieye airborne early warning and control aircraft.

The MAR-1 is fully MIL-STD-1553 and -1760 databus compatible. For non databus-equipped aircraft a standalone integration using a dedicated fire-control unit and display can be fitted in the cockpit. That is the approach adopted for Brazil's non-upgraded Embraer AMX (A-1) attack aircraft. The MAR-1 has yet to enter formal FAB service, but understands that qualification flight testing in Brazil will conclude by the end of 2011.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by shiv »

Kartik wrote: The MAR-1 is fully MIL-STD-1553 and -1760 databus compatible. For non databus-equipped aircraft a standalone integration using a dedicated fire-control unit and display can be fitted in the cockpit. That is the approach adopted for Brazil's non-upgraded Embraer AMX (A-1) attack aircraft. The MAR-1 has yet to enter formal FAB service, but understands that qualification flight testing in Brazil will conclude by the end of 2011.
Hmm. Interesting

Wiki says
In December 2008 the Brazilian government approved the sale of 100 MAR-1 missiles to the Pakistan Air Force in a contract worth $108 million.[1][2][4] These missiles are being integrated with the new JF-17 Thunder fighter aircraft that the Pakistan Air Force has inducted.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by sum »

^^ Any chance India put some pressure so that this would be the last batch going to the Pakis, given that we are working with them on AEWC with embraer etc?
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Kailash »

Pakistan ignored US warnings on unilateral action on Osama: Report
Pakistani authorities ignored several warnings from the US over the past three years that it would take unilateral action if it gathered intelligence on Osama bin Laden's presence in the country, according to a media report today.

The Americans had warned Pakistan "time and again" that if the US had intelligence concerning bin Laden, "they would act on it with or without Pakistani cooperation", The News daily quoted informed sources as saying.

<snip>

This official angrily asserted that US had warned Pakistan time and again that it would undertake unilateral action against Laden if the US thought Pakistan would not act on its own.
So much for the sovergnity of Pakistan and so much for "cooperation" ! Seems like this was no surprise to them. Everytime the Pakistanis were accused, they asked US for "actionable" and "concrete" proof !!

Just like the way they were asking for dossier after dossier on 26/11. So many free arms, fighters gifted by Uncle made Osama the hen that was laying the golden egg. First thing any sane country would do is to lock him up where no one expects him :lol:
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Luxtor »

The pukis are so glad that the Americans killed OBL and didn't catch him alive to be interrogated. God knows what truths would have come out of OBL's mouth under water-boarding, hukumm, I mean questioning. The Americans also didn't seem to want to catch OBL alive; can you imagine media circus (and circuses of other varieties) that would have ensued in the U.S.? :lol:

I always suspected OBL was being harboured by the ISI/PA/PG but right outside of Islamabad in a heavily militarized town, in a relatively nice house surrounded by and within few yards of puki army establishments? That my friends takes ba**s or studpidity or arrogance ... or all of the above.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Avid »

A very highly and if I may say well-calculated risk. What were the chances someone would go looking there for OBL? If they abandoned looking for him in NWFP and decided to look at cities, they would focus on Karachi, Peshawar, Quetta, Lahore. Abbottabad? No one would have ever thought to do that. That too within a cantonment area?

So here's the calculation I speculate:
a) What place are they least likely to look? Rawalpindi and Abbottabad. The later would be more out of the way, not so often visited by foreigners, and foreigners coming there would be easily spotted.

b) What if they did find him there? What are they likely to do? First possibility, they will complain to TSP who will swiftly move him and tell everyone that "you are mistaken". No proof that he is on TSP Soil. Second remote possibility, they would conduct an air strike. They would remove the bodies and cry foul -- Uncle Sam would be caught backfoot and apologize. Least likely -- is what the US did. A small strike team which not only killed him, but also whisked away the body so the TSP cannot eliminate any evidence of him being there.

It is perhaps one of the most fascinating games. They played well, but Obama called the bluff in a high-risk and well-informed operation.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by svinayak »

Luxtor wrote:T
I always suspected OBL was being harboured by the ISI/PA/PG but right outside of Islamabad in a heavily militarized town, in a relatively nice house surrounded by and within few yards of puki army establishments? That my friends takes ba**s or studpidity or arrogance ... or all of the above.
The Institute for Gulf Affairs had predicted that OBL was inside close to the capital of Pakistan long years ago.
On Fox news the director even said that second in command Zawahari is close to India border inside Pakistan.

http://www.gulfinstitute.org/artman/pub ... 2009.shtml
The Gulf Institute’s director pointed Osama Ben Laden hideout in 2009
In November 18, 2009 IGA Director Ali Al-Ahmed spoke at AEI’s Critical Threats briefing concerning Pakistan’s war in Waziristan and the security implications of that conflict.
One of the topics that came up was the location of senior Al-Qaeda leadership. Al-Ahmed gave his own analysis that it was highly unlikely that Bin Laden was in Waziristan or in a mountain hideout citing the example of September 11 masterminded Khalid Sheik Mohammed who was captured in an upscale apartment in Rawalpindi.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5Ll_Anx7cI
Al-Ahmed also cited the ties many in Al-Qaeda have to allies in the Pakistani security services. He concluded by remarking that it seemed most likely that Bin Laden would be found in an upscale residence somewhere near Islamabad.
Al-Ahmed's analysis was on target and proven right after the killing of Osama Bin Laden this week in a mansion outside Islamabad.
Al-Ahmed's expertise and knowledge on Bin Laden was evident in November of 2001 when he deciphered the video tape captured by American forces in Kandahar, Afghanistan in a Ben Laden hideout. The Pentagon and the State Department both failed to accurately translate the tape but it was by Al-Ahmed. The story received massive national and international attention.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by VinodTK »

Pataudi's first cousin tipped as next ISI chief
Front runners among those tipped to take over from Pasha is Major General Isfandiyar Ali Pataudi, first cousin of cricketing legend, former India skipper Mansur Ali Khan Pataudi, and an uncle to film stars, Saif and Soha.

Isfandiyar's father, Major General Nawabzada Mohammad Ali Pataudi, was the younger brother of Mansur Ali Khan's father Iftikhar Ali Khan. Major General Nawabzada Mohammad preferred to opt for the Pakistan army at the time of partition, while his elder brother stayed back to pursue a diplomatic career.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Rupak »

According to Shuja Nawaz's book on the Pakistan Army, Sher Ali Khan was the leading light of the Islam-pasand officers of the Pakistan Army... a pioneer.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by nits »

Rebellion within the ISI? Horror Pak doesn't want
For Pakistan, it's a Catch-22 situation. Under pressure from the United States, it may have to chop and change the ISI set-up. But if it tinkers too much with the elite agency, Islamabad risks a more horrifying repurcussion. If the Pakistan administration is found to be making these sweeping changes at the behest of the US, the members of the ISI themselves could order attacks within their own country; A cousin of former cricketer Mansoor Ali Khan Pataudi, he is considered to be a liberal face of the ISI and is likely to step in to keep the heat low on the outfit. For the Pakistan government, the road ahead is a tough one. On one hand it will have to show the world, especially the US, that it is acting on some rogue elements in the ISI and on the other will need to prevent a backlash from its own premier security agency.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Kailash »

On one hand it will have to show the world, especially the US, that it is acting on some rogue elements in the ISI and on the other will need to prevent a backlash from its own premier security agency.
Cant help but laugh at this. If there was a backlash, that means that the entire agency is rogue. Not specific rogue elements within a otherwise benign setup.

If you cant control operatives, why have the ISI? if you cant control ISI or army, why have an elected govt? Isnt that the flow of order within a sovereign nation?
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Luxtor »

Kailash wrote:
On one hand it will have to show the world, especially the US, that it is acting on some rogue elements in the ISI and on the other will need to prevent a backlash from its own premier security agency.
Cant help but laugh at this. If there was a backlash, that means that the entire agency is rogue. Not specific rogue elements within a otherwise benign setup.

If you cant control operatives, why have the ISI? if you cant control ISI or army, why have an elected govt? Isnt that the flow of order within a sovereign nation?
Kailash, I'm sure you have heard of the saying "Pakistan is not a country with an army but an army with a country". Looking at it from this perspective, it will all make sense to you. I don't believe that pukistan ever had a civilian government that had any power. From the very start when Jinnah did his back stabbing and selfish deeds to help bring pukistan into existance, the fledgeling puki army quickly took control from the outset; because it was so easy in the sense that the army had all the guns and the puki politicians and the puki masses did not. It is as simple as that. When the rule of law, the consititution, and the honor, dignity and well being of your people and oneself does not matter to an armed force then they do what the puki army has been doing; namely to allow the installation of a "civilian" gov't to help lubricate the international relationships, especially with the democracies such as the U.S. U.K. and other western democratic countries who prefer dealing with a democracy than a dictatorship although when push comes to shove, i.e. when they have a need, they don't have any reservations in aiding and abetting dictatorships with arms, economic aid and political cover. Any and all civilian gov't in pukistan always existed with a concurrence of the army. So civil gov't can not do anything to make any changes to the army or ISI because it has no real power, they are mere puppets. Remember what happend to Nawaz Sharif when he tried to sack Mushyrat for his Kargil fiasco?
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by shiv »

Kailash wrote:
If you cant control operatives, why have the ISI? if you cant control ISI or army, why have an elected govt? Isnt that the flow of order within a sovereign nation?
It is precisely this kind of reasoning that eventually leads to one simple conclusion. Pakistan is not a normal "sovereign nation" but has merely been dignified by that name and support by a bunch of vested interests including the US of A. And China . Pakistan the "nation" is modeled around a temporary Mughal military camp or Kabila.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by arun »

Extract of PAF Air Chief Marshal Rao Qamar Suleman comments on radars.

On the ground based radars:
Pakistan has two kinds of radars, high-level radars and low-level radars. High-level radars are meant to protect the air space. Low-level radars are used for training flights. The maximum life of high-level radars is 25,000 hours. These radars need overhauling after three years and they cannot work after nine years. Due to the expensive nature of high-level radars, Pakistan Air Force does not use these machines 24 hours on western borders and that was the reason the American helicopters entered Pakistan without challenge.
On the airborne radars an useful inventory of AWACs / AEWCs:
The PAF has received three Airborne Warning and Control System (AWACS) planes from Sweden and one more will come in June 2011. China has provided one ZDK-03 Airborne Early Warning and Control (AEWC) plane and three more will come at the end of this year.
From here:

Radars were inactive, not jammed: PAF
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by arun »

Kartik wrote:Pakistan is integrating the Brazilian Mectron MAR-1 anti-radiation weapon on the JF-17 Bandar
In 2008 a MAR-1 order from Pakistan for 100 missiles valued at EUR85 million (USD126 million) was announced by the Brazilian government, which provided export credit support for the deal. Reports from Pakistan suggested that deliveries started in 2009.
Brazil in their submission to the UN Register of Conventional Arms has disclosed no such supply of MAR-1 missiles to the Islamic Republic of Pakistan during calender year 2009:

Brazil 2009

No such MAR-1 missile supplied in calender 2008 as well:

Brazil 2008
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Luxtor »

^^^

Yea, but I think reporting weapons sales to the U.N. is voluntary so Brazil might not have reported it but still could have sold the weapons to the pukis.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Singha »

I bet south africa has not been keeping the UN updated on the mupsow/torgos things being done.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by arun »

South Africa has reported no such sale of TORGOS and MUPSOW to the Islamic Republic of Pakistan for calender years 1992 to 2009 both inclusive though it must be said they have not reported for calender year 1993:

South Africa 1992 - 2009
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by arun »

Luxtor wrote:^^^

Yea, but I think reporting weapons sales to the U.N. is voluntary so Brazil might not have reported it but still could have sold the weapons to the pukis.
I would place far more reliance on Brazil’s disclosures of no sale of MAR-1 having been made to the Islamic Republic of Pakistan during calender years 2008 and 2009 than any motivated propaganda being floated by the Islamic Republic of Pakistan to the contrary. Having accepted reporting to the UN I cannot see Brazil being prepared to make an exception for the Islamic Republic of Pakistan and lie on its behalf.

Meanwhile let us wait till the calender year 2010 disclosure by Brazil comes out and see if a sale of the MAR-1 was subsequently made by Brazil to the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Singha »

dedicated SEAD a/c like the F-16CJ or F-16G have specialized pods for detection and localization. they can also share the picture with other SEAD assets via Link16.

the MAR-1 seems like a rudimentary capability in comparison, relying on its own seeker with no external aids. but still , its a capability and could do some damage when used right. the Ereyie thing as mentioned will be sniffing around for the electronic signature of indian radars and we know that Saab/ericssson make good gear.

it gives the pakis a ARM capability for the first time. permits say a strike pkg to target the radars around an airfield few mins before the bombers go in, forcing the SAM / ATC radar to shut down . ie if no EO SAMs / aircover is present.

ultimately only a strong A2A coverage is the best defence against all threats rather than specialized solns to defeat each particular threat. Shooting the bandar to the ground takes care of anything its carrying.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by karan_mc »

I Bet Chinese copy will be ready in next three years ,if they are able to take a sample from the wreckage :eek: :eek:

Pakistan Hints China Wants a Peek at Secret Helicopter
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Ashutosh Malik »

Ravi Rikhye in Orbat.com

--------------

The Pakistan Air Force and Operation Geronimo

Forwarded by Major A.H. Amin (Pakistan Army, Retired). He received it from a former PAF officer he trusts.


With the latest PAF press briefing whose distorted version appeared today on TV channels and in the electronic edition of various newspapers including The News http://www.thenews.com.pk/NewsDetail.aspx?ID=15235, PAF's case has been totally messed up and it has been put on the back foot unnecessarily. It was simply bad PR; an would have been far better, with no possibility of laymen's interpretation and distortion of facts by uninformed journalists about matters technical. Like most of you, I have been following the matter over the past few days and would like to offer the factual story as far as is known, without trying to cover any mistakes or offering lame excuses on behalf of what was, formerly, my parent service.

On the night of 2 May, four near-stealth/low observable MH-60 helicopters ingressed unobserved from Bagram to Abbotabad. (Some US websites displaying animated action include two Chinooks, which, to my mind does not make sense as it nullifies the rationale of the other two low observable MH-60s, unless the Chinooks also had stealth features). The helicopter package was able to exploit the blind areas inherent in radars over hilly/broken terrain, while their own low-observable structure helped no less. (It is not true that PAF radars were being given a rest to conserve their life, as has been reported in The News.) It must, however, be noted that it is the PAF's AEW Erieyes that are not operated round-the-clock during peacetime, else we would quickly wear them out.

A package of 6-7 support aircraft including EC-130E/H, MC-130, AC-130, E-3 AWACS and, most ominously, a pair of fighters of unknown type (possibly F-15C), were orbiting in FATA area. It was easy to masquerade this package as the usual retinue of half a dozen Predators, Reapers and Global Surveyors that have been flying in the same area - with government approval and PAF clearance - over the last several years. There was, therefore, no question of this support package arousing any suspicion on this particular night.

As the operation got under way, no Pak Army unit was present in the vicinity of the OBL compound. US assessment was that local Army units in Abbotabad would be able to react effectively, not before one hour at the earliest (to take orders and draw their weapons). It was also surmised that armed soldiers at quarter guards, guard rooms, etc would not leave their posts.

When the firing started, local commanders at Abbotabad rushed to the scene and soon informed GHQ, who in turn got in touch with AHQ. The latter immediately scrambled a pair of F-16s but by the time these got to Abbotabad in about 15 minutes, the operation was over and the helicopters had departed. Without any help from ground radar, the F-16s did not know where to look, as they had no idea that the incursion had been from the west. As a matter of fact, an intrusion from the east was uppermost in their minds. The helicopters once again flew low, through radar gaps and were not spotted either by ground radar or the F-16s. The reality dawned too late that we do not have an antidote to a stealth raiding package. USA carrying out such an attack was the biggest surprise for the PAF as well as the Army.

In some ways, it was fortuitous that PAF F-16s did not pick up the helicopters on their radars, or else the nearby patrolling US fighters would have made short work of them with their long range missiles, what with full communications and radar jamming support available to them.

To say that it was a failure of the PAF to react potently is completely incorrect and unfair. It was simply beyond its technical means to handle fifth-generation warfare vs USA. If it is a failure, it is at the national policy level, whereby US was compelled to sideline its much-ballyhooed ally because of trust deficit.

Editor's comment : Editor is quite familiar with the PAF and its capabilities. Everything the officer has said is fair and reasonable. In matters of defense the Pakistan press is much worse than the Indian press, which is quite bad. Editor is not surprised that the Pakistan press has got everything wrong. In case you are thinking but surely PAF/ISPR knew that the press would muck up the story, you have to remember Pakistan military PR is plain terrible.

We cannot explain the MH-47 mystery, except to say the US has very few of the stealth MH-60s, possibly no more than four operational and perhaps a trainer. Its reasonable to assume it would not deploy more than two for the mission as US has global commitments.

-------------

Best regards.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by shiv »

karan_mc wrote:I Bet Chinese copy will be ready in next three years ,if they are able to take a sample from the wreckage :eek: :eek:

Pakistan Hints China Wants a Peek at Secret Helicopter
But photos of the new Chinese helo should be available by next month at the latest.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by SSridhar »

Was the below (by Najam Sethi in TFT) not posted here ?
Two American helicopters took off from Bagram airbase in Afghanistan in the dead of night, at about midnight. They were bristling with Navy Seals for combat and sophisticated electronics to evade radar. They weaved in and out of valleys, hugging rooftops as they arrived undetected at the targeted compound in Abbotabad. One helicopter hovered over the target while the other looped off briefly to check out a similar compound nearby that seemed to be some sort of security installation. Then two Stun bombs were chucked at the target, which went off like two big bangs, knocking out the occupants of the compound without crushing or destroying the building. Rope ladders were unfurled and Navy Seals with sophisticated body armour and night vision weapons were lowered down at critical points of attack and defense. One of the helicopters was hit with fire from the compound and forced to land. The Seals stormed the compound, killed three men and one woman, shot dead OBL, scooped up incriminating material, tied up the three remaining women, and scrambled aboard one functioning helicopter with OBL’s corpse and his son. The helicopter took off, stopped at some distance, turned around and fired a missile at the helicopter on the ground and destroyed it. Then it looped over and headed towards Bagram Air Base. During this time, a gathering of the US High Command in the Situation Room in the White House in Washington watched the operation live, thanks to cameras and mics on the helicopter in the air that were linked to the Seals on the ground. “Geronimo EKIA”, Enemy Killed In Action, went out an excited voice to the White House, where it was received with shouts of joy and relief.

Shortly after reports of a helicopter mishap in Abbotabad hit the media around 1.20 am, not so far away in Rawalpindi, the DG-ISI was woken up by a phone call about a crashed helicopter. He called his people to ask: “Is it ours?” After a brief check, he was told, “no sir, it’s not ours”. He called up DG-MO. “Is it yours?” After a brief check he was told, “no sir, it’s not ours”. He called up his boys and told them to rush to the scene of the incident. He also called up the COAS General Kayani to brief him. The COAS called up the top military man in Abbotabad who ordered forces to rush to the area. The COAS also called up the PAF Air Chief. The Air Chief checked, explained that radar hadn’t picked up any intruders, and ordered two F-16s to scramble. When the ISI team arrived at the compound, they reported the burning wreckage of the chopper and the markings on its fin. They reported three dead men and one woman. They reported a wounded woman who spoke Arabic and halting English, and two other women who were unharmed. They noted there were sixteen children aged six to eight years approximately. The woman said she was OBL’s wife, along with two other women, and confirmed that OBL and his family had been living in the compound for six years. She said the Americans had attacked them, killed OBL and taken his corpse. Soon thereafter, the army arrived to seal off the area and whisk away the occupants and dead bodies in the compound.

Around 3 am, Admiral Mullen called General Kayani, and CIA chief, Leon Panetta, called DG-ISI, General Pasha. They explained the nature of the operation and why it had been kept a secret from them. President Obama called President Zardari at 7 am to acquaint him with the facts. They thanked the Pakistanis for providing the initial clues that led the CIA to the compound. What was this piece of information?
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by satya »

Shortly after reports of a helicopter mishap in Abbotabad hit the media around 1.20 am, not so far away in Rawalpindi, the DG-ISI was woken up by a phone call about a crashed helicopter. He called his people to ask: “Is it ours?” After a brief check, he was told, “no sir, it’s not ours”. He called up DG-MO. “Is it yours?” After a brief check he was told, “no sir, it’s not ours”. He called up his boys and told them to rush to the scene of the incident. He also called up the COAS General Kayani to brief him. The COAS called up the top military man in Abbotabad who ordered forces to rush to the area. The COAS also called up the PAF Air Chief.




Very interesting TSPA's Chain of Command as per N Sethi's article :

1) Phone call to DG-ISI ( so local ISI office came to know of it via local media ? where were local pandus & MI guys & sentris ) -->>> 2) DG-ISI calls DG-MO to confirm ( maybe reasonable so DGMO knows who's travelling where gud RAW's boys pls notice where to put ur next mole in :rotfl: -------->>>> 3) DG-ISI calls COAS-TSPA ( no call from DGMO or MI or Abbotabad Garrison commander :?: ) ------->>> 4) COAS-TSPA calls TSPA garrison commander Abottabad ( so Abbotabad is a r&r posting for TSPA jernails to be woken up by bade jernail's fone ? ) ----->>>> 5) COAS-TSPA calls TSPAF Chief . Hmm......... not a military guy but something wrong with this chain of command . Take out ISI local office & whole TSPA is blind ? Abbotabad not far from Desh's fauj & is the level of their response wonder wht's its like in their ARS & ARN divs. :mrgreen: ( hey TSPian lurkers make this one as more addition to conspiracy theories tht TSPA knew everything but didn't say a word for some tactical brilliance but wht if its not true wet ur salwars we know whom to target when to target :((

Local Garisson Commander was called up by COAS wtf is he under GHQ directly if yes even then how come his own sentris/ MI type person /local pandu contact not informed Garrison Commander ? or why was Corps Commander under whom Abbotabad Garrison comes wasn't called to me it seem like in crisis TSPA chain of command will go nutty .

Iirc there was some incident in 65 or 71 war where GHQ was issuing some orders and corps or div. commander contrary ones in battlefield relating to their armor commander . So wht has changed since then to me it seem like Kabila's guard rooms have their own commanders who may or may not respond to call & may or maynot respond to suspicious activity & who may or maynot tell to other guard quarters

Need a more closer view .
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by shiv »

satya wrote:Shortly after reports of a helicopter mishap in Abbotabad hit the media around 1.20 am, not so far away in Rawalpindi, the DG-ISI was woken up by a phone call about a crashed helicopter. He called his people to ask: “Is it ours?” After a brief check, he was told, “no sir, it’s not ours”. He called up DG-MO. “Is it yours?” After a brief check he was told, “no sir, it’s not ours”. He called up his boys and told them to rush to the scene of the incident. He also called up the COAS General Kayani to brief him. The COAS called up the top military man in Abbotabad who ordered forces to rush to the area. The COAS also called up the PAF Air Chief.

Here is what I wrote on 2nd May
http://forums.bharat-rakshak.com/viewto ... 4#p1081644
They would not have known what the Fug was going on. What can you do? You are in a peace area/peacetime posting not geared up for war - it is a training academy after all. Suddenly there are explosions and helicopters. You call boss - talk for 5 minutes. he calls his boss - talks for 5 minutes. Boss does not know. Will call back in 5 minutes. 30 minutes pass By the time security forces are mustered to go there its all over. The US has done well. The jingo celebration is in order - this is more like Entebbe than Mogadishu or Carter Iran hostage rescue.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Singha »

also its worth noting they correctly estimated the only armed and awake people around - sentries and guard detail at the PA Academy would not abandon their post and leave their campus unsecured against unknown nature of threat.

incidents like these if they get fouled up do so only in one common way - a sharp eyed major or Lt.Col rouses his squad, bypasses the chain of command on his own authority and exercises his initiative and judgement to muster some HMG/cannon armed vehicles , trucks and speeds to the scene in 10 mins instead of waiting 60 for his superiors to get back.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Prem »

HIjras of Kakul did not move to protect UBL's Jhatka by SEAL, Were they protecting something more of strategic value than Osama and Uncle knew about such orders.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by pgbhat »

x-posting from "Deterrence" thread.
IDSA COMMENT
Pakistan’s ‘First Use’ in Perspective ---- Ali Ahmed
Pakistan can be expected to reinforce its deterrent through an information campaign, surrounding a low threshold projection. This compensates for any weakness or lack of credibility relating to its deterrent, since the deterrent also covers the conventional level. Its projection of irrationality is in keeping with the ‘rationality of irrationality’ thesis - a part of nuclear deterrence theory. The idea is to keep India guessing and hopefully deterred.

To attribute a first use doctrine to Pakistan is to admit that India’s nuclear weapons do not deter adequately. This may not be true since Pakistan too is subject to the psychological effects of deterrence. Deterrence is heightened since first use implies a break in the nuclear taboo. There would also be no guarantee of success and the only certainty would be of costs - known and known unknowns as well as unimagined and unimaginable.
The upshot of this discussion is: firstly that first use is useful only for projection. Secondly, strategic sense favours an operational nuclear doctrine that tends towards NFU. Equally, strategic sense, from Pakistan’s point of view, is in keeping this secret. It can therefore be inferred, that the greater the projection the less likely the intention.
This is one assumption India will not challenge by departing from military prudence. Its recent distancing from Cold Start is not so much on account of the efficacy of Pakistani deterrence, but its own grand strategic economic imperative. Sensibly, even as India wishes to match step with Pakistan, it has no intention of accompanying Pakistan on its way downhill.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by rohitvats »

From Orbat.Com
The Pakistan Air Force and Operation Geronimo

Forwarded by Major A.H. Amin (Pakistan Army, Retired). He received it from a former PAF officer he trusts.

With the latest PAF press briefing whose distorted version appeared today on TV channels and in the electronic edition of various newspapers including The News http://www.thenews.com.pk/NewsDetail.aspx?ID=15235, PAF's case has been totally messed up and it has been put on the back foot unnecessarily. It was simply bad PR; an would have been far better, with no possibility of laymen's interpretation and distortion of facts by uninformed journalists about matters technical. Like most of you, I have been following the matter over the past few days and would like to offer the factual story as far as is known, without trying to cover any mistakes or offering lame excuses on behalf of what was, formerly, my parent service.

On the night of 2 May, four near-stealth/low observable MH-60 helicopters ingressed unobserved from Bagram to Abbotabad. (Some US websites displaying animated action include two Chinooks, which, to my mind does not make sense as it nullifies the rationale of the other two low observable MH-60s, unless the Chinooks also had stealth features). The helicopter package was able to exploit the blind areas inherent in radars over hilly/broken terrain, while their own low-observable structure helped no less. (It is not true that PAF radars were being given a rest to conserve their life, as has been reported in The News.) It must, however, be noted that it is the PAF's AEW Erieyes that are not operated round-the-clock during peacetime, else we would quickly wear them out.

A package of 6-7 support aircraft including EC-130E/H, MC-130, AC-130, E-3 AWACS and, most ominously, a pair of fighters of unknown type (possibly F-15C), were orbiting in FATA area. It was easy to masquerade this package as the usual retinue of half a dozen Predators, Reapers and Global Surveyors that have been flying in the same area - with government approval and PAF clearance - over the last several years. There was, therefore, no question of this support package arousing any suspicion on this particular night.

As the operation got under way, no Pak Army unit was present in the vicinity of the OBL compound. US assessment was that local Army units in Abbotabad would be able to react effectively, not before one hour at the earliest (to take orders and draw their weapons). It was also surmised that armed soldiers at quarter guards, guard rooms, etc would not leave their posts.

When the firing started, local commanders at Abbotabad rushed to the scene and soon informed GHQ, who in turn got in touch with AHQ. The latter immediately scrambled a pair of F-16s but by the time these got to Abbotabad in about 15 minutes, the operation was over and the helicopters had departed. Without any help from ground radar, the F-16s did not know where to look, as they had no idea that the incursion had been from the west. As a matter of fact, an intrusion from the east was uppermost in their minds. The helicopters once again flew low, through radar gaps and were not spotted either by ground radar or the F-16s. The reality dawned too late that we do not have an antidote to a stealth raiding package. USA carrying out such an attack was the biggest surprise for the PAF as well as the Army.

In some ways, it was fortuitous that PAF F-16s did not pick up the helicopters on their radars, or else the nearby patrolling US fighters would have made short work of them with their long range missiles, what with full communications and radar jamming support available to them.

To say that it was a failure of the PAF to react potently is completely incorrect and unfair. It was simply beyond its technical means to handle fifth-generation warfare vs USA. If it is a failure, it is at the national policy level, whereby US was compelled to sideline its much-ballyhooed ally because of trust deficit.

Editor's comment Editor is quite familiar with the PAF and its capabilities. Everything the officer has said is fair and reasonable. In matters of defense the Pakistan press is much worse than the Indian press, which is quite bad. Editor is not surprised that the Pakistan press has got everything wrong. In case you are thinking but surely PAF/ISPR knew that the press would muck up the story, you have to remember Pakistan military PR is plain terrible.

We cannot explain the MH-47 mystery, except to say the US has very few of the stealth MH-60s, possibly no more than four operational and perhaps a trainer. Its reasonable to assume it would not deploy more than two for the mission as US has global commitments.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by Airavat »

Stealth helicopters refuelled in Pakistan:

Starting with a call from the Army Chief General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, who informed the Air Chief of the Abbottabad incident over the phone at seven minutes past two in the morning (2:07 am). At twenty-five minutes past two (2:25 am), ie 18 minutes later, the PAF jets were present over Abbottabad, but by this time the American operation had been completed. The report states that the latest in stealth technology was used by the choppers employed in the raid. Helicopters equipped with such technology are undetectable by any radar in the world.

As the engines of these helicopters were intended to remain running even while the Navy Seals carried out their operation in Abbottabad, it was necessary for them to have refuelled at least once, other than the fact that stealth technology helicopters are not capable of flying long distances without refuelling. Although able to refuel mid-flight, the helicopters carrying Seal Team 6 were most probably refuelled after having landed on Pakistani soil, due to the difficulty of refuelling in the air in the mountainous territory they chose to travel through.

Sources further inform that it is not out of the question according to the report that Electro-Magnetics Plus (EMP) technology may also have been employed during the raid to temporarily disable communication systems around the area of the operation. This would mean that mobiles, telephones, internet services including other electrical circuits would have been jammed and unable to function while the raid continued.
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by manum »

I dont buy this thing of jamming the telephone and other basic services...for all the reasons you can imagine...
One of the reason is there were telephonic calls in the timeline of raid as well twitter updates...
They plainly studied the time in which paki's can respond and wrapped operation before that time...that is why they didnt had any other option except exploding the malfunctioning aircraft...
It was strict operation with basic parameters set of flying low and being precise and desciplined...and in any case paki's did respond earlier than expected...there were fighters prepared to disable them...
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Re: Pakistan arms sales, ops, doctrine, etc

Post by arun »

Michael Krepon at Arms Control Wonk:
Pakistan’s Nuclear Requirements

By krepon | 10 May 2011 | 32 Comments

Why is Pakistan building so many nuclear weapons and blocking the start of fissile material cutoff negotiations? There are many reasons. One is that Pakistani military officers who establish nuclear requirements read what Indians have to say. They have read Kautilya, the Indian version of Machiavelli, who wrote Arthasastra around 300 BCE. Great shoebox quotes: “Agreements of peace shall be made with equal and superior kings; an inferior king shall be attacked.” And “Whoever goes to wage war with a superior king will be reduced to the same condition as that of a foot soldier opposing an elephant.” …………………………..

ACW
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