venug wrote:Rangudu garu,
But why now? what is TSPA going to gain from another 26/11? to derail TSP-India trade and MFN status? they know they are under scanner for what ever that entails. TSP/US relationship is all time low, can they afford another 26/11 and be subjected to US wrath?
already NATO route is not open still so any action of this kind will anger US. It is not going to help TSP's case, unless the plan is another brain dead plan from the generals like always?
If we follow the khan-eyeyeseye tango, one thing that becomes obvious is there isn't much khan can do about it, considering their dependence. So all the bolded parts are our wet dreams!
As to meat of your assertion that there is no upside to doing a 2611, another way to read it is, there is no downside either for eyeyeseye to not do it, especially since it shall be carried out by non-state actors.
Also, honestly "how worse can it get?" and what else can khan or Desh do about it? Neither has much leverage over eyeyeseye (no more protection money under the name of war on terror from khan). There is leverage on the feudal lords (civilian aid or trade), but that is not a carrot khan or desh would want to take away.
2611 was not the first time such attack happened, the only reason it is still making them uncomfortable is because kasai got caught alive and cell phone taps reduced room for deniability. The "strategically brilliant" may now believe that if it wasn't for kasai getting caught alive and phone taps, they would have gotten away with it just like they did all the previous times including Samjauta. So once they plug these these two holes, they might feel untoucable again, and will be business as usual.
And if it doesn't go according to plan, war talk can only unite the country, remember?
Ergo... business as usual to the fountainhead of terror.
Lastly, one has to appreciate that the equilibrium state for the appartus is a continuous state of schemeing and executing destruction of their nemesis. It is a normal for them. So, they don't need any incentive to carry this agenda. Its the other way, they need a lot of incentive or punishment or distraction to keep them out of equilibrium.