Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Vasu · Post by **Vasu** » 30 Apr 2014 09:55

Big day today. Modi voted for Advani ji.

yvijay · Post by **yvijay** » 30 Apr 2014 09:59

The phrase I'm hearing from people I know in Hyderabad is "TRS for Assembly and BJP for Parliament".

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 30 Apr 2014 10:00

Something is going in Punjab for sure.

Hindustan Times ‏@htTweets 29m

#LSpolls phase 7 in Punjab: #Bhogpur booth in #Jalandhar, Punjab leads the way with 31% polling so far. #MyIndiaMyVote

Comer · Post by **Comer** » 30 Apr 2014 10:23

cvoter is doing an interesting experiment. He is crowdsourcing the seat prediction for this polls. I am waiting for this one to see how close it can get to the real tally. And comparing with other stuff like exit polls.

gandharva · Post by **gandharva** » 30 Apr 2014 10:25

Looks like NDA will get a drubbing in Punjab.

Suraj · Post by **Suraj** » 30 Apr 2014 10:26

April 30, 2014, 9:56 am: West Bengal turnout till 9 am: Bardhaman(Purba) 25.82%; Burdwan (Durgapur) 24.04%; Bolpur 25.91%; Birbhum 28.10% #Elections2014

April 30, 2014, 9:55 am: West Bengal turnout till 9 am: Howrah 21.35%; Uluberia 26.07%; Srirampur 21.39%; Hoogly 24.25%; Arambagh 26.11% #Elections2014

Dilbu · Post by **Dilbu** » 30 Apr 2014 10:26

NaMo will lose onlee.

krishnan · Post by **krishnan** » 30 Apr 2014 10:28

if modi holding bjp symbol is violating code of conduct , then no congi should show his hand in public

my comment

Manish_Sharma · Post by **Manish_Sharma** » 30 Apr 2014 10:29

munna wrote:
Hello sir read what he has been saying all along. He is talking of deposit loss for Mr Krantikari after the rebound billiard shot of today. He hails from Varanasi and is a key guy for dharmic team.

Munna ji good to see you back.

Is there a chance for Vinod Khanna to make a comeback in Gurdaspur seat this time?

Suraj · Post by **Suraj** » 30 Apr 2014 10:30

Kejriwal voted with his white topi on.

Manish_Sharma · Post by **Manish_Sharma** » 30 Apr 2014 10:36

Dilbu wrote:NaMo will lose onlee.

Special request Dilbu ji, could you please once do it with "Narendra Modi", complete name?

Saral · Post by **Saral** » 30 Apr 2014 10:48

Relax.. 272 is a lock. Only question is whether it is going to be 300+.

member_24042 · Post by **member_24042** » 30 Apr 2014 10:49

Saral wrote:Relax.. 272 is a lock. Only question is whether it is going to be 300+.

Be careful with the premature festivities. Still the battle is not over.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 30 Apr 2014 10:54

Mamata's attacks on Modi are proof of the BJP's rising popularity in Bengal

http://scroll.in/article/663162/Mamata% ... -in-Bengal

Reports suggest that the saffron party could win four constituencies in the election and limit the TMC's share to between 18 and 22 seats.

The IB has also predicted that if BJP successfully maintains this influence on Bengal politics, Mamata may face a bigger challenge from them in 2016 assembly elections.

...
It is most likely that the confrontation between Mamata and Modi will intensify in the coming days. If Modi takes power at the Centre, there is a real threat of crackdown on TMC leaders involved in Saradha scam. This could alter power relations in the state.

However, Mamata appears to be up for the challenge. When she took on the mighty Community leader Jyoti Basu, she enthused her party workers and rural supporters with the image of herself, a single sari-clad chappal-wearing woman, as David fighting Goliath. Targeting Modi may be the part of the same strategy.

krishnan · Post by **krishnan** » 30 Apr 2014 10:57

always wonder why IB is doing such studies ???

Saral · Post by **Saral** » 30 Apr 2014 10:58

TonySoprano: I think once trends are known for today, we can start celebrating. It's all over but the shouting.

munna · Post by **munna** » 30 Apr 2014 11:01

Dhananjay wrote:
munna wrote:
Hello sir read what he has been saying all along. He is talking of deposit loss for Mr Krantikari after the rebound billiard shot of today. He hails from Varanasi and is a key guy for dharmic team.
Munna ji good to see you back.

Is there a chance for Vinod Khanna to make a comeback in Gurdaspur seat this time?

Why not, he is the best BJP candidate in fray both as a person and as a politician! But Bajwa is also fighting a hard battle, AAP getting a higher vote percentage can lead to uncertain outcomes. Pray to lord that they cut INC more than BJP. On personal side, got 60+ to go lotus

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 30 Apr 2014 11:04

Mamata Model: Paranoia and vote-bank politics

http://www.rediff.com/news/column/ls-el ... 140429.htm

There is indeed a Bengal Model but it is one which negates generational aspiration, generates animus, thrives on bloodletting and political vendetta, reiterates outdated ideas of vote bank politics, is shorn of any vision or roadmap for reconstruction and is fast depleting the levels of a legitimate tolerance, says Dr Anirban Ganguly.

The politics that Mamata perpetuates and promotes is essentially the expressions of a mind which is obsessively paranoid and only survives on confrontation, delusions of grandeur, threats of elimination and through the appeasement of a particular religious community. So acute is Mamata’s suffering from delusions of grandeur that about two months back she had started talking of “a pre-paid federal front” which would form the next government at the Centre with her as the queen-bee. The spectre of 50,000 odd empty chairs at the Ramlila Ground and her trusted lieutenants singing nostalgic Bollywood tunes to fluttering Trinamool flags, has, it seems, interrupted those hallucinations.

Her negative attributes may have won for Mamata her battle with the Left-front but in Bengal today, with a steep rise in the aspiration and demand for the politics of positive fulfilment, Mamata appears to be out of depth and her role seems to have been limited to being the catalyst that threw out the oppressive three decade’s Left rule. Today she comes across as being truly incapable of reinventing herself to respond to new aspirations of the people of Bengal.

What Mamata has done is to replicate the Left’s brand of negative politics by adding to it her own distinctly unbalanced approach to issues and situation. While the Left appeased and ghettoised the minorities of Bengal, Mamata has ensured that she thrives by keeping them further ghettoised. While the aspirational sections among the minorities look towards a forward movement, “Didi” is satisfied by handing out doles and by controlling them for her political ends. What has actually happened in Bengal in the last three years is that the entire “lumpen-proletariat” lot that the “bhadralok” Communists had nurtured and abetted over the years have now switched allegiance to “Didi”.

The situation thus, for the common man, who had voted for an epochal change by booting the Left front out, remains much the same. Quotidian life in Mamata’s Bengal remains plagued by instability, lawlessness, belligerence, intimidation, violence spilling out of intra-party feuds and the proverbial demand for “chanda” (hafta) from the party affiliated local club just because you have slogged and have done well in life! Poriborton in Bengal is a false one, an illusion of poriborton that has done the ordinary voter no good.

The only effect of this false poriborton has been the open expression of appeasement politics. The border villages in Bengal are unsafe and women cower in fear because hoodlums of local cattle-trafficking gangs have a free run under protection of political groups. While the Left changed the demographic pattern of the state by encouraging infiltration in order to create a captive vote-bank, Mamata has allowed the issue to build up by giving a free run to groups that encourage and protect infiltrators. So great is the fascination of some Trinamool leaders with radical Islam, that it led a few of them to provide shelter to some of the most rabid elements of the Jamaat who fled Bangladesh. Rediff.com brought notice to this disturbing fact early this year and yet Mamata managed to erase the issue with her hectoring on secularism.

Imams openly dictate policy and guide ‘Didi’. The moment the Imam of the Tipu Sultan Masjid, the voluble Barkati -- who had earlier threatened Mamata with rejection if she did not fulfil the community’s agenda -- directed Mamata to be “critical of Narendra Modi” just the way Rahul Gandhi is, she jumped into the fray with renewed vigour and a replenished stock of expletives against the BJP leader and his party. Interestingly it is the same Imam who revels in always telling his listeners “you must understand who ruled Hindustan for 1,000 years.”

Similarly when the general secretary of a fringe group, the All Bengal Minority Youth Federation ordered the chief minister to not meet the US envoy, Mamata, succumbing to the dictate backed out. While Mamata talks of not supporting a “riotous government” and lectures on secularism and harmony, her own turf of Bengal saw communal clashes rise to an all time high in 2013 and stood at 106 from 12 in 2008 and 2009. Hundreds of communal clashes have taken place over three years in rural Bengal under “Didi’s” stewardship with groups trying to snatch away temple land, ancestral properties and especially targeting women. And true to her intolerant nature, Mamata regularly lets loose her state machinery against those who try to resist or highlight these atrocities committed under her watch.

Mamata has emerged, not as the pan-Bengal leader that the people yearned for, but as a rather maverick and myopic manager who tries to keep her flock afloat simply by lecturing, cajoling and threatening -- staging a series of dramas. Devoid of any defining vision or direction, West Bengal under Mamata Banerjee is fast turning into a political cesspool.

When an “articulate” Trinamool leader talked of the “Bengal Model”, he had probably not taken into account the reality as it was -- yes, there is indeed a Bengal Model but it is one which negates generational aspiration, generates animus, thrives on bloodletting and political vendetta, reiterates outdated ideas of vote bank politics, is shorn of any vision or roadmap for reconstruction and is fast depleting the levels of a legitimate tolerance.

Such a model is not for India nor is it for Bengal!

sum · Post by **sum** » 30 Apr 2014 11:05

krishnan wrote:always wonder why IB is doing such studies ???

IIRC, the "political cell" of IB is larger than its counter-terror one. Another legacy of the Khandaan

Rahul M · Post by **Rahul M** » 30 Apr 2014 11:05

sum, krishnan ji, this IB is the intelligence branch of WB pulis.

Dilbu · Post by **Dilbu** » 30 Apr 2014 11:07

Dhananjay wrote:
Dilbu wrote:NaMo will lose onlee.
Special request Dilbu ji, could you please once do it with "Narendra Modi", complete name?

Narendra Damodardas Modi will lose onlee.

Karo shivering baar baar
ab ki baar modi sarkaar

James B · Post by **James B** » 30 Apr 2014 11:10

Iconoclast on twitter saying - AAP damaging Congress-NDA in 70-30 ratio. So, it could be a good news to NDA due to FPPS as anti-SAD votes get split by AAP. Delhi redux.

VikramS · Post by **VikramS** » 30 Apr 2014 11:11

Dilbu

Modi is fine. long name not good.

Dilbu · Post by **Dilbu** » 30 Apr 2014 11:12

Narendra Modi will lose onlee.

Modi will lose onlee.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 30 Apr 2014 11:20

NDTV ‏@ndtv 3m

21.2% voter turnout in Telangana till 11 am, 26% in Bihar. Track updates http://bit.ly/1dDhTJg #Elections2014

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 30 Apr 2014 11:28

Saral wrote:TonySoprano: I think once trends are known for today, we can start celebrating. It's all over but the shouting.

NO. there would still be 100+ seats in May 7 and May 12. diff between victory and a uneasy truce. TDP needs to deliver bigtime on May7 to ensure Jagan does not emerge as a vital player on May 16.

the battle is not over until the 1st ByeloRussian and 1st Ukrainian joint tank armies roll down past Brandenburg gate in Berlin with the ruins of the Reichstag on the background.

member_28173 · Post by **member_28173** » 30 Apr 2014 11:31

My Gujarat result wish list. Was ONLY afraid of HEAT ... ADMIN REMOVED THIS. GO EASY ON THE F TYPE WORD

Was in Gandhinagar Ahmedabad on weekend and saw practically NO election Noise making rallies , No bill boards. Really did not feel election time. People can correct me if wrong. Saw only 3 -4 bill board of Namo in 3-4 days ; rest life as usual.

But Lots of confidence in public that BJP from 26 to 22. ( More educated polished , Soft spoken, reserved conservative nice talking giving 22; More local rishawalas , uneducated , brush , bindas bool, confident giving 26 for sure ). People talking of 90% Voting for Ahmedabad for creating records. More local person is , more rikshawala-type aam admi - boosting and boasting Namo like anything. He is GOD. He challenged me tell me why would be vote anyone else etc etc etc.

Loved to see way he was convincing me WHY BJP haha

I could feel BJP has House level connection from karyakarta. They know who voted and who HAS STILL not voted by noon. Ground troops know when to come out to wave at road rally for biggies.
Excellent time management. Know when the leader is to pass the lane. Arrive 10 min earlier.

Best ) 26 BJP
Second best ) 25 BJP 1 Vagela
Third best ) 24 BJP 1 Vagela , 1 Solanki
Fourth Best ) 23 BJP 1 Vagela , 1 Solanki , 1 Dinsha Patel
Fifth Best ) 22 BJP 1 Vagela , 1 Solanki ,1 Disha Patel , 1 Chimmanbhai Patel's son.

Visit Chimmanbhai Patel started College. Heard Local jokes etc.

NOTE :
(1)BJP is Winning ,
(2)RSS is Winning ,
(3)Namo Winning
(4) Development is Winning ,
(5)Local Leaders is Winning ~~NOT CONGRESS~~~.

Will settle for 24 seeing earlier voting percentage trends.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 30 Apr 2014 11:40

India Today ‏@IndiaToday 44m

BJP will win 300 Lok Sabha seats: Rajnath Singh News Flash: http://goo.gl/vH4mnO

Minhaz Merchant ‏@minhazmerchant 47m

Bihar records 26% voter turnout by 11am. Beating the heat or heading for a new record?

SRoy · Post by **SRoy** » 30 Apr 2014 11:40

massive booth capturing in rural Bengal...no central paramilitary present

Rahul M · Post by **Rahul M** » 30 Apr 2014 11:46

SRoy wrote:massive booth capturing in rural Bengal...no central paramilitary present

wtf, why ?

SRoy · Post by **SRoy** » 30 Apr 2014 11:48

Maybe EC knows why ... flip through the local news channels
EC is a joke

SanjayC · Post by **SanjayC** » 30 Apr 2014 11:50

pankajs wrote:Mamata Model: Paranoia and vote-bank politics

Excellent article. Mamta and Communists both are facilitators of Islamic oppression over Hindus. A vacuum is being created in state politics that will be filled by BJP.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 30 Apr 2014 12:05

Dr. Praveen Patil ‏@5Forty3 17m

The 11 AM picture of 30th April http://5forty3.in/2014/04/30th-april-11 ... pport-bjp/ … Some stunning portends of the day ahead in the early analysis

Hindustan Times ‏@htTweets 5m

#LSpolls phase 7: Overall polling percentage in Uttar Pradesh 24.78% by 11am. #MyIndiaMyVote

DeshGujarat ‏@DeshGujarat 20m

In official communication, Additional Chief Election Officer, Gujarat, Shri Ashok Manek said there has been 21% polling in Gujarat by 11 am

NDTV ‏@ndtv 21m

26% voter turnout in Punjab till 11 am. Track updates http://bit.ly/1dDhTJg #Elections2014

The earlier Punjab number was wrong it seems.

IBNLive Politics ‏@IBNLivePolitics 15m

Tewari apologises to Gadkari for naming him in Adarsh scam http://ibnlive.in.com/news/tewari-apolo ... 37-64.html …

rohitv · Post by **rohitv** » 30 Apr 2014 12:12

munna wrote:
250 For BJP Is Possible

The total now rises to 155 to 160 seats. Now for a few other states. One should expect the BJP to win 14 of the 28 seats in Karnataka; seven of the 10 seats in Haryana; five of seven seats in Delhi NCT; 20 of the 48 seats in Maharashtra; 10 out of 42 in Andhra Pradesh; and perhaps eight of the 21 seats in Odisha by eliminating the Congress and getting a few Biju Janata Dal seats as well. This sub-total is 64 seats. (fulcrum 3 aggregate)

Let us see if all the four fulcrums manage well!

10 out of 42 in AP doesnt look realistic for BJP alone

a_bharat · Post by **a_bharat** » 30 Apr 2014 12:14

Going by 5forty3 reports, it looks like AAP is performing at an optimal level for BJP in Punjab. NaMo-bhakts should be thankful to AAP.

nawabs · Post by **nawabs** » 30 Apr 2014 12:16

Well, there was no Paramilitary in about 15 booths I visited in Lucknow. Only State Police was present. Took about 1.5 hrs to cast my vote, so huge were the lines.

kvraghav · Post by **kvraghav** » 30 Apr 2014 12:16

Tewari apologising to Gadkari, Fires everywhere. Ok guys. Time for change then.

Neela · Post by **Neela** » 30 Apr 2014 12:24

You beat me to it

AmitShah is confident.
Modi has hinted.
Fires.
Apologies [ Tiwari got summons when Gadkari filed a case ]
Magistrate court summoning Sonia on National herald building scam.

member_24042 · Post by **member_24042** » 30 Apr 2014 12:42

AJ winning Amritsar big as per 5forty3.

member_24042 · Post by **member_24042** » 30 Apr 2014 12:46

Swamy alleging major upcoming EVM fraud. I wonder what will happen if Congress succeeds.