http://www.kashmirlife.net/obamas-chang ... -06-72586/
Obama’s Change
US president Barak Obama’s silence over K-issue and his bonhomie with Indian PM Modi signals end of an era for hopeful Kashmiris. Shah Abbas tries to find out the storm behind the silence that is about to reshape the volatile South Asia
The faithfools do not understand Beijing is not the same as Washington or Islamabad.Many in Kashmir, hoping at least a mere mention of the restive region were disappointed. America has been largely seen as sympathetic to Kashmir if not a supporter of the separatist movement. Her stand, in the international diplomatic arena, has not been antagonistic. In the past, many a times, the US has offered her mediation between India and Pakistan on Kashmir; which would always irk India.
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In 2009, then American ambassador to New Delhi, David Mulford in one of his confidential cables to Washington cautioned the new US government under Barack Obama that India viewed America’s Kashmir policy as skewed because it was perceived having “generous tilt” towards Pakistan.
“The argument offered by Indians against any third party role in Kashmir is that the US is not an impartial arbitrator because it has other compelling interests – such as ensuring Pakistani cooperation on Afghanistan – that favour a tilt towards Pakistan,” the cable leaked by WikiLeaks said.
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Many analysts in India, known for working on the Track-II front to grease Indo-US relationship, believe that it was the “skilful diplomacy” of Mulford which helped India succeed in bringing about much sought after change in America’s Kashmir policy.
“Relationship of the two States has now been extended to economic collaboration including enhanced trade and investment so United States cannot afford to annoy India which has every potential to harm US interests now,” said one of the Kashmiri analysts who used to meet Mulford.
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Kashmir is a cause of tensions between India and Pakistan. It is also a reflection of their general state of animosity. But now, when US had decided to come close to New Delhi, its silence over Kashmir is obvious.
Given the fact that US do not have a great deal of leverage on Kashmir issue, it is concentrating on long term cooperation with India.
Washington may not have a considerable influence in Kashmir, even then those who claim to be the part of Track-II diplomacy between India and Pakistan over Kashmir, do not want to unlock their tongues when asked about the change in the America’s foreign policy.
This correspondent called many such “influential” people who talked in length about the nature of a unipolar world and the economic interests in it but did not want to be quoted. “Perhaps to ensure their future US visas,” Rashid said.
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“The US investors wanted hard reforms so that their investments are secured and Modi seems right choice on the basis of his limited but hardest Gujarat formula,” said a political and economic analyst who works for a multinational company.
That is why Obama came and embraced Modi. Obama also cleared much awaited civil nuclear deal with India pushing Pakistan further to wall.
The times ahead for the south Asia are more testing as Beijing and Islamabad are possibly bound to compete the US and New Delhi for their respective interests.
The situation is already indicating rise of a new order in the region which is likely to have its one end in Kabul as well where Ashraf Gani has already started showing eyes to Nawaz Sharief.
Those who are disappointed by the fact that Obama skipped the mention of the “K” word might be looking towards Beijing now for its retaliatory measures. Russia too was a possible destination of such eyes but Ukraine has faded the road.
The middle kingdom does not have the same freedom that Sam bahadur had for a variety of reasons. Beijing is a tad bit more careful than the Baki fandoos who never cared for blowback.