Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Holding Indian PM hostage ??? Now dhoti is not shivering but it's flying high in the sky with no dhoti on dhoti wala.
Take a chill pill ,folks.
Take a chill pill ,folks.
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Will the chinese care?They take out our head,we may collapse in a confusion and a pro china puppet may be installed in New Delhi.pankajs wrote:After that will any country head travel to China? If Indian PM can't be safe in China who will be?
China then controls the whole of Asia from the gulf of hormuz to the East china sea.
For so much gain they can do whatever they can and 10yrs down the line all will be fine.
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
If a war breaks out, why is it impossible to imagine this scenario?Chinmayanand wrote:Holding Indian PM hostage ??? Now dhoti is not shivering but it's flying high in the sky with no dhoti on dhoti wala.
Take a chill pill ,folks.
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
No one is going to use nukes.Rest assure.eklavya wrote:If they hold our PM hostage or harm him in any way, we will nuke China.
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Sure they will care. If it was ONLY about India then it might pass but how will they assure the world that it was ONE time? No world leader will EVER visit China.Amoghvarsha wrote:Will the chinese care?They take out our head,we may collapse in a confusion and a pro china puppet may be installed in New Delhi.pankajs wrote:After that will any country head travel to China? If Indian PM can't be safe in China who will be?
China then controls the whole of Asia from the gulf of hormuz to the East china sea.
For so much gain they can do whatever they can and 10yrs down the line all will be fine.
If Modi was the only obstacle why haven't they overwhelmed India before Modi? One must not forget it was UPAII under the much deride Munna Mohan that India stopped the "One China" mandatory line.
Last edited by pankajs on 12 Aug 2017 15:11, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Singha wrote:a short list of the probable units now mobilizing and going for acclamatization:
// reported in fbook/twitter headed for central sector
Headquarters, Indian Army New Delhi
50th Independent Parachute Brigade
-- eastern sector---
//a subset of - some will remain deployed for CT in nagaland and manipur
Eastern Command, Kolkata, West Bengal - Fort william kolkata?
23rd Infantry Division - Ranchi
III Corps - Dimapur, Nagaland
2nd Mountain Division - Dibrugarh
57th Mountain Division - Leimakhong
56th Mountain Division - Zakhama
IV Corps - Tezpur, Assam
71st Mountain Division - Missamari -> near dibrugarh i think
5th Mountain Division - Bomdila -> north of tezpur on the route to Se la pass and tawang
21st Mountain Division - Rangia -> 40km NE of guwahati
XXXIII Corps - Siliguri, West Bengal
17th Mountain Division - Gangtok
20th Mountain Division - Binnaguri -> this is in north bengal on railway line
27th Mountain Division - Kalimpong
--- central sector---
I Corps, headquartered at Mathura, Uttar Pradesh
4th Infantry Division headquartered at Allahabad
6th Mountain Division headquartered at Bareilly
--- northern sector ie ladakh ---
Northern Command, Udhampur, Jammu and Kashmir -
XIV Corps, headquartered at Leh, Jammu and Kashmir
3rd Infantry Division headquartered at Leh
8th Mountain Division headquartered at Dras
+Assam rifles +SSB +para SF units +SG
net comes to around 14 divisions + SF units + further indep artillery brigades tacked on from other formations
probable artillery regiments detached from their parent divisions in central and west india 40,41,42 (ambala, jaipur, pune), including the missile regiments (both ballistic dhanush, prithvi, agni1 , pinaka, smerch, grads and brahmos) - these are heavy formations with their inbuilt logistical chain, radars, AAD units, satcoms....they move by trains into theater mostly.
a zommable map of IAF Bases which is a bit old because newly uprated ones like chabua(dibrugarh) are not really shown. still makes it clear within 300km radius from clusters of bases, the likely scenes of conflict
our plains infantry divisions tend to be larger than russian or chinese divs, but smaller than american divs(in expeditionary mode). I dont know about our mountain divs. mountains soak up people like anything as many a invader has found in AfPak.
http://www.scramble.nl/orbats/india
How many can the chincoms deploy?
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
pankajs wrote:Sure they will care. If it was ONLY about India then it might pass but how will they assure the world that it was ONE time?Amoghvarsha wrote:
Will the chinese care?They take out our head,we may collapse in a confusion and a pro china puppet may be installed in New Delhi.
China then controls the whole of Asia from the gulf of hormuz to the East china sea.
For so much gain they can do whatever they can and 10yrs down the line all will be fine.
People have short memories esp. If the one in question is the lord of asia.Remember the winner sets up the narrative and the history.
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
It's inconceivable to attack or molest a visiting head of state. Not even the PRC would do that. Remember not even our diplomats or agents on diploma passports would get touched. Let's not derail this thread with assumptions appropriate for Wahhabis.
If PRC had to make an impact on a country, u til when would it wait to maximize the dhoti shivering and possibilities of confusion.
Singha Sir, why ignore Masimpur? Not enough troops?
If PRC had to make an impact on a country, u til when would it wait to maximize the dhoti shivering and possibilities of confusion.
Singha Sir, why ignore Masimpur? Not enough troops?
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Not if you harm a head of state. Even the tinpot NoKo guy will NOT visit China in fear of his life no matter what assurance is given.Amoghvarsha wrote:pankajs wrote: Sure they will care. If it was ONLY about India then it might pass but how will they assure the world that it was ONE time?
People have short memories esp. If the one in question is the lord of asia.Remember the winner sets up the narrative and the history.
And after Modi there is Doval and then there is Shah. After that BJP and after them CON party. It was munna who did away with "One China" line. There is no victory for China is such an act.
If a head of state is so critical to a state we must keep him locked up within a lock up within a lock up.
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
On the contrary, if anyone takes our PM hostage, we will nuke them. Rest assured.Amoghvarsha wrote:No one is going to use nukes.Rest assure.eklavya wrote:If they hold our PM hostage or harm him in any way, we will nuke China.
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Modi is head of govt. kovind is head of state.pankajs wrote:Not if you harm a head of state. Even the tinpot NoKo guy will NOT visit China after that no matter what assurance is given in fear of his life.Amoghvarsha wrote:
People have short memories esp. If the one in question is the lord of asia.Remember the winner sets up the narrative and the history.
And after Modi there is Doval and then there is Shah. After that BJP and after them CON party. It was munna who did away with "One China" line. There is no victory for China is such an act.
If a head of state is so critical to a state we must keep him locked up within a lock up within a lock up.
One is the bull and the other is like tits on a bull, no offence.
the hans will not touch him but will completely disrupt and shut down his communications, delay and/or divert his aircraft so as to affect the crucial chain of command.
He needs to know as well as be kept aware of the dynamically evolving situation if it comes to a shooting match
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
there is no shah.pankajs wrote:Not if you harm a head of state. Even the tinpot NoKo guy will NOT visit China in fear of his life no matter what assurance is given.Amoghvarsha wrote:
People have short memories esp. If the one in question is the lord of asia.Remember the winner sets up the narrative and the history.
And after Modi there is Doval and then there is Shah. After that BJP and after them CON party. It was munna who did away with "One China" line. There is no victory for China is such an act.
If a head of state is so critical to a state we must keep him locked up within a lock up within a lock up.
ONLY the cabinet, period.
with inputs from the NSA, MEA and the chiefs. with the HM sitting in for the absent PM
Last edited by chetak on 12 Aug 2017 15:35, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
You are assuming that the chinese will be adhering to the vienna convention.Remember that no one remembers the atrocities failures duplicacies of a victor.They are only for the loser.Marten wrote:It's inconceivable to attack or molest a visiting head of state. Not even the PRC would do that. Remember not even our diplomats or agents on diploma passports would get touched. Let's not derail this thread with assumptions appropriate for Wahhabis.
If PRC had to make an impact on a country, u til when would it wait to maximize the dhoti shivering and possibilities of confusion.
Singha Sir, why ignore Masimpur? Not enough troops?
Does anyone question Churchill for killing millions in Bengal in 1943?How many question USA for nuking Japan?
Lets not assume that PRC will adhere to any protocols or that anyone will hold them answerable if they win.
Lets also not forget that Wahabis taught us the lesson to cheat and win a battle
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Chetak, the line of command is also dynamic. If the tiger cannot issue command, the next in line takes over. I think this is wrong thread to discuss this issue.
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Wasn't there a plane load of Uighur leaders that met with a convenient accident while travelling to China? There was a resulting leadership vacuum that the Chinese loved. Would the president of US go to Vietnam during the war? Would Churchill visit Adolf during WWII? Once bullets start flying all bets are off. Allied powers met a number of times in neutral grounds.pankajs wrote:After that will any country head travel to China? If Indian PM can't be safe in China who will be?
Gautam
Last edited by g.sarkar on 12 Aug 2017 15:42, edited 2 times in total.
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
I hope we have pushed up production of Agni -1's. When the balloon goes up, need to show some videos of conventional Agnis flying towards Chini targets.
Their effects might be debatable, however their PR value is immense.
Their effects might be debatable, however their PR value is immense.
Last edited by nam on 12 Aug 2017 15:41, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
pankajs wrote:Not if you harm a head of state. Even the tinpot NoKo guy will NOT visit China in fear of his life no matter what assurance is given.Amoghvarsha wrote:
People have short memories esp. If the one in question is the lord of asia.Remember the winner sets up the narrative and the history.
And after Modi there is Doval and then there is Shah. After that BJP and after them CON party. It was munna who did away with "One China" line. There is no victory for China is such an act.
If a head of state is so critical to a state we must keep him locked up within a lock up within a lock up.
China wins,Modi will be portrayed as the next hitler,BJP as Nazi and all hail 11 will happen.Victors advantage.
NSA and many members of the cabinet will be with the PM.
The head is important thats why the Americans have 17 person hiearchy of succession if the PoTus is taken out.Do we have one?
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
What is the line of succession in India?eklavya wrote:Chetak, the line of command is also dynamic. If the tiger cannot issue command, the next in line takes over. I think this is wrong thread to discuss this issue.
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
constitutionally, the authority is wrested in the cabinet only.eklavya wrote:Chetak, the line of command is also dynamic. If the tiger cannot issue command, the next in line takes over. I think this is wrong thread to discuss this issue.
There is no waiting in line PM or deputy PM or whatever recognised.
Administratively speaking, modi will leave clear instructions as to who will perform the duties of the PM in his absence when he travels abroad.
Routine papers need to be signed and whatnot and the business of the govt will not wait.
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Sarkar da gets the point.Once war starts the only aim is to win.You can fix the narrative later.g.sarkar wrote:Wasn't there a plane load of Uighur leaders that met with a convenient accident while travelling to China? There was a resulting leadership vacuum that the Chinese loved. Would the president of US go to Vietnam during the war? Would Churchill visit Adolf during WWII? Once bullets start flying all bets are off.pankajs wrote:After that will any country head travel to China? If Indian PM can't be safe in China who will be?
Gautam
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
We are a democracy sir. The ruling party will elect the PM. The entire machinery of state is at her or his disposal. When Mrs G was assassinated, there was no vacuum of executive power. Not even for a second. Please quit this line of discussion.Amoghvarsha wrote:What is the line of succession in India?eklavya wrote:Chetak, the line of command is also dynamic. If the tiger cannot issue command, the next in line takes over. I think this is wrong thread to discuss this issue.
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
So the cabinet will meet and elect the new head.He will then take oath from President.Then we have a new PM.chetak wrote:constitutionally, the authority is wrested in the cabinet only.eklavya wrote:Chetak, the line of command is also dynamic. If the tiger cannot issue command, the next in line takes over. I think this is wrong thread to discuss this issue.
There is no waiting in line PM or deputy PM or whatever recognised.
Administratively speaking, modi will leave clear instructions as to who will perform the duties of the PM in his absence when he travels abroad.
Routine papers need to be signed and whatnot and the business of the govt will not wait.
We need a clear line of succession like Khan.
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Sireklavya wrote:We are a democracy sir. The ruling party will elect the PM. The entire machinery of state is at her or his disposal. When Mrs G was assassinated, there was no vacuum of executive power. Not even for a second. Please quit this line of discussion.Amoghvarsha wrote:
What is the line of succession in India?
America is also a democracy.They have a line of succession.Mrs G wasnt killed during a war.We need to have a constitutionally approved line of succession.
PM
Deputy PM
FM
DM
Various cabinet ministers in hiearchy
Speaker of LS
In war time you need not a single moment of vacancy.
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
I think the tradition is the Griha Mantri is next in line, that is how Shri Gujrari Lal Nanda became the PM for a short time (a few hours?). Our Pranabbabu wanted that the same tradition be followed. But he got a kick up his nuts and after Indiramma the Yuvraj was given the throne. No Gandhi no throne to hell with electing the PM.chetak wrote:constitutionally, the authority is wrested in the cabinet only.eklavya wrote:Chetak, the line of command is also dynamic. If the tiger cannot issue command, the next in line takes over. I think this is wrong thread to discuss this issue.
There is no waiting in line PM or deputy PM or whatever recognised.
Administratively speaking, modi will leave clear instructions as to who will perform the duties of the PM in his absence when he travels abroad.
Routine papers need to be signed and whatnot and the business of the govt will not wait.
All OT.
Gautam
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
I case of war or impending war modi is unlikely to go to chin..Amoghvarsha wrote:What is the line of succession in India?eklavya wrote:Chetak, the line of command is also dynamic. If the tiger cannot issue command, the next in line takes over. I think this is wrong thread to discuss this issue.
plus we have written protocol in place in case of all evantulities..In fact Head of state can die due to medical reasons also.. that evantulities have been taken into account by all countries.. few years back govt has revised union war book..
http://m.timesofindia.com/india/Govt-re ... 554663.cms
"The entire government machinery, from the armed forces to the railways, civil aviation, shipping, surface transport, health and the like, has to be mobilised in the event of a war,'' said a top official.
"Times, tactics and doctrines have changed since the Union War Book, which has been in existence since the days of the British Raj, was last revised years ago. Primarily carried out by the defence and home ministries as well as the Cabinet Secretariat, the update caters for all this,'' he added.
The new Union War Book, which is with the Cabinet Committee of Security for the final nod, lays down action plans in minute details to meet any contingency during war.
Last edited by DrRatnadip on 12 Aug 2017 16:38, edited 1 time in total.
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Related,Amoghvarsha wrote:What is the line of succession in India?eklavya wrote:Chetak, the line of command is also dynamic. If the tiger cannot issue command, the next in line takes over. I think this is wrong thread to discuss this issue.
Indian order of precedence
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indian_or ... precedence
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
What was India's reaction to Lal Bahadur Shastry death/assassination in Tashkent in 1966 post 1965 war? Did it not lead to a extended era of Congressi Socialist policies that impoverished India and the rise of Nehruvian Dynasts like Indira Gandhi. Which entity benefited the most from this?Marten wrote:It's inconceivable to attack or molest a visiting head of state. Not even the PRC would do that. Remember not even our diplomats or agents on diploma passports would get touched. Let's not derail this thread with assumptions appropriate for Wahhabis.
If PRC had to make an impact on a country, u til when would it wait to maximize the dhoti shivering and possibilities of confusion.
Singha Sir, why ignore Masimpur? Not enough troops?
There is no need for Modi to attend Beijing. Xi and China will have to be taught to respect others. For starters apologize to Modi and India. They have to apologize and make territorial amends for 1) Supporting Pak terrorism on India 2) Intruding into Bhutanese territory in Dhoklaam 3) Intruding in Indian territory in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir via CPEC 4) Genocide of Dharmic folks in Tibet 5) Illegal occupation of the Akshay Hind plateau
Sushma Swaraj should go into Beijing and tell the Chinese that only Joint Sovereignty of the North Aksai IndoChin peace can solve this complex issue.
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Gee! Terminologically challenged.. Pls repeat after me: "AKSHAY HIND". "UTTAR DHARMASALA". "UTTAR ARUNACHAL". "UTTAR BHUTAN" (also, "PASCHIM BHUTAN" where the present standoff is occurring). That territory is Bhutanese. The communists thieves have no ***** business being there.
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Modi will attend the BRICS summit in china unless firing starts at the border. He has already committed to that after Dokalam. All the rest is academic but please continue.
If wishes could be horses China would have retreated beyond Tibet by now.
If wishes could be horses China would have retreated beyond Tibet by now.
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Chetak Saar for first 1 year of Modi govt on every foreign trip Aaj Take TV used to announce that nuclear control was in hands of Home Minister Rajnath Singh, after return of Modi. Later this stopped.chetak wrote:
ONLY the cabinet, period.
with inputs from the NSA, MEA and the chiefs. with the HM sitting in for the absent PM
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Doklam standoff: India showing maturity in dealing with ‘tantrum-throwing’ China, says US expert
http://indianexpress.com/article/india/ ... j-4793519/
http://indianexpress.com/article/india/ ... j-4793519/
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
At that time in our general public mind was PVNR, iirc he was FM at the time. Aam janta perception was PVNR being senior most and capable too more than pranab.g.sarkar wrote:Our Pranabbabu wanted that the same tradition be followed. But he got a kick up his nuts and after Indiramma the Yuvraj was given the throne. No Gandhi no throne to hell with electing the PM.
All OT.
Gautam
I remember my political as science teacher telling us that HM is after PM not FM
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Interesting analysis of Doklam standoff outcome in terms of Game Theory
http://www.dailyo.in/variety/doklam-sta ... 18898.html
http://www.dailyo.in/variety/doklam-sta ... 18898.html
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Our system, where the executive is derived from the legislature is way more robust than the independent executive system of the USA. We have several means of dealing with a crisis.
1. The President can actually declare emergency and take over everything. Of course, the crisis should be real and convincing to the military who are to execute his orders.
2. The cabinet under the designated minister while the PM is not available have all the powers of the cabinet. So, if the cabinet is functional, everything is normal.
3. If the President is convinced that the PM is no more capable of being PM, he can swear in pretty much anyone as PM. But this is not really necessary in a dire crisis, since point 2 above.
The president enjoys a lot of discretionary powers he can use during a crisis.
1. The President can actually declare emergency and take over everything. Of course, the crisis should be real and convincing to the military who are to execute his orders.
2. The cabinet under the designated minister while the PM is not available have all the powers of the cabinet. So, if the cabinet is functional, everything is normal.
3. If the President is convinced that the PM is no more capable of being PM, he can swear in pretty much anyone as PM. But this is not really necessary in a dire crisis, since point 2 above.
The president enjoys a lot of discretionary powers he can use during a crisis.
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Atleast change the damn venue of BRICS summit. What's the need to stick with this artificial creation anyway. Countries don't have slightest of overlap of culture, religion, type of government etc.
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
It would give too much credence to the Gobal Crimes. From India's pov this is just a small quarrel with the neighbor's pesky children coming into our other neighbor's garden and "going" despite being told not to do so. No sense in adults getting involved.
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Modiji is the most precious commodity that India has for the next 10-15 yrs . He must not take any risk to his life for the sack of India. If something were to happen to him India will be in deep crisis.If Modiji stays as the leader of india for the next 12 yrs india will be in a place from where no enemy will find it easy to challenge us , and I mean no country.A true Karmayogi.
Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Posted From KSG
Comment: On 3 August, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang said that India must withdraw its border personnel and bulldozer from the Chinese territory near Bhutan. The Defense Ministry said Chinese patience has its “bottom line.”
Last week the Chinese fact sheet reported that Chinese patience had a limit. A Chinese source suggested that a military operation could occur in 14 days.
That commentary and the series of high level statements signified the activation of China’s crisis management system and that the leadership was in crisis management mode for India.
Based on that judgment, NightWatch wrote that within a week the Chinese would issue another warning. That has now happened.
We advised Readers that the use of fire metaphors would signify that China was not bluffing. The use of the metaphors of fire and getting burned mean that the Chinese leadership have seen no reason to alter their decision to conduct a limited military action.
We herein repeat our expectation that next week India will receive a final warning giving it a last chance to avoid a military clash. If there is no change, we expect that clash on or after 17 August. Events in northeast Asia could alter the timing.
Comment: On 3 August, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang said that India must withdraw its border personnel and bulldozer from the Chinese territory near Bhutan. The Defense Ministry said Chinese patience has its “bottom line.”
Last week the Chinese fact sheet reported that Chinese patience had a limit. A Chinese source suggested that a military operation could occur in 14 days.
That commentary and the series of high level statements signified the activation of China’s crisis management system and that the leadership was in crisis management mode for India.
Based on that judgment, NightWatch wrote that within a week the Chinese would issue another warning. That has now happened.
We advised Readers that the use of fire metaphors would signify that China was not bluffing. The use of the metaphors of fire and getting burned mean that the Chinese leadership have seen no reason to alter their decision to conduct a limited military action.
We herein repeat our expectation that next week India will receive a final warning giving it a last chance to avoid a military clash. If there is no change, we expect that clash on or after 17 August. Events in northeast Asia could alter the timing.
Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Doklam standoff: China playing out its ‘Three Warfares’ strategy against India
NEW DELHI: Is China playing out its 'Three Warfares' strategy against India? Indian strategists who are involved with China in the current Doklam crisis believe China has now fully operationalized this concept and is applying it to the Doklam crisis.
CheersThe Three Warfares
The provenance of the 'Three Warfares' is not fully established. But according to sources, in 2003, China's Central Military Commission (CMC) approved the guiding concepts for "information operations for the PLA, also known as "Three Warfares" (san zhong zhanfa). It was reinforced in 2010. Comprising public opinion/media warfare, psychological warfare and legal warfare, the Three Warfares have been critical components of China's strategic approach in the South China Sea+ and beyond. It is now being applied in the Indian context.
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Re: Neutering & defeating Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Why do ppl keep quoting KSG? What is its pedigree?