Levant crisis - III

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 04 Mar 2018 12:08

like rommel and guderian bypassed the maginot line and went in through the ardenne, before fanning out, the syrians have let the tough western defences of jobar and hasrata and ayn tarma be alone and rolling them up from the backside...

the tiger is camping on roofs with his russian security detail and keeping a hawks eye on the proceedings. he has a kind of direct line to hymenim to request special airstrikes as needed.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 04 Mar 2018 12:11

@MaximMansour map

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 04 Mar 2018 12:18

formations with exp in urban fighting like some units of the repub guard, liwa al quds are being kept on sidelines until the countryside is roll up and sanitized and the fight will shift to the created pockets which will be further sliced and islanded.

Douma is under UN cover and is being left alone as a "bana alabed/last hospital" kind of area for optics. food and humanitarian corridor is there

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 04 Mar 2018 12:27

http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/03/sy ... houta.html

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 04 Mar 2018 16:56

3.5km to go to split the pocket and isolate Douma

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 05 Mar 2018 08:00

https://ejmagnier.com/2018/03/04/ghouta ... what-next/

from 2.5 million before the war, estimates of current civilian pop in east ghouta is 300,000. the captured areas look deserted and neither are there civilians emerging from liberated areas unlike aleppo or mosul. some areas like Jobar were uninhabited long ago after intense battles that made a ruin of everything.

300k in a area around 10km x 10km is pretty thin.

maybe all the civilians are in douma under UN food supply...

baki around 8000 jihadis of 4 major factions were reported to be there. jaish al islam had a major military academy now captured.

a few 100 jihadis must have perished so far.

the syrians sleep in the day and attack at night, and rebel supply routes are under drone observation to call in air strikes.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 05 Mar 2018 08:03

israel will be upset that if east ghouta falls, the saa will move on daraa region ... right next to israel and jordan border.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 05 Mar 2018 13:27

turkiye continues to gain in afrin
YPG refuses to lay down arms and hand control to damascus, but is itself unable even with some NDF help to repel the turks
there is no defence against turkish 155mm guided by commando teams, gunships and F-16s.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 05 Mar 2018 13:28

if they lose Jinderes to the left, the road to Afrin itself will be open and its game over. they will need to retreat from the north to avoid encirclement

unless the kurds make peace with SAA which then steps in bigtime the fate of afrin is sealed - under turkiye boots.

erdogan is too clever to fall for the bait of attacking manbij - he knows the americans will respond.

after digesting afrin and resettling hordes of his turkoman refugees/landless, he will open some other front like jarablous or kobane claiming some ancient grevieances

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 05 Mar 2018 13:34

YPG is spending cycles endlessly wailing about civilians attacked, looted etc, but none give a s***, incl their bff unkil sam.

the only entity with some ability to help them is saa and they have cut a line to saa by going with along nato plan to dismember syria and tying in with rebadged bandits of the SDF

saa will probably do nothing even if asked, they have offered efrin for erdogan to eat in exchange for keeping idlib stable and HTS on the backfoot for some time using jaish al suriya cannon fodder, while east ghouta and daraa issue is settled.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 05 Mar 2018 15:10

leaked diplomatic memo portrays the western strategy in syria
https://steemit.com/syria/@syrianaanaly ... g-of-syria

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 05 Mar 2018 19:24

tigers are ripping the jaguar vein of jaish al islam now...more small towns and villages have fallen....after going past the initial well prepared defences they are in the soft core of the pocket now.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 05 Mar 2018 19:26

More
Replying to @GeromanAT @MilitaryMaps and 15 others
#Syria Battle For #Damascus
#EastGhouta - #Ghouta -
#DamascusSteel #SAA // #NUSRA / #AQ
Situation Map Update:
Latest Advances #SAA / #Tigers:
Reports about a massive #SAA assault in the southern Sector:
-> Hawsh Ashari / Muhadamiyah / Tisreen

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 05 Mar 2018 19:27

also Hasrata is being surrounded and isolated by two prongs one of which is the military base and another in map north of it.

it would have been great if issam zahreddine were alive and able to lead his SRG units from the south...he was in east ghouta region start of the war.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 05 Mar 2018 19:38

More Elijah J. Magnier Retweeted Aymenn J Al-Tamimi
#ISIS comfortable in its "Euphrates wilayat" under #USA occupation forces control.. & protection. For #ISIS, it is business as usual on the #Syria/n - #Iraq/i borders, moving freely & enjoying a safe environment: who wouldn't under a superpower protection?Elijah J. Magnier added,

Aymenn J Al-Tamimi

@ajaltamimi
Despite its territorial losses, IS still has the space to implement governance in its remaining strongholds in 'Euphrates Province' on Syria-Iraq border. Court document below.
1 reply 30 retweets 19 likes

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 05 Mar 2018 22:29

Within Syria
‏@WithinSyriaBlog
21h21 hours ago
More
2-Jaysh al-Islam will likely withdrew to southern Syria, Daraa province where it got strong presence, and were it will be again supported and used by the US-led coalition to launch attack against ISIS and the SAA there

@WithinSyriaBlog
21h21 hours ago
More
1-Jaysh al-Islam begin to hand over weapons for other militants in East Ghouta, also released many opposition fighters, likely preparing to strike a deal to leave east Ghouta once Duma is besieged

----

@WithinSyriaBlog
Mar 4
More Within Syria Retweeted Paweł Wójcik
ISIS is taking advantage of nothing, US left the SDF being slaughtered for months now just because it don't want to end ISIS to keep it as an excuse, their air support is almost halted can see ISIS attacking in large groupsWithin Syria added,
Paweł Wójcik

@SaladinAlDronni
Taking advantage of early morning/late evening or weather to avoid coalition, IS has been causing a lot of harm to desert SDF outposts, especially after recent YPG's partial withdrawal. #Syria
Show this thread
1 reply 30 retweets 58 likes

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 05 Mar 2018 22:36

@WithinSyriaBlog
Mar 3
More
As I said before, it appears that Jaysh al-Islam has fully collapsed, their last trick is hiding behind their own women and children in Duma
---

@WithinSyriaBlog
Mar 3
More
On the other side we will not be hearing more about YPG amazing defensive operations in Kobani, because now we know for sure that 99% of the work was done by the US Air Force

More
Worst of all, YPG commander clearly still believe that there is some sort of red lines in front of the Turks in Afrin area ... I don't know what is it with Syrian opposition always relaying on foreign miracles to save them from military defeats

all what the YPG is doing is destroying a pick up truck here and there while losing ground ... they are too scared of losing their good weapons like ATGMs that they are not even using it on the hot fronts !

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 05 Mar 2018 22:38

faylaq al Rahman another favoured munna of the west has now moved east to try and rebuild the shattered positions of the jaish al islam which has slinked away after the beatings they got over the last few days.

the other two - HTS and Shams are smaller players in east ghouta

faylaq are said to be pretty hardcore and close to HTS ideology than JAI which is "moderate"

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 06 Mar 2018 07:22

Riam Dalati
@Dalatrm
3h3 hours ago
More
Jaysh Al-Islam has completed withdrawal from #Misraba. All regular fighters have retreated towards #Douma. Young men, natives of the town, have taken up arms to maintain security for civs who stayed behind and attempt to fend off any regime incursion should deal be reneged upon.

^^^ Misraba is the only town between the two sides for SAA to link up. if they leave town alone and go around it, they can probably link up and break the east ghouta into two pockets

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 06 Mar 2018 07:23

ivan sidorenko
#Syria #Damascus #EasternGhouta #EastGhouta #Eastern_Ghouta #East_Ghouta
Reports Say the separation of Douma from Harasta by a heavy fire ring & cutting the militants supply lines. A very important & strategic turning point achievement
Ghouta is under fire. Zero hour is ringing

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 06 Mar 2018 07:24

Ivan Sidorenko
@IvanSidorenko1
2h2 hours ago
More
#Syria #Damascus #EastGhouta #East_Ghouta #EasternGhouta #Eastern_Ghouta
Humeymim Center: we are ready for setting a safe exit to the militiants commanders and their families from eastern Ghouta

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 06 Mar 2018 07:26

Peto Lucem
@PetoLucem
Mar 4
More
Today's capture of Beit Naem is significant and offers promising tactical possibilities. The areas south of Ain Terma + Jisreen are heavily fortified. Today's advance will enable #SAA to bypass enemy defenses and attack them on the right flank + rear areas. #Ghouta #Syria

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 06 Mar 2018 07:29

looks like jaish al islam now moved into douma might agree to a face saving deal where they and families get to evacuate to place of choice (idlib or daraa) in exchange for civilians from fuah and kafraya....

the southern pocket of jobar - ain terma will probably see more fighting, albeit now their defences are turned and will be attacked from the more open rear areas. faylaq al rahman will probably fight on.

russians will be looking to broker a deal and induce other batches of jihadis to accept such offers and move on.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 06 Mar 2018 07:36

a saudi imam said the war in yemen is haram and killing innocent muslims. mukhabarat were quick to pounce and drag him off

video https://twitter.com/SyedRezaMehdi/statu ... 2454023168

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 06 Mar 2018 11:00

one town misraba left which has been abandoned by JAI

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 06 Mar 2018 14:50

hasrata is 1.5km away from being cut off. looks like 3 prongs will meet at hasrata and cut the cake into 2 big pockets + hasrata nibble
SRG is leading the fight at hasrata as its their base.

just like real tigers, the syrian tiger forces seem to sleep in day and hunt at night. they faced some heavy losses on day1 but have since found the right formula

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 06 Mar 2018 16:06

CNN

Beirut, Lebanon (CNN)Russia has offered rebels and their families safe passage out of besieged Eastern Ghouta as Syrian government forces continue to pound the opposition enclave.

Russia's Defense Ministry said it would protect insurgents who accept the offer from prosecution, according to a statement by Russia's Defense Ministry. The Russian military would also provide transport and security, the statement said.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 06 Mar 2018 16:11

from @watanisy

syrian tank on outskirts of misraba - the citizens militia left in charge of the town will likely conduct a peaceful handover in exchange for sparing the town from fighting. the jaish al islam has run away north , but faylaq al rahman bandits could be lurking around south of it

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 06 Mar 2018 21:31

Civilians start raising syrian flags chanting we want assad slogans

https://mobile.almasdarnews.com/article ... outa-city/

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 06 Mar 2018 21:32

Tiger is gonna keep going . He has promised to tear the beating heart out of east ghouta militants

Green bus is a generous deal, jihadis should take it and just leave

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 06 Mar 2018 21:39

A Russian transport plane crashed on landing at the Hmeimim airbase in Syria Tuesday, killing all 32 on board, Russia's defence ministry said.

There were 26 passengers and 6 crew, the ministry said in a statement carried by RIA Novosti agency. It did not specify whether all of them were in the military.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 07 Mar 2018 11:37

1500 sdf arab fighters have gone to afrin from raqqa and dez fronts .... but

Within Syria
@WithinSyriaBlog
14h14 hours ago
More
its almost impossible to save Afrin at this point, the second phase of the Turkish attack is brilliant in military terms, very well organized

^^^ once jinderes falls afrin is gone for sure. any major movement in day or night is attacked by turkish f16 guided by drones and hit by artillery.
the YPG grossly overestimated its ability to fend off the turks, depended on US intervention which did not come and acted tough with damascus...

they are going to have to slink back and lick their wounds in manbij sector and PRAY the US protects that enclave.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 07 Mar 2018 11:39

Lord Erdogan truimphs again...!!

the AN26 crash occurred in clear daylight, with a pilot having 3000 hrs who had flown to hymenim lot of times, it was from aleppo airport. a major general was among the fatalities.

sabotage whether by HTS or turkiye moles cannot be ruled out as a chetawani

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 07 Mar 2018 13:41

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Pentagon says offensive operations against Islamic State fighters in eastern Syria have been paused because U.S.-backed Kurdish soldiers have shifted to a separate fight against Turkish forces.

A Pentagon spokesman, Col. Rob Manning, called it an "operational pause." He said that although ground operations have been temporarily suspended in the Euphrates River Valley near the Iraqi border, U.S. airstrikes against IS holdouts in that area are continuing. This includes areas around the city of Abu Kamal.

Against U.S. wishes, Kurdish members of the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces who had been fighting to eliminate remaining pockets of IS in the Euphrates River Valley have moved to the Afrin enclave in northwest Syria. Turkish forces have been attacking in Afrin for the past six weeks, seeking to drive out Kurdish forces.

^^^ YPG and jaish al thuwar are moving enmasse to Afrin , assad will green flag them via aleppo....the situation is critical.
this leaves only the rebadged ISIS pasands of the deir azzor mil council DMC under tutelage of various foreign brokers to "hold position" vs their friends in the official isis.

Philip · Post by **Philip** » 07 Mar 2018 17:55

https://www.google.co.in/search?q=south ... e&ie=UTF-8

VIDEO: Russian tank-carrying naval transport heads to Syria fully loaded
By Andrew Illingworth - 06/03/20182

BEIRUT, LEBANON (9:40 A.M.) – The Russian military is sending another batch of vehicles and heavy weapons to Syria in order to further bolster the Arab republic’s armed forces.

On Monday, observers in the Bosphorus Strait spotted and filmed the Mediterranean-bound journey of a Russian Navy Tapir-class LST (Landing Ship Tank) sealifter.

Identified more specifically as Orsk 148, the naval cargo ship is noted by sources to be inbound to the Syrian port city of Tartus – its second such deployment since the beginning of 2018.

Whilst a number of military trucks were spotted above deck, it is worth noting that the true cargo-carrying capacity of the ship is hidden inside deceptively spacious storage areas within the vessel itself.

Tapir-class LSTs are capable of carrying up to twenty main battle tanks (or 40 infantry fighting vehicles).

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 07 Mar 2018 18:42

they are funding and training the so called fifth legion to act in support of the wagner group play.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 08 Mar 2018 01:00

Saa is 1.6 km from splitting ghouta pocket

Turks are 8km from efrin town

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 08 Mar 2018 08:13

interesting...attempt to resupply ghouta via al tanf deserts

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 08 Mar 2018 08:15

Peto Lucem
@PetoLucem
·
8h
NEW MAP: #SAA forces have repelled a militant counterattack on #Muhammadiyah and captured the town of #BeitSawa. Just 1.5 more KMs to split the East #Gouta pocket. #Damascus #Syria

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 08 Mar 2018 08:22

a very interesting read of the horse trading, cynical plays and political plays going on behind the AQ screen
https://ejmagnier.com/2018/03/07/russia ... he-levant/