Levant crisis - III

The Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum is a venue to discuss issues pertaining to India's security environment, her strategic outlook on global affairs and as well as the effect of international relations in the Indian Subcontinent. We request members to kindly stay within the mandate of this forum and keep their exchanges of views, on a civilised level, however vehemently any disagreement may be felt. All feedback regarding forum usage may be sent to the moderators using the Feedback Form or by clicking the Report Post Icon in any objectionable post for proper action. Please note that the views expressed by the Members and Moderators on these discussion boards are that of the individuals only and do not reflect the official policy or view of the Bharat-Rakshak.com Website. Copyright Violation is strictly prohibited and may result in revocation of your posting rights - please read the FAQ for full details. Users must also abide by the Forum Guidelines at all times.
Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 23387
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Austin »

habal wrote:this is the iranian bavar 373 air defence system. It is a copy of chinese S-300 copy exported to Iran.

a copy of a copy.

Image
Dont think its copy they made it and its not rocket science either but S-300 were first made around 1980 and many models and types of guidance and range inprovement existed.

The Iran one seems to have a PESA radar and SARH guidance.
Singha
BRF Oldie
Posts: 66601
Joined: 13 Aug 2004 19:42
Location: the grasshopper lies heavy

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Singha »

Russi will now be obliged to ship them better c3i systems, buks , tor and pantsyr while getting brownie ptsfor not giving s300 which could target isf planes over lebanon or israel
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

ofcourse the 'jewish news syndicate' will be the authoritative piece regarding syrian news.
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

Singha wrote:Russi will now be obliged to ship them better c3i systems, buks , tor and pantsyr while getting brownie ptsfor not giving s300 which could target isf planes over lebanon or israel
a pooch, does the s300 integrate the pantsyr, tor & buk along with their LRSAMs or these are platforms are only standalone.
Singha
BRF Oldie
Posts: 66601
Joined: 13 Aug 2004 19:42
Location: the grasshopper lies heavy

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Singha »

Pantsyr and tor are standalone i think
Buk may be capable of multi level networking
But i dont think they sre considered part of s300 or 400

There is overlap of buks missiles with smaller sized missiles of s300

Among other roles these three cats act as close in defence for the big dog s300/400/500

The tor is best suited of the three to anti cruise missile role and going after low flyers and helicopters/drones
Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 23387
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Austin »

All SAMS are integrated Pantsir , BUK , Tor without integration they cant work as IADS, integration of SAM has been hall mark of any SAM since 60's at different level , how they differ today is the quality of data they provide in real time , IFF , target distribution amongst batteries and sensor fusion of data from all SAMs & Radar is something more modern SAM does far more effectively.

Even SAA SAMs are integrated but its not a dense layer and Israel AF has the option to pick and choose what it wants to hit at the time and convienence of its choosing , SAM are defency platform after all and most times it has to deal with Stand Off weapons far beyond its reach of the platform that fires.

Even if the SAM intercepts 8 out of 10 and 2 hits a factory or Ammo depot it is enough to blow out the entire depot due to secondary explosion from ammos. Most successfuly interception from SAA SAM is defending the AB because out there there is low probability of secondary explosion and hangers are hardened and far apart.

SAA is in really bad shape when it just has to defend all the time at a time convinient for iSrael to attack the targets and no way for SAA to retliate against Israel AB or Aircraft in lebanon airspace.
Last edited by Austin on 25 May 2018 23:18, edited 1 time in total.
Singha
BRF Oldie
Posts: 66601
Joined: 13 Aug 2004 19:42
Location: the grasshopper lies heavy

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Singha »

Plan for daraa is russian air cover, no hezbollah and official saa only
Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 23387
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Austin »

habal wrote:
ofcourse the 'jewish news syndicate' will be the authoritative piece regarding syrian news.
Ofcourse IAF has all the bragging rights there but those stastics wont be too way off , They have been efectively picking and choosing their targets and attacking them .....I suspect they are only saved from complete surprise by advanced warning from Russian Radar. its not easy to track an Israel Jet in Lebanon airspace where Allied AF are flying in dozens , they can easily masquerade

Note the Israel source says they are trying to hide from Russian Radars in that link
Throughout this complex era, Israel and Russia have succeeded in avoiding unintended clashes. “The Russians know very well that the IDF hasn’t come to attack Russia,” said the source.

At the same time, the arrival of advanced Russian radars in the region means that the IAF has to work harder to remain out of sight.

The IAF has learned to fly in “a way, that we won’t be noticed,” he said. These conditions have “actually made us better. … Things have developed much faster than we thought they would have.”

Republish this article in your newspaper or website
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

all they have hit until now is an s200/pantsyr radar when its operator was going to reload the missile. That is their most successful hit so far. Rest is morale boosting for isis and nusra and claiming 'all iz well' and their tactics are so smart that they fooled everybody. Israel has also lost an f-16 and an f-15 during that raid if which they are mum so far being afraid to lose their macho image in a very image conscious region.Those planes spluttered back into Israel in bits and pieces and they claimed it was due to malfunction.

Apparently the destroyed radar (it was in homs) has been replaced with brand new air defence system which was targeted today by Israel which launched a missile attack at homs on may 25.

https://www.businessinsider.in/Israel-r ... 310732.cms

this was repelled effectively and they managed to hit zero. This new air defence equipment installed at homs is believed to be Iranian in origin and maybe the hq-9 clone locally manufactured in Iran exported to Syria. The system is yet to get operational and it will take a few more hours to be completely operationalised. The Israeli missile attack was thus repelled by shilkas or some short range SAM
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

there were a lot of comments on the Russian S-500 live test that happened few weeks ago that was a clear success, hitting a target 450+kms away. In Sochi President Putin and the russian high command agreed to move toward the serial production of S-500 which may indicate that Russia will have plenty of S-500 by 2020, thereby freeing up dozens of S300-S400 to be sold to many countries with prompt delivery to partners and allies.
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

Southfront: “Russian Su-57 Fifth-Gen Fighter Struck Militants In Syria With Cruise Missiles: Defense Minister.”
https://southfront.org/russian-su-57-fi ... -minister/

i think this is the daara group of rebels transported to idlib who were trying to teach some tricks to local HTS and hit a syrian convoy or something. Russia retaliated.
Singha
BRF Oldie
Posts: 66601
Joined: 13 Aug 2004 19:42
Location: the grasshopper lies heavy

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Singha »

West aleppo has been bombarded by dozens of mortar shells

Matter of time before syrians have to clear the western rural areas of aleppo upto the idlib border

Very strong nusrat dens there
Singha
BRF Oldie
Posts: 66601
Joined: 13 Aug 2004 19:42
Location: the grasshopper lies heavy

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Singha »

The mountains along lebanon syria border and golan heights make it tough to track idfaf unless one has awacs or radars on tall mountains in syria which they dont

They might also be using fake civilian transponders of chartered planes and using marked airlanes or tailing small civilian chartered ac to mask movements
They can also hide alongside large nato transports or tankers over jordan and east of euphrates

Russia does not have long range 3d radars in deir azzor and sweida /t4 which would ne required to monitor these areas

Perhaps syrians will seek persian sinic ylc type 3d radars soon
Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 23387
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Austin »

PAK-FA fired Kh-59MK during Syrian campaign in March from Internal Bay

Image

Image

Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 23387
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Austin »

Starts at 5 minutes 25 seconds

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EeeTJbd9w6M
Singha
BRF Oldie
Posts: 66601
Joined: 13 Aug 2004 19:42
Location: the grasshopper lies heavy

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Singha »

its a KH59 only in name, the entire thing is different from the old KH59
Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 23387
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Austin »

Four Russian militaries were killed as a result of an attack by militants in Syria, more than 40 terrorists were killed - the Russian Defense Ministry
05/27/2018 12:12:57

(extended version)
Moscow. 27 May. Interfax - Four Russian servicemen died in Syria as a result of militants' attack on the positions of the Syrian army in Deir ez Zor province, the RF Defense Ministry said on Sunday.

"Two Russian military advisers who were in charge of the Syrian battery were killed on the spot, five more Russian servicemen were injured and were promptly taken to the Russian military hospital." The military doctors fought for the life of the two wounded soldiers, but they could not be saved. servicemen are presented to state awards, "the Ministry of Defense of Russia said.

According to the ministry, during the dark hours several mobile groups of terrorists in the province of Deir ez Zor attacked an artillery battery of the Syrian army.

"In the course of the battle, which lasted about one hour, 43 terrorists and six high-cross-country vehicles with large-caliber weapons were destroyed by servicemen, the Russian


Defense Ministry said.The Defense Ministry said that the fight was accepted by Syrian servicemen along with seconded from the staff of the military advisers by Russian officers .

Combat aircraft Russian supported a Syrian army ground operations against terrorist groups. Russia has an air base in Syria have "Hmeymim" and the naval base in Tartus.

In Syria, the Russian military advisers, units of special operations forces of the Russian Defense Ministry, military police, as well as servicemen of the center for reconciliation of the warring parties are carrying out tasks.
Suresh S
BRFite
Posts: 857
Joined: 25 Dec 2008 22:19

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Suresh S »

https://youtu.be/hWxolFgvcIc

I want every BRFite to listen to this.It shows goodness and truth are not limited to any race or any country.The most powerfull 3 minute speech I have heard in a long time
Singha
BRF Oldie
Posts: 66601
Joined: 13 Aug 2004 19:42
Location: the grasshopper lies heavy

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Singha »

al masdar news

The Russian Defense Ministry has denied reports on an alleged interception of an Israeli F-16 fighter jet by a Russian Su-34 aircraft, stating that the country’s aircraft do not conduct missions in Lebanese airspace.

“The information spread by one of the Israeli news outlets about an alleged ‘interception’ of two Israeli F-16s by a Russian Su-34 in Lebanese airspace is amateur nonsense,” the Russian Defense Ministry stated.

The ministry specified that “the Su-34 multirole bombers, which belong to the Russian air group in Syria, are not used for flights to intercept aerial targets and do not perform tasks in the airspace of Lebanon.”

The comment follows reports earlier in the day in Israeli, Lebanese and Russian media outlets, claiming that the two Israeli Air Force jets had been challenged by a Sukhoi Su-34 bomber over Tripoli and forced away.

The presence of the Israeli aircraft in Lebanese airspace was reportedly connected with reconnaissance missions. At the same time, the media explained the actions of the Russian bomber as being a part of drills, reportedly taking place off the coast of Lebanon and Syria. The media claimed that the Russian bomber was forced to land due to bad weather conditions.
Singha
BRF Oldie
Posts: 66601
Joined: 13 Aug 2004 19:42
Location: the grasshopper lies heavy

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Singha »

to nobody's surprise

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/is ... ia-lavrov/

slamic State-related groups have stepped up their activity in the area of Al-Tanf, controlled by the United States, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov told a news conference on Monday.

“We have gathered much evidence some strange things are happening in Al-Tanf. In our point of view this area is of no considerable significance for the anti-terrorist operation. In practice we can see that in this area, including the Rukban refugee camp, armed groups appear ever more often and, according to our sources, they have connections with the Islamic State.”

,,,,,

Agreements concerning the southern de-escalation zone in Syria imply that only Syrian government forces can remain on the border with Israel, Lavrov said, commenting on Israeli media reports about Moscow’s plans to ask Iran to pull its units back from the Syrian-Israeli border.

“In the end, only Syrian government forces must remain on the country’s border with Israel,” the Russian top diplomat said.

He pointed out that the 2017 agreements on setting up a de-escalation zone along the Syrian-Israeli border implied that all foreign troops must pull out of the area.

On Sunday, Israel’s Haaretz newspaper wrote that Moscow may convince Iran to pull its troops back 60 kilometers from Syria’s border with Israel.
Austin
BRF Oldie
Posts: 23387
Joined: 23 Jul 2000 11:31

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Austin »

Suresh S wrote:https://youtu.be/hWxolFgvcIc

I want every BRFite to listen to this.It shows goodness and truth are not limited to any race or any country.The most powerfull 3 minute speech I have heard in a long time
Ron Paul is a sane voice on FP and Economy but he is a lone voice , In front of America huge and predatory MIC and 100 of MNC lobbying group and the Congress and Senator who depends on MNC to fund them his voice is like a small beam of light that would get sucked into Black Hole.
UlanBatori
BRF Oldie
Posts: 14045
Joined: 11 Aug 2016 06:14

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by UlanBatori »

Sounds like Putin garu is enforcing a nuanced foreign policy for de-escalation in Syria. Is this simply a backdown in the face of the Y-Y-NATO, or is there a significant payoff expected, as in surrender/sellout of all the Mod-aerated Beheaders? Putin cannot hope to co-opt Israel as he did with Turkey, the ties go far too deeply with much of DupleeCity being controlled by puppet strings from ****Salem. OTOH, it is hard to imagine Israel getting away with an outright threat to bomb Latakia/Hyenim. Actually if that were to happen, I don't think Putin can afford to launch a conventional attack on Israel - a full-scale conflagration would see NATO ganging up and destroying the entire Russian expeditionary forces as well as the fleet, and ruining the party even in Crimea. OTOH, Putin's threat to use strategic weapons against Israel would be toothless on 2 counts: a) toothless in the face of US new clear detergent and b) counter-productive because Israel is a strong al-lie in checkmating much of the Ummah dreams of global domination.

Interesting if Putin can force an Israel-Syria peace, leaving Russia free to demand total pullout of US-NATO from Syria. That would leave Jordan in questionable status. Iraq-Iran-Syria-Turkey-Qatar would form a substantial Blue-Green Crescent against the US-Saudis, and probably cause collapse of the Yemeni disaster. Which would leave most of the Gelf tottering. IMO Eleven will take over the arming of Eyeran just to biss off the YooEss - and complete the process of :P at the loundeye yindoos. Eleven's policies towards the Ummah are a bit unfocused compared to the kindness and gentleness displayed in Uighuristan. I wonder how that will evolve.

With the end of the Syrian Color Revolution in sight, will the geniuses in DupleeCity turn to funding the Chechnyan terrorists? So many tens of thousands of ATGMs and ManPADS, so few terrorists left any more! :((
Manish_P
BRF Oldie
Posts: 5414
Joined: 25 Mar 2010 17:34

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Manish_P »

Austin wrote:
Suresh S wrote:https://youtu.be/hWxolFgvcIc

I want every BRFite to listen to this.It shows goodness and truth are not limited to any race or any country.The most powerfull 3 minute speech I have heard in a long time
Ron Paul is a sane voice on FP and Economy but he is a lone voice , In front of America huge and predatory MIC and 100 of MNC lobbying group and the Congress and Senator who depends on MNC to fund them his voice is like a small beam of light that would get sucked into Black Hole.
Exactly.

They didn't pay heed to the words of one of their most respected presidents almost 6 decades ago. One who was A 5 star war hero General too.

And why should they, it's a huge profitable industry, employing millions, directly and indirectly.
IndraD
BRF Oldie
Posts: 9319
Joined: 26 Dec 2008 15:38
Location: भारत का निश्चेत गगन

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by IndraD »

http://www.foxnews.com/world/2018/05/29 ... -says.html
breaking; More than 25 mortar shells fired from Gaza, Israel says
Singha
BRF Oldie
Posts: 66601
Joined: 13 Aug 2004 19:42
Location: the grasshopper lies heavy

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Singha »

roman abramovich becomes israeli citizen after UK delays renewing his tier1 investor visa

https://www.rt.com/business/428057-abra ... en-israel/

I think he partly owns chelsea FC?
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

http://pennyforyourthoughts2.blogspot.c ... -made.html

” Edy Cohen, an Israeli academic and analyst, has blamed the Jewish lobby for the recent volatility of the exchange rate between the Turkish lira and the US dollar.

Cohen, a faculty member at Israel’s Bar-Ilan University and an analyst at the Begin-Sadat Centre for Strategic Studies, tweeted the remarks in Arabic accompanied by the hashtag, “support the Turkish lira”.

The Turkish lira has fallen to its lowest level in Turkey’s history,” Cohen said, going on to claim that the sudden decline had happened shortly after the Israeli ambassador was insulted at an Istanbul airport as he prepared to depart the country.

Addressing Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Cohen said: “Don’t you know that half of the world’s wealth belongs to only one Jewish family, which is Israel’s primary supporter?”
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

Many reports suggested that Iran, Hezbollah and Iranian backed forces will withdraw 60km away from Israel’s border and 25km away from Jordan border. Russia arranged the deal and will monitor it.

Russia has reached the end of the road in Syria, so Damascus will continue to fight on with its remaining allies

https://ejmagnier.com/2018/05/28/russia ... ng-allies/
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

Arabiana Intel
‏@ArabianaINTEL

#SAA entirely destroy a vehicle for Faylaq Al-Sham from 7.5 km distance reportedly w/ new #Russia|n #Kornet-D ATGM, killing its entire crew of five militants on #Kinsabba axis in NE #Latakia countryside. (28 May 2018) #SYRIA

https://twitter.com/ArabianaINTEL/statu ... 3704982528
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

Below is a recent (few hours) update from Pepe Escobar on the likely fate of MbS:

Pepe: “Here’s my top close to the House of Saud source, minutes ago: ”

“What may have happened is that MbS is dead and they are working out the removal of King Salman which takes time. All he has to do is face the cameras to show he is alive rather than issue pictures that may have been taken months ago. While the struggle for control takes place, no one is talking. Mohammed bin Nayef should be the next king who was our protege. Nayef was under house arrest before the issue of the shooting of MbS came up.”
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

“Iran & Israel In Unprecedented Indirect Talks Over Syria – closest longtime ME enemies have come to diplomatic dealings over crisis in Syria. Iran reportedly pledged stay out of fighting in SW Syria between Syrian forces & rebel groups – Israel said will not intervene in battles near Israeli-occupied Golan Heights or Israel-Jordan border as Hezbollah & Iranian-backed militias are not involved.”

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05- ... ria-report

https://www.jpost.com/Arab-Israeli-Conf ... ing-558519
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

Image

Reuters: Only Syrian army should be on country’s southern border with Jordan and Israel, says Lavrov.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mide ... SKCN1IT0U1
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

ISIS (jaish al-Khaled bin al-Waleed) count 1500 in 200 sqkm. In Ghouta, there were 30,000 Jihadists & the Syrian Army took it back without help from any allied ground forces. Thus SAA is capable of liberating Daraa (half is in Syrian Army’s control) & Qunietra alone all by itself.

Image
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

Image
Syrian security forces stormed several Souqs that sells stolen furniture and electronics in Damascus city, dozens arrested, and everything was confiscated to be returned to their owners

Image
Russian Military Police arrested several NDF fighters who were trying to loot some civilian houses in Bibila south of Damascus

reports have been dropping in that families that tried to go back to their homes in ghouta but were being denied access by the army (they say they are syrian military but who really knows) because they said it was not safe yet and was being cleared, but when some civilians finally went back to their homes they found it was looted of all furniture and appliances, and then one of them at a market one day, saw his stuff being sold and confronted the seller who told him to take a hike and that the stuff was being sold to help with the opposition cause.

Russian, Syrian military crack down on looters in southern Damascus
https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/ru ... -damascus/
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

Syrian Army begins using captured Turkish military vehicle in Aleppo

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/sy ... in-aleppo/

Image
Cain Marko
BRF Oldie
Posts: 5352
Joined: 26 Jun 2005 10:26

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Cain Marko »

UlanBatori wrote:With the end of the Syrian Color Revolution in sight, will the geniuses in DupleeCity turn to funding the Chechnyan terrorists? So many tens of thousands of ATGMs and ManPADS, so few terrorists left any more! :((
Doubt if they will have much success here. Chechnya has absolutely zero tolerance towards the wahabbi lot. The kadyrov led ruling forces are the rebels who fought against roos in the 90s but now are very tight with putinji.

They assure support to their champion Putin and he lets them be as authoritatively Sufi-Sunni as they want, which means that the Saudi wahabbis types have no go in that part of the world.
IndraD
BRF Oldie
Posts: 9319
Joined: 26 Dec 2008 15:38
Location: भारत का निश्चेत गगन

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by IndraD »

many of rockets fired by Palestenian resistance group has hit more than 10 targets in Israel residential colonies
Twitter
Singha
BRF Oldie
Posts: 66601
Joined: 13 Aug 2004 19:42
Location: the grasshopper lies heavy

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by Singha »

the looting is because NDF cadres are not paid for months on top of a already low salary.

and 1000s of families and camp followers of rebels went away to Idlib, leaving property behind, so there is enough abandoned homes to loot.

people are just trying to survive any way they can and feed families...
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

so they are looting thinking these families are rebel sympathizers.
habal
BRF Oldie
Posts: 6919
Joined: 24 Dec 2009 18:46

Re: Levant crisis - III

Post by habal »

Elijah J. Magnier
‏ @ejmalrai
4h4 hours ago

Elijah J. Magnier Retweeted Ollie Richardson

#Russia made one big huge fat mistake in #Syria: accepted to give east of the Euphrates to the #US control.

#Moscow wanted to trust #Washington: you never trust the US establishment because it doesn’t respect its own word and signed agreement.
Post Reply