He has limited time because he invites unlimited guests.RKumar wrote:I wish "Arnab Goswami" gets mature, he should stop shouting his lungs out and let others respond. I can understand he got limited time but it will make discussion more entertaining.
2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Sir, if anti-jinxs do not work then feel free to ban us for life
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Opposition delays meet!
Bhat ij there to meet hain?
Bhat ij there to meet hain?
2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Fully Posted on the Terroristan Thread
NSA appointment on the cards to revive ‘backchannel’ with India - Kamran Yousaf
I'm the Dim expected to appoint Prospective Terroristani NSA preparing his Back-Channel for India.
Cheers
NSA appointment on the cards to revive ‘backchannel’ with India - Kamran Yousaf
I'm the Dim expected to appoint Prospective Terroristani NSA preparing his Back-Channel for India.
Cheers
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
@VDPAssociates
NDA-333
BJP-281
NDA Allies-52
UPA-115
Cong-64
UPA Allies-51
Others-94
VDPAssociates Data Analytics Team has added 18 MP seats where there is rather close contest between BJP and Opposition parties(Maharashtra-1,Karnataka-3,MP-1,UP-5,Bihar-1,Bengal-1,Odisha-1,CG-1 and few other seats) to Opposition tally giving Opposition benefit of doubt
If Modi is able to swing them NDA figure from 333 could go further up.361 is number required for 2/3rd majority.
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
This collected some "Exit" polls
https://www.indiatvnews.com/news/india- ... tes-521030
https://www.indiatvnews.com/news/india- ... tes-521030
Code: Select all
Pollster NDA UPA Others BJP INC MGB
Times Now 306 132 104
Republic-Cvoter 287 128 87 40
Chanakya 340 70 133
IndiaTV-CNX 290-310 115-125 116-128
AP-MPs TDP YCP Others
TimesNow 7 18
Republic-Cvoter 14 11 0
Chanakya 17 8 0
IndiaTV-CNX
Lagadapati 15 10 0
Last edited by ShyamSP on 19 May 2019 23:24, edited 2 times in total.
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Postponed UPA PM selection from May 24 to '24 Maypankajs wrote:Opposition delays meet!
Bhat ij there to meet hain?
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Pak will have to wait another 5 years to talk with India!! Till than either they have to stop terrorist activities or get daily beating on the border. Even they might have to hand over PoK to India.
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
According to *Ornob...."ek vyakti", who is "not a serious politician", is leaving for London tonight.....
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Who? Time to savor unicorn tears, they are delish.disha wrote: On twitter there are at least two journos from the pseudo-liberal elitist gang complaining about their family kicking them out of their WA group. ]
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
CVoter predicts UPA-MGB 170 . They can easily pull in 100 more. Sonia is planning to to meet Kalam and bid for PM.Ardeshir wrote:Postponed UPA PM selection from May 24 to '24 Maypankajs wrote:Opposition delays meet!
Bhat ij there to meet hain?
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
IMO he has a valid reason: Anti-jinxes only are needed when you are almost sure of winning and want to prevent a jinx. I guess that situation started today after the polling is over.disha wrote:^What took you so long?Dilbu wrote:Reporting for duty sir.
*Others have put in their anti-jinxes. However if their anti-jinx'es do not work, I am recommending they they all be banned for 5 days.
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Some quick thumb calc - Average across all for NDA is 303. Median is 305. Max is 352 and Min is 242. Taking out the outliers (350 and 242), the average and the median are the same (305).KL Dubey wrote:Just FYI...the exit poll results are already being compiled on Wikipedia for ready reference:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exit_poll ... l_election
IndiaTV-CNX has taken too long with their program, but they are just done. Prediction is NDA 300 and UPA 120.
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
ShyamSP wrote:CVoter predicts UPA-MGB 170 . They can easily pull in 100 more. Sonia is planning to to meet Kalam and bid for PM.Ardeshir wrote: Postponed UPA PM selection from May 24 to '24 May
Kalam!!????!!!
You mean President Kovind
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
India Speaks Daily is for NDA on exit polls: https://youtu.be/-pLAopKrD74
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
From Dubey'jis wiki link.Suraj wrote:So both Axis and Today’s Chanakya give NDA 350+ . And multiple others over 300 . Time for a poll of exit polls now that everyone’s numbers are out .
Some quick thumb calc - Average across all for NDA is 303. Median is 305. Max is 352 and Min is 242. Taking out the outliers (352 and 242), the average and the median are the same (305).
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Handing over POK is the easiest way out of their misery .. and a realization perhaps that they are their own worst enemyRKumar wrote:Pak will have to wait another 5 years to talk with India!! Till than either they have to stop terrorist activities or get daily beating on the border. Even they might have to hand over PoK to India.
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
OG Saffron @OGSaffron
Following Following @OGSaffron
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Exit polls reveal what the future holds and it's beautiful.
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
No he is right ..Mukesh.Kumar wrote:ShyamSP wrote:
CVoter predicts UPA-MGB 170 . They can easily pull in 100 more. Sonia is planning to to meet Kalam and bid for PM.
Kalam!!????!!!
You mean President Kovind
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
I'd still caution us to not have pre-mature celebrations. I hope with all my heart that BJP wins on 23rd and that exit polls are in right direction. I am surely glad with exit polls, but lets first wait for 23rd I believe. Just my humble 2 cents.
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
mihir swaroop sharma who is usually highly critical of namo, has suddenly executed a U-turn
https://www.ndtv.com/opinion/if-exit-po ... topstories
https://www.ndtv.com/opinion/if-exit-po ... topstories
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Sonia can take her request with Kalam. Why would BJP/Modi/India/myself mind?ShyamSP wrote:CVoter predicts UPA-MGB 170 . They can easily pull in 100 more. Sonia is planning to to meet Kalam and bid for PM.Ardeshir wrote: Postponed UPA PM selection from May 24 to '24 May
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Which pollster was most accurate in 2014?
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Today's ChanakyaA_Gupta wrote:Which pollster was most accurate in 2014?
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Have to quote the full tweet from #DoltEconomist* (the IndiaNoMix book was first published in 2012 and Rupa married Vivek Dehejia after the book. Both of them are dolts in their own right. On a different note, #DoltEconomist was taken in by tweets from #BrownBrumby a Baki/ISI handle from Oz - #DoltEconomist wanted to have coffee with #BrownBrumby in SoBo).
*I called her out as underwear economist and she blocked me (or was it calling out that she got hots for the Baki Brumby from Oz?).
Isn't Statistics a branch of Mathematics? What #DoltEconomist is trying to say that she did not calculate the chance of Modi winning a second term with an even bigger mandate! What an idiot!Ardeshir wrote:Chaddi Subramanya needs Burnol on her Musharraf.
https://twitter.com/rupasubramanya/stat ... 4291639296Notice how she keeps sprinkling her tweets with 'Statistically' and 'Mathematically'. Arybhatta's direct descendant, alumus of the Choudhary Charan Singh University of Kaneda.If these trends hold from the exit polls,my hunch Modi would come back big despite what all the conventional wisdom says will have been proved right. I expected him to do at least as well as 2014 but this is even beyond that. Statistically implausible but mathematically possible.
11 replies 3 retweets 23 likes
*I called her out as underwear economist and she blocked me (or was it calling out that she got hots for the Baki Brumby from Oz?).
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
No sense of dilbukit wrote:No he is right ..Mukesh.Kumar wrote:
Kalam!!????!!!
You mean President Kovind
> Republic-Cvoter 287 128 87 40
With 10% error
NDA 258 (-10%)
UPA+MGB+Others 280 (+10%)
Last edited by ShyamSP on 19 May 2019 22:46, edited 1 time in total.
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Similarly in 2014:disha wrote:From Dubey'jis wiki link.Suraj wrote:So both Axis and Today’s Chanakya give NDA 350+ . And multiple others over 300 . Time for a poll of exit polls now that everyone’s numbers are out .
Some quick thumb calc - Average across all for NDA is 303. Median is 305. Max is 352 and Min is 242. Taking out the outliers (352 and 242), the average and the median are the same (305).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Indi ... Exit_polls
The average was 283. Max was 340 and Min was 249. Taking out these outliers, the average was 278 and the median was 276 (practically the same).
Actual result was 336 (about 60 higher than the mean/median prediction).
Scenario 1: The exit polls have gotten much better/more intelligent than 2014. So the actual result would be close to the median: 300-310.
Scenario 2: The accuracy of the polls remains similar, and the NaMo wave manages to tilt several of the tossup seats so that the upper outlier is closer to the actual result. In this case, it would be 345-355.
Scenario 3: All exit polls have fawked up this time and gone in the wrong direction. BJP down to 180 seats. NDA at 220. Urmila Matondkar becomes PM of milawati sarkar.
I think it will be Scenario 3
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Some Congress Netas on my Chehra Kitaab are trying to keep their chin up. Apparently this is their internal poll:
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Where were you ? I even sent a couple of ekhats to the account s I know of.Dilbu wrote:Lungi uthao zor se shiver karo aur bolo.
BJP will lose onlee
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Yes please ... with links to save us time.Karan M wrote:Who? Time to savor unicorn tears, they are delish.disha wrote: On twitter there are at least two journos from the pseudo-liberal elitist gang complaining about their family kicking them out of their WA group. ]
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
^^LOL, at least they could have removed the headline logo "India with RG" to project credibility....
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
What Gora said in 2014, pre-pollUlanBatori wrote:There u go: Time for Lungi-ShiverGora hath fa*ted. Please note for future reference.BJP 5 seats shy of magic number according to ABP-Nielsen Survey
The ABP-Nielsen Survey has predicted no clear majority for any alliance.
ABP-Nielsen exit pollAlliance Seats
NDA 267
UPA 127
Others 148
https://www.outlookindia.com/blog/story ... a-119/3216
9 March 2014
ABP News-Nielsen Op Poll: BJP 209, Cong 91; NDA 233, UPA 119
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
What credibility, hainjee?KL Dubey wrote:^^LOL, at least they could have removed the headline logo "India with RG" to project credibility....
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
The Gora revises:
https://www.thequint.com/elections/niel ... prediction
ABP News-Nielsen exit poll has predicted that the BJP-led NDA will cross the halfway mark and get 277 seats of the 542 seats. The UPA is expected to win 130 seats.
https://www.thequint.com/elections/niel ... prediction
ABP News-Nielsen exit poll has predicted that the BJP-led NDA will cross the halfway mark and get 277 seats of the 542 seats. The UPA is expected to win 130 seats.
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Alhilesh is the new mahdi since the old mahdi has feet of clay. note the sly sentence in the end.
barkha dutt
@BDUTT
6h6 hours ago
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Whatever the result one neta who can be optimistic is @yadavakhilesh - he hunkered down & focused on a non-bllitzy, grounded campaign & kept ego aside. Even Modi voters I met say they will vote for him in assembly
barkha dutt
@BDUTT
6h6 hours ago
More
Whatever the result one neta who can be optimistic is @yadavakhilesh - he hunkered down & focused on a non-bllitzy, grounded campaign & kept ego aside. Even Modi voters I met say they will vote for him in assembly
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
PP is giving 304 to BJP .Suraj wrote:So both Axis and Today’s Chanakya give NDA 350+ . And multiple others over 300 . Time for a poll of exit polls now that everyone’s numbers are out .
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Aayegi To Urmila Hi !
Certainly seems like an "acceptable face".
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urmila_Ma ... o_bday.jpg
Certainly seems like an "acceptable face".
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urmila_Ma ... o_bday.jpg
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Nahi ... nahi ... Notice "conducted by #WIthRG Volunteers"Ardeshir wrote:What credibility, hainjee?KL Dubey wrote:^^LOL, at least they could have removed the headline logo "India with RG" to project credibility....
Pappu volunteers conducting poll within themselves and their family ... is the bestest way to conduct an "impartial* polls.
Last edited by pankajs on 19 May 2019 22:58, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
For why is NDA placed on top of the table in withRG exit poll? What order is it?Ardeshir wrote:What credibility, hainjee?KL Dubey wrote:^^LOL, at least they could have removed the headline logo "India with RG" to project credibility....
Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Now that rona-e-dhona has started we need a dedicated thread to document there croc tiers