I think the last is a key point that is being missed by those that say, India's efforts are an eyewash, the numbers are meaningless, and there is not enough testing.dr.uday wrote:
That is exactly the plan sir. As the incubation period is max around 14 days and the people recently infected may infect their contacts in next few days, we should get to know all the cases , isolate and treat them in next 21 days. Few cases anyway will be missed, will be aggressively sought and isolated with increased testing capacity. Low level infection will keep continuing in some pocket but will be contained by surveillance. Lockdown can be confined to those pockets
If we fail, then its plan B. We will not get a hold of community spread. Cases will keep pouring in. We will rely only on treating the patients by increasing treatment facilities. We should continue to lockdown to not overwhelm the hospitals. This may eventually fail with indian masses not following lockdown protocols.
Plan C is to just let the virus do what it does and atleast save the economy. Many nations are already getting ready for this as they have not acted in the early stages.
But Modiji acted very early. The gov has done a commendable job in quarantining travellers. Many are criticising the testing protocols, but i dont think we are missing any community spread here. If not, the hospitals would have been already overwhelmed with respiratory cases which has not happened at all. I am hoping this lockdown would achieve the intended goals.
Under-reporting or not reporting cases has real-world consequences that are visible to everyone--like hospitals overwhelmed with patients needing ventilators etc. This is what happened in China back in Dec-Jan-Feb.
This is not being seen India, so it gives a fair degree of confidence that the number of cases being reported reflects reality.
Secondly, under-reporting cases and taking drastic measures like national-level shutdown represent mutually contradictory motivations. The first one is an avoidance of the gravity of the situation, whereas the second one is a hyper-awareness of the gravity.
For me, these two points are enough to conclude that those who are questioning GoI's motives and actions are either blessed with no mind, or not applying their mind, or just propagating falsehoods for malicious reasons.