The first battle in WW III has begun with a decisive coup for oceania/anglos. Why do I say this when by all accounts, the purported US ally Zellenskyy is giving criminals and middle aged women AKs to fight the Rusi steam roller at his doorstep? Permit your mind the luxury of entertaining this Thoughtcrime in this disreputable forum of the unwashed.
A passing familiarity with Orwell's 84 is instructive here. Old man got it mostly right.. The world is dominated by three super states. Oceania (the anglos), Eastasia (Russia and China) and Eurasia (non-anglo European powers). They fight over the disputed territories - Middle East, Indian subcontinent, Africa.
Every one with two neurons to rub together knew the bear's red line. Here is a long list of eminent thinkers predicting the events of 2/2/2022.
(Credit: twitter thread
https://twitter.com/RnaudBertrand/statu ... 6418103296 )
1. Former United Nations (UN) Deputy Secretary-General Pino Arlacchi saying "Nato is the root cause of the Ukraine crisis".
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LXCcJ9W ... e=emb_logo
2. John Mearshimer in 2015 - "The West is leading Ukraine down the primrose path and the end result is that Ukraine is going to get wrecked [...] What we're doing is in fact encouraging that outcome."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrMiSQAGOS4
3. This is Jack F. Matlock Jr., US Ambassador to the Soviet Union from 1987-1991, warning in 1997 that NATO expansion was "the most profound strategic blunder, [encouraging] a chain of events that could produce the most serious security threat [...] since the Soviet Union collapsed"
...
Go through the twitter thread, there is a long list of eminent western thinkers who are very well plugged into the national security blob predicting exactly this outcome.
One must wonder, with all of this 20/20
foresight, why didnt the western powers listen? All they had to do was to guarantee Ukrainian neutrality, just like Finland or Sweden and at most let Putin install the president of his choice. All Ukraine has is wheat. Why insist NATO membership open, and 'no talks at gunpoint' even as Russian armies are on the doorstep of 'Keev'?
Ill make the humble suggestion that events are unrolling exactly as planned by Oceania. A trap was set for the bear, western Europe presented with a fait-accompli - their populations hostage to memetic domination and this is one of the greatest strategic coups by the anglos ever. How has Oceania won this round decisively? This is how:-
1.
The bear paw is now firmly in the trap. Ukraine may not be an easy thing to digest once Rus has swallowed it. It shares long borders with NATO countries. It will be easy to smuggle IEDs, missiles, carbines etc. and drum up an insurgency. Small low flying drones and a hostile western Ukrainian population make it impossible to police the long Ukraine border against weapon drops. Rus may well be kept engaged in Ukraine for better part of a decade, just like it was in Afghanistan. They will be busy in Europe and out of the Indo-Pacific.
2. In a spectacular display of the domination of the memetic battlefield,
public opinion in Europe was swayed by relentless (fake) information bombing - "These are blond and blue eyed children who are dying damnit, not some uncivilized brown people!". Once the public opinion was riled up, the leaders will follow! There is a lesson here for those who want to maintain national sovereignty over memetic spaces. A enlightened monopoly in the 'market place of ideas' is essential.
3.
Europe will finally be weaned off of evil Russian natural gas and oil and on to green American nat gas and oil. This green American stuff will be paid for in green American dollars. Even if its from the middle east, the payments will all be in American dollars. This guarantees continued dominance of the dollar for the foreseeable future.
4.
Rus will be pushed firmly into the Chinese camp. This sounds bad but the result of this will be Eurasia (non anglo, european nato) will be presented with a Chinese ally that is deeply hostile to them on their borders.
European NATO powers that weren't really hostile to China will be forced to take a position!
5.
European NATO members will be forced to increase their defense expenditure. Some fraction of this money will be spent on American weapons. Even if spent entirely on the European manufacturers, these weapons will be pointed at the Eastasians (China and Rus), so its all good.
6.
The last few neutral stragglers in Eurasia - Finland, Sweden, Swiss - will be included into the Oceania alliance (Anglo part of NATO). India will face rapidly escalating pressure to use clean green American weapons and not the genocidal Rusi weapons. Demonization of Hindus in the press and popular culture is an easy, plausibly deniable way of doing this.
7. If Rus does nuclear sabre rattling, even better! More money will be poured into BMD which may actually be useful for the eventual showdown in the Indo-Pacific. If they use a tactical nuke on a peripheral Eurasian capital or two, even better for Oceania. The remaining
eurasian powers will hug Oceania even tighter.
Hats off to whoever planned this. Diabolically Brilliant. Yes, Ukraine will be smashed to bits, overrun with Nazi types running around with heavy weapons, thousands of Rusis and Ukrainians will die.. But East Asia will be brought to heel!