vijayk wrote: ↑05 Dec 2023 04:13
Sigma Talk @truthbomb6688
Removing Bandi Sanjay due to internal politics reduced bjp to 9 otherwise it wud have been atleast 20 seats.
And nobody wud have got majority and BJp had gud chance of forming alliance or outside support to TRS .
Congress wud have been a bay
Such things are easy to say, but in that case the alternate scenario would be the BRS and INC forming a goremint together, i.e., driving KCR into the Dotdot alliance instead of NDA. These two parties are full of people with common interests and common political ancestry.
That would be tough going for BJP in LS 2024 to face a combined BRS-INC. In fact, that would become pretty much the biggest example of two Dotdot partners able to actually help each other. In most other states, there is no significant vote share of either INC or another Dotdot fellow that can be transferred.
The BJP strategy in the south (includes MH) is extensive.
In MH, BJP has maneuvered into an excellent position as we have discussed earlier in long posts. NDA is poised to sweep MH.
Same in KA. The BJP/JDS tie-up and appeasement of the Yeddi camp all but assures a sweep in LS 2024.
Now TG is in play - Modi sarkar has been "softening up" BRS through other routes. Now the BJP political party (Nadda/Shah) has done another job, which now creates perfect conditions for a BJP/BRS tie-up for LS 2024. That will ensure atleast 13-15 LS seat wins for NDA, which BJP probably getting 6-7 and BRS the rest.
Next is TN - here the play has gotten to a strong start with Annamalai at the helm. Here INC is not strong at all, so it is highly unlikely that Annamalai will be told to hold his horses, unlike Sanjayan was asked to in TG. This time probably the goal is to get to a TG-like position in 2019, i.e. win a few seats and build a solid vote share in the names of Annamalai and Modi.
In AP, the only choice for 2024 is to ally with TDP, which may or may not happen. Things have gone quiet in terms of news, but that does not mean a lack of activity beyond the scenes. There has not been much central law enforcement on YSRC, but Tammudu seems to have panicked and made a move against Anna. Even so, a tie-up with TDP (without Chandranna in the picture) might lead to a good number of NDA seats in AP. Just like in TG, there seems to be considerable anti-incumbency against YSR. The main issue is that the BJP cadre in AP is weak and how to bolster it is not clear yet. Getting NTR Jr and others into the party may be a post-2024 goal.
The final frontier is KL. Not much work going on right now, but post-2024 the commies may face considerable heat. Given the anti-incumbency against "Pinamayi" Vijayan it is quite possible that INC/UDF will sweep KL entirely in LS 2024. So INC in Lok Sabha will become basically Pappu (from Wayanad) and some malayali fellows like Tharoor et al. Even this has a silver lining. Communism is on its deathbed in WB and TR due to TMC and BJP, and LS 2024 and post-election Modi sarkar actions may deal a mortal blow to KL communism, paving the way for stronger emergence of BJP in KL.
Long road, but tough guys like Modi, Shah, and others are waging a long-term war. People of Bharat will support them one state at a time.
A world of difference from the alternative "approach" of calling Hindus stupid, and somehow trying to browbeat them into voting blindly for BJP just because the greens are forced/intimidated to do that by their community leaders (mullahs/ashrafs/wakf walas/personal law walas/zakat walas/goons).