Iran News and Discussions

A_Gupta · Post by **A_Gupta** » 18 Apr 2026 20:16

^^^ can JCPOA++ be achieved before the oil supply shock bites?

bala · Post by **bala** » 20 Apr 2026 22:08

Iran War Day 51: Calm Before the Storm? Is the US Forcing an Endgame?
PGurus April 20, 2026

On Day 51, the picture remains deeply unstable. The U.S. has intensified pressure through maritime enforcement and is pushing for terms that would effectively lock in its preferred end state, but Tehran has rejected the current path to talks after the seizure of an Iranian cargo vessel. Meanwhile, the U.S.-backed Israel-Lebanon ceasefire remains fragile, with Israel still consolidating positions in southern Lebanon instead of signaling a clean rollback. Oil, shipping, diplomacy, and military signaling all suggest this may be less a peace moment and more a coercive transition phase.

Lt Gen Ravi Shankar (Retd), Lt Gen Raj Shukla (Retd), and Lt Gen Harimohan Iyer (Retd) analyse whether this is a real de-escalation or merely the setup for the next round.

bala · Post by **bala** » 21 Apr 2026 01:37

Here is another dramatic development by the US in Iran

US Navy Seals cut Iran's secret undersea data line

bala · Post by **bala** » 21 Apr 2026 21:33

Our Indian generals analyze the Iran rescue ops by the US of their stranded pilot

US RESCUE OPERATION IN IRAN : AN ANALYSIS / LT GEN HARIMOHAN IYER / LT GEN PR SHANKAR
Gunners shot April 21, 2026

SRajesh · Post by **SRajesh** » 21 Apr 2026 23:04

TOIlet reporting that IRGC have taken full control.
President sidelined apparently
Also a ring around younger Khameini!!
Two things come into mind:
1. YoungernK has attained his promised '72' plus his regular wife (I believe she was killed along with his father)
2. And second more importantly, whether there is serious difference between IRGC and the rest of the ruling clique about Peace Talks!!!
sticking points could be : a. U enrichment b.Ultimately produce a 'Bum' and c. Control of the Straits
Whatever the reason, this makes it difficult for OM to negotiate.
Any news who Failed Marshal met on his trip to Tehran??
President and Non IRGC types or Only IRGC

Anoop · Post by **Anoop** » 22 Apr 2026 07:12

https://youtu.be/cpu93zWMSbs?si=dljUuOKQpdV16znQ

The US has spent almost 50% of its Patriot, THAAD and Precision Strike and 30% of Tomahawk and 20% of JDAM missiles in 2 months in the war with Iran. There's a major lesson in this for how a poorly conceived operation can seriously weaken oneself without providing any political benefit. With each passing day, it vindicates the India's escalation control in Op Sindoor.

bala · Post by **bala** » 22 Apr 2026 08:33

China’s secret trade with Iran’s 'dark fleet' EXPOSED by Pentagon

National security correspondent Jennifer Griffin and former Army intelligence analyst Bret tVelicovich discuss the U.S. military's operations in the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's fractured leadership and China's involvement in illicit oil trade.

Calculating the exact percentage of China’s oil imports from Iran is complex because a significant portion of this trade is not recorded in official Chinese customs data due to international sanctions. Instead, it is often "rebranded" as originating from countries like Malaysia, Indonesia, or the United Arab Emirates through ship-to-ship transfers. You can always count on China to do something sneaky like nuclear proliferation to Pak and Iran.

SRajesh · Post by **SRajesh** » 22 Apr 2026 10:47

Soo the extension of ceasefire and reason given, proves that there is some sort of power struggle within the Ruling clique!!
Just a question:
If IRGC are in control and not the Mullahs, what then for the future of Eyeran??
This is a move from being a Theocratic state to a Military state.
This is like a repeat of Saddam or Gaddafi!! albiet a Shia Eyeranian variant.
And US can definitely make a deal him (for while before they pull the rug from under his feet)
Intersting next week or two!!

bala · Post by **bala** » 22 Apr 2026 20:59

PAKISTAN AND IRAN : TWO SIDES OF THE SAME COIN / LT GEN PR SHANKAR

Both nations are ummah, though on different factions within. Furthermore they are duplicitous in nature. China is aiding them both for different reasons. Pakland is being the go between for DJT/US team and Iran, conveying different messages to both. The shifting positions are being milked to the hilt. Pakland is an economic disaster.

bala · Post by **bala** » 23 Apr 2026 01:13

They Lied About Iran… And It’s Bigger Than You Think | Aadi Achint

Why India is more concerned about Iran collapsing than war itself
The real story behind Iran’s nuclear development
How Pakistan fits into the bigger geopolitical puzzle
The role of the United States — and why it may not be what you think
Why Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states are more vulnerable than they appear
The growing influence of China in the region
And what this all means for Israel, the Middle East, and the future global order

22:10 Who Gave Iran Nuclear Capability?
23:00 Pakistan’s Role in Iran’s Nuclear Program
24:10 Why Is Pakistan Allowed to Have Nukes?
25:20 Why the U.S. Didn’t Stop It
39:30 Why Israel & India Face the Same Threat
56:00 This Isn’t About Iran… It’s About the Dollar
1:12:00 Why Pakistan Needs the U.S.
1:14:00 Pakistan’s Global Terror Network
1:16:30 They Take Money… Then Backstab Everyone

Vayutuvan · Post by **Vayutuvan** » 23 Apr 2026 04:01

Aadi Achint interview is a good one.

That kind of cynicism is warranted when it comes to the US, Pakistan, and China. Iran had done a disservice to itself by letting
the Pakis mediate.

Cain Marko · Post by **Cain Marko** » 23 Apr 2026 05:19

SRajesh wrote: ↑21 Apr 2026 23:04 TOIlet reporting that IRGC have taken full control.
President sidelined apparently
Also a ring around younger Khameini!!
Two things come into mind:
1. YoungernK has attained his promised '72' plus his regular wife (I believe she was killed along with his father)

You mean to say that Junior is now with senior?

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 23 Apr 2026 08:41

If Junior is with Senior, who is running the show in Iran? Which are the factions in control and which and all areas.

SRajesh · Post by **SRajesh** » 23 Apr 2026 10:26

^^^
No one has seen him nor has he appeared in public.
Secondly, another round of selection of Grand Ayotullah is very bad f9or optics.
This not only distorts the narrartive but also hampers the neogiating power.
IRGC is probably running the show!!
Hence even the OM tweeted as much before extending the deadline

wig · Post by **wig** » 23 Apr 2026 16:21

https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/world/ir ... f1989&ei=9

Iran hits terror group Jaish al-Adl along Pakistan border
excerpts

Iranian security forces Wednesday said they destroyed an operational cell of the terrorist group Jaish al-Adl after its members infiltrated from across the Pakistani border into the Rask region of Sistan and Baluchestan Province in southeastern Iran.

According to Iran’s semi-official Tasnim News Agency, several terrorists were killed in the operation. Iranian officials have long accused the group of carrying out attacks inside Iran and maintaining links with Pakistan’s intelligence services, an allegation Islamabad denies.

Jaish al-Zulm is how Iranians refer to Jaish al-Adl, or the “Army of Justice”, a Sunni militant group founded in 2012 that operates along the porous Iran-Pakistan border. It has been designated a terrorist organisation by both Iran and the United States, and has claimed responsibility for multiple attacks on Iranian security forces.

Lisa · Post by **Lisa** » 24 Apr 2026 18:28

SRajesh wrote: ↑23 Apr 2026 10:26 ^^^
No one has seen him nor has he appeared in public.
Secondly, another round of selection of Grand Ayotullah is very bad f9or optics.
This not only distorts the narrartive but also hampers the neogiating power.
IRGC is probably running the show!!
Hence even the OM tweeted as much before extending the deadline

In that famous words use, Schrödingers Leader! He is incharge and also not incharge!

IRGC is holding the box.

bala · Post by **bala** » 24 Apr 2026 21:15

Gen. Dan Caine Holds Explosive Military Briefing on Iran War in Washington DC

Dan Caine addressed the media in Washington, D.C. during a high-level military briefing focused on the ongoing situation involving Iran.

The briefing covered operational updates, regional security concerns, and coordination between U.S. defense leadership amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.

Senior officials outlined military preparedness and strategic developments as the situation continues to evolve.

// the blockade is on ships going to and from Iran.
// there are reports of bombing some iran targets too.

A_Gupta · Post by **A_Gupta** » 25 Apr 2026 01:18

How are India’s relations and contacts with the IRGC, compared to the civilian leadership?

bala · Post by **bala** » 25 Apr 2026 22:42

Trump is getting Pakistan STUCK, Asim Munir in a Trap with Iran, Real Game I Brig Pandey, Aadi

Interesting take on how Pukes are being suckered by the US in the Iran issue. China is being targetted and the game is about screwing China to the maximum. Economic warfare is more devastating than the kinetic kind.

// the pukes are being stripped clean. The GCC nations are wary about the Pukes and don't want them. Iran and Pukes are at logger heads. The go between Pukes are trying to desperately being relevant while double crossing all. Nothing is working for the Pukes, their economy is in shatters, oil prices are raging and all the baksheesh from GCCs is drying up quickly. No IWT water and the thrashing from Op Sindoor is a huge blemish upon them. Recently DJT called of all talks with Iran at Pukeland and this leaves the Pukes hanging dry.

wig · Post by **wig** » 27 Apr 2026 06:30

https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/world/ho ... 2bc0&ei=37

Iran's F5 jet bombed US base in war's most ironic moment
excerpts

What NBC reported

NBC News said the Iranian F-5 was involved in an attack on Camp Buehring in Kuwait, citing US officials familiar with the matter. Two officials reportedly described it as the first time in years that an enemy fixed-wing aircraft had struck an American military base.

The report said the alleged strike formed part of a broader Iranian campaign targeting multiple US facilities across the Middle East.

Camp Buehring is a strategically important US logistics hub in Kuwait, used for troop movement, equipment storage and support operations linked to the wider Central Command theatre.

Any successful strike there would carry both operational and symbolic significance.

The Top Gun irony

For millions, the F-5 is less known as a battlefield aircraft and more as a movie icon.

In the movie, the F-5 jets were painted to portray the MiGs because real Soviet fighters were unavailable for filming. That gave the F-5 one of the most recognisable roles in aviation pop culture.

How an older jet still matters

The Northrop F-5 is a legacy fighter platform first developed during the Cold War. It lacks the stealth profile and advanced avionics associated with modern frontline aircraft.

But military planners have long warned that older, cheaper systems can still be dangerous when used creatively, especially in low-altitude, surprise or saturation attacks.

bala · Post by **bala** » 27 Apr 2026 18:47

A decent picture of the Strait of Hormuz

News is that 30 odd gun boats of Iran IRGC tried to attack US aircraft carrier group. All of them were destroyed.

Manish_P · Post by **Manish_P** » 27 Apr 2026 21:56

Irans hilly topography is quite a challenge

bala · Post by **bala** » 29 Apr 2026 03:47

Some Iran news:

Mojtaba Khamenei is apparently presumed dead. There is bombing of selective targets in Iran by US/Israel jets. The Iranian oil terminals are overflowing with oil since their ships are being turned back. Stopping oil extraction is fraught with issues since it can't be restarted that easily once stopped. UAE is pulling out from OPEC.

Meanwhile Puki Asim Munir betrayed Iran. Iran will seek some revenge later on on the Pukis.

bala · Post by **bala** » 01 May 2026 20:58

War, Tech & Strategy: Lessons Learned from Iran War & Operation Sindoor | Sushant & Tilak

Sushant Sareen, Senior Fellow, ORF
Tilak Devasher, Author; Former Member, National Security Advisory Board

the guests discuss the lessons India has drawn from the Iran war and the learnings from Operation Sindoor as it completes one year. The conversation explores military readiness, evolving threats, and the role of technology and strategy in shaping India’s defence posture.

Deans · Post by **Deans** » 03 May 2026 19:17

Part 2 of my Iran war blog series.
I look at why American assumptions about Iran's ability to withstand the blockade may be misplaced and it is the Gulf states that will be
hit more.

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2026/05/ir ... storm.html

A_Gupta · Post by **A_Gupta** » 03 May 2026 20:29

^^^^ the analysis seems spot on, and so the impact on India that you write about is worrying.

bala · Post by **bala** » 17 May 2026 20:58

IRAN IS DONE!! Ditch by China, OIL Storage Over? US China Game, Strait of Hormuz I RSN Singh

// China is really screwed on oil supply from Iran and US has effectively blocked the supply.

chetak · Post by **chetak** » 19 May 2026 13:22

The pakis have betrayed both the saudis and the amrikis

the paki pigs proved again that you can trust the snake but can't trust to Pakistan

In April, Pakistan allowed Iranian military aircraft to park in its country to protect them from American air strikes

but the real question is: were the pakis betraying the amrikis or the amrikis betraying israel............., saudi gaya tel lene and trump hotfooted it to cheen to prostrate before xi

Manish_P · Post by **Manish_P** » 19 May 2026 16:22

American surveillance platforms would have detected the aircraft flying to Pakistan. They might have allowed it due to the declared ceasefire and the undeclared Failed Marshall being a puppet would hand them over to the Americans when ordered to do so

Tanaji · Post by **Tanaji** » 19 May 2026 18:03

https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/202 ... of-hormuz/

Iran demands Big Tech pay fees for undersea Internet cables in Strait of Hormuz

The US has effed this up for everyone. Now in addition to tolls for ships, Iran is trying its luck with cables. As the article says, the real impact will be to repair ships for existing cables which wont be able to operate.

Moi thinks Iran is over reaching now. There is only so much that others will bear before it blows up in their face.

Lisa · Post by **Lisa** » 19 May 2026 20:11

^ Has anyone got a reference of even one payment being collected from anyone for anything?

https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2026/04/23 ... -estimate/

How much will they be charging and for how long to collect even a break-even point?

Tanaji · Post by **Tanaji** » 19 May 2026 21:02

Lisa wrote: ↑19 May 2026 20:11 ^ Has anyone got a reference of even one payment being collected from anyone for anything?

https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2026/04/23 ... -estimate/

How much will they be charging and for how long to collect even a break-even point?

Didnt India pay hafta to transit? At least 5/6 ships have transited which means monies would have been paid. But no proof yet

Lisa · Post by **Lisa** » 19 May 2026 21:21

Ji, Do you have a reference for your claim of hafta?

A_Gupta · Post by **A_Gupta** » 19 May 2026 22:19

AI summarizes:

India firmly denies paying any transit tolls or unofficial fees to Iran for ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Both the Indian government and Iranian officials have refuted allegations of paid passage, maintaining that Indian vessels transit without such levies due to the strong bilateral relationship between the two nations.

The Indian Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) and Iranian authorities have addressed this matter from multiple angles:

Official Clarification: The Indian government categorically stated it has not held discussions with Iran regarding toll payments, emphasizing that their diplomatic focus remains strictly on securing safe and unimpeded navigation for Indian vessels and seafarers.

Iranian Endorsement: Iran’s ambassador to New Delhi explicitly confirmed that Indian tankers transiting the strait have not been charged any tolls, pointing to the two nations' "good relations".

Rejection of Third-Party Claims: India has pushed back on speculation and external assertions that its vessels made cash or cryptocurrency payments to Iran.

drnayar · Post by **drnayar** » 19 May 2026 22:49

Tanaji wrote: ↑19 May 2026 18:03 https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/202 ... of-hormuz/

Iran demands Big Tech pay fees for undersea Internet cables in Strait of Hormuz

The US has effed this up for everyone. Now in addition to tolls for ships, Iran is trying its luck with cables. As the article says, the real impact will be to repair ships for existing cables which wont be able to operate.

Moi thinks Iran is over reaching now. There is only so much that others will bear before it blows up in their face.

I think uncle is only too happy to prolong the agony.... They have sights on bigger prizes I presume. What happened to their Uber powerful navy ? Anyone hazard a guess why trump is going slow and for whom ?

drnayar · Post by **drnayar** » 19 May 2026 22:50

Tbh I want the UN to intervene at this stage and force Iran to climb down on its mindless rhetoric and open the straits and get the US navy back to its bases !

Tanaji · Post by **Tanaji** » 19 May 2026 23:45

Ok It would seem I was mistaken. I was under the impression that we had paid for the transit. My bad.

Lisa · Post by **Lisa** » 20 May 2026 00:33

Ji, its not your fault. Typical peacefuls attitude. Scream and shout all day long, death to so and so but when so and so pay them a visit, start screaming and shouting. its so unfair, its so unfair! They have threatened the Israelis almost every day of their lives and now that the gloves are off, there is nothing they can really do when the Israelis bomb them in broad daylight!

Iran had been functionally dislocated and Israel, getting on with life just like before. Much as all necessary objective have not been achieved by the Israelis, downtown Tel Aviv is getting on just like yesterday but Tehran, struggling just to buy medicines. So now they change track, lets find someone or something else to threaten. Undersea cables fit today bill but just like their strangulation of the straits, none of these actions can actually help them defeat their opponents. Relative to them, their opponents are both distant and omnipotent.

I personally feel that time is not on Iran's side, but lets wait and see. Either way, I wish the Pox and all bad things upon the mullahs.

SRajesh · Post by **SRajesh** » 20 May 2026 01:06

^^ Iran like most Theocratic societies is bordering on Paranoid Schizophrenia
There are reports of Iranian parliament voting on the bounty for killing POTUS, PM Netanyahu and CENTCOM head.
Yet they are sending peace proposals through Jihadi Jernail!!!
Any ways I feel it is going to be a Super Sunday this weekend

A_Gupta · Post by **A_Gupta** » 20 May 2026 02:27

Times of Israel headline:

Israel said preparing for renewal of Iran war; Trump says Tehran has days to make deal

TV report points to signs of heightened readiness, including 5-hour cabinet meeting, cancellation of PM’s trial hearing

https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-sa ... make-deal/