Sanku wrote:
Let us be CLEAR of the HUGE spike in attacks directly by Pakistani elements in India over last 6 years as well as the TOTAL absence of ANY response in this period.
If you're counting attacks in rest of India compared to J&K, yes there is a spike, but counting India as a whole there is no spike.
Here are some numbers:
http://www.newsdesk.umd.edu/sociss/rele ... cleID=1797
# 4,108 terrorist incidents occurring in India between the years 1970 and 2004. During this period, India ranked sixth among all countries in terms of terrorist incidents (behind Peru, Colombia, El Salvador, the United Kingdom and Northern Ireland and Spain).
# 12,539 terrorist-related fatalities in India between 1970 and 2004 - an average of almost 360 fatalities per year from terrorism in India. These fatalities peaked in 1991 and 1992, when 1,184 and 1,132 individuals (respectively) were killed in such incidents.
(I don't think security personnel are included in the above list.)
Also see
http://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/19423.html
which uses the same data.
If you use the SATP numbers for fatalities in terrorist attacks in India:
http://www.satp.org/satporgtp/countries ... lities.htm
please note that the figures for recent years include left-wing extremism, while older years do not.
If I count only civilians and security forces killed (and not terrorists), and leave out left-wing extremism,
the figures are:
1994 : 2113 killed
1995 : 2272
1996 : 2699
1997 : 2381
1998 : 2345
1999 : 2140
2000 : 2591
2001 : 2414
2002 : 1797
2003 : 1607
2004 : 1320
2005 : 1200
2006 : 1098
2007 : 955
2008 : 967
2009 : 449
-------------------------
Quite the opposite of a spike, it seems. Any rational person would say GOI should do more of the same of whatever it is doing. (Or the SATP numbers are wrong, e.g., for 2009, Maharashtra is not included.
{Sorry, my mistake, 26/11 was in 2008, there is no reason to suspect SATP numbers.}. ) Nevertheless, even if SATP is wrong by a factor of 2, it would not count as a spike in terrorism it would merely be continuing at the same level as the 1990s.
The UMD database cited in the first quote above is at
http://www.start.umd.edu/gtd/
and has data upto 2007.
This graph is from there, counting the number of terrorist incidents per year: