Re: West Asia News and Discussions
Posted: 05 Jan 2020 10:26
Iran may first detonate a nuclear device or even a dirty device before any overt or covert retaliation.
Consortium of Indian Defence Websites
https://forums.bharat-rakshak.com/
Massa cant ship significant amount of oil to India.Vayutuvan wrote:Massa already said they will ship oil to India at a price point at which we import from Saudi. Some contracts were drawn or not? Even with that, US is an untrustworthy ally as they have proved again and again not only with India, even their closest allies like Japan.Rony wrote:On the other hand, our concerns on raising oil prices is real and hopefully contingencies are planned for these kind of situations.
Actually a crisis in the Gulf is in the interest of Russia.Philip wrote:The last mentioned will require Oniks/ Yakhont type AShMs with a little help from Russia.Will Russia however want such an escalation? My feeling isa huge NO.None of thd big powers barring the US want another conflagration in the ME given the global eco. crisis.
Philip wrote:Iran will wait jntil it is sure an attack will be a success. It has several options.Terror bombing attacks.Its own drone attacks and juicy naval targets in the Gulf.The last mentioned will require Oniks/ Yakhont type AShMs with a little help from Russia.Will Russia however want such an escalation? My feeling isa huge NO.None of thd big powers barring the US want another conflagration in the ME given the global eco. crisis. Calculated US targets anywhere on thd globe would be a wiser strategy for the Iranians but such a public figure assassinates, Iran's no.2, will demand from Iranians a huge response.
Libyan National Army says it is ready to ‘repel Turkish invasion’
Ismaeel Naar, Al Arabiya EnglishSunday, 5 January 2020
The Libyan National Army said it is ready to “repel the Turkish invasion” and that its navy is prepared to take control of the country’s coastline, LNA spokesperson Major General Ahmed al-Mismari said during a press conference on Saturday.
“We have reached full capability and we have our navy ready to control and secure the country’s coastline. Our air bases and advanced air defense means are also at full capacity, as proven when we shot down several Turkish aircraft,” al-Mismari said.
Last Thursday, Turkish lawmakers formally adopted a bill approving a military deployment in Libya to shore up the UN-recognized Government of National Accord (GNA) in Tripoli.
The Libyan parliament voted unanimously on Saturday to cut ties with Turkey and close embassies in the two countries.
General Khalifa Haftar launched an offensive to capture the Libyan capital of Tripoli in April vowing to end the rule of militias that include hardline groups linked to al-Qaeda and others. General Haftar has reportedly received support from international allies opposed to extremism and the Muslim Brotherhood.
anmol wrote:
There is no Iranian Culture in Iran. Whatever remnants of Persian Culture exist, do so in Navsari, Udwada, Surat, Mumbai and Pune.Trump warns cultural sites could be targeted if Iran retaliates for Soleimani strike
President Donald Trump wrote on Twitter Saturday night that if Iran retaliates for the U.S. airstrike that killed Gen. Qassem Soleimani near Baghdad, the U.S. is prepared to "hit very fast and very hard" at 52 sites inside Iran, including some important to "the Iranian Culture."
Targeting cultural sites could be considered a war crime under international agreements to which the U.S. belongs, according to both Trump's political foes and former national security officials.
The number 52 used by Trump in his tweets also matched the number of Americans seized in the November 1979 takeover of the U.S. embassy in Tehran. They were held hostage for 444 days.
The cultural sites referred to are monuments and mausoleums glorifying the revolution, Ayatollah's tomb, Azadi monument, and possibly Musalla mosque that is rumoured to have a large cache of weapons and blueprints of the nuclear program housed inside it.Ardeshir wrote:
There is no Iranian Culture in Iran. Whatever remnants of Persian Culture exist, do so in Navsari, Udwada, Surat, Mumbai and Pune.
Iraq's parliament voted on Sunday to end foreign troop presence in the country, including thousands from the US, and to lodge a complaint with the United Nations over the killing of Gen Qassem Suleimani, the head of Iran’s elite forces.
On Friday, regional tensions were dramatically escalated after Suleimani was killed by a US drone strike in Baghdad.
The extraordinary session on Sunday was led by outgoing Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi, who resigned following the protests, but is in office until a replacement has been decided on.
Parliament voted on a five-point action plan that would require the Iraqi government to end the presence of foreign troops in the country, and withdraw its request for assistance from the anti-ISIS global coalition. This would require new legislation to cancel the existing agreement.
Parliament also called on the government to ban the use of Iraqi airspace by any foreign power.
The Iraqi foreign minister has been directed to head to the UN to lodge an official complaint against the US strike.
Mr Abdul Mahdi said asking the US forces to leave “would be the best option to establish a strong friendship with the US and other countries, based on mutual respect for sovereignty”.
Are you expecting Iran to take out the other side commander to show bravado? It is less likely.Manish_Sharma wrote:Iran is being exposed as a cowardly nation.
They were having reputation of being too big and strong to be attacked by USA, EVEN WITHOUT HAVING NUCLEAR WEAPONS.
Now the whole world will see how trump killed their errrmmrommel Sulemani and on top threatens to obliterate their cultural sites if iran doesn't suck it up. All 3 iran, china & russia have no guts to stand up to usa, THEY WILL SUBMIT TO TRUMP.
If Trump had talked about bombing place of worship there would be riots, by others too unaffected directly uknowho, and who would be at receiving end of such riots. But Trump talked of attacking cultural sites and voila no riots. Indirectly they will fight out without anyone noticing such things, which is what we don't either somehow.Manish_Sharma wrote:.. how trump killed their errrmmrommel Sulemani and on top threatens to obliterate their cultural sites if iran doesn't suck it up. All 3 iran, china & russia have no guts to stand up to usa, THEY WILL SUBMIT TO TRUMP.
isn't that how that should be.Russia's engagement has been measured
..
Under Shahjahan the deccan sultanets (Ahmednagar, Bijapur etc.) were defeated and assimilated in Mughal empire.habal wrote:retaliation will be massive and preferably under nuke/russian umbrella. The reason why trump is freaking out on twitter is because he knows a retaliation will come. So first we may see some kind of nuclear test by iran sponsored by china via north korea. What more can usa now do if Iran conducts test o nuke on its own soil. It is now exposed all over globe as a duplicitous bully taking on small countries whom they know cannot react conventionally. Russia & China will seek to trap usa in a persian quagmire since primary reason for russian intervention in syria was to prevent destabilization of iran. In the end usa will prop up another obama type two-face in elections and throw away trump like disposable tissue.
this is like the deccan war fought by the mughals, where mughals never win any decisive battles but do some shock & awe off and on and ultimately the wily marathas take over dehli and sikhs take over pubjab and kashmir and southern afghanistan. 3
Hate to have to point it out but it occurred in the twenty-first century onlee.Suresh S wrote:It is my 6th sense that killing of general suleimani so publically will prove to be one of the most important events of the twentieth century. It will turn out very badly for US whether one supports Iran or not.Trump has made the worst mistake of his presidency.
I laugh at these tweets and people who talk about Russia and China backing Iran FYI China supposedly passed US intel on key Iranian installation and reportedly the trade deal contains more secrets of Iran. Widely speculated Putin and Trump discussed Iran on the call in December (which Trump refused to elaborate). A weakened Iran would allow Russia to expand its sphere in Syriahabal wrote:retaliation will be massive and preferably under nuke/russian umbrella. The reason why trump is freaking out on twitter is because he knows a retaliation will come. So first we may see some kind of nuclear test by iran sponsored by china via north korea. What more can usa now do if Iran conducts test o nuke on its own soil. It is now exposed all over globe as a duplicitous bully taking on small countries whom they know cannot react conventionally. Russia & China will seek to trap usa in a persian quagmire since primary reason for russian intervention in syria was to prevent destabilization of iran. In the end usa will prop up another obama type two-face in elections and throw away trump like disposable tissue.
this is like the deccan war fought by the mughals, where mughals never win any decisive battles but do some shock & awe off and on and ultimately the wily marathas take over dehli and sikhs take over pubjab and kashmir and southern afghanistan. 3
Reportedly they were working on dispersing their assets and moving to closer to Syria to make it harder to target them after they launch a massive rocket strike on US installations.vivek_ahuja wrote:Has anyone explained what General Suleimani was doing in Baghdad anyway? Why is a foreign General moving in armed convoys in the capital city at the same time as the US Embassy is being ransacked by armed mobs? Coincidence?
For all the boohoo from Iraq about "foreign intervention" blah blah blah, it seems that it is only against western forces. They seem quite at home hosting fellow neighboring islamic military forces and their leaders.
there may not be any retaliation. Iran will huff & puff but suck up to humiliation.habal wrote:retaliation will be massive and preferably under nuke/russian umbrella.
What Iran can do
There is little substance in Iranian fury. First, the US is technically on solid legal ground, having conducted proportionate retaliation for an attack by Iran-backed Shiite militias on its embassy compound in Baghdad. Second, Iran simply does not have the wherewithal to take on the US conventionally. Any conventional action by Iran will result in massive retaliation, with Trump itching to bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Moreover, as the 1988 Operation Praying Mantis and the shooting down of Iran Air 655 flight demonstrated, the US can sink the Iranian Navy and shoot down a civil airliner with near-total impunity. With Iran’s forces severely stretched from Yemen, through Iraq and into Syria, there really are no viable options for retaliation by Iran; whatever retaliation happens will at best be a pinprick that will be easily absorbed and countered.
Iran could have retaliated through “sub-conventional” actions – the kind of terror or asymmetric warfare that Qassem Soleimani specialised in. But the 3 January US airstrike closed that option – with America clearly saying that if Iran engaged in terrorism against it, the US would escalate to the conventional level and target Iran’s leadership.
In short, the entire Iranian geopolitical playbook of the last 40 years just got thrown out of the window. All up: game, set and match trump.
Pak has nuclear weapons with religious fanatics at the gates trying to get in and grab them. Pak army claims to be the ones standing in the way of them getting to it. Effectively Pak is blackmailing the USA into good behavior.IndraD wrote:while it would be more appropriate for Pk thread
why is it that US holds Iran responsible for American death , carries out strikes against their generals but sucks up to Pakistani army who have caused far more destruction to US interests in Afghanistan?
Okay. So if this is the case, then Trump basically ordered a preemptive strike on these guys and decapitated them. You would think the Iraqis would be thanking him for taking care of this in a way that they were unable to.John wrote:Reportedly they were working on dispersing their assets and moving to closer to Syria to make it harder to target them after they launch a massive rocket strike on US installations.vivek_ahuja wrote:Has anyone explained what General Suleimani was doing in Baghdad anyway? Why is a foreign General moving in armed convoys in the capital city at the same time as the US Embassy is being ransacked by armed mobs? Coincidence?
For all the boohoo from Iraq about "foreign intervention" blah blah blah, it seems that it is only against western forces. They seem quite at home hosting fellow neighboring islamic military forces and their leaders.
In reference to Gulf War 1, there were a number of Pak Army regulars in non-offensive roles inside Kuwait. Several thousands stayed back in KSA as an insurance till the mid-90's against Iranian aggression post the Iran-Iraq war.Rsatchi wrote:https://youtu.be/4GeGlGgeYBY
Listen carefully from 24.29 onwards!!
Musharaff Zaidi claiming Pakistanis fighting in Iraq
is that true?
https://twitter.com/ELINTNews/status/12 ... 6654386187#BREAKING: Civilian casualties after rocket lands in apartment block opposite US Embassy in Baghdad
https://twitter.com/bababanaras/status/ ... 0666390531@bababanaras
Total 6 rockets were fired in which 5 exploded. 1 rocket hit a civilian house near US embassy in Baghdad and 4 hit the admin building of embassy. Several people killed....
They basically did Trump wants which means Europe can no longer work to side step sanctions and salvaging the deal without US.abhik wrote:Tow major developments of today:
1) Iraqi parliament votes to expel US forces, big win for Iran, but only if they are actually able to follow through.
2) Iran "officially" walks out of the nuclear deal.
In addition to what John posted, there was a report, just after the assassination, that he was there to better organize the Iranian factions within Iraq to better oppose those fighting in the streets against Iran.vivek_ahuja wrote:Has anyone explained what General Suleimani was doing in Baghdad anyway? Why is a foreign General moving in armed convoys in the capital city at the same time as the US Embassy is being ransacked by armed mobs? Coincidence?
For all the boohoo from Iraq about "foreign intervention" blah blah blah, it seems that it is only against western forces. They seem quite at home hosting fellow neighboring islamic military forces and their leaders.
Pakis are no doubt "fighting" as soosai truck drivers for the ISIS.Rsatchi wrote:https://youtu.be/4GeGlGgeYBY
Listen carefully from 24.29 onwards!!
Musharaff Zaidi claiming Pakistanis fighting in Iraq
is that true?
I know KSA employs Pakistani mercs in Yemen. I didn’t watch the video but they could be working for Sunni militias allied with KSA.UlanBatori wrote:Pakis are no doubt "fighting" as soosai truck drivers for the ISIS.Rsatchi wrote:https://youtu.be/4GeGlGgeYBY
Listen carefully from 24.29 onwards!!
Musharaff Zaidi claiming Pakistanis fighting in Iraq
is that true?
I think Trump is referring to the city of Qom where Hasan and his family was murdered. The other holy cities for Shia are in Saudi and in Damascus, syria.Ardeshir wrote:There is no Iranian Culture in Iran. Whatever remnants of Persian Culture exist, do so in Navsari, Udwada, Surat, Mumbai and Pune.Trump warns cultural sites could be targeted if Iran retaliates for Soleimani strike
President Donald Trump wrote on Twitter Saturday night that if Iran retaliates for the U.S. airstrike that killed Gen. Qassem Soleimani near Baghdad, the U.S. is prepared to "hit very fast and very hard" at 52 sites inside Iran, including some important to "the Iranian Culture."
Targeting cultural sites could be considered a war crime under international agreements to which the U.S. belongs, according to both Trump's political foes and former national security officials.
The number 52 used by Trump in his tweets also matched the number of Americans seized in the November 1979 takeover of the U.S. embassy in Tehran. They were held hostage for 444 days.
The way I see it the prize is the continued destruction of the region mired in factional conflict to prevent a consolidation of power by any one state to emerge as a core state of the Islamic world. Unlikely KSA or Iran would be touched directly. If I have to read the tea leaves and go on a limb, would say instabilty in Turkey with the the Kurds is on the cards.habal wrote:Gen Wesley Clarke mentioned in an old interview
7 countries and the last one is Iran.
what is the significance of these 7 countries ?
once the democratic, relatively anti-wahabbi regimes are toppled, then field becomes clear to spread fundamentalist wahabbi Islam to destabilize caucusus, russia & china. Esp russia.
that is the big prize.