Bharat Rakshak

KL Dubey wrote:Dr BB's constituency-wise tracker is back for KA (not in the other states so far). It looks like a NDA sweep in KA (including the independent in Mandya). Only a couple of seats in which UPA is leading. If this is the situation in south KA, one can imagine what north KA will be like. One also hopes the sentiment spills over into areas of north KL too.

"MGB" is being hammered in UP with united Hindu votes and low "green" turnout.

WB and OR continue to report amazing gains for NDA.

TN seems a bit of a toss-up right now. If NDA can pull off 10-15 seats it would be OK to "declare victory" for 2019 in TN.

No news on MH, BH, and the Northeast yet.

On a macro-level...NDA seems to be taking over the "undecided voter" space (more than 15% were undecided before the election) and its vote share is now over 40%. If this trend continues then 2019 will be probably even more of a mandate than 2014.

Lilo wrote:Whats with the Red uniforms of Kerala Police guarding Comrade Pinarayi?
Some sort of commie party affiliated Police dress symbolizing a Red Guard for the Comrade Pinaryi?

chetak wrote: ghee shakkar, saar but be mindful of the burī nazar this will obviously cause among envious enemies.

chetak wrote:

Singha wrote:in my area off ORR in east blr, the 7-9AM period was the busiest as anyone who could run walk or crawl came to cast vote.

Always go between 1400 to 1430 hours. Lunchtime for everyone and the booths are empty of voters but the booth staff is always present in full strength.

Sachin wrote:Whats with the Red uniforms of Kerala Police guarding Comrade Pinarayi?

Singha wrote: among the 100s of people I could spot one potential AAP/commie type.

How do you spot one

Industrialist Mukesh Ambani and billionaire banker Uday Kotak have endorsed the candidature of Congress leader Milind Deora from the Mumbai South Lok Sabha constituency, where polling is slated on April 29.


The backing of Ambani, Reliance Industries Limited chairman, to the Congress leader comes at a time when the party has been unrelenting in attack on his industrialist-brother Anil Ambani over the Rafale deal.

In a video shared by Deora, former Union minister, on his Twitter page, Ambani says "Milind is the man for South Mumbai", while Kotak eulogises the Mumbai Congress chief for "truly representing the Mumbai connection".

"Milind is the man for south Mumbai... Having represented South Bombay for 10 years, I believe Milind has in depth knowledge of social, economic and cultural eco-system of the south Bombay constituency," says Ambani in the video.

schinnas wrote:I have been saying that mota Bhai wants a BJP Sarkar but does not want NaMo at helm. He wants a weak BJP led coalition govt that can dance to his tunes the way previous NDA govt does.

vijayk wrote:UP, K'taka looking good but TN may be bad

chetak wrote:ghee shakkar, saar but be mindful of the burī nazar this will obviously cause among envious enemies.

Sachin wrote:Chintamani
‏@IamIconoclast
Apr 9
More
Here is the long awaited #Chintmani5DotsPoll - the definitive Opinion Poll on 2019 Lok Sabha Poll.
BJP/NDA 271/335
Congress/UPA 66/97
Others 111
#Elections2019
http://www.elections.in/exit-poll.html

KL Dubey wrote:Dr BB's constituency-wise tracker is back for KA (not in the other states so far). It looks like a NDA sweep in KA (including the independent in Mandya). Only a couple of seats in which UPA is leading. If this is the situation in south KA, one can imagine what north KA will be like. One also hopes the sentiment spills over into areas of north KL too.

"MGB" is being hammered in UP with united Hindu votes and low "green" turnout.

WB and OR continue to report amazing gains for NDA.

TN seems a bit of a toss-up right now. If NDA can pull off 10-15 seats it would be OK to "declare victory" for 2019 in TN.

No news on MH, BH, and the Northeast yet.

On a macro-level...NDA seems to be taking over the "undecided voter" space (more than 15% were undecided before the election) and its vote share is now over 40%. If this trend continues then 2019 will be probably even more of a mandate than 2014.

Sachin wrote:Gents a quick question - in many posts I saw news about "low turn turn out in green areas". People seem to like it, but could there be any other reason for this as well? The minorities generally are like well herded sheep, and so if they all have to stay put at home, that also would come based on instructions from "high above". Considering the sad situation in West Bengal and the Election Commission's apathy towards the complaints from that state, I don't know if there any other sinister plans in the pipe line.

Agasthi wrote:Cast my vote along with rest of the family. It was peaceful in south chennai constituency. So far in my circle, it was ADMK or Kamalahassan. Mum is a traditional DMK supporter and very religious and despite the recent Veeramani drama on Hindu gods was not enough to sway her. Each party will retain its core voters. From what I have overheard in the buses, trains and in share autos, TN seems to be the only state where Modi seems to have a very negative image. The arguments are frivolous and definitely based on propaganda. But will they hold it against ADMK. This party is definitely seen as less corrupt than DMK. I think it maybe a close call and winning margin will be in few thousands for the victors.

Sachin wrote:Gents a quick question - in many posts I saw news about "low turn turn out in green areas". People seem to like it, but could there be any other reason for this as well? The minorities generally are like well herded sheep, and so if they all have to stay put at home, that also would come based on instructions from "high above". Considering the sad situation in West Bengal and the Election Commission's apathy towards the complaints from that state, I don't know if there any other sinister plans in the pipe line.

kit wrote:

ramana wrote:Lost in all this din is Mukesh Ambani seeking KSA investment in his refinery business. $15B for 25% stake.
He wants $20B.

probably an insurance policy for his investments in gujarat.. in times of war they are at risk

Sachin wrote:Gents a quick question - in many posts I saw news about "low turn turn out in green areas". People seem to like it, but could there be any other reason for this as well? The minorities generally are like well herded sheep, and so if they all have to stay put at home, that also would come based on instructions from "high above". Considering the sad situation in West Bengal and the Election Commission's apathy towards the complaints from that state, I don't know if there any other sinister plans in the pipe line.

Rudradev wrote:

Sachin wrote:Gents a quick question - in many posts I saw news about "low turn turn out in green areas". People seem to like it, but could there be any other reason for this as well? The minorities generally are like well herded sheep, and so if they all have to stay put at home, that also would come based on instructions from "high above". Considering the sad situation in West Bengal and the Election Commission's apathy towards the complaints from that state, I don't know if there any other sinister plans in the pipe line.

Actually I would like to know how this (relatively low peaceful turnout) is determined.

Is it exit polling? And after all can't people simply decline to give their religion to an exit pollster? In which case they would be counted as DK/CS even if they are peacefuls.

Or is it anecdotal evidence by stringers on the ground counting the numbers of skull-caps, beards, burqas etc. in the queues outside polling places? In which case, it could very well be inaccurate.

Dumal wrote:Or it could just be that Milind Deora is a stronger/preferred local candidate vs Arvind Sawant of Shiv Sena? I don’t know much about Milind or his late father Murli Deora but they seem to be less parasitic than is typical of the Con heritage. Open to be corrected!

Karthik S wrote:

Rudradev wrote:
Actually I would like to know how this (relatively low peaceful turnout) is determined.

....

Turnout percentage in that constituency saar.

Sachin wrote:Gents a quick question - in many posts I saw news about "low turn turn out in green areas". People seem to like it, but could there be any other reason for this as well? The minorities generally are like well herded sheep, and so if they all have to stay put at home, that also would come based on instructions from "high above". Considering the sad situation in West Bengal and the Election Commission's apathy towards the complaints from that state, I don't know if there any other sinister plans in the pipe line.

jamwal wrote:

Singha wrote: among the 100s of people I could spot one potential AAP/commie type.

How do you spot one

Rudradev wrote:Is it exit polling? And after all can't people simply decline to give their religion to an exit pollster? In which case they would be counted as DK/CS even if they are peacefuls.

ramana wrote:Milind or his late father Murli Deora

original dukhandaars of Ambanis

Suraj wrote:

Sachin wrote:Gents a quick question - in many posts I saw news about "low turn turn out in green areas". .....

From a game theoretic perspective, herding a supposedly cohesive and always committed voting group to the booths makes sense when you're confident that everyone is reading off the same book. However, when there's no guarantee that a subgroup isn't pressing lotus buttons, then the smarter thing to do is force abstainment rather than put fuel on the fire.

vijayk wrote:The whole CON/CIA/ISI/NYT/WaPo and corrupt scum media has been bringing in venom on Sadhvi's nomination in Bhopal. Has she been acquitted? Is this necessary? Will the full hatred by MSM impact middle class voting?

How is it going to impact this in UP/MP/RJ?

vijayk wrote:UP, K'taka looking good but TN may be bad

Supratik wrote:It may be due to what they call in Hindi as mahol or atmosphere. That is if it is true. They don't see Modi being defeated this time. So why bother. The more hardliners ofcourse are still going to vote.

Zynda wrote:<poof gone>

Karthik S wrote:Good updates, hope they stand, can't take another anti climax like assembly elections. UP and KA are both very very important states for BJP to be back. WB looks like too much rigging with all the noise going around.