Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

SwamyG · Post by **SwamyG** » 06 Mar 2014 23:54

ramana wrote:Hope not. Recall she pulled down ABV govt before the Kargil intrusion in 1998 and made it lame duck govt while and infiltration was underway. No one called her out on that.

I have called her out on it. I also called out Swamy. Oh well.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 07 Mar 2014 01:05

Re: TN NDA Alliance

Madhav ‏@mahesh10816 2h
The three single seat parties will contest in BJP symbol

That means

Kongu Nadu Munnetra Kazhagam (KMK)
Indiya Jananayaka Katchi (IJK)
Puthiya Needhi Katchi (PNK)

all would fight on the Lotus symbol! So effectively BJP would be getting 11-12 seats in TN.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 07 Mar 2014 02:22

Dr. Praveen Patil ‏@5Forty3 2h
In real India meanwhile, Kameshwar Baitha, JMM MP from Palamau has resigned from the party and has joined BJP #JharkhandNaMoWave

Published on Mar 06, 2014
JMM MP Kameshwar Baitha joins BJP: The Avenue Mail

satya · Post by **satya** » 07 Mar 2014 02:23

sum wrote:
TSP's foreign office knew b4hand simple as that . Usual suspects cutting across the party line made that decision
Didnt catch the part about TSP foreign office!

Sum

TWIW, TSP does have some diplomats with functional brain and they tend to send their best in India & US .It was an open secret at that time that Nitish Babu was the front runner among non BJP/INC leaders . So it was a logical thing for TSP to invite him & the red carpet .

JohneeGee

No sir please . I have not earned 'sir' neither in age nor in knowledge .
There's an option on betfair ( a sport betting exchange ) called 'cashout'. You can use this option during a game : when you are winning & when you are losing. It makes sense for professional punters to limit their losses when a bet goes against them . AP bifurcation was the 'cashout' option exercised by INC at the end of day .

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 07 Mar 2014 02:31

Published on Mar 07, 2014
By B. Kolappan Sruthisagar Yamunan
Clarity on alliance emerges in Tamil Nadu

A clear picture of electoral alliances emerged in Tamil Nadu on Thursday, pointing to a multi-corned contest.

While the last-ditch efforts by Union Finance Minister P. Chidambaram to bring the Congress and the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam together failed, as DMK treasurer M.K. Stalin ‘politely’ rejected the move, the Bharatiya Janata Party was able to overcome its decade-long electoral isolation in the State by roping in the Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam.

The BJP has already struck a deal with Vaiko’s MDMK and PMK.

The ruling AIADMK, after spurning the Left parties, is taking the elections on its strength alone.

The DMK front has Manithaneya Makkal Katchi, Indian Union Muslim League, Puthiya Tamizhagam and Viduthalai Chiruthaikal Katchi, which was allotted Chidambaram (Reserved) constituency on Thursday night after several rounds of negotiations.

Thursday also saw the two Left parties — the CPI and the CPI (M) — jointly announcing their decision to contest together, putting an end to the speculation that they could switch over to the DMK camp.

“We could not make any progress in the seat-sharing talks because of the attitude of the AIADMK. Since the AIADMK has launched its campaign in all the 40 seats, we have decided to contest the polls together,” said a statement jointly issued by CPI (M) secretary G. Ramakrishnan and CPI secretary D. Pandian.

But the major breakthrough on Thursday happened when DMDK leader Vijayakant ended his silence and held parleys with the BJP.

Congress isolated

The major political party that found itself isolated was Congress. Desperate for an alliance, the party with eight sitting MPs in Tamil Nadu made its moves through Mr. Chidambaram and he spoke to Mr. Stalin twice on Wednesday, arguing that a broad alliance would benefit both the parties. However, Mr. Stalin, now the key-player in the DMK, was not convinced. But throughout the conversation he was “gentle and polite while explaining the reasons behind his stand,” sources close to both sides told The Hindu.

Mr. Stalin’s argument was that the Congress in Tamil Nadu had gained a negative image, particularly on its stand on Sri Lankan Tamils issue and the release of seven convicts in the Rajiv Gandhi assassination case.

He told Mr. Chidambaram that the negative image would have an impact on the DMK in the elections.

“Mr. Stalin also explained that the general council meeting had decided against an alliance with the Congress and the message has reached the party cadres at all levels. Convincing them once again on an alliance will not be easy,” a senior party leader said.

He {Stalin}, however, made one point clear: the DMK would never take a position in favour of the BJP in the post-electoral scenario.

While the DMK is ready to embrace the Communists and the CPI is also ready to reciprocate the gesture, the CPI (M) put its foot down and said it was against the idea.

In a few districts second line Left leaders opened channels with the former DMK ministers and district secretaries.

While answering a question whether he would invite the Left parties to the alliance, DMK president M. Karunanidhi said he was happy to welcome them.

“It is impossible to coexist with the DMK, not just because the party is embroiled in the 2G scam. It was also part of the Congress-led UPA, which pursued an anti-people neo-liberalisation policy. Even after quitting the UPA government, it continued to support many policies, including Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the multi-brand retail sector,” said a senior CPI (M) leader.

Meanwhile, the DMK has convened a meeting of district secretaries to discuss poll preparations on Friday.

Prem · Post by **Prem** » 07 Mar 2014 02:42

Waqat to Do Sri Ganesh of E watch/ Countdown Dhaga by Maharathi/s Here?
Hope Amrit not Amrut Putra Remember the recent "incidental" appointment of Adharmic Mullah By Facebook as head of their India Desk.

Lo AA Gye Oonki Baarat: Par Dulha Nahi Ayye
Facebook's Got A Finger in India's Political Pie
( Check the Deceiving Photu: KaanKa Bal is Ik Numbri)

Facebook is an increasingly active political force in India. The company launched their Indian election tracker Tuesday to coincide with the first Facebook Talks Live digital broadcast, “Town Hall” style conversations in which 2014 candidates field questions submitted by Facebook users. These projects build on the get-out-the-vote collaboration between the Times of India and Facebook, which was announced in September.“We have always been focused on making sure that we give people the power to share, and to make the world more open and connected,” said Ankhi Das, Facebook's Public Policy Director in India and South Asia. “This and the opportunity to engage actively and regularly with constituents have led campaign teams and leaders to use the medium, making Facebook a core part of the political infrastructure in the country.”The India Election Tracker has links to the Facebook Talks Live events, a poll asking voters “Which of the following issues (educations, jobs, healthcare, and corruption) matters most to you this election season?” and a graph of Facebook mentions of 2014 candidates. Currently, the Indian People's Party (BJP) leads by a wide margin.According to the company, there are more than 93 million active Facebook users in India. There are 814 million registered voters in the country. The Hindustani Times reported that social media ballot battles could influence three to four percent of votes, according to two surveys.Of the more than 800 million registered voters in India, nearly 90,000 are young voters—between 18 and 22—eligible to vote for the first time.Facebook is not alone in angling to be a “core part of the political infrastructure”—at the end of 2013 Google launched an online portal for all things related to the assembly elections (a forerunner to the national elections to be held this spring).

Personal Democracy Media is grateful to the Omidyar Network and the UN Foundation for their generous support of techPresident's WeGov section.

Shanmukh · Post by **Shanmukh** » 07 Mar 2014 02:44

RajeshA wrote:Dr. Praveen Patil ‏@5Forty3 2h
In real India meanwhile, Kameshwar Baitha, JMM MP from Palamau has resigned from the party and has joined BJP #JharkhandNaMoWave

Published on Mar 06, 2014
JMM MP Kameshwar Baitha joins BJP: The Avenue Mail

Ahhh - I see. So, the BJP finally decided on admitting him. Here is this stalwart.

http://myneta.info/ls2009/candidate.php ... te_id=1279

Please take a look, and let me know if anyone would like to have this character representing them.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 07 Mar 2014 02:52

Published on Mar 07, 2014
By Bhavna Vij Aurora
Venod Sharma moves with changing political winds; now dumps Congress to join HJC

Sharma's move toward the BJP was strongly resisted by the state unit of the party that was wary of his close association with Hooda and the political stigma associated with being Manu Sharma's father. Even the Central leadership decided to play it safe and thought it would be better to induct him laterally, through ally HJC.

Venod Sharma is Mr. Moneybags and Mr. Networking Hub in Haryana.

Sushma Swaraj ‏@SushmaSwarajbjp 16h
I am strongly opposed to this. I have conveyed my views to Shri Kuldeep Bishnoi. Venod Sharma set to join HJC | Link

Sushma probably did not want Modi to get a good channel into Haryana politics, and probably wanted to fully own BJP's alliance with Haryana Janhit Congress (HJC).

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 07 Mar 2014 02:55

nageshks wrote:Please take a look, and let me know if anyone would like to have this character representing them.

I checked it. Was there something out of the ordinary?

sunnyP · Post by **sunnyP** » 07 Mar 2014 02:55

BJP-led NDA to get 212-232 seats, Congress may fail to touch 100 mark: CSDS opinion poll

The national poll projection of CSDS on Thursday said that the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will be close to half way mark of 272 if the election for 16th Lok Sabha was held today. The Congress-led UPA is set to face a humiliating rout with Congress struggling to get its own tally in three-digits.

According to the survey, the NDA would win 212-232 seats in the Lok Sabha election while the Congress-led UPA would end up between 119-139 seats, a clear indication for the ruling alliance to be ousted from the corridors of power at the Centre after ten years.

The BJP alone would get 193-213 seats while the Congress is likely to get 94-110 seats.

After BJP and Congress, the TMC, which is in power in West Bengal, is expected to be the third largest party with 20-28 seats. Her arch rival Left Front is expected to remain confined between 15-23 seats.

Tamil Nadu Chief Minister J Jayalalithaa’s AIADMK may win 14-20 seats, YS Jagan Mohan Reddy’s YSR Congress Party is predicted to win 11-17 seats, Mulayam Singh Yadav’s SP is projected to win 11-17 seats in UP, Naveen Patnaik’s BJD may win 10-16 seats. The TDP of N Chandrababu Naidu is expected to win 10-16 seats, M Karunanidhi’s DMK may win 10-16 seats, Mayawati’s BSP could get 8-14 seats, K Chandrashekhara Rao’s TRS is may win 4-8 seats, former PM HD Deve Gowda’s JDS could get 4-8 seats, the Nitish Kumar’s JDU may win 1-5 seats and the AAP could get 1-5 seats.

http://www.niticentral.com/2014/03/06/b ... 96920.html

Shanmukh · Post by **Shanmukh** » 07 Mar 2014 03:09

RajeshA wrote:
nageshks wrote:Please take a look, and let me know if anyone would like to have this character representing them.
I checked it. Was there something out of the ordinary?

Even by Jharkhand's political standards, it is a bit over the top, no?

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 07 Mar 2014 03:12

nageshks ji,

just joking! The guy is a criminal who could give another criminal an inferiority complex. I don't know why BJP took him in! I hope he doesn't get a ticket!

vivek.rao · Post by **vivek.rao** » 07 Mar 2014 03:14

Shanmukh · Post by **Shanmukh** » 07 Mar 2014 03:18

RajeshA wrote:nageshks ji,

just joking! The guy is a criminal who could give another criminal an inferiority complex. I don't know why BJP took him in! I hope he doesn't get a ticket!

Sigh - Sreeramulla, Kameshwar Baitha, Venod Sharma - none of these augur well. But I take the point that these are all hot potatoes that one can neither swallow nor spit. India will need to borrow some of Russian exotic poisons for these critters.

ramana · Post by **ramana** » 07 Mar 2014 03:24

Sushma Swaraj seems to be in "Neti!Neti!" mode since the AP division vote in Lok Sabha. She seems to say not this to many since then.

nagehsks, All that tea leaves have not made you enlightened. Right now NDA has to win. If they were ready to make NiKamma PM, before the rise of Modi, in order to get power how do these chota thugs compare to that?

member_28442 · Post by **member_28442** » 07 Mar 2014 03:33

i read about a sting on ashutosh but could not find its details, nothing is coming up on google either.
can someone please point me in the right direction

IndraD · Post by **IndraD** » 07 Mar 2014 03:46

Chandragupta · Post by **Chandragupta** » 07 Mar 2014 06:32

119 is for UPA. They predicted 1-5 for AAP. It's a mistake on MC's part.

Hari Seldon · Post by **Hari Seldon** » 07 Mar 2014 06:49

^^Or maybe he's rightly putting AAP and INC in the same bucket. I too think 119 is way too high for the neo-east India company...

vivek.rao · Post by **vivek.rao** » 07 Mar 2014 08:09

Chandragupta wrote:119 is for UPA. They predicted 1-5 for AAP. It's a mistake on MC's part.

It is not a mistake.

UPA AAP are all same

Yagnasri · Post by **Yagnasri** » 07 Mar 2014 08:26

I am worried about being over confident. People MMJ still want to contest in their respective seats in spite of being told to vacate/shift. Further does it makes any diffornce if NM contests from UP or not? I am not so sure. Guj also has huge mafia seats which needed to be whipped out in full. 10 plus gain in Guj is a must clean sweep in Guj/Raj/MP can is achieved. Normal caliculation for BJP now is 100plus UP and Bihar. Now it should be aimed as 120 plus UP and Bihar. Increasing and clean slating places wherein you are strong is a must for this elections.

SwamyG · Post by **SwamyG** » 07 Mar 2014 08:29

So all surveys are being 'manipulated' for 'evmagic' ? People are being prepped to accept UPA-3.

Santosh · Post by **Santosh** » 07 Mar 2014 08:32

SP getting more seats than BSP per CSDS survey? I find it hard to believe. Given the fact that OBC's including some Yadavs are consolidating in BJP's favor and Muslims being wooed by AAPCon, SP and BSP, where else is SP's vote coming from?

partha · Post by **partha** » 07 Mar 2014 08:39

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/new ... 500962.cms

NEW DELHI: Former SP leader Amar Singh popped up on the political radar again when news of his contesting on a Congress ticket from Gautam Buddh Nagar (aka Noida) started making the rounds. Singh told ET that while the seat was "quite suitable for me, with at least 3 lakh Muslim voters", he couldn't presume to tell the Congress to consider him.

wow! we have reached a stage where our "netas" can openly favor a particular community. WTF is this? This is not a good trend at all. As if only Muslims matter.

Imagine if Modi had said "I prefer Gandhinagar constituency because of 3 lakh Hindu voters". People would have screamed "communal", "fascist" and what not.

damn. what leaders we have

SwamyG · Post by **SwamyG** » 07 Mar 2014 09:08

http://truthdive.com/2014/03/06/jayalal ... paign.html

These elections are not for faint hearts, and no theory is conspiracy theories. Anything and everything goes. Satya and maya are interchangeable. Tomorrow, Congress might break and a significant 3-tier leaders who can break away from Congress can join BJP.

I give up trying to make sense of any of these things as these are in the realm of Kautilaya & Krishna . Winning elections in India is tougher than winning elections else where.

SwamyG · Post by **SwamyG** » 07 Mar 2014 10:28

NTR's daughter is going to join BJP.

http://www.business-standard.com/articl ... 413_1.html

Is this useful?

Hari Seldon · Post by **Hari Seldon** » 07 Mar 2014 10:48

Meanwhile the voter turns to the media and says...

dharmakshetrey, kurukshetrey...samavetA yuyutsavaha |
mAmakAha pAnduvaschaiva kimakurvat Sanjaya...

Virendra · Post by **Virendra** » 07 Mar 2014 12:09

Rashid Alvi's statement speaks volumes.
So out of the Jats and Muslims, which vote bank will the already troubled Congress sacrifice??
It sure can't have both of them.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 07 Mar 2014 13:07

I think NaMo and Jayalalitha already have a good understanding.

In India electoral politics works very differently.

If DMDK had gone with DMK, then on some seats DMK may have become stronger, and AIADMK would not have been able to win against DMK candidate. Now with DMDK separated from DMK, AIADMK has a better chance of winning a seat.

If AIADMK had kept DMDK in its own alliance, then again Jayalalitha would have had to gift many seats to Gapten. This way Jayalalitha does not need to share and thus has a chance of winning even more seats.

True, DMDK can use NaMo in its posters and ask for votes in his name, then the question becomes which votes are more: AIADMK or Gapten+NaMo, and despite popularity of NaMo, AIADMK would still have a upper hand. Even if DMDK should triumph in some seat, that may be a loss to Jayalalitha but it is still a win for NaMo.

In short, by taking DMDK into NDA alliance, NaMo has sufficiently weakened DMK so that either NDA wins or AIADMK wins.

Chances are AIADMK may not put up very strong AIADMK candidates against BJP candidates. MDMK and PMK may win one or two seats each. But DMDK would mostly be losing their seats to AIADMK, regardless of whether they get to fight on 12, 14 or 16 seats. In other words, DMDK may only be a "balli ka bakra", sacrificial lamb.

Also by not criticizing DMK, NaMo has given DMK just enough hope of wanting a post-poll alliance that DMK has shunned Congress attempts to form an alliance with it. Publicly NaMo is playing equidistant to both Jayalalitha and Karunanidhi.

I can only say, NaMo amazes me every time.

Hari Seldon · Post by **Hari Seldon** » 07 Mar 2014 14:45

>>maitas66 ‏@chinmaykrvd 15m
Tripura royal prince Pradyot Deb Barman who has rejected Congress ticket may fight on BJP ticket from East Tripura.Big news

Hari Seldon · Post by **Hari Seldon** » 07 Mar 2014 15:11

INC and sAAP are one. Well, turns out that INC and turd front also have open understandings... here's one modus opeRandi

Jaffer Sharief writes to Sonia: Don't field candidate against Deve Gowda

BANGALORE: Creating a flutter in the party circles, Congress veteran CK Jaffer Sharief has written to AICC president Sonia Gandhi not to field any candidate against former Prime Minister H D Deve Gowda, who is seeking a reelection from Hassan Lok Sabha constituency.

The Congress Election Committee headed by Sonia is meeting in New Delhi on Friday to finalize candidates for the 11 remaining Lok Sabha seats from Karnataka. Sharief is a contender for the Bangalore Central parliamentary constituency.

Speaking to TOI here on Thursday, Sharief said: "The Congress has been magnanimous on many occasions. It can afford not to field a candidate in one constituency. Gowda is a tall leader and for persons like him and me these Lok Sabha polls will, perhaps, be the last.''

Kyun bhai, IIRC DeveGowda was considered unbeatable in Hassan. Or is that not so unbeatable anymore?

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 07 Mar 2014 15:47

Hari Seldon wrote:>>maitas66 ‏@chinmaykrvd 15m
Tripura royal prince Pradyot Deb Barman who has rejected Congress ticket may fight on BJP ticket from East Tripura.Big news

CPI-M must be cursing the rise of Mamata & Modi.

Modi really needs to concentrate in coming years on taking over the Communist cadre, merging it into Hindutva. WE, Kerala, Tripura, all can come BJP's way then.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 07 Mar 2014 16:00

TN CM J. Jayalalitha called up WB CM Mamata Banerjee to wish her good luck in the coming elections, i.e. after AIADMK seat sharing talks with Communists failed.

That means nobody knows what is Third Front now and what is Fourth Front!

Mamata Banerjee recently said on Times Now that the 3 Devis - she, JJ and Mayawati have experience of working together earlier also ..... under Atal Bihari Vajpayee led NDA!

Many players positioning themselves for post-poll scenarios.

Communists in the meantime will have to suck on lollipop onlee! Wonder what is that they would sell to their voters?

a_bharat · Post by **a_bharat** » 07 Mar 2014 16:07

SwamyG wrote:NTR's daughter is going to join BJP.

http://www.business-standard.com/articl ... 413_1.html

Is this useful?

Slightly helpful to the YSRC candidate in her constituency if there is no alliance between TDP and BJP.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 07 Mar 2014 16:19

CNBC-TV18 ‏@CNBCTV18Live 14m
just In: PA Sangma's National People's Party Joins BJP-led NDA

Published on Mar 07, 2014
Agatha Sangma, PA Sangma meet Rajnath Singh: Zee News

New Delhi: In the run-up to Lok Sabha elections, Nationalist Congress Party MP Agatha K Sangma and National People's Party (NPP) national president PA Sangma on Friday met BJP president Rajnath Singh here.

The BJP had fielded PA Sangma as its contestant for the 2012 Presidential Elections.

The Lok Sabha election dates for the two reserved seats of Shillong and Tura in Meghalaya has been fixed on April 09.

Congress is bracing itself to retain the Shillong parliamentary seat and is also optimistic that the Tura parliamentary seat (represented by Nationalist Congress Party MP Agatha K Sangma) will go in its favour this time.

Of the 25 seats in the northeast region (14 in Assam, two each in Tripura, Meghalaya, Manipur and Arunachal Pradesh and one each in Mizoram, Nagaland and Sikkim), Congress secured 13 in the last Lok Sabha polls in 2009 while the Bharatiya Janata Party got four seats.

Congress is in power in Manipur, Mizoram, Assam, Arunachal Pradesh and Meghalaya while the CPI-M-led Left Front rules Tripura. The NPF-led Democratic Alliance of Nagaland is ruling in Nagaland and the SDF in Sikkim.

Agatha Sangma, daughter of PA Sangma, could win from Tura again on a NPP ticket and be part of NDA.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 07 Mar 2014 17:40

maitas66 ‏@chinmaykrvd 7m
Nagaland CM Neiphiu Rio contest for lone Lok Sabha seat as candidate of DAN alliances vows to make @narendramodi next PM of India

BJP New Pre-Poll Alliances (Cont.):

Nagaland People's Front (NPF) [NL]
National People's Party (NPP) [ML]

Hari Seldon · Post by **Hari Seldon** » 07 Mar 2014 17:50

Wow, whuddathunkut, eh? In non-lotus strongholds like Tripura, meghalaya and nagaland - there're candidates entering the fray swearing by NM's PM-ship....

However, its clear that since BJP is nowhere in S.TN, none of this makes a difference. /snark off.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 07 Mar 2014 18:37

Sorry wrong thread. Kejri ---->

fanne · Post by **fanne** » 07 Mar 2014 18:43

108 that. Arvind Kejriwal is a (not to be named) agent!! before he asks for how others are funded, he should explain how he has been funded (we know that), most importantly why?

Shanmukh · Post by **Shanmukh** » 07 Mar 2014 18:46

Hari Seldon wrote:Wow, whuddathunkut, eh? In non-lotus strongholds like Tripura, meghalaya and nagaland - there're candidates entering the fray swearing by NM's PM-ship....

However, its clear that since BJP is nowhere in S.TN, none of this makes a difference. /snark off.

My generic observation is that BJP is growing in all places where there are good state presidents (TN), or where BJP had a decent base already (JH, Odisha), or both (Assam). Even WB-BJP has been showing signs of activity. The three big states where BJP is still weak are SeemaAndhra, Telangana, and Kerala. Kerala BJP is hopelessly faction ridden (and even here, I suspect BJP will put up a good showing). T-BJP may not only fail to open account in Parliament, but I fear, also in Assembly. SA BJP has been sacrificed, so no point expecting anything from it.