At this point can how many people in India would have been infected by this one Italian.sooraj wrote:Italian tourist tests positive for #coronavirus in Rajasthan, samples sent to Pune for confirmation.
And how many those Indians will infect?
At this point can how many people in India would have been infected by this one Italian.sooraj wrote:Italian tourist tests positive for #coronavirus in Rajasthan, samples sent to Pune for confirmation.
A Telangana man who was found to be positive for the coronavirus had recently traveled from Dubai to Bengaluru and then to Hyderabad.
Speaking to the media on Monday evening, Telangana Health Minister Etela Rajendra gave details of the infected individual’s recent travel history and stated that ‘contact tracing’ had been taken up to identify others the man may have come in contact with.
“He arrived in Bengaluru from Dubai on February 19, three days later he reached Hyderabad via bus on February 22. The man developed a fever shortly after this, following which he was taken to Apollo Hospital in Hyderabad for treatment. He was brought to Gandhi hospital in Hyderabad yesterday at around 5 pm in the evening where he was tested for the virus, which returned positive,” stated the health minister.
The man who works in the IT sector is suspected to have gotten the infection while working with people from Hong Kong while in Dubai.
The man is currently admitted in an isolation ward, on the seventh floor of Gandhi Hospital which has been emptied and set-up for this purpose. He lives in a joint family in Mahendra Hills. The health minister has asked media personnel to refrain from going to visit them at their residence so as not to trigger any accidental spread of the disease.
Around twenty doctors and staff at Apollo have been contacted and informed of the man’s coronavirus positive status. Furthermore, officials have also begun contact tracing to identify other individuals who he may have come in contact with in both Bengaluru and Hyderabad, to curb the possible spread of the disease. One of the patients from Kerala too had travelled from China to Kolkata and then Kerala. In that case too, everyone the patient had been in touch with were put under observation, and no further cases were reported.
A source from Apollo hospital told TNM that their staff had taken all precautions as mandated while dealing with the patient and had referred him to Gandhi hospital as they suspected he could have contracted coronavirus.
“There were around 27 others on the bus from Bengaluru who will be traced and notified. All those who were in touch with the man and worked with him have also been notified. We are working with officials from Karnataka and the Centre to keep tabs on the issue,” added the health minister. A total of around 80 people have been identified as having had contact with the man since his return, in Bengaluru and Hyderabad, and have been asked to remain under home quarantine for at least 15 days.
I hope these personal thoughts will be helpful during this potentially catastrophic pandemic. You are welcome to share this email... (Author gives permission to share)Date: February 26, 2020 at 2:35:50 PM EST
Subject: What I am doing for the upcoming COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic.
COVID-19 advice from Dr. James Robb, MD FCAP
Dear Colleagues, as some of you may recall, when I was a professor of pathology at the University of California San Diego, I was one of the first molecular virologists in the world to work on coronaviruses (the 1970s). I was the first to demonstrate the number of genes the virus contained. Since then, I have kept up with the coronavirus field and its multiple clinical transfers into the human population (e.g., SARS, MERS), from different animal sources.
The current projections for its expansion in the US are only probable, due to continued insufficient worldwide data, but it is most likely to be widespread in the US by mid to late March and April.
Here is what I have done and the precautions that I take and will take. These are the same precautions I currently use during our influenza seasons, except for the mask and gloves.:
1) NO HANDSHAKING! Use a fist bump, slight bow, elbow bump, etc.
2) Use ONLY your knuckle to touch light switches. elevator buttons, etc.. Lift the gasoline dispenser with a paper towel or use a disposable glove.
3) Open doors with your closed fist or hip - do not grasp the handle with your hand, unless there is no other way to open the door. Especially important on bathroom and post office/commercial doors.
4) Use disinfectant wipes at the stores when they are available, including wiping the handle and child seat in grocery carts.
5) Wash your hands with soap for 10-20 seconds and/or use a greater than 60% alcohol-based hand sanitizer whenever you return home from ANY activity that involves locations where other people have been.
6) Keep a bottle of sanitizer available at each of your home's entrances. AND in your car for use after getting gas or touching other contaminated objects when you can't immediately wash your hands.
7) If possible, cough or sneeze into a disposable tissue and discard. Use your elbow only if you have to. The clothing on your elbow will contain infectious virus that can be passed on for up to a week or more!
What I have stocked in preparation for the pandemic spread to the US:
1) Latex or nitrile latex disposable gloves for use when going shopping, using the gasoline pump, and all other outside activity when you come in contact with contaminated areas.
Note: This virus is spread in large droplets by coughing and sneezing. This means that the air will not infect you! BUT all the surfaces where these droplets land are infectious for about a week on average - everything that is associated with infected people will be contaminated and potentially infectious. The virus is on surfaces and you will not be infected unless your unprotected face is directly coughed or sneezed upon. This virus only has cell receptors for lung cells (it only infects your lungs) The only way for the virus to infect you is through your nose or mouth via your hands or an infected cough or sneeze onto or into your nose or mouth.
2) Stock up now with disposable surgical masks and use them to prevent you from touching your nose and/or mouth (We touch our nose/mouth 90X/day without knowing it!). This is the only way this virus can infect you - it is lung-specific. The mask will not prevent the virus in a direct sneeze from getting into your nose or mouth - it is only to keep you from touching your nose or mouth.
3) Stock up now with hand sanitizers and latex/nitrile gloves (get the appropriate sizes for your family). The hand sanitizers must be alcohol-based and greater than 60% alcohol to be effective.
4) Stock up now with zinc lozenges. These lozenges have been proven to be effective in blocking coronavirus (and most other viruses) from multiplying in your throat and nasopharynx. Use as directed several times each day when you begin to feel ANY "cold-like" symptoms beginning. It is best to lie down and let the lozenge dissolve in the back of your throat and nasopharynx. Cold-Eeze lozenges is one brand available, but there are other brands available.
I, as many others do, hope that this pandemic will be reasonably contained, BUT I personally do not think it will be. Humans have never seen this snake-associated virus before and have no internal defense against it. Tremendous worldwide efforts are being made to understand the molecular and clinical virology of this virus. Unbelievable molecular knowledge about the genomics, structure, and virulence of this virus has already been achieved. BUT, there will be NO drugs or vaccines available this year to protect us or limit the infection within us. Only symptomatic support is available.
sooraj wrote:Two new cases of #coronavirus detected from #Delhi and #Telangana.
Problem here in US is red-tape, defective kits and situation is really disgraceful (not my word but quoting people who know). Some countries even have a "drive in" checking so to speak and can process 10x or 100x kits -- even the small countries as compared to US.ramana wrote:AmberG, A question on this testing for COVID-19.
How are the tests being made worldwide when CDC itself was having difficulty with the test they developed and had to cut out the second step out of three steps for the virus?
So whats going on?
Are the outsiders more efficient or CDC is rule bound?
I have made two posts above.Mollick.R wrote:Sir if u can elaborate a little more and explicitly mention the list of most essential medicines which needs to stocked.Amber G. wrote:
*** Meanwhile some recommendation which may be good to follow:
- Stock up - 2-3 months supply of necessary medicine and also non-perishable food. Better be safe.
(In China and parts of Europe, it is quite difficult to get these supplies)
- Costco and other places are out of masks, disinfectant and even thermometers..
- Gloves can help. (Use it while you fill up gas tank etc,,) .. Also surgical Masks if you are sick (even with flu)
- Get Flu shot (If you have not) - specially if you are older.
TIA.
Ramana Garu..ramana wrote:Iran -->#Delhisooraj wrote:Two new cases of #coronavirus detected from #Delhi and #Telangana.
Wuhan-> Dubai-->#Telangana
Added later: I will update if this is a joke or serious news,, the twitter handle seem verified,Steve Wozniak
@stevewoz
Checking out Janet’s bad cough. Started Jan. 4. We had just returned from China and may have both been patient zero in U.S. (@ West Coast Sports Institute in Santa Clara, CA
>>>21 new cases and 5 new deaths(last 24 hours) in the United States:sooraj wrote:4 new coronavirus deaths reported in Washington state on Monday, bringing the total in the state to 6, authorities say.
Meaning, the Bayesian assumption of "independent events" breaks down?Kati wrote:No Saar, not a Bayesian problem.sudarshan wrote:
Is this a Bayesian problem? If so, just use the Bayes' equation, and you get the answer. I don't remember the equation off-hand, will have to look it up.
...
But Monday's rebound was strong. After a sharply higher open and some flipping between gains and losses mid-morning, stocks moved solidly higher.
Yes, those stats are live, updated daily at GMT 00:00 I believe. I'm not the first one to post that site on this thread though .UlanBatori wrote:Sudarshanji, thx again. Turned out that the graphs at the DuniaStatistics site are "live", so a patient munna (I mean munna hu eej patient) can click on each point in succession and record the number, the way it was done at Mohenjodaro.
The Chicken Little stuff that I see now is mainly an attempt to "beat a dead horse" and keep up the hype. Yes, there will be a few more cases, but looks like the battle is won. Or, the virus is fat and happy and its mutated offspring are all Rahuls now. February is wet and cold, there will be a few flu deaths no doubt, and they will be attributed to various viruses. Hope this is all that is left of this attack.
Meanwhile, looks like smart ppl are doing their own investigations and extrapolations:
New York (CNN Business)US stocks rebounded sharply on Monday, with the Dow logging its biggest point gain in history.
Long way to go still..
False alarm: Speculation that the coronavirus reached one of the biggest names in tech, Apple co-founder Steve Wozniak, and his wife, Janet, was shot down when she sent an email to USA TODAY indicating she had a sinus infection.
/sigh/ I updated the original post where I posted the tweet.. Kind of irresponsible on Wozniak's part to send that tweet.. But I am told that he does some weird things like thatWoz had hinted in a tweet that he and Janet might have been infected with something much worse.
“Checking out Janet’s bad cough. Started Jan. 4. We had just returned from China and may have both been patient zero in U.S. (@ West Coast Sports Institute in Santa Clara, CA),” Woz tweeted in his verified Twitter account.
Vikas wrote:Question for experts: Why is Corona virus expected to engulf the whole world despite our experience with SARS, MAD COW, Swine and EBola etc. which did not pan out the way Corona is expected to ? Is SM hyping it up beyond normal ?
What is so different about this virus compared to others that it deserves to be treated at a panic level not seen in last 1-2 generations ? Aren't all virus same when it comes to spread and affecting old and very young.
COVID-19 has a more insiduous onset with less symptoms than say SARS for example. Hence the new Corona virus affected people are less likely to readily seek help. Infectivity appears greater compared to SARS and MERS and perhaps common Flu viruses, because besides droplet infection it might be transmitted in an airborne fashion and possibly by oro-fecal route. The ordinary Flu, by the way. also can be transmitted for a day or so before the onset of symptoms and for many days after the end of clinical illness. There's a lot of talk about transmission during prodrome (before the onset of symptoms), but, this mode is thought to be a less important one in the spread of COVID-19. While Influenza causes more serious illness in the very young and very old (plus immunosuppressed), the novel Corona virus relatively spares the young. Is MSM fearmongering? probably a bit. But, it is natural when a disease is new and scary and lethal and we haven't quite defined the epidemiology well. The Wuhan outbreak obviously unnerved the world and made them more scared. Mad Cow disease requires eating affected meat (brain and nervous tissue infected with Creutzfeldt-Jakob virus) and Ebola is spread via body fluids.Vikas wrote:Question for experts: Why is Corona virus expected to engulf the whole world despite our experience with SARS, MAD COW, Swine and EBola etc. which did not pan out the way Corona is expected to ? Is SM hyping it up beyond normal ?
What is so different about this virus compared to others that it deserves to be treated at a panic level not seen in last 1-2 generations ? Aren't all virus same when it comes to spread and affecting old and very young.
Also, a perfect weapon to target countries with a demographic profile that skews older.ramana wrote:To the cynical mind:
It's perfect get rid of oldies virus to solve baby boomer problem of living long and pension payouts
Aaah.......the great equalizer. Moi always invest in real-estate (commercial). It is immune to such fluctuations. Arrrah be praised.Vikas wrote:My company has put a freeze on all kinds of International travel.
Meanwhile stock markets across the globe are hurtling towards bottom wiping out any wealth made in last1-2 years by phata chappal Abdul, Thanks to Covid scare.