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Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 03 May 2026 01:22
by S_Madhukar
We need to have a case by case study of entrapment of SoKo and Nihon over the years as well, because the Freaks bearing Gifts will also be carrying kill lists of whatever bothers them in things, minds and men.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 03 May 2026 01:53
by A_Gupta
The Washington Times is Republican Friendly.
This from November 20, 2025.
Five Eyes Become Three Blind Mice
The Five Eyes national security alliance of the U.S., U.K., Canada, New Zealand, and Australia had been intimate and formidable for decades. Now the erratic policies of the Trump administration are threatening the bond.

https://washingtonmonthly.com/2025/11/2 ... st-crisis/

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 03 May 2026 01:57
by A_Gupta
Here is another, different assessment of Obama's alleged "Apology Tour"
https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2 ... residency/
In his speech accepting the Republican nomination for president, Mitt Romney repeated a charge he’s made before: that Obama has traveled the world apologizing for America.

"I will begin my presidency with a jobs tour. President Obama began with an apology tour. America, he said, had dictated to other nations. No, Mr. President, America has freed other nations from dictators," Romney said.

We first fact-checked this claim back in 2010, when Romney published a book, No Apology: The Case for American Greatness
...
...
But a review of Obama’s foreign travels and remarks during his early presidency showed no evidence to support such a blunt and disparaging claim. (In later years, we found two formal apologies, but they were not at the start of his presidency and not part of a tour.)

While Obama's speeches contained some criticisms of past U.S. actions, he typically combined those passages with praise for the United States and its ideals, and he frequently mentioned how other countries had erred as well. We found not a single, full-throated apology in the bunch.

Calling those remarks "an apology tour" is a ridiculous charge. So we rate his statement Pants on Fire.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 03 May 2026 02:14
by bala
In April 2009, President Barack Hussain Obama curtsied to Saudi King Abdullah at the G-20 summit in London. The US President bowed down in subservience to the Saudi King. Tis beyond apology.

Watch and you can decide on your own, don't need cover up media articles on such things.


Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 03 May 2026 03:38
by Rudradev
The Washington Times is Republican Friendly.
This from November 20, 2025.
Five Eyes Become Three Blind Mice
The Five Eyes national security alliance of the U.S., U.K., Canada, New Zealand, and Australia had been intimate and formidable for decades. Now the erratic policies of the Trump administration are threatening the bond.

https://washingtonmonthly.com/2025/11/2 ... st-crisis/
The linked article is not from The Washington Times, but from The Washington Monthly.

Google AI:
Washington Monthly is generally considered a center-left or liberal-leaning publication, often associated with neoliberalism, which focuses on market-based reforms within the Democratic Party. While independent, it focuses heavily on government accountability and policy. It is frequently described as having a "strong left" or "left-of-center" bias
The content of the article is heavy on rhetoric and nearly devoid of hard data. I could not definitively conclude from this that the Trump regime's policies have had any concrete impact on the Five Eyes arrangement.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 03 May 2026 03:50
by Rudradev
Also, for the purposes of my argument it matters little whether Obama's 2009 tour of KSA, Egypt, Germany and France is called an "apology tour" or something else. What is undeniable is that he undertook the mission in person (indicating that he thought it was important) and took pains to distance his incoming administration from the policies of the GWB-era Neocons. This argues against the contention that by 2009, the world had moved on from looking askance at America following the 2003 invasion of Iraq. Obama himself thought this level of damage control was warranted.

Ultimately the world forgave America for both the Iraq invasion and the 2008 financial crisis. That's because ultimately, international relations are transactional and most countries realise there is little point moping about bygones while the US remains the only game in town.

Democrat-friendly commentators insist repeatedly that things will be different after the Trump administration and that the damage is somehow irreparable this time. As of right now, I don't think that will be the case. Any sensible country is always looking for options and hedges, but for the US-aligned nations in particular, no realistic alternative is available today and it's unlikely any will be by 2028.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 03 May 2026 15:17
by uddu
https://x.com/i/status/2050660469032001588
@JamesTate121
This, a direct result of Trump’s tariff policy which is a study in ignorance and incompetence. “China is quietly executing a massive financial strike against the United States. In just one week, Beijing dumped a record-breaking amount of US Treasury bonds. For decades, China bought American debt, which helped keep the US economy running smoothly. But now, they are dumping it faster than ever before. This is a deliberate strategy to shield themselves from US sanctions and aggressively weaken the American dollar's dominance. If China continues this massive selloff, US borrowing costs will explode, triggering inflation and crushing American consumers. The financial Cold War has officially gone hot, and the battlefield is the global bond market.”
How long can the US economy survive without foreign buyers for its debt?
#LamaStories #WorldAffairs #Economy #Geopolitics — with Edward Johnson.
Image

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 03 May 2026 18:41
by A_Gupta
Yes, my mistake, there were so many stories to choose from, I picked the wrong one.

Here is Newsweek from months earlier (March 2025)
America-Led Spy Network Risks Collapse Over Trump-Russia Fears
https://www.newsweek.com/america-led-sp ... rs-2039941

Here is the Spectator of Australia, Nov 2025
Why Trump is freezing out Five Eyes allies
https://www.spectator.com.au/2025/11/wh ... es-allies/
Paywalled, but begins thusly:
The most powerful intelligence alliance in the world is breaking up. In January, Donald Trump restricted intelligence-sharing on Russia and Ukraine, cutting allies out of negotiations and freezing certain channels entirely. Then in March came the so-called “Ukraine intel blackout,” an unprecedented freeze that shut Britain and Australia out of updates on Russian troop movements. And last month, the Dutch said they were scaling back intelligence-sharing with America over fears of “politicization.”
The Economic Times of India carried a report;
USA's all-weather ally Israel and members of the Five Eyes to limit intelligence sharing with Donald Trump as they suspect he may leak them to Russia's Putin

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne ... 767121.cms

Anther Australian analysis:
The ‘5 Eyes’ & Trump: problems of trust & mistrust
https://strategicanalysis.org/the-5-eye ... -mistrust/

Here is an article from the UK:
‘Five Eyes alliance’ crumbling after UK, Australia, New Zealand and Canada give US cold shoulder
https://metro.co.uk/2025/03/06/five-eye ... -22679726/

And so on.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 03 May 2026 21:08
by A_Gupta
FWIW, I tried to get around the paywall by asking Google Gemini. This is what it says - I have added emphasis to one sentence, because it is central to the idea that Five Eyes Intelligence sharing was more than just transactional.
The article you referenced from *The Spectator Australia* (published in November 2025) paints a picture of an alliance in a state of existential crisis. It suggests that the traditional "bonds of trust" that held the Five Eyes together for eight decades are being replaced by a transactional, and often adversarial, relationship driven by the Trump administration.

Based on that article and related reports from the 2025 period, here is a summary of the specific problems the alliance has encountered:

### 1. The "Transactionalization" of Intelligence

The core of the problem described is that President Trump has begun treating high-level intelligence not as a shared resource for mutual security, but as **leverage**.

* **Intelligence as a Bargaining Chip:** The article argues that the U.S. has used access to "raw" data to reward allies who align with Washington's specific policy goals (like trade or military spending) and punish those who don't.

* **The Ukraine "Blackout":** In March 2025, an unprecedented freeze occurred where the U.S. cut off Britain and Australia from updates on Russian troop movements. This was reportedly a tactic to force allies into a specific peace-negotiation framework with Russia, effectively "blinding" them to the ground reality to ensure they couldn't act independently.

### 2. The Rise of "Politicization" Fears

Trust in the Five Eyes relies on the belief that intelligence is objective. The article highlights a breaking of this norm:

* **The Dutch Withdrawal:** In late 2024 and early 2025, the Netherlands (a "Third Party" partner) openly scaled back sharing with the U.S. The Dutch intelligence services (AIVD/MIVD) cited fears that their data would be "politicized" or used for purposes that violate human rights, marking a rare public rebuke from a European ally.

* **Deep State Animosity:** Trump’s long-standing grievance over "Russiagate"—which he blames partly on British and Australian intelligence—has led to a perception of the Five Eyes as a "deep state abroad." This has created a climate of mutual suspicion where the U.S. President views his own allies' spies as political enemies.

### 3. Security Breaches and Amateurism

The alliance has been shaken by a perceived lack of "operational security" (OPSEC) within the White House:

* **The Signal Chat Leak:** The article mentions a scandal where screenshots from a White House Signal chat were leaked online, exposing private discussions about military options in Yemen.

* **The Collapse of Confidence:** Seeing sensitive data handled in "chaotic" ways led British and Australian officials to fear that if they shared their "crown jewel" secrets with Washington, those secrets might end up on social media or be used as "trade goods" in a deal with a foreign power like Russia.

### 4. Fragmenting into "Sub-Groups"

As the U.S. has become an "unpredictable" partner, the other "Eyes" have begun to build workarounds:

* **Bypassing the U.S.:** London and Canberra have reportedly begun forming smaller, closed sub-groups to share intelligence without U.S. participation.

* **The "Anglo-European" Pivot:** There is a visible shift where the UK and Canada are looking more toward European partners (like France and Germany) for security coordination on Russia, fearing they can no longer rely on the U.S. as a stable "Senior Partner."

### 5. Ethical and Legal Contradictions

The article touches on the "institutionalized hypocrisy" of the alliance:

* **The Domestic Spying Loophole:** It highlights how the Five Eyes system allows member nations to spy on each other's citizens to bypass domestic laws (e.g., GCHQ collects on Americans, the NSA collects on Britons).

* **Values Fracture:** While the alliance was built on a shared sense of "liberty and law," the article argues that the members no longer see privacy or free speech in the same way, leading to friction over how data should be handled and what constitutes a "threat."

### Commentary

The takeaway from these developments is that the Five Eyes is moving from a **community of values** to a **market of information.**

If the U.S. continues to "starve" its allies of intelligence, it risks a permanent "intelligence divorce." While the U.S. has the most powerful collection capabilities, it relies on its allies for regional access (like Australia’s monitoring of the South China Sea or the UK’s reach in the Middle East). If the trust that underpins the "no-secrets" policy collapses, the U.S. may find itself with more data but far less **context**, as its allies begin to keep their best secrets for themselves.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 03 May 2026 21:32
by ricky_v
Here you go
If you find something paywalled go to archive.is or ph or vn and save the link
Why bother ai, it has important prompts of outputting celebs in bikinis to cater to

https://archive.is/Dyl2V

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 03 May 2026 21:47
by Rudradev
Again, the contention was never that Trump hasn't changed anything about the terms of intelligence relationships with American allies-- including the Five Eyes-- during his tenure.

The contention was that the Five Eyes would be especially and irreparably damaged by whatever Trump has changed, ostensibly because it works on some principle that surpasses transactional relationships between countries.

What I see are articles (1) stating that Trump has made some changes in how certain intelligence relationships work and (2) drawing a straight line from this to the permanent demise of the Five Eyes arrangement. Little is offered to justify linking (1) to (2) other than rhetoric.

Having that rhetoric repeated in different media outlets, commonly beholden to a certain established idea of how the world "should" work, doesn't make it a stronger argument.

One also wonders how much the "Five Eyes" REALLY ever shared with each other. Was there permanent transparency and total trust between these intelligence agencies? Clearly not-- because each of the Five Eyes countries still maintains an independent national security and intelligence apparatus of its own.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 04 May 2026 09:42
by Amber G.
For all the fans out here ..there’s a brilliant new scientist among us.

Image

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 04 May 2026 10:27
by ricky_v
I do not like the man but that is clearly a fake. There are many things to spot, the person writing had got Trump's unhinged manner pat down, but he has gone a bit overboard. Things like Science! are a big giveaway

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 04 May 2026 21:19
by ShauryaT
Amber G: We live in a world of spoofs and fakes :x You are sure of the X message above?

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 05 May 2026 02:52
by A_Gupta
Rudradev wrote:
One also wonders how much the "Five Eyes" REALLY ever shared with each other. Was there permanent transparency and total trust between these intelligence agencies? Clearly not-- because each of the Five Eyes countries still maintains an independent national security and intelligence apparatus of its own.
1. Distrust of the press from multiple countries because it does not suit your conclusions is sad.

2. You seem to be implying that international relations are transactional because the participants continue to keep independent institutions. Maybe they should give their sovereignty too?

3. AI says, FWIW:

The Five Eyes (FVEY) alliance represents the most cohesive and comprehensive intelligence-sharing agreement in history. Born from the secret 1946 **UKUSA Agreement**, it evolved from a Cold War pact focused on the Soviet Union into a global network that monitors everything from undersea cables to satellite transmissions.

At its height—particularly during the post-9/11 era and the peak of global digital integration—the level of sharing was so deep that intelligence officers from different nations often worked side-by-side in the same facilities, viewing the same raw data streams.

### The "Full Spectrum" of Shared Intelligence
While the alliance began with **SIGINT** (Signals Intelligence), it eventually expanded to cover almost every major intelligence discipline:

* **SIGINT (Signals Intelligence):** This is the core of the alliance. It involves the interception of signals, whether between people (communications) or from electronic signals not used in communication. Programs like **ECHELON** were designed to vacuum up global satellite and microwave traffic.
* **HUMINT (Human Intelligence):** The sharing of reports from undercover assets and informants. While countries are more protective of their "sources and methods" here, high-level assessments derived from these sources are routinely shared.
* **GEOINT (Geospatial Intelligence):** Satellite imagery and mapping data. This became critical for monitoring nuclear sites, troop movements, and natural disasters.
* **MASINT (Measurement and Signature Intelligence):** Highly technical data used to identify specific "signatures," such as the acoustic profile of a submarine or the chemical composition of a missile’s exhaust.
* **OSINT (Open Source Intelligence):** Analysis of publicly available information, including foreign media, social media trends, and academic research.

---

### Key Infrastructure: Stone Ghost
To facilitate this massive exchange, the alliance uses a highly secure, decentralized network known as **Stone Ghost**. It is a "System of Systems" that allows the five nations to share and access classified information, from top-secret folders to real-time chat, without passing through the standard internet.

### The "No-Spying" Agreement
One of the most significant—and controversial—aspects of the cooperation is the "gentleman’s agreement" that member nations will not spy on each other’s citizens.

* **The Intent:** To build total trust among the five partners.
* **The Criticism:** Critics and whistleblowers have frequently alleged that the alliance provides a "loophole" for domestic surveillance. The theory is that if the US cannot legally spy on a US citizen, a partner (like the UK) could monitor that person and then "share" the intelligence back to the US.

### Historical Peak Focus Areas
The intelligence shared by the Five Eyes has shifted based on the era's greatest perceived threats:

| Era | Primary Focus |
| :--- | :--- |
| **Cold War** | Soviet military movements, nuclear testing, and decrypted Eastern Bloc communications. |
| **War on Terror** | Metadata from global phone calls, encrypted messaging analysis, and tracking of extremist financing. |
| **The Digital Age** | Cybersecurity threats, state-sponsored hacking, and the security of 5G infrastructure. |

Today, the alliance has broadened its scope even further, moving beyond traditional espionage to share intelligence on **economic security**, **global supply chains**, and **emerging technologies**. It remains the most exclusive "club" in the world of shadows, where the price of entry is a shared history and total transparency with your partners.

——

We will have to agree to disagree on whether international relations can be more-than-transactional and whether Five Eyes is an example of that.

We will also have to agree to disagree about whether Trump has damaged Five Eyes, and intelligence sharing between other countries and the US.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 05 May 2026 04:26
by A_Gupta
ShauryaT wrote: 04 May 2026 21:19 Amber G: We live in a world of spoofs and fakes :x You are sure of the X message above?
It is a fake.

Note, though, had it been attributed to say, Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, you would at once dismiss it as a fake; but with the attribution to Trump, you have a scintilla of a doubt.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 05 May 2026 08:34
by Rudradev
A_Gupta wrote: 05 May 2026 02:52
Rudradev wrote:
One also wonders how much the "Five Eyes" REALLY ever shared with each other. Was there permanent transparency and total trust between these intelligence agencies? Clearly not-- because each of the Five Eyes countries still maintains an independent national security and intelligence apparatus of its own.
1. Distrust of the press from multiple countries because it does not suit your conclusions is sad.
Aside from noting the rather blatant "argument from authority" fallacy there, I must ask you-- do you think every opinion that the editorial boards of eminent Western publications endorse should be treated as factual, just because it is repeated across multiple platforms?

In that case, how about opinions to the effect that Modi is a "Fascist", India failed to counter COVID, India is plotting to disenfranchise its Muslim citizens, and so on? Surely you have seen them in any number of eminent publications. Is it sad if people distrust the press in multiple countries on those conclusions as well?

I would argue that AI actually compounds the problem here, because it presents a motivated selection of articles chosen to suit one's point of view based on a prompt-- as opposed to a random sample.

In future, it would allow for more objectivity if one were to share not just an AI summary, but also the specific prompt that elicited the summary.

2. You seem to be implying that international relations are transactional because the participants continue to keep independent institutions. Maybe they should give their sovereignty too?
No, and this is a strawman fallacy.

I noted that each of the "Five Eyes" countries maintains an independent intelligence apparatus of its own (surely you don't contest that).

In effect, each of them chooses what part of its intelligence product to share or not share with the others. How much is shared vs. not shared can only be determined through (a) leaks, i.e. security compromises or (b) the "Five Eyes" intelligence services actively infiltrating and spying on each other.

This is not exactly the picture of deeply bonded, values-based trust that one hears so much about. The only motivation of these independent agencies to share intelligence with each other is that the others will in turn share intelligence that they find. This is by definition a system of exchanges-- in other words, of transactions.

What IS visible to us are policy directives. For example, if an MI6 member found out something about an ISIS cell in the UK, but for some reason didn't share it with the CIA, he would get into trouble-- why? Because the Five Eyes agreement exists, and all intelligence is supposed to be (as opposed to "actually is") shared between the members. The MI6 agent might conceal the intelligence anyway, but in doing so he would be violating a policy directive from his government.

Therefore, stated policy directives from the governments themselves are the only objective marker of how well the Five Eyes agreement is functioning.

The day we hear that the UK, Australia, Canada, or New Zealand has pulled out of the Five Eyes, I will concede your point that the United States under Trump has brought about an injurious change in what is even otherwise an utterly transactional system.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 05 May 2026 13:31
by Cyrano
5Eyes may not be 5 equal eyes. US supplies most of the tech, perhaps funding to some extent as well. The temptation to use some of such intel for domestic political gains is too strong to resist for the govts of the day and unkil will know and use such cases for blackmail or atleast for putting pressure on allies. It may appear transactional but 4 eyes are under 1 eye's Sauron grip. Jiski lathi uski bhains!

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 05 May 2026 21:51
by Manish_P
Cyrano wrote: 05 May 2026 13:31 ...It may appear transactional but 4 eyes are under 1 eye's Sauron grip...
Absolutely.

There is only one Lord of the Rings and he does not share power... no matter what the likes of Saruman or the NATOguls think...

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 07 May 2026 23:03
by bala
News is Mark Zukerberg of Meta has fled to Miami because of Kalifornia wanting to tax rich people.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 07 May 2026 23:14
by Amber G.
^^^Meta is not moving. The company remains headquartered in Menlo Park, California. Zuckerberg is moving his personal residency, but the "Social Media Giant" itself is staying put in Silicon Valley for now.
(But California is trying to apply 'spooky action at a distance,' claiming that if you were here on New Year's Day, your wealth is still entangled with the state's tax grid regardless of where you sleep in March!)

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 08 May 2026 04:05
by bala
Most companies are Delaware incorporated, HP was one. Amazon is slashing its Seattle presence due to socialist nutcases who rule in that state. Rich guys/gals are making an exit from Dem controlled states since they don't want the states eating away their wealth. It remains to be seen how far these Dem controlled states want to shoo away wealth creators. They will be left with crud from the society. Already Kalifornia is running a huge state deficit since their healthcare and social programs are a huge drain on the exchequer.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 08 May 2026 07:26
by A_Gupta
ICE/DoJ deliberately concealed from Judge DuBose that Bryan Rafael Gomez was wanted for homicide in the Dominican Republic on an international warrant; and after she ordered him released, they went after her with a "BIDEN ACTIVIST JUDGE RELEASES MURDERER" type of press release.

The Judge held an emergency hearing, the DoJ lawyer apologized; there is going to be an investigation into his actions (lawyers have a duty of candor towards the court which he violated).

But in the meanwhile, MAGA is issuing death threats to the Judge and to her family. And as of a little while ago, ICE/DoJ had not taken down their press release.

This is today's US of A for you.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 08 May 2026 09:46
by A_Gupta
Queens Advocacy Groups Push for NYC’s First Anti-Caste Bill
https://queensledger.com/2026/05/05/que ... aste-bill/
JACKSON HEIGHTS — Advocacy groups are calling for the passage of legislation to prohibit caste discrimination in employment, housing, and public accommodations.

Assembly bill A. 6920, sponsored by Assemblymember Steven Raga, and Senate bill S. 6531, sponsored by State Sen. James Sanders Jr., would include caste as a protected category under New York civil rights law.

“New York is one of the most diverse places in the entire world. Our strength comes from that diversity, but our responsibility comes with it. As our communities have grown, so too have the reports of caste discrimination,” said Raga at a press conference at Diversity Plaza in Jackson Heights on April 13.

“This bill is about something very simple, ensuring that no one is denied opportunity, dignity, or safety just because of the circumstances of their birth,” he continued.

A caste system is a hierarchy of hereditary social groups, with each group having a rank in the social order. Members of a caste traditionally share a similar occupation and primarily marry within their community.

The most commonly known caste system originated within Hindu communities in South Asia thousands of years ago, before spreading to other religions and regions as Hindus converted to other faiths and migrated around the world. But the proposed bill does not refer to any specific faith or region, and defines caste as a class in a social hierarchy based on birth that limits social and economic mobility and access to fundamental rights and opportunities.

The legislation has nine cosponsors in the Senate and 18 cosponsors in the Assembly, including backing from Zohran Mamdani during his time as an Assemblymember. Pabitra Dash, a senior organizer at Adhikaar, a Woodside-based worker and community center that serves and organizes Nepali-speaking immigrants and refugees, shared the story of Deepa Sunar, a Nepali worker in Elmhurst. Sunar said she was immediately questioned about her caste upon meeting with a potential employer while searching for employment as a domestic worker last year. After she explained that she was from a caste-oppressed community commonly known as Dalits, she was told that her caste was considered “untouchable,” and that she could not be hired out of fear of contaminating water used for religious purposes in the potential employer’s house. Dash, who also identifies as Dalit, said that Sunar was heartbroken

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 08 May 2026 10:52
by Manish_Sharma
https://x.com/_10delta_/status/2037098099823243273?s=20
3 weeks ago I argued the US goal in Iran is to seize the global oil spigot. Venezuela in January -> Iran in February.

Neutralize every supply channel outside the dollar system within 90 days. Achieve a compliant successor government and complete energy dominance.

The oil thesis was the obvious layer. However, when you zoom out & view the last four years as a single sequence rather than isolated geopolitical events, the architecture of the grander US plan becomes visible.

1st was Europe, which laid the groundwork.

The Ukraine conflict provided the justification for sanctions that collapsed Russian pipeline gas from 150 billion cubic meters to 40.

Then Nordstream was destroyed, which rewired the entire European energy system permanently. The US went from supplying 28% of Europe's LNG in 2021 to 58% by 2025, exporting a record 111 million MTs, the 1st country in history to break 100 MT.

Europe was transformed from a customer with options into a captive market now purchasing its survival in USD.

2nd was Syria.

The fall of Assad severed the critical node connecting China's Belt & Road Initiative to the Mediterranean.

The trilateral railway linking Iran, Iraq & Syria, designed to bypass Western maritime chokepoints, was completely destroyed.

This isolated Iran geographically & cleared the path for what came next.

3rd was Venezuela.

In January the US effectively took control of the world's largest heavy crude reserves. The US Gulf Coast has the most advanced refining complex on earth, specifically built for heavy sour crude. Phillips 66, Valero & the rest are now positioned to process hundreds of thousands of barrels of Venezuelan crude daily.

The US captured a massive strategic reserve & solidified its position as the dominant exporter of refined petroleum products, an industry worth $110 billion in 2025 alone.

Venezuela & Iran were the two major oil supply channels that existed outside the dollar system. Both produce heavy crude sold primarily to China & evaded US financial supervision. Both now being neutralized within 90 days, which leads us to..

4th is Iran & the Middle East energy shock.

Israel struck Iran's South Pars gas field, the world's largest natural gas reservoir. Iran retaliated against Qatar's Ras Laffan, the single largest LNG facility on earth, responsible for a fifth of global supply. QatarEnergy's own assessment is that 17% of export capacity is gone and recovery will take up to 5 years. The Strait of Hormuz is closed. European gas prices spiked 70%. Asian spot prices doubled.

The only remaining scaled supplier? The United States.

If Iran falls & a successor government is installed that the US controls or influences (the Delcy model described weeks ago) then roughly 40 to 45 million barrels per day of global production out of 103 million is effectively under US control. OPEC becomes irrelevant because the US coalition is now the marginal producer. Now add the gas dimension & it goes beyond oil.

This war is solidifying the petrodollar system as it evolves into a hybrid petro/LNG-dollar. The old system was built on Saudi crude priced in USD. The new system is built on American crude plus American gas from the Gulf Coast, with no alternative supplier of comparable scale. The dependency is deeper because LNG infrastructure requires long term contracts & regasification terminals that lock buyers into supply relationships for decades. Europe & the Pacific allies (Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, etc.) cannot pivot away as there is nowhere left to pivot to. They're now locked into the US energy system.

The market confirms this. DXY went from 96 to 101. Gold down ~20% from its January all time high. Bitcoin down 20% on the year. Brent above $100. European & Asian institutions are liquidating precious metals and crypto to buy dollars because they need dollars to buy the only remaining scaled energy supply. The world is selling its gold to buy American energy in American currency. The dollar is now being weaponized through energy dependency.

The structural repricing is happening regardless of how the conflict resolves.

But the US grand strategy goes deeper..

Artificial intelligence is a physical industry. It runs on power and chips. Data centers require massive uninterrupted baseload electricity, primarily provided by natural gas. Semiconductor fabrication requires helium & rare earths.

By choking the Strait of Hormuz & crippling Middle Eastern LNG & helium production, the US is systematically degrading China's ability to power its data centers & fabricate semiconductors at scale.

The US is energy self sufficient, especially with newly captured Venezuelan reserves & expanding Gulf Coast capacity running on domestic gas.

On the other hand, China is import dependent & every joule it imports effectively now transits chokepoints the US Navy controls..

Iran was the Belt & Road's overland energy bypass, the corridor that allowed China to mitigate the Malacca Trap. With Iran neutralized that corridor is severed. China faces a world where its compute infrastructure competes for scraps on a depleted global LNG market, while American data centers run at full capacity on domestic energy.

Russia is next in the sequence. A post-war Iran reopening under US influence competes directly with Russia for the same refineries in China & India at lower cost. Iran's production costs are lower. Russia loses its last structural advantage in heavy crude & its economic lifeline. Additionally, under the Iran war cover, Ukraine has been opportunistically destroying Russian energy infrastructure & all signs point towards Russia being at the end of the line. The message from Washington becomes very simple: we dismantled two regimes in three months, your economy is about to get crushed, sign the Ukraine deal.

Then Trump sits down with Xi holding every card. Complete energy dominance. The hybrid petro/LNG-dollar fortified, Iran cleared, Russia cornered, & China facing the Malacca Trap fully closed with no remaining energy bypass.

Israel & the GCC are absorbing the kinetic cost of a conflict whose primary beneficiary, counter to the mainstream narrative, is actually America (First). Qatar offline for 5 years reprices the entire global gas market in favor of US exporters for the remainder of the decade. The Gulf states face years of rebuilding. Europe faces its 2nd energy crisis in four years.

Sure, the average American might face temporary moderate inflation & higher gas prices. But if you are the architect of the US empire & you view the rise of China & Chinese ASI as an existential winner takes all scenario, the collateral damage is acceptable cost.

Whoever controls the energy corridors controls the monetary system. Whoever controls the monetary system & the energy supply simultaneously controls the compute infrastructure that determines which civilization builds ASI first.

The US is seizing all 3.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 10 May 2026 04:44
by A_Gupta
Question - two US airmen were rescued from Iran some weeks ago. Since then we have heard nothing about them. One might have thought we'd have their names and some press interviews and such; but maybe this silence is Businsss As Usual. Is this silence unusual or to be expected?

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 10 May 2026 10:34
by Vayutuvan
^Crickets.

Small fry, but that is the sad reality of a war. Canon fodder go unmourned.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 10 May 2026 17:47
by Manish_P
Vayutuvan wrote: 10 May 2026 10:34 ^Crickets.

Small fry, but that is the sad reality of a war. Canon fodder go unmourned.
Until some Exec in Hollywood suddenly realizes that a movie on them will rake in the moolah

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 11 May 2026 01:25
by Vayutuvan
Most of these soldiers are from the Midwest US. Nobody in DC/Coastals (Wall Street/Ivy Leaguers/Elite Academia/Sirricon Varrey Vurtule Capitarists/CXO class) gives a damn about them.

They talk of peace in the hope that their own kids are not dragged away to fight foreign wars. As long as Pukrainians are fighting the big bad Putin, they are OK with that.

They don't have any reservations about the common truck with the Eurotrash.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 11 May 2026 04:33
by drnayar
A_Gupta wrote: 10 May 2026 04:44 Question - two US airmen were rescued from Iran some weeks ago. Since then we have heard nothing about them. One might have thought we'd have their names and some press interviews and such; but maybe this silence is Businsss As Usual. Is this silence unusual or to be expected?
Both crew members sustained injuries during the incident; the wSO was reportedly "seriously wounded". They are likely undergoing medical treatment (assuming still alive) .. and bad optics for trump !

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 11 May 2026 07:46
by Amber G.
^^^Yes — there definitely are people questioning aspects of the story, especially because the rescue itself was heavily publicized while verifiable follow-up details have remained sparse. The skepticism falls into a few categories:

“Why no names or interviews?”
“Why no official photos?”
“Why such dramatic operational claims but little documentation?”
“Was the rescue story exaggerated for political/public-relations reasons?”

... For example, Newsweek explicitly framed the situation as involving “unanswered questions” about the rescue and missing operational details.

At the same time, there is an important distinction between--questioning details, and claiming the entire event was fabricated. ( Also, if Iran had actually captured the airmen or killed them while the U.S. falsely claimed rescue, many analysts believe Tehran would likely publicize proof aggressively ...)

So far, major reputable outlets — including Reuters and Associated Press — have treated the rescue as real, based on statements from U.S. officials and multiple sources.

At the same time..the administration/public figures described the mission in almost cinematic terms,
many dramatic images/videos circulating online turned out to be AI-generated or recycled footage, and official visual evidence has been extremely limited.

And the AI-image fiasco amplified that atmosphere ...

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 11 May 2026 09:36
by drnayar
Amber G. wrote: 04 May 2026 09:42 For all the fans out here ..there’s a brilliant new scientist among us.

Image
Orange man is skilled in skiing downhill since he took over.. with random erratic destinations

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 11 May 2026 23:29
by Amber G.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 11 May 2026 23:49
by bala
Trump Attacks WHO on Wuhan Virus Ahead of China Visit

Donald Trump has once again stirred controversy by attacking the World Health Organization WHO over the origins of COVID-19 ahead of his expected visit to China. Trump said he still shares a “great relationship” with Xi Jinping, while also acknowledging that Taiwan remains a recurring topic in US-China discussions.

Link

// DJT had named it Kung-Flu i.e. wuhan virus aka COVID. China should take the blame of leaking a lab specimen into the world. A large number of chinese died but was hushed up.
// DJT has the Iran hormuz card, and Emperor has the rare earth card. Taiwan is just rhetoric for the emperor. The bigger issue for China is that its exports to US has stalled, now they are via nations like Vietnam, Cambodia, Mexico and other nations. Emperor and PLA are at odds, generals fired. There is an aging problem in China and banks are confiscating deposits of ordinary citizens.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 12 May 2026 00:31
by A_Gupta
Amber G. wrote: 11 May 2026 23:29 Presenting for true beliers
Pastor Defends Golden Trump Statue From Biblical Backlash

https://www.newsweek.com/pastor-defends ... h-11933490
The pastor behind a newly erected, 22-foot, golden statue of President Donald Trump at one of his Florida golf courses has defended the project following criticism that the homage violates biblical prohibitions against worshipping "false gods.”

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 12 May 2026 01:21
by A_Gupta
Wiki:

Plessy v. Ferguson, 163 U.S. 537 (1896), was a landmark United States Supreme Court decision ruling that racial segregation laws did not violate the U.S. Constitution as long as the facilities for each race were equal in quality, a doctrine that came to be known as "separate but equal".[2][3] The decision legitimized the many "Jim Crow laws" re-establishing racial segregation that had been passed in the American South after the end of the Reconstruction era in 1877.

—-
Why is it important now? Was it not overturned by the Civil Rights legislation of the mid-twentieth century?

There are Republicans, including in the US Senate, who think this is the proper state of affairs. Not in their words, but in their actions. E.g., wanting an investigation by the DoJ of any district that elected a Black whether or not that district was created under section 2 of the Voting Rights Act that the Supreme Court recently gutted.

——-
If you don’t understand the above, the above is almost like saying every Indian-origin person in the US arrived by H1-B fraud, or all of them have jobs only because of affirmative action. From a US Senator this should raise alarm bells.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 12 May 2026 04:38
by Jay
Vayutuvan wrote: 11 May 2026 01:25 Most of these soldiers are from the Midwest US. Nobody in DC/Coastals (Wall Street/Ivy Leaguers/Elite Academia/Sirricon Varrey Vurtule Capitarists/CXO class) gives a damn about them.
Top 5 states by percentage of Troops by State (Per Capita): Alaska, Hawaii, Virginia, North Carolina, Washington.... NO STATES FROM MIDWEST

Top 5 states by Raw Number of Active-Duty Troops: California( :eek: ), Virginia, Texas, North Carolina, and Florida...NO STATES FROM MIDWEST

There might be some variations in some of these numbers for the latest year, but none of the midwestern states are in the top 10 of any category.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 12 May 2026 04:43
by Vayutuvan
In Midwest, I include Tx, southern VA, FL ofc. As for the hypocrisy, the point stands. Elite do not want their kids dragged to a distant war. Hence they talk peace. OTOH, they are heavily invested in companies that enable wars.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 12 May 2026 04:56
by KL Dubey
Jay wrote: 12 May 2026 04:38
Vayutuvan wrote: 11 May 2026 01:25 Most of these soldiers are from the Midwest US. Nobody in DC/Coastals (Wall Street/Ivy Leaguers/Elite Academia/Sirricon Varrey Vurtule Capitarists/CXO class) gives a damn about them.
Top 5 states by percentage of Troops by State (Per Capita): Alaska, Hawaii, Virginia, North Carolina, Washington.... NO STATES FROM MIDWEST

Top 5 states by Raw Number of Active-Duty Troops: California( :eek: ), Virginia, Texas, North Carolina, and Florida...NO STATES FROM MIDWEST

There might be some variations in some of these numbers for the latest year, but none of the midwestern states are in the top 10 of any category.
Certainly, the "southern US" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_United_States) contributes a lot of armed forces.

Now some people want to claim the South is the Midwest. :P

Southern VA is firmly part of the south - appalachian mountain folk, mostly descended from 1600s and 1700s english/scottish/irish arrivals. Some german stock also (migrated south through the appalachians from PA). These people have very little in common with the midwest.

FL and TX are firmly part of the south. Even OK (north of TX) is not "Midwest". TX also has a southwest/"tex-mex" subculture, whereas FL has a caribbean subculture.

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Posted: 12 May 2026 06:12
by Vayutuvan
Midwest has a lot of Mohammadan population (MI), Germanic and Finnish (WI), Polish (Chicago), Scandinavian (MN), and ofc French (IN, IL) descendants. They are not all that different from Southern US population. Anglo-Saxon and Gallic. What fighting nerdy gender fluid of CA/OR/WA can do? The only fighting they do is participate in female athletics and deprive young women of their medals and college sports scholarships.

Fury as trans volleyball player switches to track and field and dominates, 'coward' Newsom told to act
Story by Jeremy Louwerse • 22h • 4 min read

https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/other/ ... r-AA22S77Q
A transgender volleyball player has sparked fury by switching to track and field — and dominating all the women in those events too.

AB Hernandez, a biological male from Riverside County, wiped the competition in all three jumping events against female athletes in the CIF Southern Section Division 3 preliminaries on Saturday.

The high school senior posted massive scores in the long jump, high jump and triple jump, which he won by nearly three foot over the girl who came second.

His appearance at the event was met by a group of protestors demanding biological males be barred from battling girls due to their physical advantages.

Parents and officials have now demanded Governor Gavin Newsom step in to protect women’s sports, with transgender athletes allowed to compete in the sport of their gender identity in California.
Nauseating to say the least.