The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by UlanBatori »

Will Syrian regime's advances on the ground strengthen their position in Geneva?

Read more: http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/origina ... z3yj7Ep1wQ
DAMASCUS, Syria — The Syrian regime forces achieved significant progress on the front opened in October on Latakia's countryside by controlling the town of Salma in the north of the province Jan. 12. (Same din), another offensive opened on southern countryside .. Homs-Hama border.

In line with its policy of closing borders and cutting off supply routes, the Syrian regime has launched an offensive on the town of Hirbnafsah on the border between Homs and Hama a few days before Geneva III.
Author Khaled Atallah Posted January 29, 2016

TranslatorPascale el-Khoury

The offensive began when the forces took control of Jarjisa village north of al-Rastan lake Homs/Hama boundary — and advanced eastward toward the village of Hirbnafsah — controlled by Jabhat al-Nusra and other Islamic factions. Intense artillery shelling by the regime forces was met with violent clashes with Jabhat al-Nusra militants and other factions.

The Syrian Arab News Agency did not cover the regime offensive on Hirbnafsah very extensively, only reporting Jan. 19 on the Syrian air force's destruction of vehicles of Jabhat al-Nusra fighters in the town. National Defense Forces via YouTube said they were able to control al-Madajen area north of Hirbnafsah on Jan. 20, a victory corroborated by the Sylian Observatory for Hyooman Rights.

Al-Watan reported Jan. 25 that reinforcements came to Hirbnafsah. Abu al-Qasim al-Hamwi, a media activist present with the terrorists of Jabhat al-Nusra and other Islamic factions in Hirbnafsah, told Al-Monitor via Skype that (SAA) reinforcements have indeed arrived to Hirbnafsah. However, he said, “The regime forces have been trying since the start of the military offensive to advance toward the town, but they have been failing every time to defeat Jabhat al-Nusrats reinforced inside the town of Hirbnafsah.”

Hamwi added, “Since Jan. 12, the regime has not stopped shelling Hirbnafsah with artillery and warplanes, whether Russian or Syrian, in an attempt to weaken the fighters in it, who in return targeted the regime checkpoints and forces with dozens of US and Saudi-supplied missiles.”

Hamwi pointed out that on Jan. 19 the opposition forces advanced and controlled the al-Bashakir factory checkpoint on the outskirts of Hirbnafsah. “This led to the killing of a first lieutenant and the destruction of a tank and its full crew, along with two mortars used by (SAA) forces,” he said.

Hirbnafsah is one of the largest towns in the southern Hama countryside, located on the administrative border between the provinces of Homs and Hama to the north of al-Rastan Dam on the Orontes River.

Defected Syrian officer Khaled al-Barazi said the town is in a strategic location, serving as the Hama countryside's gate to the northern and northwestern Homs countryside.

He told Al-Monitor via Skype from the Lebanese city of Tripoli, where he has been living for the past year, “The regime forces recently adopted a policy of closing crossings aiming to separate the rural areas controlled by the opposition fighters. They recently succeeded in partly closing the northern Tier Malah crossing in Homs with the start of the fighting there. They also closed the road leading to the village of Jinan in southern Hama countryside and were able to control this village.”

Barazi stressed that the offensive waged by the regime forces on Hirbnafsah falls within the scope of the policy of closing the crossings to separate the Homs countryside from the Hama countryside. He said, “The Syrian regime’s control of Hirbnafsah will cut the road in front of opposition fighters between Salamiyeh southeast of Hama and Hama city. It will also cut off supply and communication routes between the armed factions in Hama’s southern countryside and Homs’s northeast countryside.”

Barazi pointed out that the regime forces’ progress toward the strategic town of Hirbnafsah aims to open the way to the opposition-controlled Houla Valley area in the eastern countryside of Homs, near the Lebanese-Syrian border.

Radio al-Kul, affiliated with the National Coalition for Syrian Revolution and Opposition Forces, reported Jan. 21 that because of the continued military offensive in the region, thousands of residents in the villages of Hirbnafsah, Talaf and Deir al-Fardis have fled to the Houla Valley area in the countryside of Homs. It also reported that an estimated population of 70,000 people are living in this area under difficult conditions and many are in urgent need of baby formula four years into a siege imposed by the regime forces.

Jamal Hazouri (a pseudonym), a leader in the pro-regime Baath Brigades, told Al-Monitor via Skype, “The offensive started with the control the village of Jarjisa east of the town of Hirbnafsah, and the village of Deir al-Fardis to its north on Jan. 15. Then, the forces advanced toward Hirbnafsah under the Syrian regime's air and artillery cover. The battles are still ongoing against al-Nusra militants in the vicinity of Hirbnafsah. Our forces started the offensive in the west by targeting the village of Talaf with aerial and artillery shelling.”

Hazouri added, “We launched this offensive to take back the southern Hama countryside, to oust al-Nusra and tighten the noose on militants in the northern and northeastern countryside of Homs, which will be our next target.”

He continued, “Controlling Hirbnafsah gives our forces a defense line far from the city of Hama and creates a defense line extending from the village of Burayghith to the village of Jumaqliyah south of Hama, in order to cut off all supply routes to militants toward northern Syria and impose a siege on the militants in the northern countryside of Homs.”

Hazouri pointed out that controlling Hirbnafsah and the surrounding villages will allow the regime forces to reopen the Damascus-Aleppo road by controlling its surrounding areas, including the city of al-Rastan under the control of the opposition since 2012.

Political analyst Ahmed Suleiman told Al-Monitor from Damascus, “The Syrian regime is trying in its recent military operations to gain new cards before sitting at the negotiation table planned for Jan. 29 in Geneva.”

Suleiman added, “The regime wants to gradually reduce the regions controlled by the opposition in an attempt to prove its strength at the negotiating table and force the opposition into submission, in case the latter invoked any conditions or solutions that are not accepted by the regime. This [offensive] allows the regime to appear victorious in the media.

"This was clearly manifested during the visit by the assistant regional secretary of al-Baath Arab Socialist Party Hilal al-Hilal to the conflict regions in the southern countryside of Hama.”

The Syrian regime's offensive on the Latakia countryside, the Hama countryside and the Homs countryside — which seems to be the regime’s new destination, according to the military situation on the ground and the continued Russian support — and its previous offensive on the countryside of Daraa plus truces in Homs and Rif Dimashq seem to be an attempt by the regime to control vital areas in Syria and secure major cities in the country, from Daraa to Hama and all the way to the coast, in order to have the strongest voice at the negotiating table.
Khaled Atallah
Contributor, Syria Pulse

Khaled Atallah is a pseudonym for a Syrian journalist based in Syria.
Original Al-Monitor Translations
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

after norway telling people to cycle off to russia in winter, another preachy hypocrite society showing its real colours a little...
they are really rich, have plenty of cash, but cannot accomodate a few lakh refugees properly.



rt.com

Stockholm pogrom: Crowd of masked men hunt and beat up non-Swedes
Published time: 30 Jan, 2016 12:14
Edited time: 30 Jan, 2016 12:18

Dozens of masked man went on an anti-immigrant rampage in Stockholm in an apparent retaliation for the stabbing death of a young Swedish woman at a refugee center earlier this week, local media reported.

The crowd of some 40 to 50 people went on a violent spree on Friday night at around 9 p.m. local time in and around the Swedish capital’s main railroad station, according to the Aftonbladet daily. They were beating up anyone who didn’t look like ethnic Swede. The attackers were wearing black balaclavas and armbands, the video obtained by the tabloid showed.


“They came from Drottninggatan [Stockholm's main shopping street] and walked down toward the square and began to turn on immigrants,” a witness is cited by The Local. “I saw maybe three people who got beaten. I was quite scared so I left.”

The rampage followed a rally of some 200 people, who protested the presence of refugees in the North European country, reports Aftonbladet. They were handing out leaflets saying “Enough now”.

“They were scattering leaflets which had the intention to incite people to carry out crimes,” Stockholm police confirmed in a statement on its website.

The call was apparently referring to the death of Alexandra Mehzer, a 22-year-old aid worker, who was stabbed to death on Monday in a center for underage unaccompanied refugees in southern Sweden. A 15-year-old asylum-seeker born in Nigeria is suspected of the killing.

The leaflets reportedly accused police of failing to deal with immigrants-related crimes on protect the Swedish society.

“But we refuse to accept the repeated assaults and harassment against Swedish women,” the leaflets said as cited by the Daily Mail. “We refuse to accept the destruction of our once to safe society. When our political leadership and police show more sympathy for murderers than for their victims, there are no longer any excuses to let it happen without protest.”

Police made several arrests, according to Aftonbladet. The attacks are linked to football gangs and far-right groups. Still city authorities have not yet confirmed any immigrants had been assaulted.

The Swedish Resistance Movement, a neo-Nazi group, claimed the attack. In a statement issued after the incident they said they “cleaned up criminal immigrants from North Africa that are housed in the area around the Central Station”.

“These criminal immigrants have robbed and molested Swedes for a long time… Police have clearly shown that they lack the means to stave off their rampage, and we now see no other alternative than to ourselves hand out the punishments they deserve,” reads the text of a leaflet published on the group’s website.
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

africans/refugees attempt to attack a group of french people. fortunately one of them has a concealed pistol and manages to back them off...

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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

arajakata....finnish sales girl fights and defends her shop against refugee looters

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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

africans vs yobs in manchester

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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

russian gora vs CAR mussalmans. one thing to note is most of the bigger sized russians perhaps as a matter of school PE policy have some background in boxing, judo or wrestling...so despite the middle age flab, they have good core strength and technique .. always watch the hitting speed/accuracy and footwork...a trained boxer really stands out from just a strong brawler...and a wrestler has a lightning quick low tackle and a good handle on chokeholds with the arms and legs...

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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

who would have thought this is switzerland, that place of quiet wealth and polished bankers

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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

turks vs kurds in frankfurt. brawny german polizei coming down hard on anyone in range

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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

pretty sickening. its no crime to be poor or to come from a poor country, but even poor countries have laws and there is no free for all

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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by TSJones »

..in the first vid posted above, that dude with a bat/club would be a dead man around where I live. Just sayin'......

That Frenchman with a pistol must be a religious pacifist....
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

yes indeed. and the law would support his right to self defence. the frenchman seems very very generous in not even drawing the weapon and firing a shot in the air or into the ground. that would shut the gang up.
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Austin »

Singha wrote:russian gora vs CAR mussalmans. one thing to note is most of the bigger sized russians perhaps as a matter of school PE policy have some background in boxing, judo or wrestling...so despite the middle age flab, they have good core strength and technique .. always watch the hitting speed/accuracy and footwork...a trained boxer really stands out from just a strong brawler...and a wrestler has a lightning quick low tackle and a good handle on chokeholds with the arms and legs...


Russians have 1 year mandatory conscription in the armed forces
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Gyan »

I was just wondering what sort of fighting force Assad can raise in Syria. Around 23% Population of 19 Million is non-Sunni ie Shia, Christian, Druze etc. Lets say that 50% of the said population is displaced and or non-accessible. Which leaves a population base of 5 Million as recruitment base. Counting Men and Women between age of 15 to 45 as potential recruits i.e. say 50% of 5 Million ie 2.5 Million. Hence Assad can put in around One Million armed personnel on battlefield (with small arms coming from Iran, Iraq and Russia). I don't think it will be easy war for Turkey/Saudi Combine.
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

20% of 20 mil is 4 mil. if 2 mil are displaced only 2 mil is recruitment base. discount the women you are left with 1 mil men of all ages. those of fighting age would be maybe 30% - ie 300K and to run the economy and other jobs many are needed.

I would at best put his forces at 100k. hence his inability to mobilize large offensives and the platoon level of combat ops we see daily. what is referred as a "brigade" and "division" is more like a batallion. a well armed and staffed brigade in a real army would rip the ISIS shalwar very badly in deir azzor.

he also has critical shortages in artillery (so do the iraqis), tactical airpower, tanks, IFVs.....

it is a miracle he held on by skin of teeth until rus arrived (he would have gone under in a few months if not) and even now every village is contested and has to be claimed by force.

large nos of his army and police deserted to FSA in 2011-2012 it seems.
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by habal »

Gyan wrote:I was just wondering what sort of fighting force Assad can raise in Syria. Around 23% Population of 19 Million is non-Sunni ie Shia, Christian, Druze etc. Lets say that 50% of the said population is displaced and or non-accessible. Which leaves a population base of 5 Million as recruitment base. Counting Men and Women between age of 15 to 45 as potential recruits i.e. say 50% of 5 Million ie 2.5 Million. Hence Assad can put in around One Million armed personnel on battlefield (with small arms coming from Iran, Iraq and Russia). I don't think it will be easy war for Turkey/Saudi Combine.
you will be surprised to note, that the bulk of Assad's fighting forces today in damascus, DeZ, Homs, Hama are Sunni muslims. They are not fundamentalist and want inclusive Syria and they have no problems in living besides the alawites and assyrians. Infact all the fighting force of rebels in Latakia, Raqqa, Idlib are Turkmen, circassian (another turk type), bosnian, GCC arab, chechen, some sunni Kurds etc. Some are recent imports and the other are old imports.
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by habal »

Turkey meanwhile has suffered huge casualties in Latakia, there around clock funerals in Turkey, and it seems by the nature and turns out at the these funerals, the dead are senior military and intelligence officers, these men are between 30-45 years of age! It seems the wheels of Erdogan Neo Ottoman adventure are coming off!

South Front - Russian Pilot killer appears in Istanbul
The claimed on camera that his group killed the pilot of a Russian Su-24 bomber after the warplane was shot down by Turkish fighter jets on November 24

http://southfront.org/russian-pilot-kil ... -istanbul/#

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hqoh8zx2ReI

On Wednesday, the Turkish ultranationalist who showed off killing the pilot of a Russian bomber shot down by Turkish fighter jets was seen at the funeral of a fellow militant in Istanbul.

His named is Alparslan Celik who is a Turkish citizen and the son of a former district mayor elected from Turkey’s Nationalist Movement Party (MHP). He is also a member of the party’s unofficial youth military arm, Bozkurtlar.

According to Hurriyet newspaper, Alparslan Celik, who is considered a war criminal by Russia, appeared in Istanbul on Wednesday for the funeral of the head of the MHP bureau who was killed in an airstrike in a Turkmen village in Syria in Istanbul’s Fatih district.
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by deejay »

The Geneva talks are like everything else wrt the Syrian conflict. Pepe Escobar in RT:

https://www.rt.com/op-edge/330618-genev ... ace-talks/
You have now landed in Geneva, Syria

The alleged Syrian peace process now enters its Geneva charade stage. This could last months; get ready for lavish doses of posturing and bluster capable of stunning even Donald Trump.

The notion that Geneva may be able to impersonate Damascus in a suit-and-tie pantomime is ludicrous to begin with. Even the UN envoy, the sartorially superb Staffan de Mistura, admits the Sisyphean task ahead - even if all relevant players were at the table.

Then we have Syrian “opposition figure” George Sabra announcing that no delegation from the Riyadh-based High Negotiations Committee will be at the table in Geneva. As if Syrians needed an “opposition” instrumentalized by Saudi Arabia.

So in the interest of providing context, here’s an extremely concise recap of recent, crucial facts on the Syrian ground which the “new capital” Geneva may ignore at its own peril.

Let’s start with last summer, when Iranian Quds Force superstar commander Qasem Soleimani laid down the law, in person, in Moscow, establishing without a doubt the grim situation across the Syrian theater of war.

Essentially Soleimani told the Kremlin and Russian intelligence that Aleppo might be about to fall; that Jabhat al-Nusra was at the doors of southern Damascus; that Idlib had fallen; and Latakia – home to Russia’s naval base at Tartus – would be next.


One can imagine the effect of this jolt of realpolitik on President Putin’s mind. That clinched his resolution to stop the fall of Syria, and prevent it from becoming a Libyan remix.

The Russian Air Force campaign turned out to be the ultimate game-changer. It is in the process of securing the Damascus-Homs-Latakia-Hama-Aleppo network – the urban, developed Western Syria that holds 70 percent of the country’s population. ISIS/ISIL/Daesh and/or Jabhat al-Nusra, a.k.a. al-Qaeda in Syria, have zero chances of taking over this territory. The rest is mostly desert.

Jaysh al-Islam – a motley crew weaponized by Saudi Arabia – still holds a few positions north of Damascus. That’s containable. The country bumpkins in Daraa province, south of Damascus, could only make a push towards the capital in an impossible 1991 Desert Storm context.

“Moderate rebels” – that Beltway concoction – did try to hold Homs and Al-Qusayr, cutting off the resupply of Damascus. They were repelled. As for the gaggle of “moderate rebels” who took all of Idlib province, they are being pounded mercilessly for four months now by the Russian Air Force. Aleppo’s southern front is also being secured.

Don’t bomb “our” rebels
It’s easy to pinpoint who’s livid with all the Russian action: Saudi Arabia, Turkey and – last but not least – the ‘Empire of Chaos’, all at the table in Geneva.

Jabhat al-Nusra - remote-controlled by Ayman al-Zawahiri - is intimately linked to a gaggle of Salafi-jihadists in the Saudi-sponsored Army of Conquest, as well as tactically allied with myriad outfits nominally grouped in the nearly extinct Free Syrian Army (FSA).

The CIA, using the Saudis for plausible deniability, fully weaponized “vetted” FSA outfits, which received, among other things, TOW anti-tank missiles. Guess who “intercepted” virtually all the weapons: Jabhat al-Nusra.

The follow-up was nothing short of hilarious: Washington, Ankara and Riyadh furiously denouncing Moscow for bombing their “moderate rebels” and not ISIS/ISIL/Daesh.

Slowly but surely, the Syrian Arab Army (SAA), parallel to the Russian offensive, retook the initiative. The “4+1” – Russia, Syria, Iran (Special Forces, many of them from Afghanistan), Iraq, plus Hezbollah – started coordinating their efforts. Latakia Province – which hosts not only Tartus but the Khmeimim Russian airbase – is now under total control by Damascus.

And that brings us to Ankara’s nightmares. Russian Air Force smashed most of Ankara’s Turkmen proxies - heavily infiltrated by Turkish fascists - in northwest Syria. That was the key reason for Sultan Erdogan’s desperate move of shooting down the Su-24.

It’s by now clear that the winners, as it stands, on the ground, are the “4+1”, and the losers are Saudi Arabia and Turkey. So no wonder the Saudis want at least some of their proxies at the negotiating table in Geneva, while Turkey tries to change the subject by barring the Syrian Kurds: these are accused of being terrorists, much more than ISIS/ISIL/Daesh.

Exit Geneva, enter Jarabulus
As if this was not messy enough, US ‘Think Tankland’ is now spinning there is an “understanding” between Washington and Ankara for what will be, for all practical purposes, a Turkish invasion of northern Syria, under the pretext of Ankara smashing ISIS/ISIL/Daesh in northern Aleppo.

This is utter nonsense. Ankara’s game is three-pronged; prop up their heavily battered Turkmen proxies; keep very much alive the corridor to Aleppo – a corridor that crucially includes the Jihadi Highway between Turkey and Syria; and most of all prevent by all means necessary that YPG Kurds bridge the gap from Afrin to Kobani and unite all three Syrian Kurd cantons near the Turkish border.

None of this has anything to do with fighting ISISL/ISIL/Daesh. And the nuttiest part is that Washington is actually assisting the Syrian Kurds with air support. Either the Pentagon supports the Syrian Kurds or Erdogan’s invasion of northern Syria; schizophrenia does not apply here.

A desperate Erdogan may be foolish enough to confront the Russian Air Force during his purported “invasion”. Putin is on the record saying response to any provocation will be immediate, and lethal. To top it off, the Russians and Americans are actually coordinating airspace action in northern Syria.

This is bound to be the next big thing, fully eclipsing the Geneva pantomime. The YPG and its allies are planning a major attack to finally seize the 100-kilometer stretch of the Syria-Turkey border still controlled by ISIS/ISIL/Daesh – thus reuniting their three cantons.

Erdogan was blunt; if the YPG pushes west of the Euphrates, it’s war. Well, looks like war then. The YPG is getting ready to attack the crucial towns of Jarabulus and Manbij. Russia most certainly will aid the YPG to reconquer Jarabulus. And that will directly pit – once again - Turkey against Russia on the ground.

Geneva? That’s for tourists; the capital of the Syrian horror show is now Jarabulus.
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

in other news a big black su34 violated turk airspace at 11.30am in broad daylight and refused to leave despite turkey giving many warnings
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by deejay »

ISIS vs Al Qaeda (Nusrats)
Leith Abou Fadel ‏@leithfadel now4 hours ago
Leith Abou Fadel Retweeted Al-Masdar News
For those of you who say Allah doesn't have a sense of humor - this is the funniest battle in Syria! Nusra vs. ISIS!
http://www.almasdarnews.com/article/26450/

______________________________

In other news SAA had a set back in north-east Hama yesterday but regained all lost territories today and plus some more.

http://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syr ... east-hama/
Earlier today, the Syrian Arab Army’s 66th Brigade of the 11th Tank Division – alongside the National Defense Forces (NDF) of Al-Salamiyah – imposed full control over 2 villages in the northeastern countryside of the Hama Governorate after a violent battle with the Islamist rebels of Harakat Ahrar Al-Sham, Jabhat Al-Nusra (Syrian Al-Qaeda group), and the Free Syrian Army (FSA).

According to several field journalists in northeastern Hama, the Syrian Arab Army’s 66th Brigade and their allies established full control over the villages of Al-Zinkahiyah and Kabasin after advancing west from the strategic town of Al-Sa’an near the Idlib Governorate’s southern border. The capture of these aforementioned villages in northeastern Hama has resulted in the Syrian Armed Forces expanding on their buffer-zone around the Syrian government stronghold of Al-Sa’an; this strategic town is located northeast of the provincial capital and the imperative city of Al-Salamiyah.

Al-Sa’an is extremely important to the Syrian Arab Army’s Central Command due to its location along the Hama-Raqqa Highway; if it is lost to either the Islamist rebels or the so-called “Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham”, then the Syrian Armed Forces’ primary supply route (Khanasser Highway) to the Aleppo Governorate will be in danger of being cutoff.
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by deejay »

Singha wrote:in other news a big black su34 violated turk airspace at 11.30am in broad daylight and refused to leave despite turkey giving many warnings
This is going to hurt Turkish H&D big time and its already showing:

https://www.rt.com/news/330723-turkey-russia-jet-envoy/
Turkey summons Russian envoy, claims Su-34 fighter jet violated air space
Published time: 30 Jan, 2016 16:11

Turkey has summoned the Russian envoy, claiming a Russian fighter jet has violated its airspace, Dogan news agency reports.

According to Ankara, the incident involving a Russian Su-34 took place Friday. Several warnings in Russian and in English were allegedly sent to the jet.

"We are making a clear call to the Russian Federation not to violate Turkish airspace, which is also NATO airspace," the Turkish Foreign Ministry said in a statement Saturday.

"We are emphasizing once again that the unwanted consequences of such irresponsible behavior will belong fully to the Russian Federation," it added.

The ministry also said it views the alleged violation as a clear sign that Russia is seeking to escalate the already existing tensions.

At the same time, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan voiced his readiness to meet Vladimir Putin in the wake of the incident, Reuters reports.

The Russian embassy in Ankara confirms the envoy has been summoned.

“We confirm that the ambassador, Andrey Karlov, has had a meeting in the Turkish Foreign Ministry,” Igor Mityakov, the press secretary of the Russian embassy in Ankara, told RIA Novosti following Turkey’s statement. He did not confirm the incident itself and provided no further comment.

NATO also reacted to the reports, with Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg calling “for calm and deescalation”.

Stoltenberg urged Russia “to act responsibly and to fully respect NATO airspace,” as well as to “ensure that such violations do not happen again.”

...
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by deejay »

For Phillip Sir's reading pleasure:

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world ... 42711.html
War in Syria: Russia’s 'rustbucket' military delivers a hi-tech shock to West and Israel
As the Kremlin showcases its military capabilities in Syria, Kim Sengupta says Nato leaders are having to reassess
Kim Sengupta

Their army’s equipment and strategy was “outmoded”; their air force’s bombs and missiles were “more dumb than smart”; their navy was “more rust than ready”. For decades, this was Western military leaders’ view, steeped in condescension, of their Russian counterparts. What they have seen in Syria and Ukraine has come as a shock.

Russian military jets have, at times, been carrying out more sorties in a day in Syria than the US-led coalition has done in a month. The Russian navy has launched ballistic missiles from the Caspian Sea 900 miles way, and kept supply lines going to Syria. The air defences installed by the Russians in Syria and eastern Ukraine would make it extremely hazardous for the West to carry out strikes against the Assad regime or Ukrainian separatists.

Lieutenant General Ben Hodges, the commander of the US army in Europe, has described Russian advances in electronic warfare in Syria and Ukraine – a field in which they were typically supposed to be backward – as “eye watering”.

The chief of US Air Force operations in Europe and Africa, Lieutenant General Frank Gorenc, has disclosed that Moscow is now deploying anti-aircraft systems in Crimea, which the Kremlin annexed from Ukraine last year, and in Kaliningrad, an enclave between Lithuania and Poland. It is doing so, he says, in a way that makes it “very, very difficult” for Nato planes to gain access safely to areas including parts of Poland.

It is not just Nato member states watching the Russians with concern. Israel, too, sees the build-up of Russian weaponry across its northern border in Syria and wonders where it will all end. Their apprehension is that the advanced equipment already in situ in the Middle East will end up with Iran, viewed as an existential threat to the Jewish state, or with other Arab countries, thus eroding the air superiority that is Israel’s primary advantage over its neighbours.

It is this military might that is underpinning President Vladimir Putin’s strategic triumphs. His intervention in Syria has been a game changer and what happens there now lies, to a large extent, in his hands. The Ukraine conflict is semi-frozen, on his terms. The Russians are allying with the Kurds, unfazed by the Turkish anger this has provoked. And, crucially, they are now returning to Egypt to an extent not seen for 44 years, since they were kicked out by President Anwar Sadat.

One of the most senior analysts in Israeli military intelligence told The Independent in Tel Aviv last week: “Anyone who wants anything done in this region is beating a path to Moscow.”

...
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Bhurishrava »

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-midea ... SKCN0V720O
Syrian Turkmens cross to Turkey, fleeing advances of pro-Assad forces
Abdurrahman Mustafa, head of the Syrian Turkmen Assembly, said heavy Russian bombardment has almost wiped towns in northern Latakia off the map and said that after the fall of Rabiya more civilians were now at risk.
"The situation isn't good there at all. Russia is hitting very hard. They have destroyed everything," Muhammed Mustafa, an elderly man among those arriving in Turkey, told Reuters TV.
Sultan Erdogan wont be pleased
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by member_23370 »

Russia has not launched any ballistic missile from caspian sea. But turkey is in for a tough time.
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Prem »

I don't fear Russia, says Turkish alleged killer of pilot
https://news.yahoo.com/dont-fear-russia ... 11598.html
Istanbul (AFP) - A Turkish citizen fighting in Syria who Moscow has accused of killing a Russian pilot said Friday he was not scared Russian forces are targeting him, after making an unexpected public appearance in Istanbul.Alparslan Celik has been accused by Russia of killing in cold blood Russian pilot Oleg Peshkov as he parachuted to the ground after his plane was shot down by Turkish air forces on the Syrian border on November 24.Turkish newspapers Thursday carried pictures of Celik attending the funeral in Istanbul's Fatih district this week of Ibrahim Kucuk, a Turkish nationalist local politician who was killed fighting with a Turkmen militia in Syria.It was Celik's first appearance inside Turkey since the shooting down of the Russian Su-24 and Peshkov's killing caused an unprecedented crisis in relations between Ankara and Moscow."I went to (Syria) for Allah. Our souls were given to us by Allah. Only Allah can take what was given and it is with this belief that we are fighting," Celik told the Dogan news agency in an interview."I don't have any such fear (of being targeted by Russia). We will continue our struggle until the last drop of our blood flows," he added.Celik, the son of a prominent local politician from the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), has since 2014 been fighting alongside Turkmen forces in Syria.The Turkmen, one of majority Arab Syria's ethnic minorities, speak a language very similar to modern Turkish and are staunch allies of Ankara in fighting forces of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.The Hurriyet daily quoted Celik as saying at the funeral in Istanbul that he went "in-and-out" of Syria and would be going there again.Russian foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova in December also urged Turkey to arrest Celik and his accomplices and "bring them to justice for the murder of the Russian pilot."
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Satya_anveshi »

Stockholm pogrom: Crowd of masked men hunt and beat up non-Swedes - Jan 30, 2016
The crowd of some 40 to 50 people went on a violent spree on Friday night at around 9 p.m. local time in and around the Swedish capital’s main railroad station, according to the Aftonbladet daily. They were beating up anyone who didn’t look like ethnic Swede. The attackers were wearing black balaclavas and armbands, the video obtained by the tabloid showed.
“But we refuse to accept the repeated assaults and harassment against Swedish women,” the leaflets said as cited by the Daily Mail. “We refuse to accept the destruction of our once to safe society. When our political leadership and police show more sympathy for murderers than for their victims, there are no longer any excuses to let it happen without protest.”
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

i wonder why turkey did not manage to supply its proxies with the raw materials, tooling and machinery to make mortar rounds on a mass scale in their border camps. 81mm mortars are far more reliable and high firing rate vs the crude hell cannons and rockets being seen. they are also relatively very cheap and mobile.
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Satya_anveshi »

Germany's Merkel Says Refugees Must Return Home Once War Is Over - Jan 30, 2016
"We need ... to say to people that this is a temporary residential status and we expect that, once there is peace in Syria again, once (ISIS) has been defeated in Iraq, that you go back to your home country with the knowledge that you have gained," she told a regional meeting of her Christian Democratic Union (CDU) in the state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania.
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

Image
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

Minas Tirith...where all shall come together....

easterlings, haradrim, 4 tusked elephants, orcs, uruk hai , human infantry, elves, rohirim, beastly giant abominations dragging siege machines and hurling rocks....


YPG, SAA, al badr iranis, katib hezbollah of iraq, real hezbollah of lebanon, russi advisers, ruaf (the eagles who attacked the nazgul dragons), sunni arabi SDF, Al Sham, IS, Nusra, 20 other smaller outfits, turkish army, grey wolves turkoman militias, fsa coastal divisions now pushed into interior, ....

and from his Dark Tower in hagia sophia high above the golden horn in istanboul, Sauron himself...seeing everything, missing nothing...
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

the peshmerga kurds seem like totally bought over american munnas. making zero effort to dislodge the IS from their areas like Mosul, not even nibbling and harassing.

IS still has a good part of north iraq (north of tikrit) and most of anbar province. the iraqi militias too seem less than effective and directionless.
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by deejay »

Singha wrote:the peshmerga kurds seem like totally bought over american munnas. making zero effort to dislodge the IS from their areas like Mosul, not even nibbling and harassing.

IS still has a good part of north iraq (north of tikrit) and most of anbar province. the iraqi militias too seem less than effective and directionless.
In Iraq, the Iraqis and Kurds are both complaining of a shortage of funds for further assaults. The Iraqi Kurds seem to have sold a lot of their arms in Iraqi black market and now their teachers have gone on strike for non payment of salaries.

The Kurds are also giving the freed Yezidi girls from ISIS slavery a special test:

https://www.rt.com/news/330739-yazidi-v ... rape-isis/

Iraqis have held a marathon in Baghdad and have qualified for next FIFA world cup by beating Qatar.

Meanwhile, the coalition strike hit a big ISIS congregation in Iraq :
Haidar Sumeri ‏@IraqiSecurity 8 hours ago
60 Da'ish gunmen killed + 15 vehicles destroyed after coalition jets hit a gathering in N. Salahuddin, as they prepared to attack Samarra.
There are reports of ISIS fighting ISIS
Haidar Sumeri ‏@IraqiSecurity now8 hours ago
IMPORTANT:

Reports of Da'ish gunmen clashing with each other in western #Iraq. Several dead inc the "Wali of Anah".
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Gyan »

What is the latest on Iraq? Do we have a separate thread on it?
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Austin »

Apparently Iranian C-130s are assisting in the airdrop to Deir ez-Zor.

http://imp-navigator.livejournal.com/417355.html
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Austin »

Satya_anveshi wrote:Germany's Merkel Says Refugees Must Return Home Once War Is Over - Jan 30, 2016
"We need ... to say to people that this is a temporary residential status and we expect that, once there is peace in Syria again, once (ISIS) has been defeated in Iraq, that you go back to your home country with the knowledge that you have gained," she told a regional meeting of her Christian Democratic Union (CDU) in the state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania.
The War will never get over and they will never return back
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Singha »

how has iran managed to keep its F-14 and C-130 operational for 35 years under sanctions?
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Sid »

Singha wrote:how has iran managed to keep its F-14 and C-130 operational for 35 years under sanctions?
Where else, from OEM. Not surprisingly Pakis were involved.

http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/was ... gear_x.htm
In one case, convicted middlemen for Iran bought Tomcat parts from the Defense Department's surplus division. Customs agents confiscated them and returned them to the Pentagon, which sold them again — customs evidence tags still attached — to another buyer, a suspected broker for Iran.
FYI India too use similar route to purchase sanctioned merchandise, mostly via Europe at 3-4 times the cost.
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by Austin »

9M79-1 missile "Tochka-U" used in Syria for first time



http://bmpd.livejournal.com/1708975.html
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by habal »

this could be a trendsetter in syrian war. it may be a trend that we will start to see since the tide of the war has shifted.

basically locals ask rebels to f*** off.

It seems that the people from Dael (north of Daraa) and just south of Ibta, have said no for the terrorists to use this city as launching platform to storm Khirbet Ghazaleh, this later city is vital for the road Damascus-Daraa, and terrorists want to create a diversion from the Syrian forces to storm Ibta, and most likely the people of Dael know that if the war comes to them the city will be like Sheikh Miskeen, a ghost town and they would lose it all. Lets wait and see how it goes tomorrow, but it could have very serious implications for the terrorists in all southern Syria.

"Hours after FSA announced Khirbet Ghazaleh offensive - locals in Dael release statement telling them to ..... off"
"Dael (rebel held) locals refused the city to be used to attack Khirbet Ghazale so FSA just called it off"


:rotfl:

https://twitter.com/sayed_ridha/status/ ... 8193527808

https://twitter.com/sayed_ridha/status/ ... 9461652480
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by deejay »

Habal ji, you posted those border crossing photos which are interwoven with IDP camps? Well, those IDP camps are more like weapons storage facilities:
The 'Nimr' Tiger ‏@Souria4Syrians now15 hours ago
IDP camps or weapons storage? you be the judge #Latakia...
Watch video on the twitter handle: https://twitter.com/Souria4Syrians
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Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II

Post by deejay »

In Dier Ez Zor ISIS tried new gateways yesterday but only 5 dozen terrorists succeeded

http://www.almasdarnews.com/article/isi ... offensive/
On Saturday morning in the Deir Ezzor Governorate, the so-called Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham (ISIS) launched their first offensive inside the provincial capital this year, targeting the Al-Rashidiyah and Al-Haweeqa districts that are controlled by the Syrian Arab Army’s 104th Brigade of the Republican Guard and the 137th Artillery Brigade of the 17th Reserve Division.

ISIS began their assault along the Cinema Fouad Street inside the Al-Rashidiyah District, where they were confronted by a well-prepared contingent from the Syrian Arab Army’s 104th Airborne Brigade.

This battle along Cinema Fouad Street would last for over 3 hours and end in ISIS’ mass retreat from the Al-Rashidiyah District to the nearby Sheikh Yasseen District after sustaining a high death toll during this failed attack.

In conjunction with their assault on the Al-Rashidiyah District, the Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham launched a large-scale assault on the northern quarter of the Al-Haweeqa District in order to seize the remaining territory of this strategic area on the western bank of the Euphrates River.

However, once again, the ISIS terrorists were delivered a lethal blow by the Syrian Armed Forces, resulting in the former’s retreat to the southern sector of Al-Haweeqa.

According to a military source from the Syrian Arab Army’s 104th Airborne Brigade, 63 ISIS terrorists were killed and another 84 were wounded (unconfirmed by the Syrian Arab Army’s Central Command) during this failed offensive on Saturday.

Among the ISIS terrorists killed on Saturday was a Belgian terrorist that was identified as “Abu ‘Umar Al-Beljiki” – he was killed alongside 7 Pakistanis, 4 Chechens, and 2 Jordanians in Al-Haweeqa and Al-Rashidiyah.
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